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JP Morgan U-turns on Crypto – Blockchain News, Opinion, TV and Jobs

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By Marcus Sotiriou, Analyst at the publicly listed digital asset broker GlobalBlock (TSXV:BLOK).

As Bitcoin remains above $20,000, 66% of Bitcoin supply has not moved in a year, which is the largest percentage of supply last active over 1 year ago. This shows that BTC holders remain convinced in Bitcoin’s longevity.

More institutions enter the DeFi space, as JP Morgan, DBS Bank, SBI, Standard Chartered Bank, HSBC, UOB Participate in Money Authority of Singapore (MAS) Digital Asset Pilots. MAS Is Sinapore’s central bank and has allowed the banks mentioned to execute their first lives trades on a public blockchain using DeFi, tokenised deposits, and verifiable credentials.

After JP Morgan had famously been opposed to DeFi, with the CEO calling crypto a “decentralised Ponzi scheme” just months ago, the banking giant has got involved in the DeFi sector, which is huge step forward for the industry.

JP Morgan used a version of Aave on Polygon blockchain to execute a trade of tokenized SGD for JPY with SBI Holdings LLC. The Polygon token (MATIC) is up over 20% today, increasing by over 50% in just the past few weeks.

In other news, Coinbase reported earnings yesterday that showed a loss of $545 million in the third quarter. This is 50% lower than its losses in the second quarter of this year, which was $1.1 billion, yet the loss is still concerning for investors.

Transaction revenue was down 44% from Q2, reaching $366 billion, stating that there is a shift in trading volume away from the U.S. where there is a lack of regulatory certainty. The U.K. has the potential to capitalise on this, with Rishi Sunak becoming the new U.K. prime minister.

Within the earnings report Coinbase stated, “as of the end of the quarter, roughly 25% of the 100 largest hedge funds in the world by reported assets under management have chosen to onboard with Coinbase.” This is a significant increase from last year where they claimed 10% of the largest hedge funds have onboarded with Coinbase, suggesting that hedge funds are preparing to invest in crypto when we finally do get a change in macroeconomic conditions.



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Bitcoin (BTC)

Market Awaits News on Inflation and Crypto ETFs – Blockchain News, Opinion, TV and Jobs

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By Matteo Greco, Research Analyst at the publicly listed digital asset and fintech investment business Fineqia International (CSE:FNQ). 

Bitcoin (BTC) closed last week around $25,850, a 0.5% decrease in price from its previous week’s closing price of $26,000. The market keeps following the trend of low volumes and volatility observed in this Q3. In the last 11 weeks, the BTC price fluctuated by less than 0.75% in 8 weeks. Low volatility is confirmed looking at the annualised volatility of BTC on a 30-day basis, which remains at one of the lowest levels ever recorded, despite the strong fluctuations observed during the second week of August accompanied by almost 11% decrease in price for BTC.

Trading weekly volumes on centralised exchanges are at the lowest level since the end of 2020, with a cumulative weekly volume of $9 billion. Spot to futures volume ratio slightly increased in the past few weeks, reaching the same level seen in April this year. Low futures volume tends to be correlated with lower volatility. The trend of low traffic is mirrored on decentralised exchanges (DEXs) as the main DEXs totalled $22 billion volume during August, the lowest monthly volume since December 2020.

Analysing the Bitcoin supply, long-term holder ratio surpassed 75% of the total supply. Long-term holder refers to the part of Bitcoin supply that did not move for more than 155 days. Currently, 75.66% of the total supply, equivalent to 14.74 million of BTC is held by long-term holders. Only 2.50 million of BTC are held by short-term holders, the lowest data since 2011.

Trading activity and market participation tends to be lower during Q3, as this quarter includes the months of July and August that are historically the ones with very low volumes. In addition, the hiking of interest rates perpetuated by central banks in the last 18 months, strongly contributed to drying up liquidity from the financial markets and suggested a de-risk movement for investors. This impacted the whole financial sector, with a stronger effect on the digital asset market, being historically the most volatile and risky.

August inflation data for the US will be released on the 13th of September. The expectations are for a slight increase in year-on-year inflation, to 3.4% from 3.2% of July. However, the market does not expect any further increase in interest rates, pricing a 93% probability of no change in interest rates at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and also not predicting any further rate hike before the end of 2023.

The end of rate hikes, especially if combined with approval of a Bitcoin Spot ETF, could represent a major driver to bring new capital into the market and improve liquidity. Investors are showing increasing confidence for a future approval of Spot ETFs. The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) discount currently sits at around 17%, the lowest level since the beginning of 2022. Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) discount is strongly diminishing as well, now being jat 26.50%, the narrowest discount in the last 12 months. The data concerning ETHE seems particularly relevant, as Grayscale did not file to convert any other trust other that Bitcoin in an ETF. The strong narrowing in ETHE discount shows how investors believe not only that approval for a BTC Spot ETF is more likely than before, but also that once GBTC is converted into an ETF, other Trusts will follow.



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Bitcoin Supply

JP Morgan U-turns on Crypto – Blockchain News, Opinion, TV and Jobs

Published

on


By Marcus Sotiriou, Analyst at the publicly listed digital asset broker GlobalBlock (TSXV:BLOK).

As Bitcoin remains above $20,000, 66% of Bitcoin supply has not moved in a year, which is the largest percentage of supply last active over 1 year ago. This shows that BTC holders remain convinced in Bitcoin’s longevity.

More institutions enter the DeFi space, as JP Morgan, DBS Bank, SBI, Standard Chartered Bank, HSBC, UOB Participate in Money Authority of Singapore (MAS) Digital Asset Pilots. MAS Is Sinapore’s central bank and has allowed the banks mentioned to execute their first lives trades on a public blockchain using DeFi, tokenised deposits, and verifiable credentials.

After JP Morgan had famously been opposed to DeFi, with the CEO calling crypto a “decentralised Ponzi scheme” just months ago, the banking giant has got involved in the DeFi sector, which is huge step forward for the industry.

JP Morgan used a version of Aave on Polygon blockchain to execute a trade of tokenized SGD for JPY with SBI Holdings LLC. The Polygon token (MATIC) is up over 20% today, increasing by over 50% in just the past few weeks.

In other news, Coinbase reported earnings yesterday that showed a loss of $545 million in the third quarter. This is 50% lower than its losses in the second quarter of this year, which was $1.1 billion, yet the loss is still concerning for investors.

Transaction revenue was down 44% from Q2, reaching $366 billion, stating that there is a shift in trading volume away from the U.S. where there is a lack of regulatory certainty. The U.K. has the potential to capitalise on this, with Rishi Sunak becoming the new U.K. prime minister.

Within the earnings report Coinbase stated, “as of the end of the quarter, roughly 25% of the 100 largest hedge funds in the world by reported assets under management have chosen to onboard with Coinbase.” This is a significant increase from last year where they claimed 10% of the largest hedge funds have onboarded with Coinbase, suggesting that hedge funds are preparing to invest in crypto when we finally do get a change in macroeconomic conditions.



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Bitcoin Supply

JP Morgan Makes Historical Move with New Crypto Wallet – Blockchain News, Opinion, TV and Jobs

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By Marcus Sotiriou, Analyst at the publicly listed digital asset broker GlobalBlock (TSXV:BLOK). 

Bitcoin and crypto markets bounced back for a while on wednesday following the continuation of a relief rally in the S&P 500. As investors lose trust in exchanges and trading platforms which are not transparent, 137,000 Bitcoins have been removed from exchanges in the past 30 days.

Retail investors are accumulating at a rapid pace, as the Bitcoin supply held by on-chain entities between the size of 0.1-1 BTC is spiking.

Whilst the stability of the crypto ecosystem remains in question, JP Morgan continues to make moves toward integrating crypto products. JP Morgan has registered a JP Morgan Wallet with the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) to use in a wide range of financial services, including cryptocurrency transfers and crypto payment services.

The terms used to describe the services that are enabled with this registration are “electronic transfer of virtual currencies,” “financial exchange of virtual currencies,” and “cryptocurrency payment processing,” shown by the USPTO website.

JP Morgan described the wallet as:

“Real-time virtual sub-ledgers that help manage and scale any number of customer, supplier and vendor payments in an organized, easy-to-reconcile way.”

JP Morgan intends to “help simplify domestic and cross-border receivables and disbursements” with the implementation of this wallet, and also develop “sophisticated payments solutions like connected mobility solutions and blockchain platforms that can help you say more to the world.”

Furthermore, Singapore’s largest bank, DBS, completed an intraday repo trade on JP Morgan’s Onyx (JP Morgan’s own blockchain ecosystem). Usually, repo trades take two days to settle, however by using blockchain technology these transactions can settle in just a few hours.

This proves the potential for blockchain technology to disrupt the $4 trillion repo market and revolutionise the financial services industry.



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