A popular crypto analyst says technical indicators are suggesting that the altcoin market is gearing up for a massive breakout.

Pseudonymous analyst TechDev tells his 446,400 followers on the social media platform X that the altcoin market cap structure may be repeating a historic bullish pattern.

“Altcoin accumulation. The most vertical leg since 2021 appears on deck.”

Looking at his charts, the analyst suggests that the crypto market cap, excluding the top 10 digital assets, is repeating a pattern seen during the 2016 and 2021 market cycles when it broke out, retraced and then surged to a new top.

The analyst also suggests that the altcoin market cap’s logarithmic moving average divergence (LMACD) indicator is flashing a breakout trend. The LMACD indicator is designed to reveal changes in an asset’s trend, strength and momentum.

Says TechDev,

“Altcoins are ready. The market is not.”

Next up, the analyst also says that Bitcoin (BTC) appears on the two-month chart to be halfway through its current cycle based on historic precedence and the Bollinger bands, a price volatility gauge. The upper and lower bands widen when volatility declines while the bands contract when volatility is about to explode.

Says TechDev,

“BTC: looks about halfway there.”

Bitcoin is trading for $67,059 at time of writing, up nearly 3.6% in the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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A popular trader known for several accurate crypto market calls is outlining his Bitcoin forecast after the BTC halving last week.

The pseudonymous analyst known as Dave the Wave shares a chart with his 147,000 followers on the social media platform X that indicates Bitcoin could reach $169,500 in the last quarter of 2024.

According to Dave the Wave, Bitcoin has consistently printed diminishing returns after every bull market since 2012. For the current cycle, the trader expects BTC to generate gains of over 626% from the bottom – a significant reduction from the 1,275% gains witnessed during the 2020 cycle.

“The near only constant is reduced return.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $66,938, up over 3.5% in the past day.

Dave the Wave analyzes Bitcoin’s possible path forward using the logarithmic growth curve (LGC), an investing model that aims to forecast BTC’s market cycle highs and lows while filtering out short-term volatility.

The analyst explains that Bitcoin hitting a fresh all-time high before the halving is not so out of the ordinary. According to Dave the Wave, the halving marks the midpoint of a bull market and he expects BTC to ignite a steep rally from this point toward the top of his LGC model.

“A lot is being made of the current Bitcoin halving being at the highest price as compared to previously.

But this is not so significant when you see that previous halvings were all pushing previous all-time highs…. with halving prices within the last month’s spike of the previous ‘cycle’ highs…

The takeaway from this thread of charts is that halvings have all been, more or less, recoveries of price… and marking something of a midway point toward the peaks.

Also, that the initial peak last time should be considered the macro top [momentum-wise] even though a nominal higher price was seen on the second peak.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any loses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: DALLE3

A recent analysis paints a rosy picture of Bitcoin’s future, even with a conservative growth projection. Taking to X, Michael Sullivan predicts that the world’s most valuable coin could reach a staggering $245,000 within just five years if it maintains a mere 30% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). 

Bitcoin Projections: From Conservative To Exponential Growth

The analysis explores various growth possibilities for Bitcoin. Assuming the coin’s growth rate significantly contracts in the coming years, growing at just 30% CAGR, Sullivan projects the coin to reach $245,000 by 2029. 

A decade later, it will be at $909,000; by 2039, each coin in circulation will be trading at a whopping $3.37 million. If, however, the CAGR rises to 40%, Bitcoin would be worth $10.3 million in 15 years and $1.9 million in 10 years.

Still, even at these mega valuations, Bitcoin has been soaring at unprecedented rates, outperforming all traditional finance assets since launching. To demonstrate, Bitcoin registered a CAGR of 73.7% over the past four years. 

Therefore, if this trend continues, Sullivan says BTC will smash above the $1 million level a year after halving in 2028. However, half a decade later, each coin will change hands at over $16.5 million. 

A look back at Bitcoin’s history makes it clear that the coin has been on a tear. Following this historical trend and making projections for the future, BTC could be far more valuable in the next five or ten years.

There Are No Guarantees, Crypto Is Dynamic

While these projections are undoubtedly exciting for Bitcoin holders, it’s crucial to remember that they are just projections. The crypto market, just like any other tradable asset, doesn’t move in straight lines. 

As an illustration, after peaking at nearly $70,000 in 2021, prices crashed to as low as $15,600 the following year. In 2017, BTC rose to around $20,000 before tanking to below $4,000 a year later in 2018. This volatility and the dynamic market, influenced by new circumstances, don’t guarantee these lofty projections.

Nonetheless, analysts remain optimistic of what lies ahead, especially after the historic Halving event on April 20. As traditional finance players join in, finding exposure in BTC through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), prices might rise, even breaking above the all-time highs of around $74,000.

Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView

Disclaimer: The article is provided for educational purposes only. It does not represent the opinions of NewsBTC on whether to buy, sell or hold any investments and naturally investing carries risks. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use information provided on this website entirely at your own risk.