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Did Haliey Welch’s Hawk Tuah Crypto Debacle Eclipse Bitcoin’s (BTC) $100K Moment?

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One bitcoin is worth $100,000 — a milestone that has crypto OGs in a tizzy. Donald Trump is selling DOGE T-shirts. It’s a frenetic time for crypto.

But what are my non-crypto friends texting me about?

“Hawk Tuah” coin. Yep, in a very unscientific sample size of the seven friends who texted me — unsolicited — about crypto this week, six essentially asked: “What’s the deal with Hawk Tuah coin?” (The seventh asked about litecoin).

That a low-level celebrity’s dalliance with memecoins would dominate the groupchat’s mindshare at the same time the original cryptocurrency smashed through a historic level points to a chasm between the crypto industry’s perception of itself and the general public’s — or at least my friends’ — perception.

When HAWK launched Wednesday, it immediately rocketed up to a market capitalization of almost $500 million. Then, just as fast, it crashed below $100 million, wiping out individual investments once worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. It now fetches less than $30 million.

Betting on memecoins is never a surefire investment strategy. But there were signs that Hawk Tuah was a worse investment than most. Its launch was marred by allegations of insider dumping (which the founders deny) and a pricey swap tax that failed to stop snipers from essentially manipulating its price.

Most of the people who reached out to me didn’t know this level of detail. They’d just heard the “hawk tuah” woman, Haliey Welch, had launched a memecoin and it did not go very well.

“It reinforces my previous belief that it’s all nonsense,” said one friend who bought bitcoin in 2020 but quickly sold. He acknowledged that bitcoin and Ethereum’s ether may have “certain technological advances.” And yet, “​​the fact that essentially anyone can create a new — potentially preferred — cryptocurrency at any point in time” boggled his mind.

To my surprise, this friend had not heard that one bitcoin was now worth $100,000, the headline story according to most everyone who works inside crypto. Most of the “normies” who reached out to me about HAWK didn’t know this.

Instead, they wondered if Hawk Tuah would face legal blowback. “I can’t help but feel like [Haliey] Welch is gonna be unintentionally responsible for some butterfly effect that ruins people’s lives,” another friend mused.

Less interesting to him was the price of bitcoin. He wasn’t interested in buying before, and certainly not now. “I don’t like crypto,” he said.

Plenty of people don’t like crypto. That may be why plenty of the people I know are so enchanted by HAWK. It reinforces all the bad, scammy notions they have for what they view as digital nonsense nickels.

Of course, that’s the promise and peril of permissionless blockchains. Anyone can do anything.

Of the people who reached out to me, only one mentioned bitcoin without prompting. That friend, a gold bug, jokingly taunted me for bitcoin’s failure to hold $100k for even 24 hours.

Another friend who buys cryptocurrencies through Robinhood admitted he owed no BTC. “I don’t really have a reason why I have no btc,” he said, “I guess im just so not mainstream.”

“I’m riding litecoin to the fkn moon.”





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Bitcoin Price Holds Steady, But Futures Sentiment Signals Caution

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According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, while Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a steady rise in price from November 2024 to February 2025, sentiment in the cryptocurrency’s futures market has not shown a corresponding uptick.

Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index Signals Caution

Bitcoin’s price surged from approximately $74,000 in November 2024 to a peak of $101,000 by early February 2025. However, following US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, risk-on assets – including BTC -have experienced a significant pullback.

After hitting a potential local bottom of $74,508 earlier this month on April 6, the apex cryptocurrency has recovered some of its recent losses. The top digital asset is trading in the mid $80,000 range at the time of writing.

Despite this recovery, BTC’s futures sentiment has continued to decline since February. Even as the price holds near local highs, sentiment in the futures market has notably cooled.

CryptoQuant contributor abramchart highlighted this divergence, noting that it could indicate increasing caution or profit-taking behavior despite the ongoing bullish trend. The analyst commented:

This indicates a cooling interest or increased fear in the futures market, possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainty, regulatory concerns, or expected corrections.

A look at the BTC futures sentiment index shows a resistance zone around 0.8 and a support level near 0.2. The index is currently hovering around 0.4, pointing to a predominantly bearish sentiment across futures markets.

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The BTC Futures Sentiment Index currently hovers around 0.4 | Source: CryptoQuant

Similarly, Bitcoin’s average price has steadily declined from its early 2025 highs. It is now ranging between $70,000 and $80,000, signalling possible market indecision amid heightened tariff tensions.

According to abramchart, if futures sentiment remains low, BTC could face extended price consolidation or even downward pressure in the near term. However, any emerging bullish catalyst could quickly shift the sentiment and renew upward momentum.

Is BTC Close To A Momentum Shift?

Some analysts believe Bitcoin may be nearing a breakout. After consolidating in the mid-$80,000s for several weeks, on-chain metrics suggest BTC may be undervalued at current levels. Indicators such as BTC exchange reserves and the Stablecoin Supply Ratio support this view.

In addition, momentum indicators like Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index have begun to break out of a long-standing downward trendline – raising hopes for a potential bullish rally back toward $100,000.

However, several risks still remain. The recent appearance of a ‘death cross’ on BTC’s price chart – combined with persistent macroeconomic concerns related to trade tariffs – could still weigh heavily on market sentiment. At press time, BTC trades at $83,917, down 1.8% over the past 24 hours.

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BTC trades at $83,917 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com



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Panama City Approves Bitcoin And Crypto Payments For Taxes, Fees, And Permits

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In yet another milestone for Bitcoin adoption in Latin America, the Panama City Council has voted to approve the acceptance of Bitcoin and other digital currencies for municipal services, making it the first public institution in the country to do so.

The news was announced by Panama City Mayor Mayer Mizrachi on X (formerly Twitter), who stated:

“Panama City council has just voted in favor of becoming the first public institution of government to accept payments in Crypto. Citizens will now be able to pay taxes, fees, tickets and permits entirely in crypto starting with BTC, ETH, USDC, USDT.”

This decision sets Panama City on a more progressive path, enabling residents to interact with their local government using Bitcoin for everyday transactions. Mizrachi also explained how this was achieved without the need for new legislation, a hurdle that had stalled previous efforts.

“Prior administrations tried to push a bill in the senate to make this possible, but we found a simple way to do it without new legislation. Legally, public institutions must receive funds in $, so we partner with a bank who will take care of the transaction—receiving in crypto and convert on spot to $. This allows for the free flow of crypto in the entire economy and entire government.”

The Panama City Mayor’s Office further confirmed the news on its official social media channels, saying:

“We will soon become the first public institution in the country to allow payment for municipal services in cryptocurrency, through an authorized bank that will be responsible for converting the proceeds into dollars for the Mayor’s Office.”