Bitcoin
Put Options for BlackRock’s Bitcoin (BTC) ETF at $30, $35 See High Volume – What’s Happening?
Published
4 weeks agoon
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adminSurging volumes in put options linked to BlackRock’s Nasdaq-listed spot bitcoin ETF (IBIT) could be interpreted as bearish sentiment. That’s not necessarily the case.
On Friday, more than 13,000 contracts of the $30 out-of-the-money (OTM) put option expiring May 16 changed hands as the ETF rose 1.7% to $57.91, according to data from Amberdata. Volume in the $35 put option expiring Jan. 16, 2026, topped 10,000 contracts.
Most of the activity probably stems from market participants looking to generate passive income through “cash-secured put selling” rather than outright purchase of the options as bearish bets, according to Greg Magadini, Amberdata’s director of derivatives.
A put seller, offering insurance against price drops in return for a premium, is obligated to purchase the underlying asset at a predetermined price on or before a specific expiration date. (That’s opposed to the buyer of the put, who has the right but not the obligation to sell the asset.)
That means savvy traders often write OTM puts to acquire the underlying asset at a lower price while pocketing the premium received by selling the put option. They do so by continuously maintaining the cash required to purchase the asset if the owner of the put option exercises their right to sell the asset.
Hence, the strategy is called “cash-secured” selling of puts. In IBIT’s case, sellers of the $35 put expiring in January 2026 will keep the premium if IBIT stays above that level until expiry. If IBIT drops below $35, the put sellers must buy the ETF at that price while keeping the premium received. The sellers of the $30 put expiring in May next year face a similar payoff scenario.
“The $35 Puts for Jan 2026 traded +10k contract with an IV range of 73.52% to 69.94%, VWAP at 70.75% suggests net selling from the street… potentially Cash Secured put selling flows (for traders who missed the rally),” Magadini said in a note shared with CoinDesk.
Saxo Bank’s analyst suggested cash-secured put selling as the preferred strategy in Nvidia early this year.
Calls are pricier than puts
Overall, IBIT call options, which offer an asymmetric upside to buyers, continue to trade pricer than puts.
As of Friday, call-put skews, with maturities ranging from five to 126 days, were positive, signaling relative richness of implied volatility for calls. The bullish sentiment is consistent with the pricing in options tied to bitcoin and trading on Deribit.
On Friday, IBIT recorded a net inflow of $393 million, representing the majority of the total inflow of $428.9 million across the 11 spot ETFs listed in the U.S, according to data tracked by Farside Investors.
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Bitcoin
Why High Net-Worth Investors Are Super Bullish on Bitcoin Right Now
Published
9 hours agoon
January 12, 2025By
adminAs bitcoin (BTC) wobbles around the $90,000-$95,000 area, down more than 10% from its all-time high touched a bit less than four weeks ago, a contrast is growing between traders — whose technical analysis tools show the top cryptocurrency may be due for another plunge — and long-term investors who believe the bull run is nowhere near done.
That’s according to David Siemer, CEO of Wave Digital Assets, a firm that provides asset management services to funds and high net-worth individuals in the crypto space. The company counts Charles Hoskinson, the CEO of the firm behind Cardano, as one of its clients.
“In 14 years of owning bitcoin, I’ve never seen a dichotomy like this,” Siemer told CoinDesk in an interview. “The traders are all worried and nervous and hedged, fully neutral or worse. And the long-term people are all super bullish.”
“There’s a really good chance we’ll go to $200,000 [per bitcoin] this year,” Siemer said. “Do I think we’ll see $1 million dollars per coin in my lifetime? Sure. Not soon, you know, not in the next year. … The smart, more connected people that I know are also really bullish. More is going to happen in the next six months than most people realize.”
Top of the list of developments for the year to come is that numerous jurisdictions — including the U.S., Russia, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, South Korea, Japan, the Philippines and some European nations — are looking to take big steps in crypto’s favor, according to Siemer. (Wave runs crypto educational programs for various branches of the U.S. government, like the Internal Revenue Service or U.S. Marshals Service, as well as other executive bodies across the globe; in fact, government practices is the firm’s fastest growing business.)
These steps, whichever form they take, will likely have positive knock-on effects on some of these countries’ private sectors, Siemer said. “[Japan or Singapore], those are societies where they actually trust and rely on their governments. If their government says it’s okay, it’s actually really okay. It’s different from the U.S. where we think our guys are idiots.”
What is spurring such sudden interest in the crypto industry? The tremendous success of the U.S. spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), for one, is forcing financial institutions worldwide to think of ways to compete. That means spinning up exotic new products, like multi-token yield funds, to make up for the liquidity that was sucked away by BlackRock’s IBIT.
“The ETFs launched in America and they absolutely devastated all the bitcoin ETPs around the world,” Siemer said. “All of them had these terrible products, charging 1.5%. All of those guys got crushed.” Regulators, for their part, will tend to be supportive, Siemer said. For example, the European Union could end up producing a friendlier version of the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA).
The chances of seeing new strategic bitcoin reserves is also high, Siemer said. “Even if the U.S. doesn’t do a reserve, at least several other countries probably will,” he added. Not that he’s bearish on prospects in the U.S. Wave, he said, is currently in talks with seven different states that are considering the matter of creating a reserve, Texas, Ohio and Wyoming among them.
What about the federal government? Siemer put the odds at slightly better than 50-50, in part thanks to the nearly $19 billion worth of bitcoin it already owns.
“That’s a decent start on a bitcoin reserve,” Siemer said. “All they have to do is not sell it. It’s a lot more palatable to the tax base than buying, you know, $10 billion worth of bitcoin.”
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Altcoins
$7,000 Ethereum In Sight? Expert Breaks Down The Potential Path
Published
13 hours agoon
January 11, 2025By
adminThere is a reason for Ethereum fans to be optimistic, as expert analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency is going to touch the skies in the coming months. As Bitcoin has just crossed $94,000, Ethereum also shows signs of life and bounces back from its recent low and hints at the possibility of price explosion.
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A Quick Look At The Patterns
Well-known crypto analyst Ali Martinez has found a bullish reversal pattern that can potentially take the price of Ethereum into much higher value. Trading at $3,281 at the moment, Ethereum has slipped below the middle line of its rising channel and has traders spooked.
But Martinez is one who thinks if Ethereum could just retest the lower boundary at $2,800 and rebound, it will likely launch into a bullish trend. This rebound may eventually set the stage for Ethereum to reach between $6,000 and $7,000.
If #Ethereum $ETH is following an ascending parallel channel, a dip to the lower boundary at $2,800 could act as a launchpad for a move toward $6,000. pic.twitter.com/uYP6BW3DZh
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 10, 2025
Market Sentiment & Challenges
Even though these are all good signs, the mood in the futures market right now is not clear. Open interest in Ethereum has gone down by 1.25%, which shows that some buyers are becoming more cautious.
The long-to-short number is still less than 1, which means that traders are betting against Ethereum instead of for it. Also, funding rates have gone down a lot, which shows that people are less interested in taking leveraged long bets.
Although short-term sentiment may be negative, long-term holders may see attractive entry points at current prices. Due to their inherent volatility, cryptocurrencies require constant vigilance and awareness of market trends.
Key Resistance Levels
All eyes will be on Ethereum’s performance and whether it can overcome important resistance thresholds as we advance into 2025. Several elements determine whether one may achieve $6,000 or even $7,000: market conditions, investor mood, and more general economic impact.
At the time of writing, Ether was trading at $3,274, down 0.9% and 9.9% in the daily and weekly timeframes, data from Coingecko shows.
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Ether Price Forecast
Ether (ETH) is likely to start an ascent in the next seven days; its present price sits 56% below the projected value for next month. This recovery can draw more trading activity and fits the optimistic trends in the market.
Ether is expected to rise by a solid 93% in six months and 94% in three months, according to predictions by CoinCheckup. Though market volatility still has great importance to take into account, a one-year forecast reveals an impressive 180% increase, demonstrating great development potential.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
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24/7 Cryptocurrency News
US Bitcoin ETF Ends Week With $149.4M Outflow, Will It Impact BTC Rally?
Published
1 day agoon
January 11, 2025By
adminSpot Bitcoin ETFs, a year after their approval, remain the talking point of the town. However, the outflow recorded on the last day of this week is causing worry. That marked the second outflow day with BlackRock’s IBIT leading the pack with a massive amount of outbound movement.
US Bitcoin ETF Records Outflow
This week ends with an outflow from US Bitcoin ETF according to a report by Farside Investors. The total outward movement stands at $149.4 million with BlackRock’s IBIT leading the pack. The issuer of the US Crypto ETF noted $183.6 million worth of outflows to its name followed by Bitwise’s BITB at $1.6 million.
Several issuers didn’t report their numbers but others did show positive sentiments. This includes Fidelity’s FBTC, Ark’s ARKB, and Grayscale’s GBTC. Their flows were $16.6 million, $5.7 million, and $13.5 million, applicable in the same order. It remains to be seen if interest in Spot Bitcoin ETFs will change in the coming days, or maintain a similar momentum till Donald Trump takes the US Presidential office.
Effect on BTC Price
The significant outflows from the US Bitcoin ETF have had little impact on the BTC price today. The flagship cryptocurrency has been down slightly by 0.18% in the last 24 hours but has traded in green for most of the hours. The price has also been down by 4.03% and 6.40% in the last 7 days and 1 month, respectively, potentially demonstrating a correction after it achieved the milestone of $100,000. The market cap of Bitcoin tokens has plunged by 0.26% and the 24-hour trading volume has taken a hit of 10.13%. Open Interest is down by 0.95% amid the volatility of approximately 3.62%.
A few factors show that the BTC rally will eventually get back to mark upticks. Dips in the prices of Bitcoin tokens are being looked at as a chance to accumulate more BTC at a discounted price. Another factor includes the nomination of Paul Atkins as the SEC Chair to replace Gary Gensler who is preparing to step down when Donald Trump assumes the office.
Besides, the latest US job data also appears to have encouraged investments which would fuel a rally for Bitcoin and altcoins in the coming days. What’s still a concern is the size of the rate cut which is anticipated to be 25 bps in the next FOMC.
What’s Happening to Spot Ether ETF?
Amid the Bitcoin ETF outflux, it is worth noting that the sentiment of outward movement is mutually shared with Spot Ether ETF except, it’s Fidelity’s FBTC leading the chart. The issuer recorded an outflow worth $65.4 million on January 10, 2025, as no data from BlackRock made its way to the surface. The only other issuer that reported its number was Bitwise’s ETHW which was $3.1 million.
Total outflows stood at $68.5 million taking the historical cumulative inflow to $2,456.3 million. Spot Ether ETFs, too, marked the second day of outflows after January 08, 2025, when the negative flow was $159.4 million.
Coingape Staff
CoinGape comprises an experienced team of native content writers and editors working round the clock to cover news globally and present news as a fact rather than an opinion. CoinGape writers and reporters contributed to this article.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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