Bitcoin
David Bailey Forecasts $1M Bitcoin Price During Trump Presidency
In an in-depth discussion on the Hell Money Podcast, David Bailey, CEO of BTC Inc., shared insights into Bitcoin’s transformative potential, its geopolitical implications, and its role as a cornerstone of a new global economic framework.
“I see this happening so much faster than anyone can appreciate. Within 10 years, Bitcoin will become the reserve asset of the world.”
- 00:00 Intro
- 07:15 Bitcoin soft forks
- 11:00 Bitcoin vs. Crypto in US policy
- 19:20 How much political power does Bitcoin have?
- 23:50 Bitcoiners are politically homeless
- 26:20 Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
- 29:00 Bitcoin development and ossification
- 32:00 Separation of money and state
- 33:40 Raise your time preference
- 35:20 SBR as a way out of USD global reserve status
- 41:00 Will they eventually fight us?
- 43:00 Incentives as a political movement
- 46:30 What happens next?
- 49:15 Bitcoin Vegas & Inscribing Vegas 2025
The Political and Economic Power of Bitcoin
Bitcoin has evolved into a significant political and financial instrument. Its decentralized nature, immutable ledger, and finite supply make it an attractive alternative to traditional fiat currencies, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty. Bailey emphasizes that Bitcoin is no longer merely a speculative asset but has become a political force capable of influencing policy and elections.
“Within the next four years, Bitcoin will be the most widely held asset in the world. This isn’t a special one-off moment—it’s the changing of the guard of the world order.”
As Bitcoin gains adoption among individual investors, corporations, and governments, its ability to sway decisions in both the public and private sectors continues to grow. This makes Bitcoin a strategic tool for economic stability and a hedge against systemic risks such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability. Understanding this evolution is crucial for investors looking to align their strategies with Bitcoin’s increasing influence in global finance.
Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: A Game-Changer for Economies
Bailey highlights the concept of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) as a key driver in Bitcoin’s path to becoming a global reserve asset. If a major economy, such as the United States, were to adopt an SBR, it could trigger a domino effect, with other nations racing to establish their own reserves. This global competition could significantly accelerate Bitcoin’s transition from a speculative asset to a fundamental part of national and international financial strategies.
“If America gets an SBR, China gets an SBR. If America and China have an SBR, within 12 months every country on the planet will have an SBR. The game theory effects of us kicking this off, in my opinion, are like the biggest catalyst possible for hyperbitcoinization.”
An SBR offers governments the ability to hedge against inflation, protect their economies from devaluation, and diversify their reserves. Unlike gold, Bitcoin is easily transferable, highly divisible, and operates transparently on a decentralized network. For investors, national adoption of Bitcoin reserves signals long-term stability and growth potential, reinforcing the case for allocating a portion of portfolios to Bitcoin and related assets.
Orange-Pilling Trump: A Strategic Advocacy Moment
One of the most intriguing aspects of David Bailey’s efforts in advancing Bitcoin’s adoption was his strategic engagement with former President Donald Trump. Bailey discussed how Bitcoin advocates pitched Bitcoin to Trump as more than just a digital currency, emphasizing its economic and political advantages. By framing Bitcoin as a tool for strengthening American competitiveness and financial independence, Bailey and his team successfully captured Trump’s interest.
“We are within a couple of years of being the most powerful political faction in the United States. And not just the United States—there are bitcoiners embedded in power structures across the planet.”
Bailey’s team leveraged Bitcoin mining as a key entry point in their discussions, highlighting the economic benefits of Bitcoin mining operations in the United States, such as job creation and energy innovation. This approach aligned Bitcoin with Trump’s “America First” policies, presenting it as a way to bolster the nation’s energy independence and economic strength. These discussions laid the groundwork for a broader understanding of Bitcoin’s strategic value at the highest levels of government.
Governance and Innovation in Bitcoin
While Bitcoin’s decentralized nature is its greatest strength, it also presents challenges in governance and technological adaptability. Bailey underscores the importance of continuous innovation, particularly through mechanisms like soft forks, to ensure that Bitcoin remains scalable, secure, and competitive. Without these updates, the risk of ossification—where the network becomes resistant to necessary changes—could hinder Bitcoin’s evolution.
“Bitcoin gives governments a really elegant way out of the money-printing trap. They can print money, buy Bitcoin, and as the price of Bitcoin goes up, they’re still solvent. Later, they can peg their currency to Bitcoin.”
The Bitcoin community must navigate these governance complexities with a focus on collaboration and forward-looking solutions.
Hyperbitcoinization and the $1 Million Price Target
Bailey predicts that Bitcoin could reach a value of $1 million per coin within the next four years, driven by its growing adoption and the systemic challenges faced by traditional financial systems. This projection signifies more than just a price milestone—it represents a fundamental shift in the global economic order. Hyperbitcoinization, as Bailey describes it, involves Bitcoin becoming the default reserve currency, complementing or even replacing traditional fiat currencies.
“When we get to a million bucks, which I think can happen over the next four years—in my personal opinion, I think it’s possible—the Federal Reserve is, like, going to be completely impotent.”
This transition would have profound implications. Bitcoin’s decentralized nature would democratize access to financial systems, reduce reliance on central authorities, and promote greater economic inclusion. For investors, the journey toward hyperbitcoinization offers unparalleled opportunities as Bitcoin’s dual role as a store of value and medium of exchange becomes increasingly evident.
Related: Eric Trump Confident Bitcoin Price Will Hit $1 Million
Interview Key Takeaways
- Political Leverage: Bitcoin’s influence on policymaking and elections underscores its role as a hedge against political and economic risks.
- National Adoption Trends: The adoption of SBRs by major economies could catalyze global Bitcoin adoption, creating a favorable environment for long-term investment.
- Technological Resilience: Continuous innovation, including scalability solutions like the Lightning Network, is essential for sustaining Bitcoin’s growth and usability.
- Portfolio Diversification: Bitcoin’s uncorrelated performance relative to traditional assets makes it an attractive addition to diversified investment strategies.
- Economic Stability: In an era of rising inflation and monetary instability, Bitcoin provides a transparent, secure, and decentralized alternative to fiat currencies.
The Future of Bitcoin in the Global Economy
David Bailey’s insights provide a compelling vision of Bitcoin’s transformative potential, offering investors a clear opportunity to align their strategies with a rapidly evolving financial landscape. By understanding and leveraging Bitcoin’s role in fostering economic resilience and innovation, investors can position themselves to benefit from its adoption as a global reserve asset and a tool for long-term portfolio growth. As the world confronts challenges such as inflation, currency instability, and geopolitical uncertainty, Bitcoin emerges as a beacon of financial stability and innovation. For investors, the implications of Bitcoin’s growth extend far beyond speculative returns—it represents a strategic opportunity to participate in the evolution of the global financial system.
“It’s like, well, once that happens, then it’s not $1 million or $10 million. It’s like, it is the reserve asset of the world.”
In the coming decade, Bitcoin’s role as a stabilizing force and driver of innovation will become increasingly evident. Its seamless integration into national and corporate strategies, combined with its adaptability, positions Bitcoin as a cornerstone of future financial systems. Bailey’s vision challenges investors to consider the profound implications of a decentralized monetary system that prioritizes transparency, inclusion, and resilience.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
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Bitcoin
Crypto Pundit Makes Case For Bitcoin Price At $260,000, But This Invalidation Level Threatens The Rally
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A prominent crypto pundit has outlined a compelling case for the Bitcoin price outlook, predicting a surge to a target as high as $260,000 this bull cycle. However, a critical invalidation level stands in the way of this bullish scenario, threatening Bitcoin’s projected rally if breached.
On March 26, Gert van Lagen, a well-known crypto analyst on the X social media platform, predicted that the Bitcoin price could hit a bullish target between $200,000 and $300,000. The analyst’s chart suggests that Bitcoin’s price action in the past few years has closely followed a classic market cycle structure, moving through the Accumulation, Redistribution, Re-accumulation, and Distribution phases.
Bitcoin Price Eyes New ATH Above $260,000
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After consolidating for seven months in mid-2023 – early 2024, Bitcoin formed a range, allowing the market to absorb supply before another price breakout. Notably, this trend continued in 2025, with BTC breaking out of a seven-month re-accumulation phase.
Based on the trajectory of Lagen’s price chart, Bitcoin’s next leg up is a sharp rise to $240,000, followed by a brief correction before rallying to a price peak between $290,000 and $300,000. After hitting this ATH, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin will decline and undergo a period of choppy trading, experiencing price fluctuations between $220,000 and $260,000.
Interestingly, Bitcoin’s projected rise to an ATH and the following sideways trading are expected to occur during its distribution phase, which is typically characterized by increased sell-offs and market volatility. Once BTC experiences a final surge to $260,000, Lagen predicts a price crash toward $148,000 – $136,000, marking the possible end of the bull rally and the start of the bear market.
Key Invalidation Level Threatening BTC’s Rally
Lagen’s optimistic price forecast for Bitcoin is being threatened by a key invalidation level, which could halt the cryptocurrency’s potential surge to $200,000 – $300,000. Although Bitcoin’s bullish structure remains intact, the analyst warns that a weekly close below the 40-week LSMA would invalidate its breakout.
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As of writing, the Bitcoin price is consolidating above this key invalidation level at $73,900. As long as it holds above this level, Lagen believes that its bullish trajectory will be sustained. However, a drop below $73,900, which already represents a 15% decline from BTC’s current market price, could postpone the projected surge or cancel it altogether.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
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As the risk of tariff-related uncertainty persists into the second quarter, the crypto market could face another dip following the recent correction in March, analysts at Nansen say.
As the industry heads into April, Bitcoin (BTC) and the wider crypto market could be staring down another dip as uncertainty surrounding tariffs and U.S. trade policy might cause further volatility.
According to Nansen’s analysts, there’s a chance that the market may face another correction in the weeks after April 2. In fact, the researchers believe there’s a 70% likelihood that another price dip will occur after this date.
President Donald Trump had earlier promised to roll out new tariffs on April 2, calling it a key moment for the economy just weeks after the last round shook up markets and sparked recession worries.
In a recent interview with crypto.news, Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at Nansen, shared her outlook on the market, stating that after a brief correction following April 2, she expects the market to stabilize and pave the way for future growth.
“In my main scenario, 70% subjective likelihood, I expect another leg down in crypto prices after April 2 after we reached a local bottom in mid-March. After this second correction, I expect we will be bottoming for the rest of the year (continuation of the bull market and revisit of the ATHs for BTC).”
Aurelie Barthere
However, it’s not all doom and gloom for the crypto market. While another dip isn’t ruled out, Barthere suggests that after that correction, Bitcoin could rebound, benefiting from a supportive macro environment, including the growing adoption of crypto in the U.S. and a lack of recession signals. Still, Barthere remains cautious as for the remaining 30% “it would be if we have already bottomed or if this is just a dead cat bounce for U.S. equities and crypto,” she said.
“For the remaining 30%: it would be if we have already bottomed or if this is just a dead cat bounce for U.S. equities and crypto (in case of a recession, which is not my base case, I think the U.S. is just slowing from 3% to 1.5-2% growth).”
Aurelie Barthere
Uncertainty may last well into Q2
The tariff situation has been a significant driver of market volatility, with the U.S. policy uncertainty index reaching new highs. Trade discussions have become a key source of investor anxiety, but Nansen believes that uncertainty could peak soon.
As Treasury Secretary Bessent recently noted, many of the U.S. trading partners are already negotiating to lower their own trade barriers, which has helped to calm some fears. Even Trump recently hinted at potential tariff “exemptions” in certain circumstances. But as Barthere pointed out, while these talks may result in long-term growth benefits for the U.S., the lingering uncertainty may last well into Q2.
“Right now, I think that we are experiencing corrections within a crypto bull market. Why I see this as a bull market still: 1) Ongoing progress on crypto regulation and crypto institutionalization in the U.S., and 2) U.S. real growth has slowed but is not flashing ‘recession.’ Of course, this is my only main scenario, and I will continue to watch data and markets for signs that this is the correct reading.”
Aurelie Barthere
As Barthere put it, there’s a “50/50 chance that we’ve passed the peak of trade policy uncertainty,” adding that the true impact of these tariff negotiations might not be fully clear until mid-year. “We still see this peak uncertainty as more likely between April and June, especially with the start of U.S. tax cut package discussions,” she wrote in the research report.
The uncertainty, according to Nansen’s research, could trigger another short-term correction in both Bitcoin and U.S. equities.
No evidence of recession
Still, there’s reason for optimism. The report mentions that technicals are showing encouraging signs. “The dip is being bought, for BTC and for U.S. equities,” Barthere says, adding that spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a “seven-day streak of net inflows, a first since crypto prices peaked.”
One way or the other, it’s clear that the market remains cautious. A lot of people are questioning whether the crypto bull run is still going strong or if we’re getting close to a peak. If history is any indication, times of economic uncertainty have often lined up with market downturns, making investors even more cautious.
After market sentiment hit extreme fear last week, with some investment banks raising the U.S. recession probability to 40% this year, hard economic data has eased these concerns. The latest U.S. March flash PMI report shows a 53.5 score, the highest in three months, suggesting a 1.9% annual growth rate. However, the growth for the whole quarter is lower at 1.5% due to weaker data in January and February.
Barthere emphasized that so far, there’s no hard evidence of a recession as “most of the data weakness has been in sentiment indicators, while hard economic data has held up.” She added that “there is no evidence of recession at this stage, so no evidence that we have transitioned to a bear market.”
While the coming months may bring more ups and downs, Nansen’s report suggests that the overall bull market is still in play. As Barthere puts it, the market is “likely to see a correction, but then we’ll bottom out for the rest of the year and head towards new highs.”
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This week, GameStop quietly updated its investment policy to include Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset. With approximately $4.78 billion in cash—nearly 37% of its $12.9 billion market cap—this move marks more than just a diversification of reserves.
JUST IN: @GameStop updates its investment policy to add #Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset.
The company holds ~40% of its $11B market cap in cash reserves—that’s $4.62 BILLION of capital looking for a new home. pic.twitter.com/o62rrdwpKo
— Bitcoin For Corporations (@BitcoinForCorps) March 25, 2025
It’s a signal that corporate treasury strategy is evolving. That excess cash on the balance sheet can—and perhaps should—be more than idle. And that new asset classes are gaining legitimacy in the boardroom, not just on message boards. GameStop’s move may not be typical. But it is highly strategic—and increasingly relevant for CFOs evaluating how to preserve capital and unlock value in a shifting macro landscape. For companies with material cash holdings, the erosion of purchasing power is no longer theoretical—it’s measurable. Over the past decade, the U.S. dollar has declined in real terms by more than 25%, driven by inflation, expansionary monetary policy, and global fiscal uncertainty. Bitcoin presents a compelling counterweight to this degradation, particularly for balance sheets with the flexibility to tolerate mark-to-market volatility in pursuit of long-term strategic payoff. Consider its defining characteristics: For CFOs thinking in 3-, 5-, or 10-year increments, the case for allocating even a small portion of excess cash to Bitcoin is no longer fringe—it’s prudent exploration. Until recently, many finance teams ruled out Bitcoin simply due to unfavorable accounting treatment. Under legacy GAAP standards, Bitcoin had to be impaired when its price dropped, but could not be revalued when it recovered—an asymmetric model that distorted true economic value and discouraged adoption. In late 2024, that barrier was removed. The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) approved new rules that now allow companies to measure Bitcoin at fair market value. Beginning in 2025, companies can: This change addresses one of the most common objections from CFOs and audit committees alike. It brings Bitcoin into compliance with modern reporting standards—making it viable not just for speculation, but for responsible treasury management. Every company has a unique capital structure, investor base, and operational profile. GameStop’s decision to allocate to Bitcoin wasn’t just bold—it was structurally appropriate. This doesn’t mean Bitcoin is a fit for every public company. But for those with excess reserves and a forward-looking treasury mindset, it deserves serious consideration. GameStop’s move is part of a broader rethinking of the traditional treasury reserve model. For decades, companies stored value in cash, short-term bonds, and dollar-denominated equivalents. But in today’s environment, those instruments may preserve nominal value while degrading purchasing power. Bitcoin introduces an alternative—and the macro backdrop is increasingly supportive. These tailwinds create space for CFOs to begin allocating conservatively—without needing to commit to a radical overhaul of reserve strategy. GameStop’s move didn’t come with a flashy press conference or social media fanfare. It came through a formal policy update—exactly how strategic treasury decisions are typically made. The signal it sends is simple but important: “We believe excess capital should be protected—and positioned for asymmetric upside.” Bitcoin is not a cure-all. But it is now, for the first time, auditable, liquid, and institutionally viable. For CFOs with flexibility and foresight, exploring Bitcoin is no longer about being first—it’s about preparing for what’s next. Disclaimer: This content was written on behalf of Bitcoin For Corporations. This article is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as an invitation or solicitation to acquire, purchase, or subscribe for securities. Arthur Hayes, Murad’s Prediction For Meme Coins, AI & DeFi Coins For 2025 Expert Sees Bitcoin Dipping To $50K While Bullish Signs Persist Aptos Leverages Chainlink To Enhance Scalability and Data Access Bitcoin Could Rally to $80,000 on the Eve of US Elections Sonic Now ‘Golden Standard’ of Layer-2s After Scaling Transactions to 16,000+ per Second, Says Andre Cronje Institutional Investors Go All In on Crypto as 57% Plan to Boost Allocations as Bull Run Heats Up, Sygnum Survey Reveals Crypto’s Big Trump Gamble Is Risky Ripple-SEC Case Ends, But These 3 Rivals Could Jump 500xWhy Bitcoin—and Why Now?
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Crypto Pundit Makes Case For Bitcoin Price At $260,000, But This Invalidation Level Threatens The Rally
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