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Bitcoin’s Risk Factor Remains High, Crypto Analyst Notes

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A crypto analyst believes that Bitcoin remains a very risk-on asset that is linked to the shifts in the macroeconomic landscape.

Emily Nicolle, a crypto reporter for Bloomberg, gave her take on Bitcoin as the firstborn cryptocurrency plunged 13% and entered bear territory. This might have been due to macroeconomic uncertainty and political factors.

‘Very Risk-On Asset’

Nicolle said in a Bloomberg TV interview that the current movement in Bitcoin is highly correlated with the changes in the macroeconomic landscape, adding that anything that happens on Wall Street could affect the cryptocurrency.

The crypto reporter explained that investors can never discount the impact of the macroenvironment on Bitcoin, saying, “Everything that’s happening to stocks that knocks on crypto too.”

Nicolle described Bitcoin as “very risk-on assets.” “So, when there’s turmoil happening in the S&P 500, you’re going to see that in Bitcoin as well. And so that is definitely catapulting this,” she added.

The analyst added that aside from the macroeconomic environment, the cryptocurrency sector went through a rough period. “We’ve had a 1. 5 billion hack last week. We’ve had some turmoil in terms of what’s going on in politics as well,” she continued.

Only a little over a week ago, the cryptocurrency faced a setback after a North Korean-based hacker group stole an estimated $1.5 billion worth of crypto from Bybit, which could be the largest cryptocurrency hacking in history.

“In terms of what people are expecting to see going forward, it’s still very much up in the air as to how Bitcoin could perform even in, even today,” Nicolle said in the interview.

Political Uncertainty

Nicolle also noted that political uncertainty is another factor driving Bitcoin into bearish territory. United States President Donald Trump vowed to establish clearer regulations on cryptocurrency, but these have not been met.

“Some of the things that Trump promised to do on the campaign trail have not yet come to force and those are the kind of catalysts that we’re looking to as potential upsides for Bitcoin in the weeks ahead, things like a strategic Bitcoin reserve,” she explained.

The crypto analyst pointed out that the macroenvironment is weighing very heavily on Bitcoin’s potential. “If we don’t get any movement on that, if things don’t start to look up elsewhere, Bitcoin will continue to be down,” she predicted.

Closely Watching The $70k Mark

Nicolle said that crypto traders are closely watching the $70,000 mark, which is the crucial psychological and technical support zone.

“We’re all looking at about the $70,000 mark at the minute. So, if it does continue to go down, which is kind of to be expected in the current environment, then that is the next point at which we’re going to be starting to think. That is where a lot of the risk is happening,” she explained.

The analyst described Bitcoin as the “tide that lifts all boats” so when it goes up, other cryptocurrencies also go up too. “But those smaller cryptocurrencies are hit harder when there’s tumult in markets. They are just much more volatile by comparison,” she added.

Featured image from FairPlanet, chart from TradingView



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Bitcoin Price Holds Steady, But Futures Sentiment Signals Caution

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According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, while Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a steady rise in price from November 2024 to February 2025, sentiment in the cryptocurrency’s futures market has not shown a corresponding uptick.

Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index Signals Caution

Bitcoin’s price surged from approximately $74,000 in November 2024 to a peak of $101,000 by early February 2025. However, following US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, risk-on assets – including BTC -have experienced a significant pullback.

After hitting a potential local bottom of $74,508 earlier this month on April 6, the apex cryptocurrency has recovered some of its recent losses. The top digital asset is trading in the mid $80,000 range at the time of writing.

Despite this recovery, BTC’s futures sentiment has continued to decline since February. Even as the price holds near local highs, sentiment in the futures market has notably cooled.

CryptoQuant contributor abramchart highlighted this divergence, noting that it could indicate increasing caution or profit-taking behavior despite the ongoing bullish trend. The analyst commented:

This indicates a cooling interest or increased fear in the futures market, possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainty, regulatory concerns, or expected corrections.

A look at the BTC futures sentiment index shows a resistance zone around 0.8 and a support level near 0.2. The index is currently hovering around 0.4, pointing to a predominantly bearish sentiment across futures markets.

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The BTC Futures Sentiment Index currently hovers around 0.4 | Source: CryptoQuant

Similarly, Bitcoin’s average price has steadily declined from its early 2025 highs. It is now ranging between $70,000 and $80,000, signalling possible market indecision amid heightened tariff tensions.

According to abramchart, if futures sentiment remains low, BTC could face extended price consolidation or even downward pressure in the near term. However, any emerging bullish catalyst could quickly shift the sentiment and renew upward momentum.

Is BTC Close To A Momentum Shift?

Some analysts believe Bitcoin may be nearing a breakout. After consolidating in the mid-$80,000s for several weeks, on-chain metrics suggest BTC may be undervalued at current levels. Indicators such as BTC exchange reserves and the Stablecoin Supply Ratio support this view.

In addition, momentum indicators like Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index have begun to break out of a long-standing downward trendline – raising hopes for a potential bullish rally back toward $100,000.

However, several risks still remain. The recent appearance of a ‘death cross’ on BTC’s price chart – combined with persistent macroeconomic concerns related to trade tariffs – could still weigh heavily on market sentiment. At press time, BTC trades at $83,917, down 1.8% over the past 24 hours.

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BTC trades at $83,917 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com



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Panama City Approves Bitcoin And Crypto Payments For Taxes, Fees, And Permits

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In yet another milestone for Bitcoin adoption in Latin America, the Panama City Council has voted to approve the acceptance of Bitcoin and other digital currencies for municipal services, making it the first public institution in the country to do so.

The news was announced by Panama City Mayor Mayer Mizrachi on X (formerly Twitter), who stated:

“Panama City council has just voted in favor of becoming the first public institution of government to accept payments in Crypto. Citizens will now be able to pay taxes, fees, tickets and permits entirely in crypto starting with BTC, ETH, USDC, USDT.”

This decision sets Panama City on a more progressive path, enabling residents to interact with their local government using Bitcoin for everyday transactions. Mizrachi also explained how this was achieved without the need for new legislation, a hurdle that had stalled previous efforts.

“Prior administrations tried to push a bill in the senate to make this possible, but we found a simple way to do it without new legislation. Legally, public institutions must receive funds in $, so we partner with a bank who will take care of the transaction—receiving in crypto and convert on spot to $. This allows for the free flow of crypto in the entire economy and entire government.”

The Panama City Mayor’s Office further confirmed the news on its official social media channels, saying:

“We will soon become the first public institution in the country to allow payment for municipal services in cryptocurrency, through an authorized bank that will be responsible for converting the proceeds into dollars for the Mayor’s Office.”