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One Indicator Could Soon Signal New Bitcoin Breakout, According to Crypto Analyst

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A closely followed crypto analyst says that Bitcoin (BTC) may suddenly turn bullish based on one key indicator.

In a new post, crypto trader Rekt Capital tells his 542,500 followers on the social media platform X that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) – a momentum indicator used to indicate overbought or oversold levels – may soon break out of a downtrend, signaling bullishness for Bitcoin.

“Going forward, it will be worth watching this daily RSI downtrend for a breakout in the future. This downtrend has been a resistance on the RSI since November 2024. An RSI downtrend break would likely precede a trend reversal to the upside in price.”

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Source: Rekt Capital/X

In a strategy session, the analyst tells his 107,000 YouTube subscribers that the RSI has bounced off the oversold level in the 20s range, which historically has led to a price reversal for Bitcoin.

“We’ve dropped into a zone of overselling, so below the 30 RSI, that’s typically where we see sellers get a little bit too enthusiastic. People are selling too much, and the sellers are slowly getting exhausted. They are overselling, which means that it’s easier for buyers to step into the market and start buying up prices, and they don’t even need to buy up on high volume.

And it’s already pressing prices up quite nicely towards the upside without much effort. And that’s exactly what happens when sellers are exhausted. And we’ve seen these oversold regions on quite a few occasions across this cycle. And each time we got here on that first crash, we were very close to a bottom, or we were at a bottom already, and we’d see price reverse towards the upside.”

Source: Rekt Capital/YouTube

The analyst also says that Bitcoin’s retracement from the all-time high is not out of the ordinary based on historical precedence.

“This current pullback (-29%) is one of the deeper retraces in the cycle but it’s not extraordinary. After all, we’ve seen a deeper retrace in the immediate post-halving period (-32%). Not only that, but we’ve seen deeper pullbacks in previous cycles.

Major 2021 corrections: -31%, -55%, -25%.

Major 2017 corrections: -34%, -34%, -38%, -40%, -29%.”

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Source: Rekt Capital/X

Bitcoin is trading for $83,112 at time of writing, flat on the day.

 

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Bitcoin race intensifies as leaders address reserve urgency

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On March 20, investor and entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano stated on Fox News, “There’s a global race going on–Russia, Abu Dhabi, El Salvador, Bhutan–all these other countries are trying to buy Bitcoin… the same way that there was a space race there’s now a Bitcoin race.”

The idea of a Bitcoin “race” is now a reality as world leaders actively discuss the urgency of either establishing digital asset reserves or embracing cryptocurrency as legal tender.

El Salvador, in 2021, became the first country to make Bitcoin legal tender, purchasing over 2,000 Bitcoin as part of a national reserve to foster financial inclusion and economic growth. The move has been both celebrated and criticized due to Bitcoin’s volatility. Similarly, in 2022, the Central African Republic became the second country to adopt Bitcoin, viewing the cryptocurrency as a tool to improve economic development and financial inclusion in one of the world’s least developed nations.

Both countries’ actions reflect growing interest in Bitcoin as an alternative financial strategy. It’s hard-capped at 21 million, and in 10 years, most of it will be mined.

The theory is that the countries considering Bitcoin a valuable reserve asset will strive to establish as much ownership of the total BTC supply as possible. 

Proponents believe scarcity and growing demand will drive Bitcoin’s value, making large BTC holders influential.

What Saylor says…

One of the most prominent Bitcoin evangelists, Michael Saylor, said that 78% of the U.S. was bought for $40 million at some point. The former CEO of MicroStrategy referred to various land acquisitions, such as the Louisiana Purchase of 1803 to illustrate why the U.S. government should buy Bitcoin now when it’s “cheap.”

In a recent speech, Saylor called the next decade “a digital gold rush” and compared Bitcoin to the Manhattan Project, dubbing it “digital energy.”

“Today, Bitcoin represents the digital capital network, controlling 99% of power within the cryptocurrency ecosystem,” he said. “The U.S. government recognizes only Bitcoin as legitimate digital capital. To secure the future of cyberspace and maintain global financial dominance, America must adopt Bitcoin strategically. Only Bitcoin—and U.S. Treasuries—have the liquidity and global trust required to serve as reliable reserve assets worldwide.” 

No wonder Saylor has been vocally supportive of government officials pushing to increase the U.S.’s BTC stockpile.

President Donald Trump, Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis, and Bo Hines, the Executive Director of the President’s Council of Advisors on Digital Assets, have all expressed a desire to increase the U.S.’s Bitcoin reserve.

Like Saylor, Pompliano (among the most vocal crypto advocates in the U.S.) considers the Trump administration’s focus on Bitcoin dominance important.

Speaking about the future price of Bitcoin, Pompliano said during a Fox News appearance that he doesn’t know when BTC will hit one million. However, he is seemingly confident that, like gold, its value will increase from where it currently is today.

At last check, Bitcoin is trading at just above $84,000. 

Bitcoin race intensifies as Pompliano, Saylor address urgency for a reserve - 1
Source: CoinGecko

“I think people are drastically underestimating how maniacal they are going to be about buying Bitcoin,” Pompliano said. “Everyone thinks it’s cute that they put 200,000 Bitcoin over here and now we have this reserve — they are going to continue to buy Bitcoin.”

Who participates in the Bitcoin race?

Apart from the U.S., Pompliano named Russia, El Salvador, Bhutan, and the United Arab Emirates. Indeed, all of these countries reportedly have Bitcoin holdings, but not necessarily all of them explicitly expressed their desire to buy more.

It is not quite clear how much crypto Russia holds. However, it is known that Russia has large-scale mining operations while local companies use crypto for international trade and dodging Western sanctions.

Pompliano neglected to mention several leading Bitcoin holders, including China, which is the second biggest BTC owner after the U.S.

The United Kingdom and Ukraine currently follow China, according to BitBo’s Bitcoin Treasuries page.

All these countries have different strategies:

  • North Korea’s hackers steal hundreds of millions of dollars worth of crypto from crypto exchanges.
  • The UK holds crypto, seized while dismantling a high-scale money-laundering operation.
  • Ukraine became a notable Bitcoin holder through donations made after the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in 2022. 
  • The U.S. intends to confiscate Bitcoin and crypto assets from criminal cases. It’s worth noting that many individual states are exploring the creation of local-level reserves.

More than that, some corporations, most notably Strategy (previously MicroStrategy) and asset manager BlackRock, are among the world’s biggest Bitcoin holders, capable of competing with leading nations in terms of Bitcoin dominance. Both firms own or manage around 500,000 Bitcoins (over 2% of the total supply). As of March 2025, no country holds even half that amount. 

Many countries are opting out

European countries have been cautious and innovative in their interactions with blockchain solutions. For instance, Estonia is one of the world’s pioneers in adopting blockchain for elections and healthcare data management. However, the EU countries take a conservative stance when it comes to crypto reserves. High volatility and low liquidity are the main reasons for rejecting Bitcoin’s reserve establishment. 

Similar reasons are cited by Switzerland, South Korea, Japan, and other countries that seem unbothered by America’s passion for winning in the Bitcoin musical chairs game. Germany went so far to sell thousands of Bitcoin.

Crypto.news asked Genius Group, a company using Bitcoin as a corporate reserve, how they time the market.

“As fundamental believers in the long-term potential of Bitcoin, we don’t try to time the market, but rather buy and hold with the intention of never selling,” a spokesperson responded.

Let’s assume the so-called Bitcoin race exists, as Pompliano described it. If we compare it to space or the Manhattan Project, we must ask ourselves: Were the countries that didn’t have spacecraft or atomic weapons in the 20th century left with nothing?





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Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio Hits New 2025 High — BTC Price At Risk?

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Opeyemi is a proficient writer and enthusiast in the exciting and unique cryptocurrency realm. While the digital asset industry was not his first choice, he has remained absolutely drawn since making a foray into the space over two years. Now, Opeyemi takes pride in creating unique pieces unraveling the complexities of blockchain technology and sharing insights on the latest trends in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Opeyemi savors his attraction to the crypto market, which explains why he spends the better parts of his day looking through different price charts. “Looking” is a rather simple way to describe analyzing and interpreting various price patterns and chart formations. However, it appears that is not Opeyemi’s favorite part – in fact, far from it.

Being able to connect what happens on a price chart to on-chain movements and blockchain activities is what keeps Opeyemi ticking. “This emphasizes the intricacies of blockchain technology and the cryptocurrency market,” he would say. Most importantly, Opeyemi thinks of any market insights as the gospel, while recognizing that he is only a messenger.

When he is not clicking away at his keyboard, Opeyemi is most definitely listening to music, playing games, reading a book, or scrolling through X. He likes to think he is not loyal to a particular genre of music, which can be true on many days. However, the fast-rising Afrobeats genre is a staple in Opeyemi’s Spotify Daily Mix.

Meanwhile, Opeyemi is a voracious reader who enjoys a wide category of books – ranging from science fiction, fantasy, and historical, to even romance. He believes that authors like George R. R. Martin and J. K.
Rowling are the greatest of all time when it comes to putting pen to paper. Opeyemi believes his reading of the Harry Potter series twice is proof of that.

Indeed, Opeyemi enjoys spending most of his time within the four walls of his home. However, he also sometimes finds solace in the company of his friends at a bar, a restaurant, or even on a stroll. In essence, Opeyemi’s ambivert (haha! been searching for an opportunity to use the word to describe myself) nature makes him a social chameleon who is able to quickly adapt to different settings.

Opeyemi recognizes the need to constantly develop oneself in order to stay afloat in a competitive and ever-evolving market like crypto. For this reason, he is always in learning mode, ready to pick up the slightest lesson from every situation. Opeyemi is efficient and likes to deliver all that is required of him in time – he believes that “whatever is worth doing at all is worth doing well.” Hence, you will always find him striving to be better.

Ultimately, Opeyemi is a good writer and an even better person who is trying to shed light on an exciting world phenomenon – cryptocurrency. He goes to bed every day with a smile of satisfaction on his face, knowing that he has done his bit of the holy assignment – spreading the crypto gospel to the rest of the world.



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Net Taker Volume on Binance Hits Yearly High Amid Bitcoin Price Consolidation

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Bitcoin continues to trade just below the $84,000 mark, reflecting a broader slowdown in upward momentum. Despite attempts to reclaim higher levels, the cryptocurrency has remained under the $90,000 mark for over two weeks.

This current range-bound activity comes nearly two months after Bitcoin touched its all-time high in January, indicating a period of uncertainty as traders assess macroeconomic conditions and upcoming Federal Reserve policy decisions.

In the midst of the stagnation from BTC’s price, on-chain data is offering contrasting signals on where the market might be headed next. Analysts have pointed to fluctuations in buying and selling pressure on major exchanges, particularly Binance, as key indicators of short-term market sentiment.

Surge in Binance Net Taker Volume

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost recently highlighted a notable spike in net taker volume on Binance, the world’s largest centralized crypto exchange. According to Darkfost, net taker volume surged by $467 million in a single hour—marking the highest level recorded in 2025 so far.

This metric, which measures the difference between aggressive market buys and sells, is often used to gauge the immediate sentiment of active traders. A positive value indicates stronger buying activity and has historically signaled short-term bullishness.

Bitcoin net taker volume.

Darkfost emphasized that this uptick in taker volume occurred just prior to the recent FOMC meeting, suggesting that some traders may be positioning for favorable policy outcomes.

While the data only reflects an hourly time frame and may not imply long-term directional change, the movement could signal a broader shift in sentiment among active participants, especially given Binance’s influential position in global crypto markets.

Bitcoin Whale Activity Returns as Exchange Ratios Spike

Meanwhile, another CryptoQuant analyst, EgyHash, provided a more cautious interpretation of recent activity. According to his analysis, the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio—defined as the share of total exchange inflows coming from the top 10 largest addresses—has surged to its highest point in over a year.

Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio.

This ratio is closely monitored because spikes often precede increased selling pressure, especially when large holders move funds to exchanges. While not a definitive indicator of immediate liquidation, the rise in whale-driven deposits suggests that some major players may be preparing for reallocation or profit-taking.

Combined with stagnant price action, this metric implies that Bitcoin’s current price level may be approaching a decision point, where the market direction will be determined by the balance between new demand and potential supply from large holders.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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