As the XRP price climbs back above the crucial $2 mark, reflecting a 20% surge over the past week, market analysts are increasingly optimistic about the token’s recovery and potential for setting new all-time highs (ATHs). 

Expert analyst Maelius recently shared insights on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that the current market dynamics support a bullish outlook for the XRP price.

XRP Price Could Target $10 In Conservative Case

Despite the recent price surge, some market participants remain skeptical about XRP’s trajectory. Maelius addressed these concerns, stating, “In a conservative case, I think XRP looks very bullish on higher time frames (HTFs).” 

Historically, XRP has shown a pattern of respecting the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) during bull markets. Recently, the asset touched this EMA and rebounded, reinforcing the belief that it is on a positive trajectory.

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In his social media update, Maelius outlined two scenarios for XRP’s future price movements: a conservative case and a more optimistic base case. In the conservative scenario, Maelius posits that XRP has completed its Wave 3 (W3) of a larger Elliott Wave cycle and is currently finalizing Wave 4. This suggests that XRP could expand into a final Wave 5, targeting $10. 

The expert assigns a 35% probability to this conservative case, highlighting that price and Relative Strength Index (RSI) behaviors indicate a potential base formation around current levels before reaching new highs later in the year.

Maelius’s more optimistic scenario suggests that the top of Wave 3 may not have been reached yet. He points out that the accumulation phase for the XRP price has been longer than in previous cycles, indicating that the market may just be taking more time to develop. 

In this case, the final W5 could extend into the first or second quarter of the next year, with targets ranging from $15 to $20 or higher.

Can Dominance Translate To Price Gains?

In addition to the XRP pprice analysis, Maelius examined the token’s market dominance, which indicates the token’s share within the broader cryptocurrency market. 

The expert noted that while the token’s dominance has been preparing for a final upward move, this does not necessarily correlate with the XRP price reaching new highs. 

The dominance metric, seen in the image below shared by Maelious, suggests that while XRP might underperform relative to other altcoins, it still has the potential for significant price appreciation.

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The 1-week RSI for the token’s dominance is currently in an uptrend and resting on horizontal support. If this support level fails, a diagonal support line could provide the next level of defense. 

Historically, XRP’s dominance has experienced two major impulses during previous cycles, each reaching notable resistance areas. However, Maelius cautions that the growing size of the market makes it increasingly challenging for any single asset to achieve the same peaks as in prior cycles.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Payments-focused XRP’s immediate prospects look bleak, with its price chart flashing a “rising wedge” breakdown.

A rising wedge comprises two converging trendlines that connect higher lows and higher highs. This convergence suggests that upward momentum is weakening. When the price moves below the lower trendline, it signals a shift to a bearish trend.

XRP dived out of its rising wedge pattern during Wednesday’s early Asian hours, suggesting that the attempted recovery from the April 7 lows near $1.60 has likely lost momentum, allowing sellers to regain control.

According to technical analysis theory, analysts should identify the starting point of the rising wedge as the initial support level following the breakdown, which means XRP can now fall back to $1.60. The cryptocurrency has also fallen below the Ichimoku Cloud, a momentum indicator, on the hourly chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook indicated by the rising wedge breakdown.

Tuesday’s high of $2.18 is the level for bulls to beat to invalidate the bearish outlook.

Fifteen days into April, Ripple (XRP) price has endured volaltile swings. Reacting to recent catalysts ranging from RLUSD rollout to wew SEC Chair Paul Atkins’ confirmation—prominent analysts have pegged bold XRP price forecasts between $1.80 and $4.50.

Ripple ( XRP) Predictions for April Diverge Widely as Market Volatility Mounts

In March 2025, Ripple secured a resounding win in its long-running case with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. This positive catalyst prompted many investors, market watchers and prominent cryptocurrency analysts to make audacious price predictions for April 2025. 

However, with the month now at the half-way mark, fresh developments in the US trade war and new crypto-friendly SEC chief Paul Atkin’s finally taking office have pulled XRP in different volatility swings. This examines the biggest XRP price prediction for April 2025 have fared so far. 

1. Changelly $2.12 support forecast still play

According to Changelly, a widely used crypto exchange known for its algorithmic forecasts, XRP is expected to trade between $2.12 and $4.52 this month, citing increasing volume and strong momentum. 

That prediction arrived just days after Ripple price surged 10% in 24 hours to reach $1.99, driven by Bitcoin’s bullish move and a marketwide uptick in sentiment following the Trump administration’s decision to pause tariff hikes on key Chinese imports.

2. RLUSD narrative: Halli Uzzi’s $3 Breakout target remain within touching distance 

Other analysts have echoed similar short-term bullishness. Crypto trader Hali_uzzi noted XRP’s fundamentals are strengthening, particularly due to the rollout of Ripple’s new U.S.-dollar stablecoin, RLUSD, and expanding institutional adoption. 

The trader estimates a range of $2.50 to $3.00 in April, with the potential to climb toward $15 by May if adoption trends persist.

3. Investorie’s conservative outlook signals consolidation around $2.30

Meanwhile, another analyst posting under the Investorie pseudonym issued a more measured view, forecasting an April trading range between $1.80 and $2.90, with $2.30 labeled as the “realistic” price level. 

This aligns closely with XRP’s recent technical structure, which shows support around $1.85 and resistance near the psychological $2.50 mark.

4. Cryptogeek $58,000 hype falters under bearish market sentiment 

However, not all predictions have been tethered to market realities. A viral post by CryptoGeekNews citing Forbes projected an astronomical price of $58,000 per XRP—a level that would imply a market cap larger than the entire global money supply. While such extreme targets often capture attention, analysts widely regard them as speculative and not grounded in institutional flows or historical precedent.

Binance was referenced in an earlier post suggesting XRP could hit $600 in 2025, though no direct source was provided, and no mention was made of April-specific targets. 

The post, however, speaks to the growing buzz surrounding a potential XRP ETF, which remains a topic of interest among investors betting on Ripple’s regulatory clarity and its real-time fiat settlement use case.

Looking Ahead: 

Looking ahead, XRP’s ability to sustain April’s gains will likely depend on macroeconomic stability, crypto market leadership from Bitcoin, and Ripple’s success in onboarding institutions to the RLUSD framework. While triple- or quadruple-digit predictions make for sensational headlines, most expert analysts agree that a realistic target range for XRP this month sits between $2.30 and $4.50, barring any unforeseen catalysts.

• XRP Price Forecast Today: Eyes $2.35 With Bullish Momentum Building Above Key Support

XRP price is showing weakened bullish strength after reclaiming the mid-Bollinger Band level near $2.02,this week. However market volume indicators suggest upside continuation is possible if momentum holds. 

Indicators on the 12-hour candle, shows XRP trades at $2.11, sitting comfortably above the Parabolic SAR at $1.83, which flips bullish when price closes above the blue dots. This alignment supports the case for an extended move higher, potentially toward the upper Bollinger Band at $2.27, with an intraday target of $2.35 if volume follows through.

While short-term price action has consolidated sideways, the contraction of the Bollinger Bands hints at an imminent breakout. A close above the March resistance zone near $2.20 could trigger that move. However, the Volume Delta shows persistent net selling over the past 48 hours, indicating weakened conviction behind the rally. A failure to break above $2.27 could invite sellers to retest the $2.02 mid-band and potentially expose the lower support zone at $1.76. Bulls need to maintain momentum or risk bearish reversal pressure creeping back in.

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ibrahim

Crypto analyst covering derivatives markets, macro trends, technical analysis, and DeFi. His works feature in-depth market insights, price forecasts, and institutional-grade research on digital assets.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.