Bitcoin
Analyst Says Six-Figure Bitcoin Price Incoming – But Warns One Factor Could Delay BTC Rally Till Next Year
Published
1 month agoon
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adminAnalyst Benjamin Cowen is leaning bullish on Bitcoin (BTC) while warning that one factor could delay the flagship crypto asset from reaching $100,000 before the end of this year.
In an appearance on The David Lin Report, Cowen says that Bitcoin is primed to hit a six-figure price based on historical precedent.
“If you go look at like year-to-date return on investment (ROI)… and you average out all the prior halving years, we’re actually tracking it pretty closely. So if you average out 2012, 2016 and 2020 and then you overlay 2024, right now Bitcoin is at its average of prior halving years – so it’s basically 2x from the yearly open… the average of the other prior three halving years was also 2x from the yearly open.
You can see that the average from the yearly open by the end of the halving year for those was closer to 3x. So if Bitcoin can continue to follow the cyclical view, then it should be able to [reach $100,000].”
Cowen, however, says that a higher-than-expected unemployment rate could delay Bitcoin’s ascent to a six-figure price.
“I think the only thing that would prevent it from doing so would be labor market results that we’re going to get in two weeks.
So my base case is if the unemployment rate comes in low, let’s say it comes in at 4%, 4.1% maybe even 4.2%, would not be so bad. That would favor the cyclical view prevailing.
If it comes in really hot, for whatever reason, let’s say it comes in at 4.3% or 4.4%, then we might have to wait until 2025 for $100,000. That’s the way I see it right now.”
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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.
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Bitcoin
Macro Guru Raoul Pal Predicts Crypto Market Will Rally ‘Pretty Strongly’ Into Year-End – Here’s His Outlook
Published
5 hours agoon
December 24, 2024By
adminFormer Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal believes that the crypto market will rally heading into the end of 2024.
In a new interview with crypto trader Scott Melker, the macro guru says that based on historic precedence, Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets may put up larger gains during the last week and half of December.
A rally at this time of year is often referred to as a Santa Claus rally, a financial term used to describe a calendar effect on traditional equities that historically have gone up on the last five market trading days of the year in December and the first two trading days of the new year.
“Normally, what happens at this phase is we should rally into year-end pretty strongly in everything. But then the real game gets played in first quarter.”
Pal also believes that the most explosive rally of the current market cycle is still to come and that it could occur next year, possibly around the Fed’s meeting in March when rates may be cut.
“I think my next phraseology is going to be the banana singularity, that’s when everything goes bananas…
So we’re not at the banana zone singularity point yet. That will come as well. That’s probably sometime Fed March when it all gets silly.”
However, Pal also warns there may be a temporary correction around the end of the year after a rally due to liquidity tightening. He believes the growing money supply is a catalyst for Bitcoin price, and that when it declines so does the flagship crypto’s price.
“Let’s look at the last [US President Donald] Trump administration. So from September to the end of the year, the dollar rallied. September to the end of the year, rates went up. Same narrative. It was all about tariffs and what’s he going to do and how’s it going to play out.
Almost exactly as the year turned, the dollar went lower, the rates went lower. So I’ve been producing a chart showing that global liquidity tightened and it has a 10-week lead time, and that should mean that at the end of the year, we get a correction.”
Bitcoin is trading for $94,367 at time of writing, down more than 11% in the last seven days.
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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.
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Bitcoin
Metaplanet Bitcoin Reserves Grow With Fresh $61 Million Purchase
Published
17 hours agoon
December 24, 2024By
adminJapan-based early-stage investment firm Metaplanet continues its Bitcoin (BTC) buying spree. The company announced today that it has purchased 619.7 BTC for $61 million – including fees and other expenses – making it the firm’s largest Bitcoin acquisition to date.
Metaplanet Increases BTC Holdings To 1,762
The recent crypto market downturn from its all-time highs (ATH) does not appear to bother Metaplanet, as the Tokyo-listed firm made its largest BTC purchase to date, buying 619.7 BTC worth $ 61 million at an average price of around $96,000.
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To recall, Metaplanet started buying BTC earlier this year in May with a purchase of 97.9 BTC. Since then, the company has purchased BTC every month, barring September, and crossed the 1,000 BTC milestone in November. The latest acquisition has pushed Metaplanet’s total Bitcoin holdings to 1,762, bought at an average price of $75,600 per BTC.
Notably, this $61 million purchase is nearly double the value of Metaplanet’s previous largest acquisition, which occurred in November and was worth close to $30 million. The company’s consistent BTC accumulation has earned it the nickname “Asia’s MicroStrategy,” in reference to the US-based business intelligence firm known for its aggressive Bitcoin buying strategy.
It is worth highlighting that today’s BTC purchase comes a week after Metaplanet raised $60.6 million through two tranches of bond issuance for the purpose of “accelerating BTC purchases.” Metaplanet’s latest purchase also makes its BTC reserves the 12th-largest among publicly listed firms globally.
According to Metaplanet’s official announcement, its BTC Yield – a proprietary metric used to measure the performance of its Bitcoin acquisition strategy – stood at 310% from October 1 to December 23. The firm emphasized that this strategy is designed to be “accretive to shareholders.”
Despite today’s significant BTC purchase, Metaplanet’s stock price saw little movement, closing at $22.5, down 0.98% for the day. However, on a year-to-date basis, the company’s stock has surged by an astounding 1,982%, reflecting the long-term benefits of its Bitcoin-centric strategy.
Bitcoin Supply Crunch To Hasten Adoption?
With Bitcoin’s total maximum supply capped at 21 million, the digital asset has solidified its reputation as an inflation-resistant store of value. A recent report highlights that BTC supply on crypto exchanges has hit multi-year lows, indicating that holders are increasingly withdrawing BTC from exchanges, reducing circulating supply and potentially driving prices higher.
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Bitcoin’s scarcity has triggered an unofficial race among corporations – and possibly even governments. For instance, Bitcoin mining firm Hut 8 recently purchased 990 BTC for $100 million, increasing its total holdings to over 10,000 BTC. Similarly, MARA, another Bitcoin mining company, acquired 703 BTC earlier this month, bringing its total holdings to 34,794 BTC.
Speculations surrounding a potential US strategic Bitcoin reserve are further strengthening BTC’s supply crunch narrative, which may fast-track its adoption. At press time, BTC trades at $94,003, down 1.5% in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Unsplash, charts from Yahoo! Finance and Tradingview.com
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Robert Kiyosaki Hints At Economic Depression Ahead, What It Means For BTC?
Published
1 day agoon
December 23, 2024By
adminRich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki has issued a stark warning while hinting towards an economic depression ahead. In a recent X post, the renowned author said that the global market crash has already started, as he predicted earlier, which indicates that the financial market might enter a “depression” phase. Notably, this comes as the crypto market records immense volatility, sparking concerns over what’s next for Bitcoin (BTC).
Robert Kiyosaki Hints At Economic Depression Ahead
Robert Kiyosaki, in a recent X post, has revealed a stark warning of a looming economic depression. The Rich Dad Poor Dad author warned that a global market crash has already begun, citing Europe, China, and the U.S. as regions facing significant downturns.
In his post, Kiyosaki urged caution, advising individuals to safeguard their finances and maintain their jobs. “Global crash has started. Europe, China, USA going down. Depression ahead?” he asked while emphasizing the enduring value of assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin. He added, “For many people, crashes are the best times to get rich.”
This warning aligns with Kiyosaki’s earlier prediction of what he called the “biggest crash in history.” Earlier this month, he encouraged his followers to prepare for financial turmoil, stating, “Please be proactive and get rich… before the BOOMER’s go BUST.”
However, this recent comment from Robert Kiyosaki indicates his sustained confidence in BTC. As the crypto market faces heightened volatility, Bitcoin could emerge as a hedge against traditional market instability, he noted. Besides, it also indicates that the flagship crypto, alongside gold and silver, might continue to gain traction amid this economic turmoil.
What’s Next For BTC?
Bitcoin price today has continued its volatile trading, losing nearly 1.5% over the last 24 hours to $95,323. The crypto touched a high and low of $97,260 and $93,690 in the last 24 hours, showcasing the highly volatile scenario in the market.
In addition, the US Spot Bitcoin ETF also recorded significant outflow, with BlackRock Bitcoin ETF witnessing its largest outflux since its launch. This has weighed on the investors’ sentiment, sparking concerns over a waning institutional interest.
However, despite that, many experts remained confident on the asset’s future trajectory. For context, in a recent X post, Peter Brandt shared a new BTC price target, indicating his confidence in the digital asset.
On the other hand, institutions like Metaplanet have also continued to boost their BTC holdings. These moves indicates that the institutions, as well as many investors, are bullish towards the long-term potential of the crypto. Besides, as Robert Kiyosaki said, the recent dip also provides a buying opportunity to investors, which might further boost Bitcoin to its new ATH ahead.
Rupam Roy
Rupam is a seasoned professional with three years of experience in the financial market, where he has developed a reputation as a meticulous research analyst and insightful journalist. He thrives on exploring the dynamic nuances of the financial landscape. Currently serving as a sub-editor at Coingape, Rupam’s expertise extends beyond conventional boundaries. His role involves breaking stories, analyzing AI-related developments, providing real-time updates on the crypto market, and presenting insightful economic news.
Rupam’s career is characterized by a deep passion for unraveling the complexities of finance and delivering impactful stories that resonate with a diverse audience.
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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