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Bitcoin Dips to $93,000 With $400 Million in Longs Rekt. Where to From Here?

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Bitcoin witnessed a sharp sell-off on Monday, with the asset’s single-day performance giving up more than half of the gains made last week.

The world’s largest crypto fell 4.8% on the day to just above $93,000, with Monday’s drop totaling more than $4,800. For context, that’s more than 55% of last week’s $8,100 runup.

Still, analysts say the move is likely part of traders rebalancing their positions as they look to the end of the year, particularly in late December, which has proven to be a favorable month in the past.

“We see a combination of two catalysts pushing Bitcoin’s price down temporarily,” Ryan McMillin, chief investment officer at crypto fund manager Merkle Tree Capital, told Decrypt.

He pointed to a “sell wall” just below the “psychological barrier” right around $100,000, where traders are looking to capitalize on an explosive run following President-elect Donald Trump’s victory three weeks ago.

McMillin also pointed to a build-up of leveraged longs, or those betting on higher prices, as “too tempting” for market makers not to chase.

In other words, market makers who facilitate liquidity may intentionally drive prices down to trigger a liquidation of those leveraged longs.

Liquidations spiked on Monday to $550 million, 70% of which came from long positions. It follows a similar trend observed on Sunday. Still, McMillin says this is just part of normal market behavior.

“There isn’t much liquidity below $92,000, so that looks like the floor for this move,” McMillin said. “We expect the market to go and retest $100,000 before the week is out.”

Others agree, claiming Monday’s move is a part of typical market dynamics with traders hedging against potential downside risks, likely in response to recent moves.

“Pullbacks like these are not uncommon in bull markets,” Nick Forster, founder of DeFi derivatives protocol, Derive, told Decrypt. “We are seeing strong structural tailwinds for Bitcoin, bolstered by favorable conditions such as the interest-rate cutting cycle and evolving regulatory frameworks.”

Other cryptos in the top 10 by market capitalization have also dipped, with Dogecoin (DOGE) taking the most significant hit, down about 9.5% to $0.38, CoinGecko data shows.

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DeFi

Red-Hot DeFi Platform Usual Faces Backlash as Protocol Update Triggers Sell-Off

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Usual Protocol, an up-and-coming decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol that has seen a remarkable rise over the past months, faced community backlash on Friday after a tweak in the protocol’s yield-generating token triggered a sell-off on secondary markets.

Amid the turmoil, the protocol’s USD0++ token, which represents a locked-up – or staked – version of its $1-anchored stablecoin USD0, fell briefly below 90 cents from $1 on decentralized marketplace Curve. The protocol’s governance token, USUAL, plummeted as much as 17% through the day before recovering some of the losses.

The selloff was caused by a change in the redemption mechanism of USD0++ token introduced by the team on Thursday that caught investors and liquidity providers off-guard.

By design, USD0 is backed by short-term government securities to keep its price at $1. Stakers on Usual receive USD0++ that comes with a four-year lock-up period, meaning that investors are locking up their funds without being able to redeem in exchange for rewards earned in the form of the protocol’s USD0 and USUAL tokens. Yield farmers rushed in, catapulting the protocols total value locked (TVL), a key DeFi metric, to $1.87 billion earlier this week from less than $300 million in October.

However, the new feature called “dual-path exit” will allow investors to redeem the locked-up tokens early at a 0.87 USD0 floor price, or at par, by giving up a part of the rewards earned, calling the 1:1 exchange rate into question.

The abrupt implementation drew criticism across DeFi users for changing the design without warning. In certain liquidity pools, the token’s price was hardcoded to worth $1, causing havoc among borrowers and liquidity providers.

“Did they just allow degens to jump in at 1:1 and then rug the USD0++?,” prominent DeFi analyst Ignas said in an X post. “They pushed for the largest USD0/USD0++ pool on Curve knowing all well that USD0++ shouldn’t trade at 1:1.”

“DeFi continues learning the most important truth about pegs: a peg is a story about why two things that are not the same are interchangeable for each other,” noted Patrick McKenzie, advisor to payments firm Stripe.

The Usual team said in a statement that the design change with the early unstaking mechanism was communicated in advance from October. The protocol will also activate the revenue switch starting on Monday and start distributing the protocol’s earnings to governance token holders who stake their coin for longer-term (USUALx).

“The current situation regarding USD0++ stems from a misunderstanding of the protocol’s mechanisms along with a communication that should have been better articulated,” the statement reads. “We apologize and we’ll continue to do our best to communicate transparent information to users.”

The episode is another lesson for crypto investors about the potential risks of DeFi products that entice users with high-yields via token incentives and rewards flywheels.

“Users who are taking risk need to know what the exact rules are and be able to trust that they won’t change, otherwise it can result in market panic,” Rob Hadick, general partner at venture capital firm Dragonfly, told CoinDesk. “We should be thankful this happened now, before the protocol became a risk to the broader DeFi ecosystem.”

Still, USD0++ traded recently at 0.91 USD0 in the Curve pool, while the protocol’s total value locked, a key DeFi metric, dropped below $1.6 billion.





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Bitcoin ETF

Have Bitcoin ETFs Lived Up to the Hype?

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The launch of Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 was heralded as a groundbreaking moment for the market. Many expected these products to open the floodgates for institutional capital and catapult Bitcoin prices to new heights. But now, a year later, have Bitcoin ETFs delivered on their promise?

For a more in-depth look into this topic, check out a recent YouTube video here: Have Bitcoin ETFs Lived Up to Expectations?

A Strong Start

Since their launch, Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated over 1 million BTC, equivalent to approximately $40 billion in assets under management. Even when accounting for outflows from competing products like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which saw withdrawals of over 400,000 BTC, the net inflows remain significant at about 540,000 BTC.

Figure 1: ETFs have accumulated over 1 million BTC.

View Live Chart 🔍

To put this into perspective, the scale of inflows far exceeds what we witnessed during the launch of the first gold ETFs in 2004. Gold ETFs garnered $3.45 billion in their first year, a fraction of Bitcoin ETFs’ $37.5 billion in inflows over the same period. This highlights the intense institutional interest in Bitcoin as a financial asset.

Figure 2: The first Gold ETF accrued less than 1/10th the value of the BTC ETFs in its first year.

Bitcoin’s Year of Growth

Following the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, initial price movements were underwhelming, with Bitcoin briefly declining by nearly 20% in a “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario. However, this bearish trend quickly reversed. Over the past year, Bitcoin prices have risen by approximately 120%, reaching new heights. For comparison, the first year following the launch of gold ETFs saw a modest 9% price increase for gold.

Figure 3: Over 100% returns in the year following approval.

Following the Gold Fractal

When accounting for Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading schedule, which results in roughly 5.3 times more yearly trading hours than gold, a striking similarity emerges. By overlaying Bitcoin’s first year of ETF price action with gold’s historical data (adjusted for trading hours), we can see almost the same % returns. If Bitcoin continues to follow gold’s pattern, we could see an additional 83% price increase by mid-2025, potentially pushing Bitcoin’s price to around $188,000.

Figure 4: BTC time-adjusted returns to GLD are incredibly similar since ETF approval.

Institutional Strategy

One intriguing insight from Bitcoin ETFs has been the relationship between fund inflows and price movements. A simple strategy of buying Bitcoin on days with positive ETF inflows and selling on days with outflows has consistently outperformed a traditional buy-and-hold approach. From January 2024 to today, this strategy has returned 130%, compared to ~100% for a buy-and-hold investor, an outperformance of nearly 10%.

Figure 5: Following institutional inflows has outperformed buy & hold BTC.

View Live Chart 🔍

For more information on this institutional inflow strategy, watch the following video:
Using ETF Data to Outperform Bitcoin [Must Watch]

Supply and Demand Dynamics

While Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated over 1 million BTC, this represents only a small fraction of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply of 19.8 million BTC. Corporations like MicroStrategy have also contributed to institutional adoption, collectively holding hundreds of thousands of BTC. Yet, the majority of Bitcoin remains in the hands of individual investors, ensuring that market dynamics are still driven by decentralized supply and demand.

Figure 6: Corporations have also accumulated hundreds of thousands of BTC but are still minority holders.

View Live Chart 🔍

Conclusion

One year in, Bitcoin ETFs have exceeded expectations. With billions in inflows, a significant impact on price appreciation, and increasing institutional adoption, they have solidified their role as a key driver of Bitcoin’s market narrative. While some early skeptics were disappointed by the lack of immediate explosive price action, the long-term outlook remains highly bullish.

The comparisons to gold ETFs provide a compelling roadmap for Bitcoin’s future. If the gold fractal holds true, we could be on the cusp of another major rally. Coupled with favorable macroeconomic conditions and growing institutional interest, Bitcoin’s future looks brighter than ever.

Explore live data, charts, indicators, and in-depth research to stay ahead of Bitcoin’s price action at Bitcoin Magazine Pro.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.



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Feature

Is USDT Losing to RLUSD and USDC?

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Is the EU’s MiCA framework forcing investors to rethink their allegiance to Tether’s USDT and explore alternatives like Circle’s USDC and Ripple’s RLUSD?

USDT under radar

For years, Tether’s USDT (USDT) has been the go-to stablecoin for traders and investors. Yet, as we step into 2025, its dominance is starting to waver, particularly in the European Union, where mounting regulatory scrutiny and growing competition are challenging its unshakable reputation.

The turning point came on December 30, 2024, with the full implementation of the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets regulations. 

Designed to bring order to the unpredictable crypto market, MiCA has imposed stringent compliance requirements on stablecoin issuers, including a mandate for major players like Tether to hold 60% of their reserves in EU banks.

As these regulations take effect, Tether is grappling with a wave of redemptions, new regulatory hurdles, and intensifying competition from rivals like Circle’s USDC (USDC) and Ripple’s RLUSD (RLUSD). 

In the past, Tether’s CEO, Paolo Ardoino, raised concerns over the risks of “bank failures,” arguing that such requirements could expose stablecoin issuers to systemic vulnerabilities rather than reducing them.

But the market seems less concerned with Tether’s reasoning and more with its actions — or lack thereof. 

In the days leading up to MiCA’s implementation, nearly $4 billion worth of USDT was redeemed, marking the largest outflow since the 2022 crypto winter. 

Back then, scandals like the collapse of FTX and revelations of fraud across the industry sent shockwaves through crypto, shrinking USDT’s market cap from $83 billion in May to $65 billion by November — a 21% drop. 

The recent decline, while smaller, carries deeper implications. As of Jan. 9, Tether’s market cap stands at $137.5 billion, down from $141 billion just two weeks earlier.

The question now is not just whether Tether can adapt but whether the market will wait for it to do so. With USDC cementing its regulatory foothold and RLUSD rapidly gaining momentum, could this be the beginning of a sharp decline for the world’s largest stablecoin? Let’s try to decode.

Competitors closing In: USDC and RLUSD’s strategic advances

Tether’s reluctance to comply with its strict reserve requirements has raised red flags among investors, while its competitors are thriving under the new framework. 

Even though EU member states have up to 18 months to fully enforce MiCA, the market isn’t waiting. Investors and exchanges are already repositioning, and USDT’s grip on the market appears to be slipping.

For context, exchanges like Coinbase and OKX have already delisted USDT for European users, citing non-compliance with MiCA. 

Circle’s USDC stands out as a prime beneficiary of the regulatory shift. Having secured MiCA approval in mid-2024, USDC has positioned itself as the stablecoin of choice for exchanges looking to align with EU rules. 

Binance’s partnership with Circle, aimed at accelerating USDC adoption globally, is a direct response to growing demand for transparency and compliance. This move has already begun to pay off; USDC’s market cap has grown by $2 billion since securing the license.

Meanwhile, Ripple’s RLUSD, launched on December 17, 2024, is also gaining traction as a regulatory-compliant alternative. 

Designed to operate seamlessly on the XRP Ledger (XRP) and Ethereum (ETH), RLUSD processed 33,953 transactions on the XRP Ledger and 1,690 on Ethereum during its testing phase alone. 

Ripple’s big Moment as RLUSD gains momentum in a changing era

The year 2025 could be a turning point for Ripple, as a convergence of legal victories, strategic partnerships, and a crypto-friendly administration in the U.S. creates ideal conditions for expanding its foothold in the stablecoin market. 

With Donald Trump’s presidency expected to usher in crypto-friendly policies, Ripple may finally resolve its long-standing legal battle with the Securities and Exchange Commission, lifting a major obstacle to its growth.

Already, Ripple has scored key wins in the SEC case, including reducing a potential $2 billion penalty to just $125 million. This resolution provides the company with the breathing room needed to refocus on innovation and the rollout of RLUSD. 

Monica Long, Ripple’s president, has hinted at ambitious plans for RLUSD, including imminent listings on major exchanges to broaden its reach and utility. 

“We are continuing to expand distribution and availability of Ripple dollars on other exchanges. So, I think you can expect to see more availability, more announcements coming soon,” Long shared in a recent Bloomberg interview.

Ripple’s well-established payments business is also a crucial driver for RLUSD’s adoption. Over the past year, Ripple’s payment solutions have doubled their transaction volume, reflecting their value in facilitating seamless cross-border transactions. 

Stablecoins like RLUSD could enhance this ecosystem by offering businesses an efficient alternative to traditional banking systems. 

As Ripple expands RLUSD’s availability, businesses already relying on its payment solutions could likely adopt the stablecoin, further accelerating its growth.

Beyond payments, partnership with Chainlink, a leader in blockchain oracles, could propel it into the decentralized finance space. 

Chainlink’s infrastructure, which has supported over $18 trillion in transaction value, positions RLUSD to integrate effectively with DeFi ecosystems, offering new opportunities for both traditional and DeFi users.

The stablecoin market, now valued at $206.2 billion, continues to remain dominated by USDT, which holds 66% of the market share. 

What to expect next?

USDT’s struggles have been years in the making, marked by its unmatched dominance but shadowed by persistent questions about transparency. 

While Tether has consistently maintained its peg to the U.S. dollar, its reluctance to provide full-scale audits and ongoing accusations of under-collateralization have fueled mistrust. 

Amid this, USDC has positioned itself as the “safe” alternative, building its reputation on monthly attestations and a compliance-first approach. Its recent approval under Europe’s MiCA regulations has further strengthened its foothold in the region. 

Meanwhile, Ripple’s RLUSD, though a newer entrant, is also gaining traction with Ripple’s strong payment infrastructure, rapid exchange listings, and seamless integration into DeFi markets.

As MiCA sets a clear regulatory benchmark in the EU, the U.S. would soon follow suit. Signals from the Trump administration suggest an acceleration of crypto-friendly policies, likely pushing the U.S. toward an accountable regulatory framework. 

With these shifts, 2025 may mark the beginning of a power transition in the stablecoin market. While USDT remains the leader, for now, the momentum of its competitors signals that change is upcoming.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.





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