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Bitcoin Indicator Signals Short-Term Holders Have Been Taking Profits – Is The Next Rally Near?

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Bitcoin is trading below the $100K mark after enduring a volatile and turbulent week. The cryptocurrency faced extreme selling pressure last Sunday, dropping over 9% in less than 24 hours. Although Bitcoin managed a slight recovery on Monday, the selling pressure has persisted, leaving the market in a state of uncertainty.

Key metrics shared by Axel Adler on X shed light on the current state of Bitcoin’s price action. According to Adler, the Bitcoin Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV indicator has declined from $98K and a value of 1.35 to average levels. This drop suggests that short-term holders have been actively taking profits during this period of heightened volatility.

The STH MVRV is a critical indicator for assessing market sentiment among short-term participants. Historically, values above 1.30–1.35 signal an overheated market, often leading to sell-offs. The recent decline in the indicator indicates that some short-term holders have exited their positions, potentially marking the end of a local overheated phase.

As Bitcoin consolidates below $100K, market participants are keeping a close eye on key support and resistance levels, hoping to identify the next big move in this unpredictable market environment. For now, profit-taking and volatility dominate the narrative.

Bitcoin Faces Persistent Selling Pressure As Short-Term Holders Exit Positions

Bitcoin has been grappling with heightened volatility and selling pressure since the start of February, a trend that has negatively impacted altcoins and meme coins, leading to bearish price action across the market. Analysts are increasingly calling for a correction as bulls show signs of fatigue and price movements suggest further declines could be on the horizon.

Key insights from CryptoQuant, shared by Axel Adler on X, reveal an important shift in market dynamics. The Bitcoin Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV indicator, a critical tool for gauging short-term holder behavior, has declined from $98K and 1.35 to average levels. This drop indicates that short-term holders have been taking profits amid the recent market volatility.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder MVRV | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder MVRV | Source: Axel Adler on X

Historically, an STH MVRV above 1.30–1.35 signals an overheated market, often preceding significant sell-offs. The current decline in the indicator suggests that a portion of short-term holders have exited their positions, relieving some pressure on the market. A return to average levels typically marks the end of a local overheated phase.

If demand remains strong, Bitcoin is likely to enter a consolidation or sideways trading phase following this period of profit-taking. However, a drop in the STH MVRV below 1.0 would signal the formation of a local bottom, potentially setting the stage for a future rally. As the market navigates this period of uncertainty, monitoring these key metrics will be crucial in anticipating Bitcoin’s next move.

Price Struggles to Find Direction Below $100K

Bitcoin is trading at $96,700 after several days of sideways movement within a tight range between $100,000 and $95,600. The price has been unable to establish a clear direction, with bulls losing control after failing to hold the $100K mark last Tuesday. This lack of momentum has created an atmosphere of uncertainty in the market, leaving traders on edge as Bitcoin hovers near key support levels.

BTC trading sideways | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC trading sideways | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The short-term outlook for Bitcoin remains unclear, as neither bulls nor bears have managed to take decisive control. If Bitcoin fails to hold above the critical $95K support level, a deeper decline into the $90K demand zone could follow. Such a move would signal increased selling pressure, potentially dampening sentiment further and extending the current consolidation phase.

On the other hand, reclaiming the $100K level is crucial for bulls to regain control and push the price higher. However, without a strong push above this psychological resistance, Bitcoin’s price action is likely to remain choppy and uncertain. Market participants are watching closely for any signs of a breakout or breakdown, as the next move could define Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming weeks. For now, caution remains the prevailing sentiment.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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K33 begins Bitcoin buying with 10 BTC purchase for treasury strategy

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Norwegian digital asset brokerage K33 has acquired 10 Bitcoin for approximately SEK 10 million.

This purchase marks the first transaction under its newly launched Bitcoin Treasury strategy. The Oslo-based company, listed on the Nasdaq First North Growth Market, plans to scale its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings over time, aiming for a minimum of 1,000 BTC.

The purchase follows K33’s announcement on May 28 that it raised SEK 60 million (around $5.6 million) from insiders and aligned investors, including Klein Group and Modiola AS, to fund its Bitcoin treasury. 

The capital raise involved the issuance of 150.56 million new shares and 301.12 million free warrants, with the latter potentially unlocking an additional SEK 75 million if fully exercised before March 2026.

CEO Torbjørn Bull Jenssen said the strategy reflects K33’s belief in Bitcoin’s long-term role in the global financial system. “Our ambition is to build a balance of at least 1,000 BTC over time and then scale from there,” he said.

Bitcoin as a strategy

K33’s move aligns with a growing trend among public companies using Bitcoin as a strategic asset. 

Interest from corporations in digital assets is increasing, with more and more public companies allocating Bitcoin to their balance sheets, according to a recent report from Binance. 

K33 offers crypto trading, custody, and research services to institutional clients across EMEA. 

By directly holding BTC, the firm aims to deepen synergies between its treasury assets and brokerage business, further anchoring its position in the digital asset market.





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Why $107,500 And $103,500 Are The Levels To Watch

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The Bitcoin price crash is in focus following the flagship crypto’s recent drop to as low as $103,700. Crypto analyst Captain Faibik has commented on why $107,500 and $103,500 are the most important levels to watch as BTC looks to decide its next move. 

Why $107,500 & $103,500 Are Key For The Bitcoin Price

In an X post, Captain Faibik explained that $107,500 and $103,500 are key as the bulls and bears battle to dictate the next move for the Bitcoin price. The analyst noted that later this week, BTC bulls will attempt to reclaim the $107,500 resistance and regain momentum. 

He predicted that a clean break and hold above $107,500 could trigger a bullish leg toward the $117,000 level, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the flagship crypto. Meanwhile, on the other hand, $103,500 is an important support level which the bulls must defend as the Bitcoin price eyes new highs. Captain Faibik warned that a breakdown below could shift momentum back in favor of the bears. 

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Source: Captain Faibik on X

The Bitcoin price had surged above $106,000 on May 2 following news about the US decision to extend its pause of tariffs on some Chinese goods to August. This provided a bullish outlook for the flagship crypto after Donald Trump stated last week that China had violated the trade deal with the US. 

Trump and China’s president are set to have a call later this week, which could further boost the Bitcoin price if both sides could resolve any dispute regarding the current trade deal. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell failed to discuss the economy during his speech at the International Finance Division Anniversary Conference, which also continues to fuel market uncertainty. 

First Step For BTC Is To Get Back Above $106,500

In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital indicated that the first step is for the Bitcoin price to successfully reclaim $106,500. He noted that BTC had recorded a weekly close below this level, which puts the flagship crypto back in the danger zone. The analyst further remarked that BTC needs to get back above this level in the coming days or things can get “sketchy looking.” Kevin Capital added that this has been a key level for months, and nothing has changed.  

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto revealed that a Katana is forming on the weekly chart for the Bitcoin price. He explained that in Ichimoku analysis, a Katana forms when Tenkan and Kijun overlap. This signals low momentum and market equilibrium. He added that this development also precedes strong directional moves, with an expansion or pullback on the horizon. 

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $105,435, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $105,125 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com



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Pakistan Proposes New Crypto Regulations

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Pakistan is taking concrete steps towards regulating cryptocurrencies, with the Crypto Council drafting a new framework for digital assets. While cryptocurrency still remains illegal in the country, the Crypto Council aims to build a secure and transparent crypto ecosystem. Significantly, this crypto regulation move follows the country’s recent decision to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

Pakistan Crypto Regulation: New Policies Take Shape

The Pakistan Crypto Council (PCC) convened a high-level meeting in Islamabad, taking significant steps towards creating a solid crypto regulatory framework for the country. The council aims to build a robust crypto framework that balances innovation with security, transparency, investor protection, and financial inclusion.

Notably, the Pakistan crypto regulation aims to promote blockchain growth, protect investors, and drive financial inclusion. As part of its crypto regulation plans, the country has established the Pakistan Digital Assets Authority (PDAA).

The meeting was led by Finance and Revenue Minister Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb. Other members included the SBP Governor, the SECP Chairperson, and law and IT ministry officials. A technical committee comprising representatives from the State Bank of Pakistan, Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan, and other relevant government agencies will be formed to further develop these initiatives.

“Participants also discussed various options around the establishment of an autonomous regulatory authority to oversee and regulate the digital finance and crypto ecosystem in the country,” added the ministry. The finance division posited,

It was agreed to constitute a technical committee comprising representatives from SBP (State Bank of Pakistan), SECP (Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan), Law Division, and IT & Telecom Division. The committee will review the draft laws and propose a robust framework and governance structure to be reviewed by the Pakistan Crypto Council in its next meeting.

Regulatory Clarity Paves the Way for Pakistan’s Bitcoin Reserve

At the Bitcoin Conference, Crypto Council Head Bilal Bin Saqib announced Pakistan’s potential plans to embrace a Bitcoin reserve. However, the plan is expected to face scrutiny from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which could complicate its implementation. This development was covered by CoinGape and later confirmed by local news outlet Samaa.

Significantly, the establishment of clear crypto regulations could play a crucial role in aiding the country’s Bitcoin reserve plans. A well-defined framework would protect investors and ensure the initiative’s long-term sustainability. It could also help address IMF concerns and reduce potential complications.

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Nynu V Jamal

Nynu V Jamal is a passionate crypto journalist with three years of experience in blockchain, web3, and fintech spheres. She has established herself as a knowledgeable and engaging voice in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space. Her experience as an Assistant Professor in English Language and Literature has further added to her quest for crafting informative, well-researched, and accessible content.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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