Bitcoin
Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have 163K More BTC to Sell, History Indicates: Van Straten
Published
4 months agoon
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Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped 7.6% since it almost — but not quite — touched the psychological wall of $100,000 on Nov. 22.
That’s the biggest drop since Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election, sparking a rally that sent the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization soaring from a level of around $66,000 through its record high.
Even so, the slide isn’t out of the ordinary. In bull markets bitcoin typically tumbles as much as 20% or even 30%, so-called corrections that tend to flush out leverage in an overheated market.
A large part of the reason the bitcoin price didn’t get to $100,000 was the amount of profit-taking that took place. A record dollar value of $10.5 billion of profit-taking took place on Nov. 21, according to Glassnode data, the biggest day of profit-taking ever witnessed in bitcoin.
At the root of the action are the long-term holders (LTH), a group Glassnode defines as having held their bitcoin for more than 155 days. These investors are considered “smart money” because they tend to buy when the BTC price is depressed and sell in times of greed or euphoria.
From September to November 2024, these investors have sold 549,119 BTC, or about 3.85% of their holdings. Their sales, which started in October and have accelerated since, even outweighed buying from the likes of MicroStrategy (MSTR) and the U.S. spot-listed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
How long is this selling pressure going to last?
What’s noticeable from patterns in previous bull markets in 2017, 2021 and early 2024, is that the percentage drop gets smaller each cycle.
In 2017, the percentage drop was 25.3%, in 2021 it reached 13.4% and earlier this year it was 6.51%. It’s currently 3.85%. If this rate of decline were to continue, that would see another 1.19% drop or 163,031 BTC, which would take the cohort’s supply to 13.54 million BTC.
Each time, the long-term investors’ supply makes higher lows and higher highs, so this would also be in line with the trend.
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Pakistan unveils plans to legalise bitcoin and crypto and implement a regulatory framework to attract foreign investment and boost adoption.
Bilal Bin Saqib, CEO of the Pakistan Crypto Council, told Bloomberg on Thursday that Pakistan has unveiled plans to legalise bitcoin and crypto and implement a regulatory framework to attract foreign investment and boost adoption.
The government aims to devise clear regulations and align with international best practices. Pakistan’s Finance Minister formed the PCC last week to steer the country’s crypto strategy.
“Pakistan is done sitting on the sidelines” regarding bitcoin and crypto, Saqib told Bloomberg. “We want to attract international investment because Pakistan is a low-cost, high-growth market with 60% of the population under 30.”
Spoke to Bloomberg this morning
Our message is clear – Pakistan is done sitting on the sidelines! We want Pakistan as the leader in blockchain-powered finance. Pakistan is a low-cost high-growth market with 60% of the population under 30. We have a web3 native workforce ready… pic.twitter.com/VwhGGh7QWg
— Bilal bin Saqib MBE (@Bilalbinsaqib) March 20, 2025
“Trump is making crypto a national priority, and every country, including Pakistan, will have to follow suit,” he said.
This move comes amid a global shift in attitudes towards bitcoin and crypto after the United States pushed for greater mainstream acceptance. The new stance is a stark change for Pakistan, which had previously banned crypto. By embracing bitcoin and crypto early, Pakistan is looking to position itself as a regional leader and attract investors.
Pakistan’s central bank had expressed concerns earlier. However, the government now seeks to mitigate risks through prudent legislation. Clear rules could boost innovation and prevent potential abuse of decentralised networks.
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Bitcoin
‘This Is a Good Sign’: Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin at a Key Inflection Point, Unveils Breakout Targets for BTC
Published
10 hours agoon
March 21, 2025By
admin
A widely followed analyst says Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of being on the verge of a massive breakout.
The analyst pseudonymously known as Credible Crypto tells his 462,900 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin may reclaim the $100,000 range if BTC can break through resistance around the $88,000 level.
“We’re at a key inflection point around this region, but since we went up to tag it BEFORE going down to range lows this is a good sign. It increases the odds that if we reject here but hold range lows [at around $78,000], the next move up will be expansion and a true breakout through not just this level but the original supply zone above in RED that we first rejected from. All eyes on this key zone for now.”
The analyst says Bitcoin’s dip to the $84,000 range after tagging $87,000 on Thursday keeps the flagship crypto asset on target to reclaim the $100,000 level.
“A perfect rejection so far.”
Bitcoin is trading for $84,427 at time of writing, down 1.5% in the last 24 hours.
Next up, the analyst suggests payments token XRP may dip below $2.00 before rallying to its all-time high of about $3.40.
“This is still the game plan for XRP by the way. If we don’t get it, we don’t get it, and we ride spot to double digits regardless. But I’m not interested in jumping into fresh longs mid-range. Hoping people choose to fade this push so we get what would be a fantastic opportunity.”
XRP is trading for $2.45 at time of writing, down 1.7% in the last 24 hours.
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Bitcoin
Top 6 Important Fed Decisions To Know After SEC Drops Ripple Lawsuit Appeal
Published
16 hours agoon
March 21, 2025By
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The crypto industry received a significant legal victory as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced on March 19 that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had officially dropped its appeal against the company. The announcement came in a video posted on social media platform X, where Garlinghouse noted the regulatory agency’s decision to end its pursuit of further litigation.
Besides this interesting development, another major financial development has taken center stage in the crypto market in the past 24 hours; the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting.
Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady Amid Uncertainty
The outcome of the latest Fed meeting can be divided into six key decisions. First, the Federal Reserve opted to maintain interest rates at their current level, keeping the borrowing rate in a range between 4.25% and 4.5% for the second consecutive meeting. This decision is part of a continued pause in the Fed’s tightening cycle.
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Secondly, the Fed noted that uncertainty surrounding the economy has increased, and third, the Fed’s updated projections were the shift in expectations for rate cuts in 2025. The median forecast suggests 50 basis points of cuts for the year, but a growing number of Fed officials are less convinced that rate reductions will be necessary. In December, only one official anticipated no rate cuts in 2025. However, there’s now a more divided outlook, and that number has now risen to four, as noted in a post on social media platform X by analysts at The Kobeissi Letter.
Beyond interest rates, the Fed revised its economic growth projections downward for 2025, suggesting that policymakers see slower expansion ahead. This adjustment comes alongside an increase in the Fed’s inflation forecast for the same period, reflecting concerns about price pressures persisting longer than previously anticipated. With inflation remaining a key focus, the central bank is treading carefully as it evaluates the right time to pivot toward a looser monetary stance.
Fourthly, the Fed announced that it would slow the pace of its balance sheet runoff beginning in April. This is alongside a sharp reduction in the Fed’s 2025 growth projections and a markup in their 2025 inflation forecast.
Implications For Crypto Markets And Digital Assets
For the crypto industry, the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady and its mixed messaging on future cuts introduce a dynamic situation to Bitcoin and others. The fact that the Fed is still concerned about inflation and economic uncertainty shows that the path to more accommodative policies regarding the crypto industry may not be as smooth.
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However, if the Fed stays hesitant to cut rates and economic growth slows as projected, digital assets may face headwinds later in the year, which may slow down the predicted growth by crypto analysts.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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