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Bitcoin Price May Crash Below $88,000 On Global M2 Money Correlation

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Bitcoin price correction may continue further to $88,000 and below if it follows the Global M2 money supply correlation. BTC has already corrected more than 9% in the last four days following the rejection sub $100K level. Market analysts believe this correction will likely continue further as part of the BTC rally cooling off amid profit booking by long-term holders.

Bitcoin Price and Global M2 Money Supply Correlation

Historically, the Bitcoin chart has always followed the Global M2 Money correlation and the recent Bitcoin correction is in tune with the global liquidity parameter. Since September 2023, BTC price movement has closely mirrored the M2 supply with a lag of 70 days, as per popular analyst Joe Consorti.

In a recent update, Consorti highlighted the correlation’s accuracy, noting that Bitcoin price dropped $5,000 within a day, aligning with patterns set by global M2 weeks earlier.

Courtesy: Joe Consorti

The analyst warned that if this trend continues, Bitcoin could face a 20-25% correction from its recent highs of $99,000. However, Joe Consorti remains cautious and warned that “we’ll have to see if BTC follows the global M2 path all the way down or stops short and finds support.”

As of press time, the BTC price is trading 1.95% down at $92,864 with a market cap of $1.84 trillion and daily trading volumes soaring to $91.14 billion. The BTC open interest has also tanked 4.74% under $60 billion while options open interest surged 34% to $5.92 billion ahead of Friday’s expiry. Along with Bitcoin, altcoins are declining today as the market euphoria cools off.

BTC On-Chain Data Signals Weakness

In the latest Glassnode report, the analysts reported a surge in activity from long-term holders (LTHs), with selling pressure hitting an intense pace of 366,000 BTC per month. This marks the highest level of Bitcoin offloading by LTHs since April 2024. The analysts added:

“Since the peak in LTH supply set in September, this cohort has now distributed a non-trivial 507k BTC. This is a sizeable volume; however, it is smaller in scale relative to the 934k BTC spent during the rally into the March 2024 ATH”.

Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin Price May Crash to $88,000 and Below?

With the BTC price losing the important support of $94,000, market analysts have started giving even lower targets of $88,000 and even $80,000.

In addition to global M2 supply, crypto analyst Justin Bennett highlights critical liquidity zones for Bitcoin, with the largest block of BTC liquidity in the past 30 days positioned at $73,000, the same levels after which the Bitcoin price rally to $100K began. Bennett notes that as long as Bitcoin remains below $93,600, both $86,000 and $73,000 are key price levels to watch.

Source: Justin Bennet

According to the prediction market Kalshi, the odds of Bitcoin reaching the $100,000 milestone have dropped from 92% to 64% now. Also, the odds of Bitcoin price reaching $100K by November end tanked from 88% to now just at 18%, in the last four days. The world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder MicroStrategy stock declined 35% in just four days.

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Bhushan Akolkar

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Galaxy Research Predicts Dogecoin Price To Reach $1 In 2025

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Galaxy Research, an offshoot of Galaxy Digital Holdings has released its optimistic forecast for Dogecoin (DOGE) for the coming year. This DOGE forecast comes as part of 23 major predictions for the digital currency ecosystem in 2025. The Galaxy Research forecast also touched on Bitcoin, Ethereum and other key crypto events.

The Galaxy Research Bold Call for Dogecoin

According to the firm, the top memecoin may finally fulfill its ambitions and skyrocket to $1 by next year. The research firm said it informed Galaxy Digital’s clients that the DOGE market capitalization will hit $100 billion next year.

For reference, Dogecoin price was pegged at $0.3133 at the time of writing with a market capitalization of $46.25 billion. While the coin has key fundamentals like sustained DOGE whale accumulations, the price will have to grow by more than 100% to hit this mark.

This growth rate is not uncommon for Dogecoin, however, the crypto ecosystem now have competing memecoins with higher risk-reward ratio. To Galaxy Research, the correlation with Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E) will impact the memecoin’s valuation.

Besides Dogecoin, the research firm also projected a $150,000 price top for Bitcoin in Q1 2025. Per the projections, the flagship coin will jump as high as $185,000 by the fourth quarter.

This predictions are conservative compared to the $350,000 Bitcoin price forecast recently issued by “Rich Dad Poor Dad” Author Roberts Kiyosaki.

Fate of the Broader Crypto Market

From Galaxy Research’s lens, Dogecoin is not the only asset that will benefit from the impending market boom in 2025. After the spot Bitcoin ETF market crossed the $100 billion Assets Under Management (AUM) milestone this month, Galaxy predicted a $250 billion record in 2025.

Ethereum also secured a bullish projection from the research firm. The firm said Ether will trade above $5,500 in 2025. Thus far in this bull market cycle, Ethereum has failed to jump above the $4,000 price mark. In addition, the firm said Ethereum staking rate will exceed 50%.

According to Galaxy Research, at least one big asset management firm will allocate over 2% of its AuM to buy Bitcoin. Other aspects of the market including Ethereum Layer-2 scaling solutions, and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) among others will also see massive shifts in the coming year.

 

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Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture.

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Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Pro-XRP Lawyer John Deaton Comments On New Crypto Tax Rule

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Pro-XRP lawyer John Deaton has criticized a newly finalized crypto tax reporting rule issued by the Biden administration. The rule, titled “Gross Proceeds Reporting by Brokers that Regularly Provide Services Effectuating Digital Asset Sales,” was recently introduced by the IRS. Deaton has labeled the regulation as detrimental to decentralized finance (DeFi).

Pro-XRP Lawyer John Deaton Criticizes New IRS Rules

Following a recent announcement by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), John Deaton has raised concerns over the newly finalized crypto tax regulations. The rules require brokers to facilitate digital asset transactions, report gross proceeds, and provide customers with Form 1099. This obligation includes collecting user data such as names and addresses.

Deaton argued that these regulations unfairly target DeFi platforms. He emphasized that autonomous and permissionless smart contracts cannot comply with such requirements, as they lack centralized control or intermediaries capable of gathering user data.

The lawyer added, 

“Enforcing this kind of requirements on DeFi will stifle innovation and continue to drive developers and projects offshore.”

Additionally, most recently the crypto advocate criticized Senator Elizabeth Warren for her anti-crypto stance and alignment with the banking industry. He argued that Warren’s influence on financial policies and strict crypto regulations stifled industry growth.

Impact of Reporting Obligations on Decentralized Finance

The rule imposes broker-like responsibilities on front-end service providers interacting with users and offering decentralized protocol access. However, the regulation excludes the DeFi protocols themselves from reporting requirements. Critics, including John Deaton, believe this creates operational challenges for entities in the DeFi ecosystem.

Deaton compared the new regulation to a previous legislative effort by Senator Elizabeth Warren, which he described as a de facto ban on self-custody for Bitcoin. He stated that the rules undermine decentralization and user privacy, both fundamental to DeFi’s core principles.

Moreover, John Deaton noted that such regulations will drive developers and projects offshore, away from the United States. This shift, according to Deaton, could hinder the growth of the digital asset industry domestically.

Furthermore, he suggested that these last-minute rules might be intended to counteract the next administration’s potential pro-crypto stance.

The finalized regulations are set to take effect on January 1, 2027, giving the industry a window to adapt. The IRS has clarified that these rules aim to bring DeFi brokers under the same tax reporting obligations as traditional securities brokers. The crypto advocate urged the new Congress to prioritize reversing these rules, citing their potential to harm DeFi innovation.

Deaton comments come amid Donald Trump pledge to make the U.S. the crypto capital by ensuring all remaining Bitcoin is “made in the USA.” However, with 95% of Bitcoin already mined and the introduced crypto tax, this goal faces some challenges.

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Ronny Mugendi is a seasoned crypto journalist with four years of professional experience, having contributed significantly to various media outlets on cryptocurrency trends and technologies. With over 4000 published articles across various media outlets, he aims to inform, educate and introduce more people to the Blockchain and DeFi world. Outside of his journalism career, Ronny enjoys the thrill of bike riding, exploring new trails and landscapes.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Binance Peer To Delist XRP and Litecoin (LTC), But There’s A Catch

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XRP News: Crypto exchange Binance’s peer OKX will delist Ripple’s XRP and Litecoin (LTC) USDT-margined and crypto-margined expiry futures today. The move comes in line with current market trends and to meet users’ needs, the crypto exchange explained.

Traders may anticipate some volatility in XRP and LTC prices as a result of this news. However, analysts are optimistic about further rally in the next bull market wave.

OKX to Delist Ripple’s Coin and Litecoin Delivery Contracts

Crypto exchange OKX announced earlier that it will phase out the generation of XRP and LTC USDT-margined and crypto-margined expiry futures. This is scheduled to be completed by today, December 27.

The crypto exchange will officially delist XRP and LTC expiry futures at 8 AM UTC on December 27, 2024. Bi-weekly expiry futures and Bi-quarterly expiry futures were ceased in earlier months by the platform. It also cleared that the currently listed expiry futures will remain unaffected until their respective expiration dates.

Amid this delisting news by the top crypto exchange Binance’s peer OKX, there may be some volatility in XRP and LTC prices. This may happen due to traders reacting to the developments. Investors need to keep an eye on trading volumes and market sentiments for any change in direction.

XRP and LTC Prices Under Pressure

XRP price today jumped 0.5% and 11% in a week, with the price currently trading near $2.20. The 24-hour low and high are $2.13 and $2.23, respectively. Furthermore, the trading volume has continued to decline this week, with a 20% jump in the last 24 hours, indicating a decline in interest among traders.

XRP priceXRP price

Ripple’s native coin XRP has shown similarities in price movements to its historical chart patterns of 2014-2017. A breakout and positive news can push the XRP price beyond the $20 level.

Meanwhile, Litecoin price is also trading sideways near $104. The price changed hands at $104.05, after a more than 20% rally this week. The 24-hour low and high are $101.16 and $104.16, respectively. Total LTC future open interests dropped 1% in the last 24 hours. The 4.38 million LTC futures OI are now valued at $457.26 million, signaling cautious trading activity.

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Varinder Singh

Varinder has over 10 years of experience and is known as a seasoned leader for his involvement in the fintech sector. With over 5 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments, he has experienced two Bitcoin halving events making him key opinion leader in the space.

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Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, technology enthusiast, Varinder has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000+ news, articles, and papers.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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