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Bitcoin Ready To Rally After Hitting Same ‘Extreme Fear’ Levels of COVID Crash and 2022 Bear Market: Trader

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A widely followed crypto analyst says that one metric suggests Bitcoin (BTC) is gearing up for a massive breakout.

In a new strategy session, pseudonymous crypto trader Inmortal tells his 230,900 followers on the social media platform X that the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is flashing bullish for digital assets as it has reached “extreme fear,” a level seen during historical market collapses.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is a metric that gauges the fear or greed levels in the market with a reading of extreme fear indicating oversold conditions and a reading of extreme greed suggesting overbought conditions.

“Fear is at same levels we saw during Covid-19 crash and 2022 bottom. All of this while US announced a Bitcoin reserve.”

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Source: Inmortal/X

He also says that based on historic precedence market sentiment may remain in “extreme fear” anywhere from a month-and-a-half to about five months.

“Last cycle we visited extreme fear three times, and these periods lasted between 50 and 160 days.”

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Source: Inmortal/X

The analyst believes Bitcoin is repeating a similar pattern from 2024, when BTC retested a support level that erased gains from a bullish run before taking off to print new all-time highs.

“We doing this again.”

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Source: Inmortal/X

Lastly, the analyst says Ethereum (ETH) may be on the verge of a massive breakout similar to what Bitcoin did in 2020.

“I should accept that it’s all over, as others have already done. I’m not saying it will happen, but if the bull run is not finished, we should see something similar to this.”

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Source: Inmortal/X

Bitcoin is trading for $82,874 at time of writing, flat on the day. Meanwhile, ETH is trading for $1,881 at time of writing, down 3.5% in the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Bitcoin Needs Weekly Close Above This Level To Confirm Market Bottom, Analyst Says

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In an X post published yesterday, crypto analyst Matthew Hyland highlighted that according to the weekly timeframe chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to test the support level between $69,000 to $74,000 in the coming months. 

Is The Bitcoin Bottom In?

Hyland noted that BTC’s weekly resistance level currently hovers around the $90,500 level. The analyst emphasized that if BTC has a weekly close above $89,000, then it may indicate that the market bottom is in. He added:

If we do get a weekly close above this area ($89,000 to $91,000), I think the low is in for Bitcoin, and we are not going down to this area.

To recall, BTC last traded above $89,000 earlier this month on March 9. From there, the cryptocurrency experienced a breakdown to lower price levels, primarily due to rising macroeconomic uncertainties due to US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs on numerous countries.

According to data from cryptocurrency exchange Binance, after failing to defend the $89,000 level, BTC ended up falling as low as $76,606 on March 10. Since then, the digital asset has made slight recovery, buoyed by lower than anticipated US CPI inflation data and is currently trading in the low $80,000 level.

BTC Faces Strong Resistance At $86,100

Similarly, in a recent Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, analyst Yonsei_dent highlighted the significance of short-term holder (STH) Realized Price in determining the digital asset’s future price trajectory.

For the uninitiated, Bitcoin’s Realized Price refers to the average acquisition cost of investors while STH refers to holders who have held BTC for less than six months. These investors are typically more sensitive to market movements.

The analyst remarked that the weighted average Realized Price for STHs who have held BTC for one week to six months lies around $91,800, suggesting that these investors are currently in a loss position.

The three months to six months STH cohort has a Realized Price of $86,100, denoting a strong resistance level for the digital asset in the short-term. Notably, this group of holders has the highest share of Realized Cap among STHs, hinting that selling pressure could magnify around this price level.

With regard to major support levels, long-term holders (LTH) with a holding time of six months to twelve months have a Realized Price of $63,700. The post adds:

The highest volume profile over the past year is concentrated around $64,000. This reinforces the idea that this area could serve as a strong support level.

If BTC fails to clear some of its immediate resistance levels, there is a high possibility that it may follow Arthur Hayes prediction of finding a bottom around $70,000. That said, several indicators suggest that BTC may be undervalued at its current market price. At press time, BTC trades at $81,745, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

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BTC trades at $81,745 on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView.com



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California Legislators Endorse Bitcoiner For $500 Billion Pension Board

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California Legislators have endorsed bitcoin nonprofit founder Dom Bei in his campaign for a seat on the board of the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS).

CalPERS oversees a massive $500 billion pension fund serving over 2 million public sector retirees. If elected, Bei would be the first openly pro-bitcoin voice on the 13-member board.

Bei is a 16-year veteran firefighter who founded Proof of Workforce, a nonprofit providing bitcoin education to workers, unions and pension funds. He previously served on Santa Monica’s pension advisory board and played a key role in the city’s firefighters union, becoming one of the first to hold bitcoin.

Through his outreach work, Bei has assisted multiple unions, associations and pensions in exploring and adopting bitcoin strategies. This includes spearheading education efforts for the Wisconsin Retirement System.

He stated, “Now more than ever, pension participants and stakeholders need to engage with with their pension funds. I am running for the CalPERS Board of Trustees with the goal of being a conduit for engagement and transparency, while advocating for the long term health and success of the nation’s largest pension fund.”

He received endorsements from a wide range of supporters including the California State Senator Ben Allen, Tony Vazquez of the California Board of Equalization, Santa Monica Mayor Lana Negrete, Vancouver Mayor Ken Sim, President of the Santa Monica Firefighters Local 1109 Garrett Childers and others. This diverse coalition demonstrates the broad appeal of Bei’s message and qualifications.

CalPERS faces growing headwinds with its traditional 60/40 portfolio allocation, struggling amid inflation and rising interest rates. With ballots going out in late August, Bei’s bitcoin credentials could resonate with California’s public workforce seeking new strategies to shore up their retirement security.

His campaign website accepts donations in both fiat and bitcoin.





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‘There’s Every Reason To Be Cautious’: Trader Issues Alert on Bitcoin Amid Major Resistance – Here’s His Outlook

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A closely followed crypto analyst and trader is warning that Bitcoin (BTC) is at high risk of a deeper correction.

In a new post, crypto trader Justin Bennett tells his 115,900 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin’s market structure is weakening as it fails to regain $92,000 as support.

“How do some people still not get it? Bitcoin closed February below $92,000. That happened. There’s nothing else to wait for. So far, March has found resistance there. As long as BTC is below $92,000 on a monthly closing basis, there’s every reason to be cautious on a macro level.”

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Source: Justin Bennett/X

The analyst says even if Bitcoin shows some market strength this month, if it fails to close March above $92,000, the flagship digital asset remains at risk of a collapse.

“Nice reclaim of BTC $81,500 + retest. US CPI (Consumer Price Index) came in lower than forecast after some hot January numbers, so most likely some relief from risk assets. I can see $88,000 and possibly a $92,000 sweep, but from there, all eyes shift back to the February breakdown I’ve discussed.”

Bennett also says that based on Bitcoin’s historic correlation with the performance of stocks, a market bottom is not likely yet in for BTC as the S&P 500 is correcting.

“And if the S&P monthly structure since the Great Financial Crisis (that I’ve shared 117 times) is any indication, we still have a ways to go before we can start talking about a meaningful bottom.”

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Source: Justin Bennett/X

Bitcoin is trading for $80,916 at time of writing, down 3.2% in the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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