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Cardano price could surge to $2 as whale purchases rise

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Cardano price has remained in a tight range over the past few weeks as market participants await the next catalyst.

Cardano (ADA) was trading at $0.760, down by 43% from its highest level in December last year. It has underperformed other popular coins like Mantra (OM) and Cronos (CRO) this month. 

Cardano has three main catalysts that could propel it to $2 in the coming months. First, there are signs that whales are accumulating the coin in anticipation of more gains ahead. Data shows that whales have acquired over 240 million ADA coins in the past week, valued at over $182 million. The whale purchasing trend appears to be gaining momentum.

Second, Cardano could benefit from the likely approval of a spot ADA exchange-traded fund by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Grayscale Tuttle Capital Management have already submitted applications.

An ADA fund would be a positive development for the coin, as it could lead to more inflows from institutional investors.

Third, data shows that more investors are staking their Cardano coins, signaling that they intend to hold them long-term. The staking market cap has jumped by 8.1% to $16.1 billion, while the yield stands at 2.60%.

Cardano price technical analysis

cardano price
ADA price chart | Source: crypto.news

The other catalyst for ADA price is that it is in the second phase of the Elliott Wave pattern. This phase is characterized by a brief pullback, followed by the third bullish wave — typically the longest.

Cardano has likely completed the second phase and is poised to enter the third wave, which could push it to the psychological level of $2. This target aligns with the 38.2% retracement level and represents a 160% increase from the current price.

Cardano remains above the 50-week Exponential Moving Average and is forming a bullish flag pattern, a bullish continuation signal comprising a vertical line and a flag-like consolidation.

However, this prediction is based on the weekly chart, meaning the pattern could take time to fully develop. The flag section of the bullish flag has already taken more than three months to form.



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Cardano Price Eyes $0.85 as Whales Scoop Up 240 Million ADA

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Cardano (ADA) continues to show signs of recovery, with whales significantly accumulating the token. Recently, whale addresses holding between 100 million and 1 billion ADA have purchased over 240 million ADA, worth approximately $175 million. This surge in whale activity suggests confidence in Cardano’s next performance, and the next key price target for ADA could be $0.85.

Whale Activity Supports ADA Price Recovery

Whales have been playing a significant role in the recent price movement of Cardano. In the last one week, the number of whale addresses is on a rise, and they have been accumulating ADA by buying it at higher volumes at a cheaper price. Such a move by the large investors means they have confidence in the asset in the long-run and an expectation of a change in trend, in this case a positive one.

ImageImage

The 240 million ADA purchased by whales serves as a strong indicator that large investors are positioning themselves for a future price increase.

Concurrently, based on the Mean Coin Age, long-term holders have not been selling the ADA tokens therefore they do not consider it a dump asset but rather a token with a massive rally potential. This could help contain the price support for ADA at higher levels and avoid sharp declines in the near term.

Cardano Price Struggles to Break Resistance

Nevertheless, the bullish indications from whale accumulation have been met with a pushback at $0.77 in price. In the previous weeks, ADA price has not managed to trade beyond this level, therefore, it cannot be considered a full recovery. Therefore, the $0.77 area represents the key level that will determine the formation of an uptrend since crossing a price higher than this level will unlock further buy signals.

There is a lack of consistent buying pressure in Cardano’s recent price action that hasn’t allowed ADA to break past significant resistance levels. However, the support from whales and long-term holders may help ADA price to avoid this situation. At press time, Cardano price was trading at $0.7476, a 1.20% rally from the intraday support of $0.7222.

If ADA price can cross above $0.77 then the next level of significant resistance may be $0.85 in order to pump for another round of higher price action.

Will ADA Price Soar To $5? Analyst Weighs In

Crypto analyst Javon Marks suggests that in accordance with the prior cycles it is possible to see the next move of ADA price towards the first level of the 1.272 Fibonacci extension, which in this case is $5.36. This target would signify over 6.8 times increase from the current position and more than 585% increase in the price rally.

ImageImageSource: X

In the shorter term, the 1.272 Fibonacci extension of the current base suggests a target of approximately $3.95. This target is in line with other past bullish runs that Cardano has exhibited where most of the movements occur after the formation of consolidation patterns. 

Moreover, according to crypto analyst LLuciano_BTC, the Cardano price is showing signs of a bullish flag breakout after a period of consolidation. If the ADA price breaks above the descending resistance with strong volume, it could trigger a significant upside move, potentially toward $1.80.

 

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Kelvin Munene Murithi

Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Analyst Says Crypto Whales Loading Up on Ethereum, Accumulating $815,514,345 in ETH in Just Five Days

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A crypto analyst says deep-pocketed investors are snapping up the top layer-1 platform Ethereum (ETH) amid the marketwide digital asset correction.

Trader Ali Martinez tells his 132,900 followers on the social media platform X that whales gobbled up more than $815.514 million worth of ETH in less than a week.

“Whales have bought more than 420,000 Ethereum ETH in [five days]!”

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Source: Ali Martinez/X

Martinez is also keeping a close watch on Ethereum’s In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) metric – which classifies crypto addresses as either profiting, breaking even, or losing money – to determine support and resistance levels for ETH.

According to Martinez, ETH is currently trading in a narrow range between stiff support and resistance zones.

“Ethereum ETH key levels to watch! On-chain data reveals $1,870 as the strongest support and $2,050 as its toughest resistance!”

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Source: Ali Martinez/X

At time of writing, ETH is trading for $1,941.

Turning to Bitcoin (BTC), the trader believes that the crypto king is poised to witness tactical rallies after breaching the horizontal resistance of an ascending triangle pattern.

“Bitcoin BTC is breaking out! The target is $90,000 as long as the $84,000 support holds.”

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Source: Ali Martinez/X

An ascending triangle pattern may be considered a bullish reversal structure if the asset soars above its horizontal resistance.

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $84,288.

Turning to Ethereum rival Cardano, the analyst predicts rallies for ADA if the altcoin takes out the diagonal resistance of a triangle pattern at around $0.75.

“Cardano ADA is about to break free! Busting out of this triangle will trigger a 15% price move.”

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Source: Ali Martinez/X

A triangle is typically viewed as a consolidation pattern as it signals a potential breakout in either direction. The asset is considered bullish if the price moves above the diagonal resistance and bearish if it tumbles below the diagonal trend line.

At time of writing, ADA is worth $0.744.

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Deep Dive on the Trump Reserve Token Whose Blockchain Ignores TVL

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Trading volumes for Cardano’s ADA token have exploded of late with daily figures averaging around $720 million in February while exceeding an average of $1.4 billion in March.

This rise was spurred by a social media post by U.S. President Donald Trump, who mentioned ADA as one of the tokens that would be included in the nation’s strategic crypto reserve.

Although Cardano is enjoying its moment of mainstream attention, the layer-1 blockchain has been quietly emerging as a crypto juggernaut since it went live in late 2017.

Adoption metrics

The ADA token has a market cap of $25.6 billion but what’s more notable is what’s under the hood; data from Google shows that the Cardano blockchain has more than 5 million unique wallets and 1.3 million delegators, with thousands of new wallets being created per day.

The blockchain also has $329 million in total value locked (TVL), although Cardano Foundation CEO Frederik Gregaard believes that metric is overemphasized by crypto communities.

Instead, he points to “non-value transactions” associated with people conducting real-world – albeit non-financial – activities on blockchain rails: Minting a decentralized ID, tracking metadata, recording documents, that sort of thing. Cardano’s a hotbed of such activity, he said.

“I’m fighting to ensure that 50% of the activity is a non-value transaction,” Gregaard told CoinDesk.

One example of this is Cardano’s partnership with Veritree, which saw the Cardano community donate over 1 million ADA tokens to plant 1 million mangrove trees in Kenya, with each donation verified and tracked on the blockchain.

Last week, the Cardano Foundation also announced a deal with SERPRO — Brazil’s largest state-owned IT company – to accelerate blockchain adoption in South America. SERPRO processes 33 billion transactions annually for 90% of Brazil’s federal administration. Additionally, 8,000 employees will also receive blockchain training.

Cardano’s perspective differs from the likes of Solana and the slew of layer-2 networks like Base that pride themselves on total value locked (TVL) and hype-driven movements like memecoins and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).

TVL on Solana grew from $2.2 billion to more than $10 billion in 2024, Cardano meanwhile zipped from a modest $445 million to $537 million in the same period.

DeFi on Cardano

Whilst Cardano Foundation’s CEO said his focus is on real-world use cases, the blockchain still boasts a bustling DeFi ecosystem under the surface.

Minswap is Cardano’s native decentralized exchange (DEX). Its cumulative trading volume hit $3.4 billion this month with December alone notching a near-record $271 million, DefiLlama data shows.

There are also a number of lending protocols including Liqwid, Lenfi and Optim Finance, with TVL across Cardano’s lending sector exceeding $116 million.

But the key part of Gregaard’s mission, he insists, is not to exceed that 50% level for financialized transactions. He sees it as staying in line with the Cardano Foundation’s non-profit ethos, even if it limits potential exponential growth of hype-fueled movements like memecoins.

Cardano Foundation vs Hoskinson vs Emurgo

Fulfilling that ethos has its own challenges, mostly because the blockchain is run by three main entities: the Cardano Foundation, Charles Hoskinson’s IOG and Emurgo. The latter two are commercial businesses, which can cause friction between them and the foundation.

“The intent of having a non-profit was that you can optimize decision-making based on 10 years, it’s different than if you optimize decision-making tomorrow,” Gregaard added.

Some of the friction was highlighted by an anonymous Cardano community member in December, who penned an email on a path forward and detailed how the entities running Cardano were at loggerheads.

“CF’s recent burst of activity is part of a larger strategic play—an attempt to undermine Charles, IOG, Intersect, and the broader governance roadmap,” the email read.

“It’s been a long and difficult road, but I do agree with some of the sentiments of the whistleblower,” Hoskinson wrote in response on X.

Gregaard, however, was more diplomatic about any potential rift.

“There’s no monetary exchange going on between us, but we do work very closely together,” he said.

“We sometimes go to [a conference] and we share a booth. So we come together and we sponsor booths together, that’s the closest you will get to any affiliates, which is very different compared to both the Ethereum foundation or Tezos foundation, where they basically control the Treasury and control the disbursements.”

“On the flip side, we [Cardano Foundation] are the liability umbrella for the community and the blockchain, which means that we are the one who interacts with the SEC and the CSDC and the FMA, and I negotiated MICA with the European Parliament.”





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