CryptoQuant
CryptoQuant CEO Warns Not To Short XRP Due To Insider Whales
Published
1 month agoon
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adminXRP has experienced an extraordinary surge in recent weeks, with its price skyrocketing by 380% over the past 23 days. In just the last four days, the price jumped 75%, reaching a peak of $2.87 on December 2. This rapid ascent appears to be fueled by significant buying activity from large investors, commonly known as “whales.”
Ki Young Ju, CEO of on-chain analysis firm CryptoQuant, highlighted that these whales are primarily operating through the US based exchange Coinbase. On December 2, he pointed out that “Coinbase whales are driving this XRP rally,” noting that Coinbase’s minute-level price premium ranged from 3% to 13% during the surge.
In contrast, Upbit—a Korean exchange with more XRP investors than Binance—showed no significant premium, suggesting the buying pressure is predominantly originating from the United States.
On his alternative X account (@kate_young_ju), Ki Young Ju hinted at possible insider activity influencing the market dynamics, stating, “Someone knew something.”
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Today, he cautioned traders against shorting XRP. “Shorting XRP right now seems risky, imo. $25B XRP deposit before the pump might look like market manipulation but could simply be front-running. This insider whale might know something extremely bullish about XRP, such as spot ETF approval,” he speculated.
He further shared a chart “XRP: Retail Activity Through Trading Frequency Surge (Spot & Futures), which indicates that retail trading activity for XRP has surpassed the highs of 2021 and is nearing levels last seen in January 2018, when XRP reached its all-time high of $3.92.
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Observing the one-year cumulative volume delta (CVD) of taker buy/sell volume, he remarked: “1-year CVD of Taker Buy/Sell Volume for XRP shows a historic rebound. Whales are aggressively using market orders, driving overwhelming demand.”
A 700% Rallye Incoming For XRP Against BTC?
From a technical analysis perspective, crypto analyst Jacob Canfield emphasizes the importance of examining the XRP/BTC pairing. He notes that XRP is currently at a critical resistance zone on the BTC pair chart (XRPBTC), having just reached the $2.75 level on the USDT pair—a resistance point since December 2019.
Canfield suggests that a breakout here could signal a potential 240% move back to key resistance zones from 2017, 2018, and 2019. “If we get real FOMO, then we could be setting up for another 700% move to all-time high against Bitcoin,” he commented, acknowledging the “two of the strongest monthly candles for XRP that we’ve seen in over 5 years.”
Looking at shorter time-frames of the XRP/USD pair, Canfield highlights the utility of support and resistance levels to identify new entry points in these time frames. “In bull markets, you need to use low time frame support/resistance to find new entries. 5 min/15 min are the best. XRP as an example – $2.20 was the clear S/R invalidation. Base of the biggest green candle = base of impulse. Usually the best place to re-enter a trade.”
At press time, XRP traded at $2.63.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin Plunges Below $100K Despite Positive Coinbase Premium Signal – What’s Next?
Published
21 hours agoon
January 8, 2025By
adminBitcoin (BTC) has seen bullish but unsteady price action in early 2025, with recent data highlighting shifting sentiment among US investors. After briefly crossing the $102,000 mark yesterday, the asset has struggled to maintain upward momentum, shedding most of its recent gains as it stands at just below $100,000.
These developments coincide with critical insights from key on-chain metrics that offer a clearer view of Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory.
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Bitcoin’s Price Struggles Despite Positive Coinbase Premium Index Signal
A CryptoQuant analyst known as Burak Kesmeci recently shared insights on the Coinbase Premium Index (CPI), which turned positive for the first time in 2025. The CPI measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other global exchanges, serving as a crucial indicator of US investor sentiment.
3 days ago, Coinbase Premium Index crossed SMA14 for the 1st time in 26 days—Bitcoin is now up 4% to $102K.
In Nov 2024, a similar move saw Bitcoin rally from $69K to $108K.
U.S. buyers could be back in action. pic.twitter.com/XtAlHUzzvv
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 6, 2025
Alongside this positive shift, a notable 4,012 BTC outflow from Coinbase was recorded, signaling renewed buying interest among US-based investors. Historically, such patterns have been associated with a rise in buying pressure, often laying the groundwork for potential price surges.
Despite these positive signals, Bitcoin’s price performance remains restrained. After briefly surpassing $102,000 on December 6, Bitcoin retreated and now trades below $100,000, reflecting a modest 3.3% decrease over the past 24 hours.
This price mark from the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization puts it at approximately 8.9% below its all-time high of $108,135, achieved in December 2024.
Bitcoin Faces Key Resistance Levels
Notably, the current price action from BTC suggests that while buying pressure exists, it may not yet be sufficient to trigger another strong rally.
According to cryptocurrency analyst Ali, Bitcoin maintains a critical support zone between $95,400 and $98,400, where over 1.77 million addresses collectively hold 1.53 million BTC.
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This support zone remains essential for stabilizing Bitcoin’s price amid market uncertainty. Conversely, resistance appears limited, with only 107,000 BTC supply positioned between $104,700 and $105,770. This relatively thin resistance could pave the way for upward movement if buying pressure intensifies.
#Bitcoin sits well above an important support zone between $95,400 and $98,400, where 1.77 million addresses bought over 1.53 million $BTC. However, there isn’t significant resistance ahead, only a minimal supply wall of 107,000 #BTC between $104,700 and $105,770. pic.twitter.com/MEATFegTV2
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 7, 2025
Meanwhile, zooming out, analysts remain bullish overall on Bitcoin. Captain Faibik for instance has recently shared his outlook on BTC suggesting that the asset is still poised for a rally to $112,000.
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Bitcoin
Analysts Highlight Investor Sentiment Shift As Bitcoin Approaches $98,000
Published
6 days agoon
January 3, 2025By
adminAfter weeks of consistent price correction, Bitcoin latest performance now appears to be demonstrating a rebound as the asset has earlier today reclaimed the $96,000 price mark now approaching the $98,000 level.
As Bitcoin approaches this key level, data shows that the top crypto has shown mixed signals across key market indicators, reflecting a subtle yet significant shift in investor sentiment.
Particularly, analysts have identified specific patterns in funding rates and premium metrics, which serve as vital tools for interpreting market sentiment and predicting potential price movements.
Bitcoin Current Funding Rates And What It Signals
A notable observation by CryptoQuant analyst Mignolet highlights how funding rate movements reflect retail investor sentiment. According to Mignolet analysis, funding rates, which represent the cost of holding long or short positions in perpetual futures contracts, are exhibiting nuanced movements.
Historically, during moments of strong resistance, funding rates tend to decline, signaling subdued sentiment and caution among investors.
In late October 2024, when Bitcoin was approaching its all-time high, funding rates showed similar behavior, reflecting investor hesitation despite rising prices. However, the current scenario presents a contrasting sentiment.
The analyst disclosed that while corrective price movements have emerged, investors are viewing these pullbacks as buying opportunities rather than reasons for fear or contraction.
This subtle psychological difference could influence market dynamics significantly, potentially paving the way for sustained upward momentum. Mignolet wrote:
Similar corrective candles have appeared, and from a technical perspective, this position might seem even more precarious. However, the sentiment is different. People now view this as an opportunity and believe it’s a reasonable position to buy. I believe this subtle difference in sentiment has the potential to produce very significant results.
Coinbase Premium Indicator Reaches Historic Low
Another key observation comes from the Coinbase Premium Indicator, a metric that measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase (a US-based exchange) and other global exchanges.
Coinbase Premium Index Hits a 12-Month Low!
“This drop not only signals a lack of institutional demand but also underscores the cautious sentiment among U.S. investors.” – By @burak_kesmeci
Read more https://t.co/nIRWlciLwo pic.twitter.com/LYfKmNM7t5
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 2, 2025
Recently, this premium dropped to its lowest level since January 2023, a period that marked a significant market bottom. Historically, when this premium turned negative during bullish phases, it often preceded a price rebound.
Analysts suggest that such negative sentiment from US investors often triggers strong buying pressure, which can reverse short-term downward trends and fuel long-term price gains.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) Kimchi Premium Spikes as South Korea’s Political Turmoil Weighs on Won
Published
2 weeks agoon
December 27, 2024By
adminSouth Koreans are paying a full 3% more to buy bitcoin (BTC) than their U.S. counterparts as they seek protection from the plummeting won, CryptoQuant data show.
Priced in won, the largest cryptocurrency is valued at 145,000,000 ($98,600) on the country’s largest crypto exchange, Upbit. That compares with about $96,700 on Coinbase (COIN).
The move follows a vote by the South Korean parliament to impeach Han Duck-soo, the prime minister and acting president, just weeks after impeaching President Yoon Suk Yeol. The won slumped a 15-year low against the dollar.
“This unfolding saga is fundamentally about election fraud and the erosion of trust in South Korea’s National Election Commission (NEC),” said Jeff Park, head of alpha strategies at investment manager Bitwise, in a post on X. “The use of impeachment as a political tool, combined with allegations of foreign election interference, underscores the fragility of democracy in the face of disinformation. This is not just a Korean story; it’s a warning for democracies worldwide.”
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