Bitcoin price analysis
Historical Trend Hints Bitcoin Price Still 25% Away From November Peak
Published
2 weeks agoon
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adminThe cryptocurrency market maintained its bullish momentum during Monday’s U.S. market session, with Bitcoin price continuing to hit new highs. This recovery trend rally, backed by whale accumulation and increasing trading volume, accentuates the bull’s conviction for the prolonged uptrend. Has BTC reached its November peak, or is there room for further growth?
With crypto market today, the BTC price had traded at $81,586, with an intraday gain of 1.444%. According to Coingecko, the asset’s market cap surged to $1.62 Trillion, while the 24-hour trading volume wavers at $78.8 Billion.
Bitcoin Price Poised for Parabolic Growth with Critical Weekly Close
Historically, November has been a strong month for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, often delivering significant gains. According to Coinglass data, Bitcoin recorded a 450% surge in November 2013, followed by 53% in 2017 and 43% in 2020, solidifying its reputation as a bullish period.
On average, Bitcoin price prediction has recorded a 44% growth in November over the past decade. As of November 2024, the current price trajectory delivered a 17.78% surge but still trailed 25% behind average growth potential.
If history repeats, the BTC price could extend its recovery past the $1,00,000 psychological level.
BTC Exchange Outflows Surge as Investors Embrace HODLing
In a recent tweet, renowned analyst Ali Martinez highlights a substantial outflow of Bitcoins from crypto exchanges amid a recent rally. According to Glassnode data, 40,000 BTC ( worth approximately $3.28 billion) have been withdrawn from exchanges within the past week.
This significant outflow reflects a declining exchange balance, which could indicate increased long-term holding sentiment among investors. The BTC price rally backed aggressive accumulation trend bolstered the potential for a higher rally.
Over 40,000 #Bitcoin $BTC — worth about $3.28 billion — have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past week! pic.twitter.com/ZYSZ9Kt1ok
— Ali (@ali_charts) November 11, 2024
BTC Price Analysis Hints Major Breakout From Flag Pattern
Over the past seven months, the Bitcoin price witnessed a stubborn consolidation with the formation of a flag pattern. This sideways trend, resonating between two trendlines, typically benefits the market bulls to recuperate the bullish momentum.
Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election acted as a necessary catalyst for the coin price to give a massive breakout flag resistance. Since last, the coin price showed a significant rally from $67,813 to $82,350, registering a 21.4% growth.
If the pattern holds true, the BTC price could reach $1,02,000 high.
On the contrary, a Bitcoin price could soon witness an occasional pullback to replenish its buying pressure, potentially selling support at key daily EMAs 20 and 50.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
As of November 2024, Bitcoin has surged by 17.78%. However, it still trails 25% behind its historical average growth potential
The flag pattern formation, observed over the past seven months, typically signals a continuation of the bullish trend
The recent rally is backed by whale accumulation, increasing trading volumes, and significant exchange outflows
Sahil Mahadik
Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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Analyst Reveals Bitcoin’s ‘Chopsolidation’ Phase Nears End—Are New Highs in Sight?
Published
2 weeks agoon
November 6, 2024By
adminBitcoin market trend may be on the verge of a significant shift, according to a recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant analyst Percival.
Percival described Bitcoin’s current phase as “chopsolidation,” a term used to describe a period of minimal directional movement where price consolidation occurs without a clear trend.
This period, he suggests, may be drawing to a close, with an imminent market movement expected in the coming weeks. The Chopsolidations metric, as Percival notes, doesn’t predict the direction of Bitcoin’s next move.
Instead, it assesses the exhaustion level of the current trend, helping to determine whether Bitcoin’s price is due for a reversal or continuation. Percival’s analysis highlights that while there are indicators of strength at various points, the market remains divided on Bitcoin’s next direction.
So far, some investors believe that recent accumulation is sufficient to push Bitcoin past its all-time high, while others expect a more cautious upward movement or even a potential correction.
Assessing Bitcoin’s Support Levels And Potential Price Rebound
Percival’s analysis further points to two key periods in September and October where Bitcoin established notable support levels, marked by brief but significant price stability zones.
These areas, which he identified as orange zones on his chart (shared above), served as points where Bitcoin’s price “reloaded” — essentially, zones where demand was strong enough to halt price declines temporarily.
With the current price hovering near these support levels, Percival suggests that the market may find a new bottom if Bitcoin faces any short-term downward pressure. This support could create a foundation for upward movement in the weeks ahead.
The Chopsolidations indicator, according to the CryptoQuant analyst’s breakdown, is showing signs of readiness for a strong trend based on weekly and monthly readings.
Although he did not specify a particular directional bias, he noted that the current market strength could be enough to drive Bitcoin’s price upwards if additional demand or a favorable macroeconomic environment aligns with market sentiment.
This trend could play out over the short term, where sufficient market activity might lift Bitcoin’s price.
Bitcoin Continuous Struggle To Make A Major Move
So far, Bitcoin’s price has continued to face a struggle to make a significant move, especially to the upside. Instead, the asset has seen a form of calmness in volatility following its recent decline below the $70,000 price mark.
Particularly, at the time of writing, the asset currently trades for $68,721—a price region BTC has remained quite stable for the past 3 days since its most recent decline.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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Dormant Bitcoin Wallet From 2012 Awakens, Moving Millions—BTC Price To Dip?
Published
3 weeks agoon
October 30, 2024By
adminA Bitcoin wallet containing around 749 BTC, equivalent to roughly $53.2 million, has been reactivated after nearly 12 years of inactivity.
This sudden move in funds was detected in the early hours of Tuesday, as blockchain tracking platforms such as Mempool and Whale Alert recorded a transfer of approximately 159.2 BTC, valued at $11.3 million, from this long-dormant wallet.
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The last known transaction from this address was back in November 2012, when Bitcoin’s price was around $10, making the wallet’s balance worth below $9,000.
💤 💤 💤 💤 💤 💤 A dormant address containing 749 #BTC (53,227,433 USD) has just been activated after 12.0 years (worth 7,974 USD in 2012)!https://t.co/5SzBYeKlk1
— Whale Alert (@whale_alert) October 29, 2024
Details Of The Moved Millions
Data from on-chain monitoring platform Mempool, shows that the recent transaction was conducted at 7:28 a.m. UTC. Of the 159.2 BTC transferred, about 124.2 BTC, or $8.8 million, was sent back to the sender’s address, labeled as “change” by blockchain analytics firm Blockchair.
The remaining 35 BTC, or $2.4 million, was transferred to an unknown address. Details surrounding the wallet’s owner and their intentions remain unidentified, leaving the crypto community speculating on the motive behind the transaction and the identity of the long-term Bitcoin holder.
However, the timing of the awakening of this dormant wallet is quite noteworthy. It comes at a time when Bitcoin has been seeing consistent increases in price in recent weeks. Particularly, the asset has finally broken above the $70,000 resistance with a current trading price of $72,638 up by 5.3% in the past day.
Notably, movements from long-inactive wallets have historically generated intrigue, with crypto enthusiasts theorizing that these could be the actions of early adopters, lost-and-found wallets, or entities choosing strategic timing to engage with the market.
Although the reason behind this wallet move of its BTC isn’t certain, reactivating wallets like this one especially as Bitcoin continues to surge in price might indicate shifts in holders’ strategies, driven by favorable market conditions or other personal financial objectives.
Bitcoin Onchain Performance
Awakening of wallet aside, Bitcoin has been seeing quite an interesting and positive trend behind the scenes, especially regarding on-chain metrics. So far, analysts have highlighted several BTC metrics that are now flashing a positive momentum for the asset, suggesting further price increases.
For instance, yesterday, a CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost disclosed that Bitcoin hash ribbons have flashed a buy signal. Darkfost noted:
Historically, purchasing Bitcoin during a Hash Ribbons signal has aligned with strong long-term returns. Recently, we saw another signal following the major one this past summer.
Another metric suggesting price increase for Bitcoin highlighted by a CryptoQuant analyst named BinhDang is the Stablecoin Supply Ratio Oscillator (SSRO). According to BinhDang in a recent post, this metric has bottomed to levels not seen in 2022. A move that preceded a rally.
Notably, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio Oscillator provides insights into Bitcoin market demand by analyzing Bitcoin’s market cap against that of major stablecoins.
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The oscillator measures the extent to which stablecoins, commonly used for Bitcoin purchases, flow into Bitcoin and thus signal purchasing interest. A low value of the metric signals more stablecoins are being converted to Bitcoin, therefore suggesting increasing demand.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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Why Max Keiser Predicts Bitcoin Price Will Hit $220,000 Soon
Published
1 month agoon
October 19, 2024By
adminMax Keiser, a renowned Bitcoin maximalist, doubled down on his Bitcoin price bet with a recent bullish forecast posted to X (formerly Twitter). According to this prediction, Bitcoin will skyrocket to $220,000, and gold will play a crucial role in this move. This optimistic call from Keiser comes as BTC tagged the $69,000 level on Friday.
Max Keiser’s $220,000 Bitcoin Price Bet
Max Keiser’s love for BTC explains his optimism around his recent Bitcoin price prediction of $220,000. The recent tweet also considers gold’s influence on Bitcoin, which makes sens considering the high correlation between Bitcoin and gold.
The new ATH Gold price is predicting Bitcoin will trade over $220,000 very soon.
— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) October 18, 2024
He expects gold hitting a new all-time high of $2,722.54 per ounce as of October 19 could fuel the largest crypto asset’s rally as well. This optimism makes sense, considering Bitcoin’s ATH has historically preceded substantial rallies in gold.
This prediction is not Keiser’s first rodeo, he has been forecasting BTC’s future since 2013. In 2014, it was “Bitcoin will replace fiat currencies,” and during the 2017 bull run, Keiser expected BTC price to hit $5,000.
The year-to-date performance shows Bitcoin is up 61%. To make things more interesting, BTC has shot up by 40% in the past 75 days.
While the prediction is optimistic, BTC needs to rally more than triple from the current level of $69K to hit Keiser’s target. Will Bitcoin price hit $220,000?
Will Bitcoin Hit $220,000?
Here are three reasons why it is likely for Bitcoin price to hit $220,000 this cycle.
- Clear regulation surrounding Bitcoin: The regulation surrounding Bitcoin has become clear after BlackRock filed for ETF. Moreover, the US SEC also approved Bitcoin options on Friday, October 18, 2024. All of these developments only increase the adoption of BTC, making it fundamentally strong and ready to push higher.
- Favorable macroeconomic conditions: The US Federal Reserve’s dovish pivot, marked by interest rate cuts and cooling inflation only adds fuel to Keiser’s forecast. The shift in monetary policy from quantitative tightening to easing has a bullish effect on risk-on assets like Bitcoin. Although Keiser’s prediction may seem far-fetched, it does seem likely if the Fed continues on this path.
- Breakout from seven-month consolidation: The past seven months have seen BTC consolidate in a downtrending structure. But BTC’s recent uptick to $69,000 supports the resurgence of bulls and a potential start to the bull run.
Experts Echo Max Keiser’s Optimistic BTC Price Prediction
Here are some expert predictions that support Max Keiser’s forecast of Bitcoin reaching $200,000:
- Renowned trader Peter Brandt predicts Bitcoin will reach $120,000 to $200,000 by September 2025. He revised his forecast with a higher target after Bitcoin’s strong performance.
- Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya forecasts that Bitcoin will hit $500,000 by October 2025 and $1 million by 2040-2042. He views Bitcoin as a potential global reserve currency with unique attributes.
- Fidelity’s Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer, anticipates Bitcoin to hit $1 billion by 2038-2040.
As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, Keiser’s $220,000 forecast will be closely watched. Will Bitcoin deliver another unprecedented surge or face rejection at $70,000? Only time will tell.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Max Keiser predicts Bitcoin will skyrocket to $220,000, citing gold’s influence and favorable macroeconomic conditions.
Keiser expects gold to hit a new all-time high, fueling Bitcoin’s rally due to their high correlation.
Clear regulation, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and Bitcoin’s breakout from seven-month consolidation support Keiser’s forecast.
Akash Girimath
Akash Girimath, an engineer by training, has developed a deep fascination with the complexities of cryptocurrency markets. As a senior reporter and analyst, he specializes in crypto analysis and contributes his expertise to notable platforms such as AMBCrypto and FXStreet. In addition to his analytical work, Akash actively trades cryptocurrencies and manages a small crypto fund for friends and family. His role involves providing insightful market analysis and keeping readers informed about the latest trends in the crypto world. Follow Him on Youtube , X and LInkedIn
Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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