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No ATH for Ethereum Price? ETH Whale Selling Persists Amid Election Boost

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During Wednesday’s trading session, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a surge in buying pressure as Donald Trump secured his victory as the 47th U.S. President. The pioneer cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, surged 8.8% to a new high of $75,400, boosting recovery in the altcoin market. However, the Ethereum price could struggle to hit new ATH as crypto whale continues to offload ETH.

By press time, the ETH price trades at $2,647 with an intraday gain of 9.89%. According to Coingecko, Ether’s marketcap holds at $319.2 Billion, and 24-hour trading volume is at $38.169 Billion.

Ethereum Price ATH Delayed? Whale Sales Overshadow Election Momentum

On November 6th, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rally as Donald Trump secured the necessary 270 electoral votes to become the 47th President of the United States. Amid this rally, a crypto whale who received 150,000 ETH through the ICO recently transferred a substantial 25,000 ETH (worth approximately $65.63 Million) to Kraken at an average price of $2,625.

According to Lookonchain, this whale has sold a total of 90,000 ETH of the 150,000 coins at an average value of $2,527 (worth around $227.45M). 

Breakdown of the Whale’s ETH Sales: 

  • July 2019: Sold 5,000 ETH at $218 ($1.09M).
  • June 2024: Sold 10,000 ETH at $3,539 ($35.39M).
  • September–October 2024: Sold 50,000 ETH at $2,516 ($125.34M).
  • November 2024: Sold 25,000 ETH at $2,625 ($65.63M).

Historically, whale selling has coincided with major market tops and spurred a bearish sentiment in the market. Amid the supply pressure, the Ethereum price could witness a stalled recovery momentum and struggle to hit a new All-time-high.

ETH Chart Analysis Shows Porlong Consolidation Within Triangle

Over the past three months, the Ethereum price prediction has traded sideways, resonating within a symmetrical triangle pattern. The price action strictly resonated within two converging trendlines, indicating a lack of dominance from buyers or sellers.

With a massive green candle today, the ETH price is at $2,661, still consolidating within the triangle and 3% away from a major breakout. If the sellers continue to defend this resistance, the Ether price will revert again and prolong its sideways trend.

Ethereum PriceEthereum Price
ETH/USD- 1d Chart

Therefore, a potential breakout from overhead resistance is necessary for buyers to regain control over the asset. If the ETH price surpasses the dynamic with the daily candle closing, the bullish momentum will accelerate to drive a surge above $3,500.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Ethereum’s price recovery has been limited due to persistent selling by crypto whales

Following Trump’s election as the 47th U.S. President, the crypto market saw a rally, with Bitcoin hitting $75,400 and Ethereum gaining 9.89%, trading at $2,647

The symmetrical triangle pattern indicates consolidation, with ETH price oscillating between two converging trendlines. An upside breakout from this pattern is essential for buyers to regain control and push ETH towards the $3,500 mark or higher.

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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ETH

‘Welcome to Pain’ – Analyst Benjamin Cowen Says Ethereum Mirroring 2019 Market Cycle’s Playbook

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A popular crypto analyst thinks Ethereum (ETH) will have to endure some “pain” before rebounding.

In a new YouTube video, Benjamin Cowen tells his 886,000 subscribers that there probably needs to be a change in monetary policy in order for ETH’s chart against Bitcoin (BTC) to bottom.

“But in order to have a change in monetary policy, you have to have pain. Welcome to the pain. This is the pain that you ultimately need. Remember last cycle [in 2019], ETH/Bitcoin bottomed after ETH/USD broke support.” 

Cowen notes that ETH fell below its support level against the US dollar in 2019 right before the Federal Reserve ended quantitative tightening.

The analyst says that everything that happened in the previous cycle is “basically happening this cycle, it’s just taking place on a longer timeframe.” Cowen also notes that most of the price points of the current cycle are roughly 10x what they were in the 2019 market.

“The reason why people are having a hard time navigating this cycle and why it feels so different is because monetary policy never changed this cycle. In the last cycle, we saw a change in monetary policy in the pre-halving year. We’re now in the post-halving year and we still haven’t seen a change to the quantitative tightening. We’ve seen them taper it a little bit. They’ve slowed it down, but they’ve never actually stopped it.”   

ETH is trading at $1,907 at time of writing. The second-ranked crypto asset by market cap is down more than 1% in the past 24 hours.

 

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Bitcoin Ready To Rally After Hitting Same ‘Extreme Fear’ Levels of COVID Crash and 2022 Bear Market: Trader

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A widely followed crypto analyst says that one metric suggests Bitcoin (BTC) is gearing up for a massive breakout.

In a new strategy session, pseudonymous crypto trader Inmortal tells his 230,900 followers on the social media platform X that the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is flashing bullish for digital assets as it has reached “extreme fear,” a level seen during historical market collapses.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is a metric that gauges the fear or greed levels in the market with a reading of extreme fear indicating oversold conditions and a reading of extreme greed suggesting overbought conditions.

“Fear is at same levels we saw during Covid-19 crash and 2022 bottom. All of this while US announced a Bitcoin reserve.”

Image
Source: Inmortal/X

He also says that based on historic precedence market sentiment may remain in “extreme fear” anywhere from a month-and-a-half to about five months.

“Last cycle we visited extreme fear three times, and these periods lasted between 50 and 160 days.”

Image
Source: Inmortal/X

The analyst believes Bitcoin is repeating a similar pattern from 2024, when BTC retested a support level that erased gains from a bullish run before taking off to print new all-time highs.

“We doing this again.”

Image
Source: Inmortal/X

Lastly, the analyst says Ethereum (ETH) may be on the verge of a massive breakout similar to what Bitcoin did in 2020.

“I should accept that it’s all over, as others have already done. I’m not saying it will happen, but if the bull run is not finished, we should see something similar to this.”

Image
Source: Inmortal/X

Bitcoin is trading for $82,874 at time of writing, flat on the day. Meanwhile, ETH is trading for $1,881 at time of writing, down 3.5% in the last 24 hours.

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Monthly Close Below This Level Could Be Catastrophic

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Ethereum has struggled to gain momentum, remaining stuck below critical resistance for over a year. Despite multiple attempts, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been unable to break through key technical levels since the beginning of this year. 

Ethereum’s price action over the past two weeks has shown more weakness. An interesting analysis from analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino shows that the cryptocurrency recently failed to break above a resistance indicator and is now at risk of more catastrophic price drops.

Ethereum Fails To Breach Long-Term Resistance

Tony “The Bull” Severino, in a technical analysis shared on social media platform X, highlighted Ethereum’s persistent failure to overcome major resistance levels. He pointed out that Ethereum has been unable to tag the quarterly (three-month) Parabolic SAR despite more than a year of attempts. This indicator, often used to determine the direction of an asset’s trend, shows that Ethereum is locked in a prolonged struggle against resistance on a larger downtrend. 

“This feels like it sends a message — resistance won’t be broken,” the analyst said.

Image From X: Tony “The Bull” Severino

Adding to the failure to break resistance, Tony Severino also noted in another analysis that Ethereum has repeatedly faced rejection from the quarterly (3M) SuperTrend dynamic resistance, further solidifying the case that buyers have been unable to regain control.

Image From X: Tony “The Bull” Severino

A Monthly Close Below $2,100 Could Be Catastrophic

Ethereum’s inability to sustain key price levels has been a dominant theme in the past six months. Interestingly, this inability was shown further in the past two weeks. After failing to hold above $2,800, the cryptocurrency has seen a steady drop, losing multiple support zones along the way. 

Currently, Ethereum is trading below $2,200, edging dangerously close to breaking below the crucial $2,100 threshold. A drop beneath this level is particularly concerning, not just because it signifies the loss of yet another psychological support but because technical indicators suggest that a monthly close below $2,100 could have severe consequences.

ETH is now trading at $2,141. Chart: TradingView

One of the most significant warning signs comes from the quarterly Bollinger Bands indicator, which has tracked Ethereum’s price action since February 2022. According to this indicator, Ethereum has remained within a defined range, with the upper Bollinger Band currently positioned at $4,190 and the lower band at $2,098. The worrying part is that a monthly close below $2,100 would effectively translate to breaking beneath the lower Bollinger Band and removing a long-standing support level.

Image From X: Tony “The Bull” Severino

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,178, having gained 2.2% in the past 24 hours after starting the day at $2,120. Ethereum’s sentiment is now at its lowest level this year. The next few weeks will be crucial to see if Ethereum can reclaim lost ground and prevent a monthly close below $2,100.

Featured image from Tech Magazine, chart from TradingView



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