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Solana (SOL) Faces Headwinds: Can Bulls Revive Momentum?

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Solana remained stable above the $215 level. SOL price is now recovering losses and facing hurdles near the $228 and $332 levels.

  • SOL price started a fresh increase after it tested the $215 zone against the US Dollar.
  • The price is now trading below $225 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $222 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could start a fresh increase if the bulls clear the $228 zone.

Solana Price Eyes Upside Break

Solana price formed a support base and started a fresh increase from the $215 level but lagged momentum like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a decent increase above the $218 and $220 resistance levels.

There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $222 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The pair climbed above $225 and tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $234 swing high to the $215 low.

However, the price is now facing many hurdles near $225. Solana is now trading below $225 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $225 level.

Solana Price

The next major resistance is near the $228 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $234 swing high to the $215 low. The main resistance could be $230. A successful close above the $230 resistance level could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $235. Any more gains might send the price toward the $250 level.

Another Decline in SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $228 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $220 level. The first major support is near the $215 level.

A break below the $215 level might send the price toward the $205 zone. If there is a close below the $205 support, the price could decline toward the $200 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $220 and $215.

Major Resistance Levels – $228 and $230.



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Solana Rises As BlackRock Brings Its $1,700,000,000 Tokenized Treasury Fund to Ethereum Rival’s Chain

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Solana (SOL) is green on the day on reports that BlackRock is moving its blockchain-based money market fund onto the Ethereum (ETH) competitor’s network.

Fortune reports that the world’s largest asset manager is adding its $1.7 billion BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) to the Solana blockchain.

Solana is trading for $145 at time of writing, up nearly 19% in the last week.

Launched a year ago, BUIDL uses traditional money market funds, which investors use to store cash in the near term and earn yield on it, combined with blockchain payment properties.

Solana is now the seventh blockchain compatible with the tokenized money market fund BUIDL, after its initial launch on Ethereum.

BlackRock’s technology partner, Securitize, says the fund is expected to exceed $2 billion in cash and Treasury bills by early April.

Says Michael Sonnenshein, COO at Securitize,

“We’re making [money market funds] unboring. We are advancing and leapfrogging some of the quote-unquote deficiencies that money markets may have in their traditional formats.”

One benefit BUIDL offers over traditional money market funds is 24/7 trading.

Says Lily Liu, president of the Solana Foundation,

“Our vision for why on-chain finance adds more value is because you can do more things with those assets on chain than you could if [they’re] sitting in your brokerage account.”

BUIDL is part of BlackRock’s long-term digital asset strategy, which includes its spot-Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF).

According to BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, the future of finance includes the “tokenization of every financial asset.”

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Trader Issues Urgent XRP Alert, Says the Top-Five Altcoin at Risk of Sharp Correction – Here’s His Target

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Cryptocurrency trader Ali Martinez says a payments-focused altcoin must stay above a key price level to avoid a steep corrective move.

Martinez tells his 133,500 followers on the social media platform X that if XRP (XRP) falls below $2, it risks witnessing a deeper drawdown due to a lack of consolidation below the price level.

“XRP testing the waters! Below $2, a gap with no significant support could pull it to $1.60.”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

Based on a chart citing on-chain data from blockchain analytics platform Glassnode, it appears that there’s an “air gap” between $2 and $1.60, indicating a weak foundation for XRP around that price zone.

XRP is trading at $2.56 at time of writing.

Next up is the layer-1 protocol Solana (SOL). According to Martinez, SOL is facing a “big test” at a resistance level a few percentage points above the current price.

“$135 stands as the most important resistance.”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

The widely followed analyst further says that investors in the sixth-largest crypto asset by market cap are capitulating based on the altcoin’s net unrealized profit/loss metric (NUPL), an on-chain indicator that measures whether accumulators of a coin are in a state of profit or loss.

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

Based on the trader’s chart, SOL’s NUPL is hovering below the zero line, indicating that investors are witnessing losses and in the midst of capitulation.

Solana is trading at $132 at time of writing, down by around 55% from the all-time high price of $293 reached January 20th.

Looking at the top memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE), Martinez says that the altcoin has recorded significant demand in a week.

“Whale alert! Over 110 million Dogecoin bought up in a week. Big players are betting on a breakout.”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

Dogecoin is trading at $0.173 at time of writing.

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Here’s Where Support & Resistance Lies For Solana, Based On On-Chain Data

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The analytics firm Glassnode has revealed the Solana price levels that could be important to watch, based on on-chain accumulation data.

Solana Cost Basis Distribution Reveals Where Supply Is Most Concentrated

In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) of Solana. The URPD is an indicator that basically tells us about how much of the SOL supply was purchased at which price levels. Naturally, the metric uses the last transaction price of any token in circulation as its cost basis.

First, here is how the URPD looked when the cryptocurrency set its new all-time high (ATH) back in January:

Solana URPD
The cost basis distribution of the asset as it stood on 19th of January | Source: Glassnode on X

From the graph, it’s apparent that a few price levels like $144 stood out in terms of the amount of supply that they hosted. At the price levels closer to the new ATH, however, supply was quite thin, meaning not many coins changed hands there.

In on-chain analysis, the potential of any level to act as support or resistance is measured in terms of the amount of supply that it hosts. This means that levels that have a large cluster around them on the URPD are the ones of importance to the asset.

As for why this is so, the answer lies in investor psychology: holders are sensitive to retests of their cost basis. Whenever the price touches a large cost basis cluster, the investors who are holding these coins may respond by making some panic moves.

These moves can tend toward buying if the retest is happening from above, as investors may want to defend their profit-loss boundary. In retests happening from below, however, the traders could react by selling instead, as they may seek to exit at their break-even.

When SOL reached its ATH, there was a lack of support nearby. This may be why the asset ended up falling into the cluster that did carry a significant amount of supply. Below is a chart that shows how the URPD has changed following the price drawdown.

Solana URPD
The latest URPD of SOL | Source: Glassnode on X

From the graph, it’s visible that if SOL continues its downtrend, it may have to end up relying on the freshly grown $112 level. In January, this level hosted the cost basis of 4 million tokens, but today, the figure has grown to 9.7 million, equivalent to 1.67% of the entire supply.

Beyond this level, Glassnode notes, “$94, $97, and $100 collectively hold nearly 21M SOL (3.5% of supply).” In the scenario that these support levels fail, Solana may find itself in trouble, as there aren’t any major supply clusters until $53.

In terms of the levels above, the $135 and $144 levels stand out, as they hold the acquisition level of 26.6 million and 27 million coins, respectively. These levels could act as major obstacles in SOL’s recovery.

SOL Price

Solana has jumped more than 5% over the last 24 hours to recover to the $130 level.

Solana Price Chart
The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: SOLUSDT on TradingView

Featured image from Shutterstock.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com



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