Bitcoin

The Case For A Future Valuation Of $1 Million

Published

5 months ago

November 20, 2024

Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Since November 5, the day President-elect Donald Trump secured another term in office, Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable uptrend, reaching a new all-time high of $93,300.

Since then, BTC has been trading within a narrow range between $89,000 and $92,000, positioning for a potential move toward the $100,000 milestone. This raises an intriguing question whether a price of $1 million per coin is feasible over the next decade.

A Long-Term Vision For Investors

Market expert VirtualBacon has conducted an in-depth analysis of these possibilities, delving into the numbers, trends, and catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to experience a surge of nearly 1,000% from its current price levels.

Within the current market cycle, the expert forecasts that Bitcoin could hit $200,000 in the next one to two years. However, he notes that while this milestone is significant, altcoins may offer higher returns at a greater risk, often crashing by 80% to 90% in bear markets.

In contrast to altcoins, which face increasing regulatory scrutiny, Bitcoin stands out as a safer long-term investment. VirtualBacon argues that Bitcoin’s potential is not just confined to the next few years but spans a decade or more.

To understand why Bitcoin’s price could reach $1 million, VirtualBacon asserts that investors need to consider its fundamental utility as a store of value. Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins, its global accessibility, and its resistance to censorship and manipulation make it a compelling alternative to traditional financial assets.

The expert suggests that if Bitcoin is to become recognized as the digital gold of the 21st century, reaching a market capitalization that rivals gold’s estimated $13 trillion is not merely a theoretical possibility but “a logical outcome.”

Key drivers for this potential growth include increasing participation from asset managers, corporate treasuries, central banks, and wealthy individuals. Recent data indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have seen record inflows, with $1 billion invested last week, reflecting growing institutional confidence.

Additionally, discussions among corporations, such as Microsoft considering Bitcoin reserves, further enhance its strategic value. Wealthy individuals are also beginning to adopt Bitcoin as a standard portfolio allocation, with even a modest 1% investment becoming commonplace among billionaires.

What Does Bitcoin Need To Reach $1 Million?

For Bitcoin to reach the $1 million mark, two critical factors must be analyzed: global wealth growth and portfolio allocation. VirtualBacon notes that in 2022, total global wealth was estimated at $454 trillion, and projections suggest this could grow to $750 trillion by 2034.

Currently, gold holds approximately 3.9% of global wealth, while Bitcoin is at a mere 0.35%. If Bitcoin’s allocation in global portfolios rose to just 3%, still significantly below gold’s share, its market cap could soar to $20 trillion, pushing the price to $1 million per coin.

Historically, gold’s market cap saw significant growth following the launch of exchange-traded funds in 2004, with its portfolio allocation increasing from 1.67% to 4.74% over the next decade.

If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, its allocation could rise from 0.35% to 1.05% or more, translating to a market cap of approximately $7.92 trillion, equating to about $395,000 per Bitcoin. Therefore, reaching $1 million doesn’t require Bitcoin to surpass gold; it must capture about 57% of gold’s projected market cap by 2034.

With gold representing 4.7% of global portfolios compared to Bitcoin’s 0.35%, a modest increase in Bitcoin’s share of global wealth to 3%—just 60% of gold’s allocation—could “easily” result in a $20 trillion market cap and a $1 million price point.

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $92,240, up 7% every week.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Price (BTC) Retakes $95K Level After Early U.S. Decline

Published

3 hours ago

April 29, 2025

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Bitcoin (BTC) fell early in the U.S. trading session, but mostly held firm as poor macroeconomic news rolled in.

The top cryptocurrency late in the day was trading just below $95,000, up 0.5% over the past 24 hours. The CoinDesk 20 — an index of the top 20 largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization excluding memecoins, exchange coins and stablecoins — was roughly flat over the same time frame.

Crypto stocks like Coinbase (COIN), Strategy (MSTR) and the miners were losing modest ground after big gains last week. Notable exceptions included Janover (JNVR) and DeFi Technologies (DFTF), ahead 24% and 6.5%, respectively even as SOL — the token which both companies are aggressively accumulating — fell about 3% during the U.S. day.

Meanwhile, gold rose almost 1% and the dollar index fell 0.6%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq each peaked into the green late in the session after earlier dipping more than 1%.

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, a typically little-noticed economic data point, plunged to -35.8 from -16.3 last month — much worse than analysts’ expectations of a -14.1 print and the worst performance since COVID upended the world economy.

“Pretty horrible Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey. Level hits the lowest since May 2020,” Joe Weisenthal, co-host of the Odd Lots podcast, posted on X. “All the comments are about tariffs and policy uncertainty. Add it to the list of bad soft/survey data.”

Hostilities between India and Pakistan might also have added to market jitters, with Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Muhammad Asif claiming that an Indian military incursion into Pakistan was imminent. Last week 26 people were killed in a terrorist attack in Pahalgam, a popular tourist destination in Indian-controlled Kashmir. The two countries have exchanged fire since.

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Is About To Begin Outperforming Gold, Says InvestAnswers – Here’s His Timeline

Published

7 hours ago

April 28, 2025

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A widely followed crypto analyst and trader is forecasting that Bitcoin (BTC) will start outperforming gold.

In a new video update, the host of InvestAnswers tells his 565,000 YouTube subscribers that the top crypto asset by market cap should outpace gold over the coming months, as he says the precious metal looks overextended following its parabolic rally to $3,500.

“If you look at the steady correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq, it is extremely tight because Bitcoin is considered a risk asset, [while] gold is considered a risk-off asset. But here, if you look at the Bitcoin/gold correlation, it fluctuates very heavily. Half the time, not correlated; half the time, it is correlated.

So there’s no signal of direct correlation and Bitcoin has already had a great post-halving, and in fact, we had hit a new all-time high before the halving, which has never happened before with Bitcoin. But its correlation with gold remains low.

Now, if I look at this chart and just like a caveman would, what do I interpret? I expect the correlation to increase with gold as the broader dynamics of the market will shift as well. I also believe gold is overbought, so I see gold mean-reverting and I see Bitcoin going up versus gold over the next six months.”

GpZcbhfWUAADzfp — Source: The Rational Root/X

InvestAnswers says a summarized interpretation of his analysis would be that the flagship digital asset is lagging behind gold and will start to outpace the precious metal during the next six months.

BTC is trading for $93,870 at time of writing, a fractional decrease during the last 24 hours while gold is valued at $3,283 per ounce, a marginal decrease on the day.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Bitcoin

Here’s How Bitcoin Could Boost Demand for US Treasuries, According to Macro Guru Luke Gromen

Published

15 hours ago

April 28, 2025

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Veteran macro investor Luke Gromen says he likes Bitcoin (BTC) due to its potential to influence demand for US Treasuries.

In a new video update, the founder of the macroeconomic research firm Forest for the Trees (FFTT) says the Trump administration is in a position to boost demand for US bonds after the president signed an executive order creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

A Bitcoin bull market typically increases demand for dollar-pegged crypto assets, and according to Gromen, could ultimately drive demand for US Treasuries.

“Note that the Trump administration is still talking about putting T-bills (Treasury bills) into stablecoins, using stablecoins as a means to drive demand for T-bills. And obviously, they’ve talked about the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

Left unsaid in all of that is that the higher the Bitcoin price, the more stablecoin demand, the more T-bill demand there is…

I think the underlying theme of [the] US government desperately needs balance sheet and stablecoins and therefore Bitcoin can help the US government find balance sheet. I think that is absolutely still in play.

It’s one of the reasons why we still like Bitcoin over the intermediate longer term.”

Stablecoin issuers such as Tether and Circle predominantly rely on Treasury bills to back their coins on a 1:1 basis. As of December 2024, Tether has invested over $94.47 billion in T-bills to back USDT. Meanwhile, Circle owns $22.047 billion worth of T-bills as of February of this year to back USDC.

Additionally, two stablecoin bills that are progressing through Congress, the STABLE Act of 2025 and the GENIUS Act of 2025, require issuers to invest in T-bills and other real-world assets to back their coins.

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