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The Case For A Future Valuation Of $1 Million

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Since November 5, the day President-elect Donald Trump secured another term in office, Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable uptrend, reaching a new all-time high of $93,300. 

Since then, BTC has been trading within a narrow range between $89,000 and $92,000, positioning for a potential move toward the $100,000 milestone. This raises an intriguing question whether a price of $1 million per coin is feasible over the next decade.

A Long-Term Vision For Investors

Market expert VirtualBacon has conducted an in-depth analysis of these possibilities, delving into the numbers, trends, and catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to experience a surge of nearly 1,000% from its current price levels. 

Within the current market cycle, the expert forecasts that Bitcoin could hit $200,000 in the next one to two years. However, he notes that while this milestone is significant, altcoins may offer higher returns at a greater risk, often crashing by 80% to 90% in bear markets.

In contrast to altcoins, which face increasing regulatory scrutiny, Bitcoin stands out as a safer long-term investment. VirtualBacon argues that Bitcoin’s potential is not just confined to the next few years but spans a decade or more. 

To understand why Bitcoin’s price could reach $1 million, VirtualBacon asserts that investors need to consider its fundamental utility as a store of value. Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins, its global accessibility, and its resistance to censorship and manipulation make it a compelling alternative to traditional financial assets. 

The expert suggests that if Bitcoin is to become recognized as the digital gold of the 21st century, reaching a market capitalization that rivals gold’s estimated $13 trillion is not merely a theoretical possibility but “a logical outcome.”

Key drivers for this potential growth include increasing participation from asset managers, corporate treasuries, central banks, and wealthy individuals. Recent data indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have seen record inflows, with $1 billion invested last week, reflecting growing institutional confidence. 

Additionally, discussions among corporations, such as Microsoft considering Bitcoin reserves, further enhance its strategic value. Wealthy individuals are also beginning to adopt Bitcoin as a standard portfolio allocation, with even a modest 1% investment becoming commonplace among billionaires.

What Does Bitcoin Need To Reach $1 Million?

For Bitcoin to reach the $1 million mark, two critical factors must be analyzed: global wealth growth and portfolio allocation. VirtualBacon notes that in 2022, total global wealth was estimated at $454 trillion, and projections suggest this could grow to $750 trillion by 2034. 

Currently, gold holds approximately 3.9% of global wealth, while Bitcoin is at a mere 0.35%. If Bitcoin’s allocation in global portfolios rose to just 3%, still significantly below gold’s share, its market cap could soar to $20 trillion, pushing the price to $1 million per coin.

Historically, gold’s market cap saw significant growth following the launch of exchange-traded funds in 2004, with its portfolio allocation increasing from 1.67% to 4.74% over the next decade. 

If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, its allocation could rise from 0.35% to 1.05% or more, translating to a market cap of approximately $7.92 trillion, equating to about $395,000 per Bitcoin. Therefore, reaching $1 million doesn’t require Bitcoin to surpass gold; it must capture about 57% of gold’s projected market cap by 2034.

With gold representing 4.7% of global portfolios compared to Bitcoin’s 0.35%, a modest increase in Bitcoin’s share of global wealth to 3%—just 60% of gold’s allocation—could “easily” result in a $20 trillion market cap and a $1 million price point.

Bitcoin
The daily chart shows BTC’s price approaching its record high achieved last week. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $92,240, up 7% every week. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 



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Bitcoin Hoarder Metaplanet Issues Fresh Bonds To Increase Holdings to 3,200 BTC

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The Japanese hotel and investment firm Metaplanet has issued fresh bonds and accumulated an additional 150 Bitcoin (BTC).

The new Bitcoin acquisition brings the investment firm’s total holdings to 3,200 BTC.

With Bitcoin trading at $81,383 at time of writing, that means Metaplanet currently owns more than $260.4 million worth of the top crypto asset.

To buy the new BTC, the firm’s board of directors approved a new series of bonds to raise 2 billion yen. The bonds have a scheduled maturity date of September 17th.

Metaplanet chief executive Simon Gerovich notes the new purchase puts the firm in the top 10 publicly listed Bitcoin holders globally.

“We are now officially the largest publicly listed Bitcoin holder in Asia — a major milestone as we continue executing our Bitcoin strategy with conviction.”

Metaplanet’s stock has been down 33.17% in the past month but has been up a staggering 1,915% in the past year, per data from MarketWatch.

The Japanese firm has bought its 2,300 Bitcoin at an average price of $83,107 per BTC. The company aims to acquire 10,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2025 and 21,000 BTC by the end of 2026.

Metaplanet also continues to operate a Tokyo hotel, which it plans to renovate and rebrand into “the Bitcoin Hotel.”

BTC is down nearly 3% in the past 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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One Indicator Could Soon Signal New Bitcoin Breakout, According to Crypto Analyst

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A closely followed crypto analyst says that Bitcoin (BTC) may suddenly turn bullish based on one key indicator.

In a new post, crypto trader Rekt Capital tells his 542,500 followers on the social media platform X that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) – a momentum indicator used to indicate overbought or oversold levels – may soon break out of a downtrend, signaling bullishness for Bitcoin.

“Going forward, it will be worth watching this daily RSI downtrend for a breakout in the future. This downtrend has been a resistance on the RSI since November 2024. An RSI downtrend break would likely precede a trend reversal to the upside in price.”

Image
Source: Rekt Capital/X

In a strategy session, the analyst tells his 107,000 YouTube subscribers that the RSI has bounced off the oversold level in the 20s range, which historically has led to a price reversal for Bitcoin.

“We’ve dropped into a zone of overselling, so below the 30 RSI, that’s typically where we see sellers get a little bit too enthusiastic. People are selling too much, and the sellers are slowly getting exhausted. They are overselling, which means that it’s easier for buyers to step into the market and start buying up prices, and they don’t even need to buy up on high volume.

And it’s already pressing prices up quite nicely towards the upside without much effort. And that’s exactly what happens when sellers are exhausted. And we’ve seen these oversold regions on quite a few occasions across this cycle. And each time we got here on that first crash, we were very close to a bottom, or we were at a bottom already, and we’d see price reverse towards the upside.”

Source: Rekt Capital/YouTube

The analyst also says that Bitcoin’s retracement from the all-time high is not out of the ordinary based on historical precedence.

“This current pullback (-29%) is one of the deeper retraces in the cycle but it’s not extraordinary. After all, we’ve seen a deeper retrace in the immediate post-halving period (-32%). Not only that, but we’ve seen deeper pullbacks in previous cycles.

Major 2021 corrections: -31%, -55%, -25%.

Major 2017 corrections: -34%, -34%, -38%, -40%, -29%.”

Image
Source: Rekt Capital/X

Bitcoin is trading for $83,112 at time of writing, flat on the day.

 

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Trump Administration Eyes Massive Bitcoin Accumulation, Says Executive Director

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The Trump administration is doubling down on its Bitcoin strategy, with top officials emphasizing their commitment to growing the U.S. government’s BTC holdings. Speaking at the Digital Assets Summit today in New York, Bo Hines, Executive Director on Digital Assets for President Trump, made it clear that the United States is determined to accumulate Bitcoin at an unprecedented scale.

“I think it’s high time that our President started accumulating assets for the American people, which is what President Trump is doing rather than taking it away,” Hines stated. He went on to reveal that at President Trump’s first-ever digital assets summit at the White House, discussions centered around “ways of acquiring more Bitcoin in budget-neutral ways.”

Hines drew a direct comparison between Bitcoin and gold when asked how much BTC the government intends to hold. “You know, I’ve been asked all the time, it’s like how much do you want? Well, that’s like asking a country how much gold do you want – as much as we can get.”

His comments align with the administration’s broader strategy following President Trump’s March 6 executive order, which formally established the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The initiative repurposes BTC obtained through forfeitures and seizures, ensuring that the bitcoin remains under government control as a long-term reserve. The very next day, President Trump’s crypto advisor David Sacks underscored the move’s significance, telling Bloomberg: “We’ve decided that Bitcoin is scarce, it’s valuable, and that is strategic for the United States to hold on to this as a long-term reserve asset.”

Beyond retention, the administration is exploring ways to expand its holdings without it costing tax payers anything. At the White House Digital Asset Summit, President Trump himself stated, “The Treasury and Commerce Departments will also explore new pathways to accumulate additional Bitcoin holdings for the reserve.”

The establishment of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve has already spurred more legislative action. U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds introduced a bill to solidify Trump’s initiative into law, ensuring it remains intact for future administrations. Meanwhile, U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis and Congressman Nick Begich have proposed a separate measure calling for the United States to purchase 200,000 BTC per year over the next five years, totaling 1 million BTC, which would be held for a minimum of 20 years.

With a limited Bitcoin supply and increasing institutional adoption, the administration sees BTC as an essential asset for the nation’s financial future. As Hines put it, “We look at Bitcoin, it’s not a security, it’s a commodity. It has intrinsic stored value, it’s traditionally accepted… and that’s why you saw in the executive order that we compared this to digital gold.”





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