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THORChain ‘eerily similar’ to Terra Luna implosion: Osmosis co-founder

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Sunny Aggarwal, Co-Founder of Osmosis, believes THORChain’s liquidity issues mirror the 2022 Terra Luna collapse.

THORChain, a decentralized cross-chain liquidity protocol, has paused its network operations due to a significant debt crisis amounting to nearly $200 million. 

This move has drawn parallels to the 2022 collapse of Terra/Luna, with Sunny Aggarwal, Co-Founder of Osmosis, a decentralized exchange in the Cosmos (ATOM) ecosystem, commented on the situation to crypto.news.

“The situation unfolding with THORChain is eerily similar to what happened with Terra/Luna implosion in 2022, where the protocol’s solvency was too heavily dependent on the price performance of the native token,” Aggarwal said.

THORChain’s design inherently positions it as reflexively long on its native token, RUNE. This means the protocol’s solvency is contingent upon RUNE’s price outperforming assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), which are used as collateral. 

Recent market trends have not favored RUNE (RUNE), leading to financial instability.

The protocol currently faces $97 million in borrowing liabilities and $102 million in depositor and synthetic asset liabilities, pushing it to the brink of bankruptcy.

In response, THORChain has suspended its lending and savings programs, particularly affecting BTC and ETH withdrawals. This decision is part of a 90-day restructuring plan aimed at stabilizing the system and mitigating further risks.

Terra Luna collapse

The situation mirrors the Terra/Luna collapse, where the protocol’s dependence on its native token’s value led to catastrophic failure. In May 2022, Terra, the third-largest cryptocurrency ecosystem at the time, collapsed within three days, wiping out $50 billion in valuation.

Aggarwal further stated that “it’s uncertain whether lenders can be fully compensated. Some have suggested that the shortfall could be covered by protocol fees collected over time. But this overlooks an important point: the bulk of THORChain’s liquidity comes from its lending and savers platform, ThorFi. So it doesn’t make sense to consider THORChain and ThorFi as separate entities.”

As THORChain navigates this crisis, it is clear there are inherent risks associated with protocols heavily reliant on the value of their native tokens, similar to Terra.

Effective risk management and sustainable design are crucial to prevent such scenarios and protect users’ funds.

“Essentially, Thorchain needs to maintain significant liquidity over the long term. But this will be challenging because ThorFi’s lenders and savers will logically be trying to withdraw their funds en masse,” Aggarwal said.





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Central Bank

South Korea Dismisses Establishing Strategic Bitcoin Reserve

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The Bank of Korea (BOK) has dismissed the possibility of establishing a strategic bitcoin reserve, citing concerns over price volatility and risks. This comes despite ongoing global discussions about using bitcoin as part of foreign exchange reserves following the United States plans to create a reserve.

In response to an inquiry from a member of the National Assembly’s Strategy and Finance Committee, the central bank rejected adding bitcoin to its reserves. BOK officials emphasized bitcoin’s wild price swings as a key deterrent, stating that transaction costs to convert bitcoin to cash “could rise drastically” if the market experiences instability.

As of March 17th, bitcoin trades around $83,500, having fallen 23% from its peak of $108,000 in January. The BOK warned that this extreme volatility poses significant risks to its reserves.

The bank also indicated that bitcoin fails to meet the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) criteria for reserve assets. The IMF calls for prudent management of liquidity, market, and credit risks for reserves – standards bitcoin does not currently satisfy in the eyes of the BOK.

This latest stance marks the first time the South Korean central bank has directly addressed the possibility of using bitcoin as a reserve asset. It emphasized a “cautious approach” regarding bitcoin.

The dismissal of a strategic bitcoin reserve comes despite growing attention on crypto’s potential role in reserves globally. Earlier in March, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve. This fueled discussions in South Korea and other Asian nations about following suit.



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Ethereum

Ethereum leadership now eyes Solana-style growth, Dragonfly’s Qureshi says

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Ethereum Foundation now appears to be shifting focus toward founder-driven growth and capital formation after facing criticism from investors and builders.

Ethereum‘s leadership seems to be reconsidering its growth strategy as criticism mounts, with signs of a shift toward a more founder-driven and ecosystem-focused approach, according to Dragonfly Capital’s managing partner Haseeb Qureshi.

In an X post on March 17, Qureshi revealed that after meeting with several Ethereum Foundation representatives he’s now “more optimistic about Ethereum.” He noted a “real urgency” among Ethereum Foundation members, adding that they understand concerns about Ethereum’s lack of momentum and “want Ethereum to matter.”

Now, Qureshi says the team appears to be considering how to “replicate the success” of Solana‘s Superteam, a community of operators, developers & grantees working on Solana projects, within the Ethereum ecosystem, with less emphasis on research and more on “capital formation and founder journeys.”

“Ethereum leadership have been getting a lot of criticism, and it’s important that you all know this — it’s working. They’re listening. They’re thinking hard about how to adapt. It’s a teachable moment for them.”

Haseeb Qureshi

Qureshi’s comments come as Ethereum’s direction has been under scrutiny lately as even former Ethereum Foundation engineer Harikrishnan Mulackal criticized the network’s governance, saying it suffers from a “lack of a clear and cohesive vision.”

Per Mulackal, without stronger leadership, Ethereum could stagnate, suggesting that the network should push for faster updates and ship “one hard fork each quarter.” Otherwise, he said, Ethereum risks reproducing “exactly the same result” as the past five years.





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Bitcoin

Trader Predicts Crypto Rallies Amid Expectations of Fed Monetary Policy Shift – But There’s a Catch

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A widely followed crypto analyst is predicting higher prices for crypto assets as he expects the Federal Reserve to end its anti-inflation monetary policies.

In a new thread, the pseudonymous crypto analyst Pentoshi tells his 861,300 followers on the social media platform X that we are close to seeing the end of quantitative tightening (QT), which are policies that reduce the Fed’s balance sheet and lowers the supply of money in circulation.

The trader cites data from the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, which shows that 100% of users believe that the Fed will end QT by May of this year.

The cessation of QT is typically seen as bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins as the move signals the end of tight monetary conditions.

However, Pentoshi warns investors to be “cautiously optimistic” as both the S&P 500 and top crypto assets have seen growth over the last few years that appears unsustainable.

“I think we are getting close to [the] end of QT with Polymarket now pricing in odds as a sure thing whereas before they were much lower odds. As previously stated, it does seem Trump would end up forcing it. I don’t think QT automatically means it’s easy mode.

I think that mode is clearly gone overall in the way people think about it (2017/2021). While prices are much lower, I think it’s best to be cautiously optimistic. Many things are down significantly and there hopefully will be some decent mean reversion. Markets in general have rallied hard. And assets were likely a bit overvalued before.

SPX going 25% back to back years was going to have low growth or negative this year as it wasn’t a sustainable pace. BTC went from $16,000 to $108,000, SOL [from] $8 to $300. Cautiously optimistic. [Be] patient for any time capitulation, as often, following big trends, we eventually get longer sideways periods and less volatility as the market finds balance.”

While Pentoshi is flipping tactically bullish on stocks and crypto, he warns investors that any rally will likely be short-lived.

“I think any up currently will be a lower high. People underestimate the time aspect.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $83,248.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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