A widely followed crypto analyst is predicting higher prices for crypto assets as he expects the Federal Reserve to end its anti-inflation monetary policies.

In a new thread, the pseudonymous crypto analyst Pentoshi tells his 861,300 followers on the social media platform X that we are close to seeing the end of quantitative tightening (QT), which are policies that reduce the Fed’s balance sheet and lowers the supply of money in circulation.

The trader cites data from the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, which shows that 100% of users believe that the Fed will end QT by May of this year.

The cessation of QT is typically seen as bullish for risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins as the move signals the end of tight monetary conditions.

However, Pentoshi warns investors to be “cautiously optimistic” as both the S&P 500 and top crypto assets have seen growth over the last few years that appears unsustainable.

“I think we are getting close to [the] end of QT with Polymarket now pricing in odds as a sure thing whereas before they were much lower odds. As previously stated, it does seem Trump would end up forcing it. I don’t think QT automatically means it’s easy mode.

I think that mode is clearly gone overall in the way people think about it (2017/2021). While prices are much lower, I think it’s best to be cautiously optimistic. Many things are down significantly and there hopefully will be some decent mean reversion. Markets in general have rallied hard. And assets were likely a bit overvalued before.

SPX going 25% back to back years was going to have low growth or negative this year as it wasn’t a sustainable pace. BTC went from $16,000 to $108,000, SOL [from] $8 to $300. Cautiously optimistic. [Be] patient for any time capitulation, as often, following big trends, we eventually get longer sideways periods and less volatility as the market finds balance.”

While Pentoshi is flipping tactically bullish on stocks and crypto, he warns investors that any rally will likely be short-lived.

“I think any up currently will be a lower high. People underestimate the time aspect.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $83,248.

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The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing bullish consolidation at the moment after the intense selloff in the broader market cooled off. The current outlook shows relief for a coin that dropped as low as $76,624.25 in the past week. Per the historical trend of BTC prices, this consolidation might be a buildup to a massive rally for the top coin.

Bitcoin Price and Potential $200,000 Play

When writing, the BTC price changed hands for $83,927.24, up by 1.38% in 24 hours. The coin has jumped from a low of $82,017.90 to a high of $84,725.32, a show of brewing breakout.

Market analyst Rekt Capital analyzed whether this current price is a short-term relief. He spotlighted a trend from June 2021, when the price of Bitcoin was consolidating between the 21-week EMA and the 50-week EMA. The consolidation came just after a crash.

About a week ago, the BTC price crashed, triggering millions in liquidation across the market. Following this price slump, the coin is consolidating between the same EMA showcased by Rekt Capital. 

In June 2021, Bitcoin prices increased from $33,000 to $42,000. This gives an average price of $37,500. From here, the coin jumped by over 123.95% to its current price of $83,927.24. If history repeats, Bitcoin Bitcoin may soar to almost $187,280 or approximately $200,000.

BTC Price and Accumulation Trend

According to market data from Glassnode, Bitcoin currently has a high of 0.1. According to the market analytics platform, this figure indicates sustained buying pressure despite the market selloff.

Rather than steer clear of the market, Glassnode hinted that the coin’s distribution remains dominant overall. Other onchain indications also point to reboot from BTC proponents. IntoTheBlock data points to a 5.34% surge in large transactions to $34.7 billion.

This whale transaction is important as it shows a trend shift among market players that can impact prices. It is also complemented by the 24% surge in BTC trading volume of crypto exchanges, a sign of sustained positive sentiment.

What Next for the Crypto Market?

The growth or fall in the price of Bitcoin has a way of impacting the broader market. In an earlier cryptocurrency price prediction, the impact of Trump and Putin’s peace deal over Ukraine was considered. Experts are convinced the broader market may ignite a bullish rally if the conversations turn positive.

Although spot Bitcoin ETF market has been showcasing outflows over the past week, the coin is positioned to be the biggest beneficiary in this shift. While the Rekt Capital historic forecast teases $200,000, experts like Cathie Wood predict deflationary boom for the market, riding on massive BTC adoption rate by institutions and governments.

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Godfrey Benjamin

Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture.

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Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.