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US Bitcoin Reserve Could Push Price To $500,000: Expert

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In an exclusive interview with Yahoo Finance, Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, shared his bullish outlook on Bitcoin, projecting significant price appreciation by the end of 2025. “We expect Bitcoin to be up above $200,000 by this time next year,” Hougan stated, attributing this forecast to three primary sources of demand: exchange-traded funds (ETFs), corporate investments, and governmental acquisitions.

Hougan elaborated, “There are ETFs that are vacuuming up Bitcoin, public companies like MicroStrategy are accumulating Bitcoin, and now we’re seeing discussions about governments investing in Bitcoin. It ultimately boils down to supply and demand—there’s too much demand and not enough supply, which drives the price higher.”

When probed about the sustainability of such demand, Hougan emphasized the gradual awakening of different investor segments to Bitcoin’s value proposition. “People just wake up to Bitcoin at different paces. We’ve seen retail investors engage first, followed by companies and financial advisors, and now institutions are recognizing that Bitcoin belongs in a diversified portfolio,” he explained.

“Bitcoin is now a global macro asset worth a few trillion dollars, and virtually every investor should have some exposure. We still have a large number of investors to go, which is why I believe we’re still early in this journey. We have many quarters to go,” he added.

How High Can Price Go If The US Buys Bitcoin?

A pivotal aspect of Hougan’s forecast hinges on the potential establishment of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). Addressing this, Hougan remarked, “If we do get a Bitcoin strategic reserve where the government is buying Bitcoin, as proposed in Senator Lummis’ bill for the government to purchase a million Bitcoin, $200,000 Bitcoin is going to be looking quaint. You’re going to be looking at three four $500,000 Bitcoin. It’s just too big a story because governments all around the world would have to do it.”

Hougan admitted that he was first skeptical about Trump suggestions to establish a SBR. “But over the months, it hasn’t gone away in fact we continue to see leaders in the Trump Administration suggest that they’re open to it,” Hougan remarked. The Bitcoin CIO still thinks that the odds of the US government buying Bitcoin is less than 50%, but “it’s not zero,” he added. “If it happens or if we start to see it happening in other countries, you’re going to see a rip up in Bitcoin that will make 2024 look pretty docel in comparison.”

Hougan also highlighted the role of institutional platforms, specifically citing Coinbase as a potential major beneficiary in the evolving crypto landscape. “Coinbase is currently about half the size of Charles Schwab, and we believe it could surpass Schwab in brokerage size,” he noted.

“Coinbase hasn’t had major competitors bubbling up to challenge it; it’s sort of had a degree of regulatory capture, if you can believe it. As a result, it’s been able to sustain its high margins in brokerages and then layer on things like stablecoins. [..,.] It’ll also help if it gets into the S&P 500; you see institutions buying it broadly. I think it’s a really unique situation driven by the fact that there was so much regulatory uncertainty—it cleared the competitive fat path and now it’s going to reap those rewards and build a really, you know, maybe an unsalable position leading this industry in the US.”

Looking ahead to the broader market, Hougan anticipated an influx of crypto-related companies entering public markets. “We can expect firms like Kraken, Anchorage, and Chainalysis to go public, further normalizing the industry,” he stated. “This influx will lead to increased Wall Street coverage and institutional investment, setting the stage for a robust IPO window in 2025.”

Despite the optimistic outlook, Hougan acknowledged potential risks that could impede Bitcoin’s growth. “The biggest risk is that politicians don’t deliver on their promises—if we don’t achieve regulatory clarity or fail to establish a strategic reserve, the expected bull market might not materialize,” he cautioned. “Regulatory and political factors are crucial drivers for crypto in 2025, and any setbacks in these areas could pose significant challenges.”

At press time, Bitcoin traded at $104,212.

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BTC price, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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Pakistan Plans To Legalise Bitcoin And Crypto

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Pakistan unveils plans to legalise bitcoin and crypto and implement a regulatory framework to attract foreign investment and boost adoption.

Bilal Bin Saqib, CEO of the Pakistan Crypto Council, told Bloomberg on Thursday that Pakistan has unveiled plans to legalise bitcoin and crypto and implement a regulatory framework to attract foreign investment and boost adoption.

The government aims to devise clear regulations and align with international best practices. Pakistan’s Finance Minister formed the PCC last week to steer the country’s crypto strategy.

“Pakistan is done sitting on the sidelines” regarding bitcoin and crypto, Saqib told Bloomberg. “We want to attract international investment because Pakistan is a low-cost, high-growth market with 60% of the population under 30.”

“Trump is making crypto a national priority, and every country, including Pakistan, will have to follow suit,” he said.

This move comes amid a global shift in attitudes towards bitcoin and crypto after the United States pushed for greater mainstream acceptance. The new stance is a stark change for Pakistan, which had previously banned crypto. By embracing bitcoin and crypto early, Pakistan is looking to position itself as a regional leader and attract investors.

Pakistan’s central bank had expressed concerns earlier. However, the government now seeks to mitigate risks through prudent legislation. Clear rules could boost innovation and prevent potential abuse of decentralised networks.





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‘This Is a Good Sign’: Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin at a Key Inflection Point, Unveils Breakout Targets for BTC

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A widely followed analyst says Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of being on the verge of a massive breakout.

The analyst pseudonymously known as Credible Crypto tells his 462,900 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin may reclaim the $100,000 range if BTC can break through resistance around the $88,000 level.

“We’re at a key inflection point around this region, but since we went up to tag it BEFORE going down to range lows this is a good sign. It increases the odds that if we reject here but hold range lows [at around $78,000], the next move up will be expansion and a true breakout through not just this level but the original supply zone above in RED that we first rejected from. All eyes on this key zone for now.”

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Source: Credible Crypto/X

The analyst says Bitcoin’s dip to the $84,000 range after tagging $87,000 on Thursday keeps the flagship crypto asset on target to reclaim the $100,000 level.

“A perfect rejection so far.”

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Source: Credible Crypto/X

Bitcoin is trading for $84,427 at time of writing, down 1.5% in the last 24 hours.

Next up, the analyst suggests payments token XRP may dip below $2.00 before rallying to its all-time high of about $3.40.

“This is still the game plan for XRP by the way. If we don’t get it, we don’t get it, and we ride spot to double digits regardless. But I’m not interested in jumping into fresh longs mid-range. Hoping people choose to fade this push so we get what would be a fantastic opportunity.”

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Source: Credible Crypto/X

XRP is trading for $2.45 at time of writing, down 1.7% in the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Top 6 Important Fed Decisions To Know After SEC Drops Ripple Lawsuit Appeal

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

The crypto industry received a significant legal victory as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced on March 19 that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had officially dropped its appeal against the company. The announcement came in a video posted on social media platform X, where Garlinghouse noted the regulatory agency’s decision to end its pursuit of further litigation.

Besides this interesting development, another major financial development has taken center stage in the crypto market in the past 24 hours; the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting. 

Fed Keeps Interest Rates Steady Amid Uncertainty

The outcome of the latest Fed meeting can be divided into six key decisions. First, the Federal Reserve opted to maintain interest rates at their current level, keeping the borrowing rate in a range between 4.25% and 4.5% for the second consecutive meeting. This decision is part of a continued pause in the Fed’s tightening cycle. 

Secondly, the Fed noted that uncertainty surrounding the economy has increased, and third, the Fed’s updated projections were the shift in expectations for rate cuts in 2025. The median forecast suggests 50 basis points of cuts for the year, but a growing number of Fed officials are less convinced that rate reductions will be necessary. In December, only one official anticipated no rate cuts in 2025. However, there’s now a more divided outlook, and that number has now risen to four, as noted in a post on social media platform X by analysts at The Kobeissi Letter.

Beyond interest rates, the Fed revised its economic growth projections downward for 2025, suggesting that policymakers see slower expansion ahead. This adjustment comes alongside an increase in the Fed’s inflation forecast for the same period, reflecting concerns about price pressures persisting longer than previously anticipated. With inflation remaining a key focus, the central bank is treading carefully as it evaluates the right time to pivot toward a looser monetary stance.

Fourthly, the Fed announced that it would slow the pace of its balance sheet runoff beginning in April. This is alongside a sharp reduction in the Fed’s 2025 growth projections and a markup in their 2025 inflation forecast.

Implications For Crypto Markets And Digital Assets

For the crypto industry, the Fed’s decision to hold rates steady and its mixed messaging on future cuts introduce a dynamic situation to Bitcoin and others. The fact that the Fed is still concerned about inflation and economic uncertainty shows that the path to more accommodative policies regarding the crypto industry may not be as smooth. 

However, if the Fed stays hesitant to cut rates and economic growth slows as projected, digital assets may face headwinds later in the year, which may slow down the predicted growth by crypto analysts.

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Overall crypto market at $2.75 trillion | Source: TOTAL on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com



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