Real Vision’s chief crypto analyst says that Bitcoin (BTC) may soon print a series of rallies as macroeconomic conditions could ease later this year.

In a new thread, crypto strategist Jamie Coutts tells his 37,300 followers on the social media platform X that market liquidity is expected to increase in the second half of 2025, which may pump Bitcoin.

“The bottom line, though, is that if Bitcoin can rally through the worst liquidity withdrawal in decades, it’s primed for more significant moves as conditions ease through the rest of the year. Watch the blue line [Base Money Liquidity to Debt Ratio] begin to tick higher in 2H (second half) of the year.”

In addition to predicting money supply will increase faster than US debt, he also predicts that Bitcoin adoption will increase among US banks and sovereign wealth funds, helping to increase the value of the flagship crypto asset.

“More likely, base money outpaces government debt growth. What happens if base money expands faster than U.S. debt growth? In some reality, that might steady the ship and dampen the fear fueling Bitcoin adoption. But, in my view, that only hits the margins.

Meanwhile, deeper Bitcoin integration at both sovereign and banking levels is inevitable. Ultimately, US structural deficits are not changing. The US government will need to find new and inventive ways to ensure there is a bid for their debt.”

Bitcoin is trading for $84,090 at time of writing, flat on the day.

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Bitcoin (BTC) price volatility is slowing down as the coin’s capitulation continues. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price was changing hands for $84,278.83 as it pared off the losses accrued in earlier trading. At this pace, the question now hinges on whether BTC can form sustainable support at the $84,000 price mark or whether further drawdown lies ahead.

Core Bitcoin Price Metric to Watch

According to Glassnode data, BTC Short-Term Holders (STH) are under increasing pressure. This group’s unrealized losses have surged, pushing many STH coins into losses. As revealed, their holdings are now nearing the two-standard deviation threshold. 

Despite this outlook, the data platform hinted that losses remain within historical bull market bounds. Specifically, it noted that these losses are less severe than the May 2021 sell-off from the all-time high. Glassnode said the rolling 30-day losses for STH have topped $7 billion. It confirmed that “this remains well below prior capitulation events, such as the $19.8B and $20.7B losses in 2021-22.”

BTC price jumped to an ATH above $109,000 in January but has since dropped by 22.79%. While experts predicted a drop of over 35%, the limited loss from holders can form a good rebound basis.

BTC Price Bottom In, Here Are Triggers for Rally

Over the past week, Bitcoin has rallied within very tight price ranges, from a low of $81,300 to a high of $87,320. Some market observers believe the coin has attained its floor price and might be set for a rebound.

While firms like Strategy have kept Bitcoin purchase plans alive with Strife’s perpetual stock offering, the Global Money Supply M2 also lays a positive basis for growth. With the current outlook, the projection that the $83,00 level is the BTC price floor is resounding among analysts.

The shift in regulation and the backing of Bitcoin by President Donald Trump creates a tailwind for the coin’s proponents. At the Digital Asset Summit earlier this week, President Trump reiterated the plan to make the US the crypto capital of the world.

Several government agencies have shifted their policies in this regard, which might attract investors in the long term.

How High Can Bitcoin Valuation Rise?

Despite the slowdown in growth in recent weeks, many market leaders are still confident in the coin’s prospects. As reported earlier by CoinGape, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan maintained the price target of $1 million by 2029. He cited a longer-term reaction to macroeconomic uncertainties as the basis for his prediction.

While this Bitcoin price prediction appears lofty, others believe Bitcoin may cross $200,000 once the bull rally returns. With spot Bitcoin ETF hype and other growing institutional adoption, BTC price has an arguably bright future.

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Godfrey Benjamin

Benjamin Godfrey is a blockchain enthusiast and journalists who relish writing about the real life applications of blockchain technology and innovations to drive general acceptance and worldwide integration of the emerging technology. His desires to educate people about cryptocurrencies inspires his contributions to renowned blockchain based media and sites. Benjamin Godfrey is a lover of sports and agriculture.

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Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.