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Why Bitcoin Price Could Climb Even Higher After Trump Victory, According to Analysts

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After climbing to a new all-time high earlier this morning, the Bitcoin price has retraced only slightly after U.S. media outlets have decisively called the 2024 presidential election for Republic Donald Trump.

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is sitting just below $74,000 after peaking at a new all-time high of $75,358.70 very early this morning, according to CoinGecko data.

And there’s reason to believe that Bitcoin’s big year—spot ETF approvals, the fourth halving, and now Trump’s victory—could set BTC up for a very strong start to 2025, according to Samir Kerbage, CIO at crypto asset manager Hashdex.

“In the six months that followed the last three presidential elections, Bitcoin has had triple digit returns, and even larger returns over the 12-month period,” he said in a note shared with Decrypt. “This history, along with the strong outperformance that typically follows Bitcoin’s halving, ongoing institutional adoption, and the improving regulatory outlook in the US, has set this asset class up for a very strong 2025.”

But not all analysts are convinced that Trump is going to deliver on the many promises he’s made to secure support from the crypto industry.

“Over the last few months, Trump has pledged to make Bitcoin a reserve currency, fire Gary Gensler, push through crypto-friendly regulation, and more. But if he doesn’t deliver on these promises quickly, the euphoria could turn to disappointment, which has the potential to result in crypto market volatility,” wrote Tim Kravchunovsky, founder and CEO of the decentralized telecommunications network Chirp, in a note sent to Decrypt. “We have to be prepared for this because the reality is that crypto isn’t the most important issue on Trump’s current agenda.”

He’s not the first analyst to flag that Trump may not be entirely serious about putting crypto at the forefront of his policies during his second term. Earlier this week, investment research firm Bernstein shared a prediction that even though Bitcoin might have initially dropped with a Harris win that it would have still been well positioned for a strong 2025.

Meanwhile, on crypto betting platform Polymarket, the main betting pool for who would win the U.S. presidential election has already been resolved.

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan wasted no time celebrating the triumph of prediction markets over more traditional polls, which right up until the election were forecasting a close race while Polymarket showed Trump widen his lead.

“Trust the markets, not the polls,” Coplan wrote on Twitter. “I just got word that the Trump campaign HQ literally found out they were winning from Polymarket. History was made today,” he said in another post.

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Cryptocurrencies to watch this week: Binance Coin, Cronos, ZetaChain

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Cryptocurrency prices rose modestly during the weekend as investors embraced a risk-on sentiment following Friday’s surge in the US stock market. 

Bitcoin (BTC) held steady above $84,000, while the market cap of all coins rose to over $2.8 trillion. 

The crypto market will have two main catalysts this week: President Donald Trump’s tariffs and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions. A sign of Trump easing his stand on tariffs and a more dovish Fed will be bullish for cryptocurrencies and other risky assets. 

The top cryptocurrencies to watch this week will be Binance Coin (BNB), Cronos (CRO), and ZetaChain (ZETA).

BNB

BNB price
BNB price chart | Source: crypto.news

BNB price will be in the spotlight this week as the developers activate the Pascal hard fork on March 20.  This is one of the three upgrades scheduled for the year’s first half. It is set to introduce newer features, including more Ethereum compatibility, native smart contract wallets, and more security. 

The other two upgrades will improve BNB Chain’s speed and security. This is happening as the BSC Chain becomes one of the best alternatives to Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). Ethereum has higher fees and is slow, while the Solana network is highly associated with meme coins. 

Cronos 

Cronos price
Cronos price chart | Source: crypto.news

A key Cronos vote will conclude on March 17. This crucial vote seeks to determine the creation of the Cronos Strategic Reserve. It aims to do that by undoing a 70 billion token burn that happened in 2021. 

If the vote passes, Cronos will create 70 billion tokens and use them to create a reserve that will be used to support the ecosystem. Critics argue that creating these new tokens will dilute existing investors by adding to the supply.

Voting data shows that 45.8% of users have voted in support of the proposal, while 44.4% have rejected it. 9.27% have abstained. If the vote ends like this, the proposal will be rejected as the turnout is less than the quorum. 

ZetaChain

Zetachain price
Zetachain price chart | Source: crypto.news

ZetaChain is another top cryptocurrency to watch after its price crashed to a record low of $0.2070. It has dropped by over 92% from its all-time high, bringing its market cap to $151 million. 

One reason for the ZETA price crash is that the total value locked in its ecosystem has crashed to $13 million from its all-time high of near $20 million. 

The other reason is that Zetachain is highly dilutive as it has a circulating supply of 731 million against a total supply of 2.1 billion.

The network will unlock tokens worth over $6.6 million, representing 4.29% of the float this week. Cryptocurrencies are often highly volatile when there is a major unlock. 



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Bitcoin ETF

Gold ETFs Inflow Takes Over BTC ETFs Amid Historic Rally

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Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have overtaken bitcoin ETFs in assets under management as investors shift toward the traditional safe-haven asset as BTC price tumbled more than 19% over the past three months, while the precious metal climbed 12.5%.

Bitcoin ETFs, which saw significant inflows following their U.S. launch in January last year, have experienced major outflows, losing about $3.8 billion since Feb. 24 of this year, according to Farside Investors data. Meanwhile, gold ETFs recorded their highest monthly inflows since March 2022 last month, according to the World Gold Council.

Gold ETF flows and gold's price. (World Gold Council)

These flows have meant that gold ETFs have now “reclaimed the asset crown over bitcoin ETFs,” as Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said on social media.

Spot bitcoin ETFs listed in the U.S. first surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management in December 2024 as the cryptocurrency market surged after Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential elections.

Meanwhile, gold has been seeing a significant run. This Friday, it exceeded the $3,000 per ounce mark for the first time ever, with gold futures for April delivery breaking through the same level earlier in the week.

Market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty have been helping the price of the precious metal rise as demand for a safe haven continues to grow.
Read more: Gold’s Historic Rally Leaves Bitcoin Behind, But the Trend May Reverse





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Here’s why the Toncoin price surge may be short-lived

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Toncoin price has risen by 45% from its lowest level this month after Pavel Durov was allowed to leave France after months. 

Toncoin (TON) rose to a high of $3.6240 on Saturday, its highest level since Feb. 24, bringing its market cap to over $8.4 billion. 

Pavel Durov leaves France

The surge happened in part because of the ongoing crypto prices rebound and after French authorities gave Durov his passport, allowing him the freedom to leave the country. 

https://twitter.com/ton_blockchain/status/1900923518281543959?s=46

Durov was arrested in 2024 in France and was accused of several crimes, including complicity in managing an online platform that enabled illegal transactions. Allegations include refusal to cooperate with authorities, drug trafficking and money laundering.

Following Durov’s arrest, many in the crypto community rallied in his defense.

Still, there are risks that the Toncoin price surge may be short-lived because of its fairly weak on-chain metrics. Data compiled by TonStat shows that the TON inflation has continued rising and currently stands at 0.40%, up from 0.33% in October. This inflation has jumped as the total supply has surged to over 5.124 billion. 

More data shows that the number of transactions per day crashed to 2.15 million from almost 20 million in September last year. 

TON Transactions per day
TON transactions per day | Source: Tonstat

The number of active wallets in the TON Blockchain has continued to drop. Also, the total value locked in its DeFi ecosystem has dropped to $180 million from almost $800 million a few months ago.

STON.fi, its biggest DEX network, has a small market share, handling $7.1 million in the last 24 hours.

One reason for this performance is that most tokens in the TON Blockchain, like Hamster Kombat (HMSTR), Catizen (CATI) and Tapswap, have crashed — erasing billions of dollars in value. 

The Toncoin price may also drop as investors sell the Durov release news. Historically, traders initially overreact to major news and then sell after a while. Recall when Cardano’s price rose after being named one of the tokens included in President Trump’s stockpile (the coin tumbled by double digits a few days later).

Toncoin price analysis

Here’s why the Toncoin price surge may be short-lived - 1
TON price chart | Source: crypto.news

The daily chart shows that the TON price has bounced back after bottoming at $2.3650 this month. It rose to a high of $3.50, which coincided with the 50-day moving average, a sign that it has found substantial resistance. 

Toncoin price also found resistance at the weak, stop and reverse point of the Murrey Math Lines. Therefore, the token will likely resume the downtrend and move below $3 as the Durov news starts to fade. 





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