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Will Trump’s inauguration ignite unforeseen crypto market?

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The Bitcoin price and the broader crypto market surged following Donald Trump’s election victory in November, with the rally gaining fresh momentum in the days leading up to his inauguration on Jan. 20.

Crypto enthusiasts are largely sold on Trump’s image as the industry’s messiah, bolstered by his self-styled role as a champion of pro-crypto policies. But are these hopes grounded in reality, or is the market caught up in make-believe?

During his rousing speech in Nashville last July, Trump made bold promises to transform the U.S. into the crypto capital of the world. To support this vision, he affirmed his intent to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR).

“We’re gonna do something great with crypto because we don’t want China or anyone else getting ahead,” Trump told CNBC last month.

Now, as initial signs of rising inflation spark fears of an economic crisis, Trump is expected to issue several crypto-related executive orders upon his return to the White House. The incoming administration has already announced plans to loosen regulations, establish a Crypto Presidential Advisory Council—reportedly including around 20 CEOs and founders with strong ties to Trump—to give the industry a voice in government, revoke restrictive policies like SAB 121, and position the U.S. as the global center of Bitcoin mining. 

Crypto cronies

Trump appointed venture capitalist and podcast host David Sacks as the country’s first artificial intelligence and crypto czar.

As part of the weekend inauguration celebration, Sacks hosted a crypto ball at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium in Washington, D.C., on Jan. 17. The event was co-hosted by BTC Inc., Stand With Crypto, Exodus, Anchorage Digital, and Kraken. Sponsors included MicroStrategy, MetaMask, Coinbase, Solana, Galaxy Digital, Kraken, and others. 

According to the New York Post, the president-elect is reportedly considering an ‘America-first’ crypto reserve strategy that would include Bitcoin as well as U.S.-founded digital assets like XRP and Solana.

Whether Trump’s own meme coin (TRUMP), now with a market cap of about $13 billion, would be included in that reserve.

The Solana-based meme coin is currently $21, according to data from CoinGecko. The coin debuted with 200 million tokens in circulation out of a total supply of 1 billion, with the remaining supply set to be gradually released over the next three years.

It reached a high of $73.43 and currently hovers at around $66 at the time of writing.

Will Trump’s inauguration ignite an unforeseen crypto market boom? - 1
Source: CoinGecko

Based on data from analytics company Arkham, the U.S. government currently holds nearly $20 billion worth of Bitcoin, seized in various law enforcement actions. This portfolio includes 198,109 BTC, valued at approximately $20.63 billion, along with other digital assets such as 54,753 ETH ($189.03 million), 122.13 million USDT ($122.13 million), and 750.722 WBTC ($77.77 million).

The government’s current holdings also feature Binance Coin (BNB), Aave (AAVE), USD Coin (USDC), and others.

Will Trump’s inauguration ignite an unforeseen crypto market boom? - 2
U.S. Government’s Crypto Portfolio. Source: Arkham 

Analyzing the potential impact of these developments on the cryptocurrency market, it’s reasonable to expect the market to continue to grow.

The creation of a crypto reserve signals strong governmental support for Bitcoin as a store of value and a strategic asset. Similar to previous institutional adoption events, such a move could increase Bitcoin demand, and reduce market supply. As a result, it might start a global domino effect, with more governments adopting similar strategies and sending demand up.

Speaking of exact price targets, Bitcoin’s price could experience a rally similar to previous institutional adoption events, with the potential to reach $120,000–$150,000 within six to 12 months, depending on market sentiment and macroeconomic factors.

Prioritizing U.S.-founded assets like XRP and Solana could enhance the adoption of these crypto projects on a global scale. XRP and Solana could rally by 30–50% in the short term, depending on the specifics of the strategy. Regarding the decision to launch the TRUMP meme coin just days before the inauguration, it appears to be a strategic move aimed at reinforcing Trump’s pro-crypto stance and arousing a sense of excitement among his supporters.

An overlooked consequence might be the government stepping into areas traditionally outside its purview. Although framed as deregulation, top-down crypto policies are inherently regulated, which contrasts with the crypto community’s core values of decentralization.

Also, if deregulation is indeed the goal, how will consumer protections be ensured? Striking this balance is a Herculean task. From my experience leading Outset PR, I’ve seen firsthand how even well-intentioned policies can create friction between innovation and oversight. Moreover, political promises often stall or face roadblocks before becoming a reality. If these initiatives are not executed efficiently, the market’s response may be lukewarm.

Closing Thoughts

Crypto market enthusiasts have reason to be excited—the proposed policies could significantly boost adoption and valuation.

Crypto’s biggest stumbling block has long been the government, but if alignment between policymakers and the industry can be achieved, the potential for growth is very promising.

However, as is always the case in the crypto market, execution and external factors will ultimately determine the scale and sustainability of this growth.





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Bitcoin

Why $107,500 And $103,500 Are The Levels To Watch

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The Bitcoin price crash is in focus following the flagship crypto’s recent drop to as low as $103,700. Crypto analyst Captain Faibik has commented on why $107,500 and $103,500 are the most important levels to watch as BTC looks to decide its next move. 

Why $107,500 & $103,500 Are Key For The Bitcoin Price

In an X post, Captain Faibik explained that $107,500 and $103,500 are key as the bulls and bears battle to dictate the next move for the Bitcoin price. The analyst noted that later this week, BTC bulls will attempt to reclaim the $107,500 resistance and regain momentum. 

He predicted that a clean break and hold above $107,500 could trigger a bullish leg toward the $117,000 level, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the flagship crypto. Meanwhile, on the other hand, $103,500 is an important support level which the bulls must defend as the Bitcoin price eyes new highs. Captain Faibik warned that a breakdown below could shift momentum back in favor of the bears. 

Bitcoin
Source: Captain Faibik on X

The Bitcoin price had surged above $106,000 on May 2 following news about the US decision to extend its pause of tariffs on some Chinese goods to August. This provided a bullish outlook for the flagship crypto after Donald Trump stated last week that China had violated the trade deal with the US. 

Trump and China’s president are set to have a call later this week, which could further boost the Bitcoin price if both sides could resolve any dispute regarding the current trade deal. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell failed to discuss the economy during his speech at the International Finance Division Anniversary Conference, which also continues to fuel market uncertainty. 

First Step For BTC Is To Get Back Above $106,500

In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital indicated that the first step is for the Bitcoin price to successfully reclaim $106,500. He noted that BTC had recorded a weekly close below this level, which puts the flagship crypto back in the danger zone. The analyst further remarked that BTC needs to get back above this level in the coming days or things can get “sketchy looking.” Kevin Capital added that this has been a key level for months, and nothing has changed.  

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto revealed that a Katana is forming on the weekly chart for the Bitcoin price. He explained that in Ichimoku analysis, a Katana forms when Tenkan and Kijun overlap. This signals low momentum and market equilibrium. He added that this development also precedes strong directional moves, with an expansion or pullback on the horizon. 

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $105,435, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin
BTC trading at $105,125 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com



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Dow inches higher, Nasdaq gains 0.67% despite renewed trade tensions

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U.S. stocks ended higher on Monday, showing resilience despite rising trade tensions between Washington, Beijing, and Brussels. 

The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.7%, while the S&P 500 added 0.4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a marginal gain of less than 0.1%.

The uptick came after China pushed back against President Trump’s accusation that it had breached the trade truce struck earlier this year. 

Beijing blamed the U.S. for escalating tensions by tightening export controls on AI chips and restricting visas for Chinese students. 

Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence that President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping would resume talks soon.

European officials also criticized the U.S. over plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50% starting Wednesday, warning of potential retaliatory duties. A European Union trade delegation is now in Washington to address the issue.

Energy rally 

Despite the geopolitical friction, investor sentiment was buoyed by a rally in the energy sector. The S&P 500 Energy index rose 1%, driven by a 2.8% jump in U.S. crude-oil prices following a drone strike by Ukraine on Russian military targets. Additionally, OPEC+ announced a supply increase set for July, which further fueled gains in oil and copper futures.

Treasury yields moved higher, with the 10-year yield rising to 4.461% and the 30-year reaching a key technical level. The dollar index weakened, while the euro, pound, and yen gained.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are now coming off their strongest month since 2023, signaling renewed investor appetite despite global uncertainties.



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Donald Trump

Trump’s Memecoin Dinner Questioned by Top Democrat on House Judiciary Committee

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A senior Democrat in the House of Representatives, Jamie Raskin, joined his name to lawmakers seeking answers about President Donald Trump’s recent dinner for top investors in his memecoin, sending questions directly to Trump.

Raskin, the ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, has been a vocal critic of the president and becomes the latest of many from his party to probe details about the event, which they’ve called out as evidence of White House corruption. Because Raskin is in the minority party, his demands are unlikely to lead to further congressional action unless they regain the House or Senate in next year’s elections.

“I write today to demand that you release the names of all the attendees at this dinner and provide information about the source of the money they each used to buy $TRUMP coins, so that we can prevent illegal foreign government emoluments from being pocketed without congressional consent,” Raskin wrote this week to the president, joining many counterparts in the Senate in seeking the information, including Senators Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy and Richard Blumenthal.

“We deserve to know who is paying for access to our president, and what steps you took to ensure that the funds you receive are legitimate and legal, rather than the proceeds from foreign states or monarchs or illegal activities,” Rasking said, specifically highlighting Tron founder Justin Sun, a guest who was a major early investor in Trump’s family crypto operations.

Read More: Democrats Threaten Lawsuits, Join Protests Ahead of Trump Memecoin Dinner





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