Bitcoin

Is BTC Preparing For $72,000?

Published

5 months ago

July 18, 2024

Bitcoin is steady when writing, floating above immediate support levels and inches away from reclaiming the all-important local liquidation line at around $66,000. Even as the broader crypto community expects buyers to step in and push prices higher, there are exciting developments that buttress this outlook.

Billions Worth Of BTC Pulled From Exchanges

According to exchange data shared by one analyst on X, BTC holders increasingly pull their coins from exchanges.

On July 5, when prices tanked, pushing the world’s most valuable coin close to $50,000, a staggering $3.8 billion BTC was moved from exchanges.

BTC moving from exchanges | Source: @Woo_Minkyu via X

Once this happened, prices rapidly bounced back, rising from as low as $53,500 to $65,000 recorded earlier this week. Though prices have been moving horizontally above $62,500 recently, more BTC is being withdrawn. On July 16, BTC owners pulled another $3.4 billion of the coin.

Even though there is no clear impact on prices, if past performance guides, it is likely that prices will edge higher like they did after the collapse to $53,500.

Bitcoin price trending higher on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

Usually, analysts interpret exchange outflows as positive for price. Whenever coin holders move assets to non-custodial wallets, they want to take control of their coins. As such, they might be unwilling to sell.

Their decision helps support prices since they won’t sell on demand if they wish to, like if they held them on crypto platforms like Binance or Coinbase. Moreover, with fewer BTC readily available on exchanges, bulls tend to benefit due to increased scarcity.

Is Bitcoin Preparing For Another Leg Up Above $72,000?

Beyond this development, another analyst notes that the Realized Profit and Loss Ratio metric has fallen and stands at multi-month lows. The metric is used to gauge market sentiment, mainly influenced by profit and loss at any point in time.

Realized profit and loss ratio falling | Source: @AxelAdlerJr via X

This decrease suggests that investors who wanted to exit at highs have already taken profit. For now, traders must wait for these metrics to rise, perhaps to multi-month highs, ideally above $72,000 and $74,000, before profit-taking resumes.

Bitcoin has also reclaimed its average cost basis of short-term holders (STHs) as prices recover above $62,000. Those who bought within the last 155 days are now in the money. They are likely holding and expecting more gains in the coming sessions before realizing profits.

In the past, whenever the average cost basis is surpassed, CryptoQuant analysts say prices tend to rise by over 30%.

Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin

Metaplanet makes largest Bitcoin bet, acquires nearly 620 BTC

Published

37 minutes ago

December 23, 2024

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Tokyo-listed Metaplanet has purchased another 9.5 billion yen ($60.6 million) worth of Bitcoin, pushing its holdings to 1,761.98 BTC.

Metaplanet, a publicly traded Japanese company, has acquired 619.7 Bitcoin as part of its crypto treasury strategy, paying an average of 15,330,073 yen per (BTC), with a total investment of 9.5 billion yen.

According to the company’s latest financial disclosure, Metaplanet’s total Bitcoin holdings now stand at 1,761.98 BTC, with an average purchase price of 11,846,002 yen (~$75,628) per Bitcoin. The company has spent 20.872 billion yen in total on Bitcoin acquisitions, the document reads.

The latest purchase is the largest so far for the Tokyo-headquartered company and comes just days after Metaplanet issued its 5th Series of Ordinary Bonds via private placement with EVO FUND, raising 5 billion yen (approximately $32 million).

The proceeds from this issuance, as disclosed earlier, were allocated specifically for purchasing Bitcoin. These bonds, set to mature in June 2025, carry no interest and allow for early redemption under specific conditions.

Metaplanet buys dip

The company also shared updates on its BTC Yield, a metric used to measure the growth of Bitcoin holdings relative to fully diluted shares. From Oct. 1 to Dec. 23, Metaplanet’s BTC Yield surged to 309.82%, up from 41.7% in the previous quarter.

Bitcoin itself has seen strong performance this year, climbing 120% and outperforming assets like the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices. However, it has recently pulled back from its all-time high of $108,427, trading at $97,000 after the Federal Reserve indicated only two interest rate cuts in 2025.

Despite the retreat, on-chain metrics indicate that Bitcoin is still undervalued based on its Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV-Z) score, which stands at 2.84 — below the threshold of 3.7 that historically signals an asset is overvalued.

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Altcoin Season

End of Altcoin Season? Glassnode Co-Founders Warn Alts in Danger of Lagging Behind After Last Week’s Correction

Published

4 hours ago

December 23, 2024

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The creators of the crypto analytics firm Glassnode are warning that altcoins could lose all bullish momentum following last week’s market correction.

Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, who go by the handle Negentropic on the social media platform X, tell their 63,400 followers that “altcoin season,” which they say began in late November, could come to an abrupt end after alts witnessed deep pullbacks over the last seven days.

According to the Glassnode co-founders, traders and investors will likely have a risk-off approach on altcoins unless Bitcoin recovers a key psychological price point.

“Is This the End of Altcoin Season?

Bitcoin dominance is surging after dipping below $100,000, while altcoins are losing critical supports. Dominance has risen and resumed its upward trend, signaling a stronger BTC environment.

If BTC stabilizes above $100,00, we might see a pump in altcoins now in accumulation zones. Until then, Bitcoin appears poised to lead, leaving altcoins lagging behind.”

The Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart tracks how much of the total crypto market cap belongs to BTC. In the current state of the market, a surging BTC.D suggests that altcoins are losing value faster than Bitcoin.

At time of writing, BTC.D is hovering at 59%.

Looking at Bitcoin itself, the Glassnode executives say long-term Bitcoin holders are massively unloading their holdings as other investor cohorts pick up the slack.

“The Board Keeps Shifting.

As BTC continues flowing out of exchanges during this dip, long-term holders are exiting forcefully, while short-term holders step in without hesitation.

Whales quietly accumulate, miners remain neutral, and selling pressure has merely reshuffled the board.

New hands are absorbing the sales.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is worth $97,246.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: DALLE3

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Altcoins

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan Predicts Institutional Interest in Altcoins, Says 2025 the Year of Crypto Diversification

Published

20 hours ago

December 22, 2024

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Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says a wave of institutional interest in altcoins is coming next year, largely due to potential regulatory clarity and more exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

In a new interview with Bloomberg, Hougan says that institutional money is in the early stages of broadening out to other crypto assets besides just Bitcoin (BTC).

Hougan forecasts that 2025 will be the year that institutional investors will begin to incorporate more diversification in their crypto-investing strategies the same way they do in other asset classes like equities or bonds.

“You’re already seeing it broaden out actually. A lot of people were worried about the Ethereum ETFs for instance, which launched this summer and had tepid inflows.

But over the last month or so, you’ve seen billions of dollars flow into those products.

Again, the things that have happened in crypto in the past keep happening. Historically, most people enter crypto through Bitcoin, and then they discover Ethereum, and then they think about Solana. There’s no reason to assume that the institutions that came into Bitcoin won’t move on to other assets in the future.

In fact, I think in 2025, you’re going to see an explosion of interest in index space strategies that give diversified exposure to crypto. Of course, [that is] something we’ve been doing at Bitwise since 2017 when we pioneered that concept. I think 2025 is when that becomes a mainstream way to allocate to this space, the same way it is to stocks and bonds and real estate and everything else.”

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