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Polymarket Goes Wild as Biden Drops Out of Race, Endorses Kamala Harris

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Following weeks of increasing pressure from Democrats, President Joe Biden announced Sunday that he will drop out of the 2024 presidential race and not seek reelection. He will finish out his term, however.

“While it has been my intention to seek reelection, I believe it is in the best interest of my party and the country for me to stand down and focus solely on fulfilling my duties as President for the remainder of my term,” Biden wrote in a letter posted to Twitter (aka X).

Biden said he will “speak to the nation” later this week about the move. He thanked his Vice President Kamala Harris in the letter, and then in a separate tweet, endorsed her as the Democratic nominee for president.

“Today I want to offer my full support and endorsement for Kamala to be the nominee of our party this year,” he wrote. “Democrats—it’s time to come together and beat Trump. Let’s do this.”

Polymarket, the leading crypto predictions market platform, saw wild swings in odds following the news, with Harris’ chances of securing the Democratic nomination surging to 82%. In a potential election matchup, Trump currently leads on Polymarket with a 64% chance, while Harris currently sits at 31%. Nevertheless, Polymarket’s bettors have Harris pipping Trump in the popular vote, at odds of 43% versus Trump’s 42%.

The news initially saw the Democratic Party’s odds of winning the election plunge on Polymarket, before stablizing at 36%. The Democractic VP nominee market positioned Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro as the frontrunner for the position, at odds of 32%, with the next-closest contender, North Carolina governor Roy Cooper, at 25%.

The price of Bitcoin demonstrated volatility as the news broke, briefly dipping below $66,000 before recovering to $67,000, remaining steady on the day, according to data from CoinGecko.

PolitiFi meme coins were unsurprisingly swift to react to the news, with the Jeo Boden (BODEN) token plunging by almost 50% and the Harris-themed Kamala Horris (KAMA) token surging by over 125% on the day.

Additional reporting by Stephen Graves.

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California Court Rules Lido DAO Members Can Be Held Liable Under Partnership Laws

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A federal court judge ruled on Monday that Lido DAO, the governing body behind the popular liquid staking protocol, can be treated as a general partnership under state law. 

The court rejected Lido’s claim that it isn’t a legal entity, classifying it as a general partnership and setting a precedent for how profit-driven DAOs are treated.

It was also ruled that identifiable participants were managing the DAO’s operations and, therefore, could not evade liability through its decentralized structure, according to court documents filed in the U.S. Northern District Court of California.

“[The lawsuit] presents several new and important questions about the ability of people in the crypto world to inoculate themselves from liability by creating novel legal arrangements to profit from exotic financial instruments,” Judge Vince Chhabria wrote in his ruling.

Paradigm Operations, Andreessen Horowitz, and Dragonfly Digital Management were implicated as general partners based on their alleged active involvement in Lido governance and operations. 

However, Robot Ventures, another Lido investor, was dismissed due to insufficient allegations of active participation.

General Counsel and Head of Decentralization at a16z crypto, Miles Jennings, said Judge Chhabria’s decision had “dealt a huge blow to decentralized governance” in a statement posted to X on Monday.

“Under the ruling, any DAO participation (even posting in a forum) could be sufficient to hold DAO members liable for the actions of other members under general partnership laws,” he said.

What happened

According to court documents, plaintiff Andrew Samuels purchased LDO tokens on the secondary market in April and May 2023 through the Gemini exchange. 

By December of that year, Samuels filed a class-action lawsuit after incurring losses from purchasing the platform’s native LDO tokens, alleging they were sold to him as unregistered securities, and held Lido DAO liable for the decline in their value.

On Monday, the court agreed with Samuels’ contention, finding Lido’s structure—where token holders govern decisions and earn from staking rewards—constitutes a general partnership under California law. It also found Lido DAO’s lack of direct token sales did not exempt it from liability.

“The courts have construed the statutory phrase ‘offers or sells’ broadly to cover someone who ‘solicits’ the purchase of securities. Samuels has adequately alleged that Lido indeed solicited the purchase of these tokens on crypto exchanges.”

Lido DAO functions as a general partnership, as it involves “the association of two or more persons to carry on as coowners a business for profit forms a partnership, whether or not the persons intend to form a partnership,” the court ruled, citing state law.

Edited by Sebastian Sinclair

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Crypto Dad Giancarlo Denies SEC Job Rumors: ‘I’ve Already Cleaned Up Gensler Mess’

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J. Christopher Giancarlo, affectionately known as “Crypto Dad,” dismissed speculation that he is being considered to replace Gary Gensler as head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

On Thursday,  the former Chair of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) took to X to deny reports he was seeking the agency’s top job.

“I’ve made clear that I’ve already cleaned up an earlier Gary Gensler[‘s] mess,” he said. “[I] Don’t want to have to do it again.”

He also pushed back against rumors he was seeking “some crypto role” within the U.S. Treasury Department, claiming they were “also wrong.”

The buzz around Giancarlo’s potential return to a regulatory role comes amidst speculation of a shake-up at the SEC following Donald Trump’s re-election, with Gary Gensler’s position as chairman hanging in the balance.

Giancarlo served as a commissioner at the CFTC from June 2014 to April 2019, stepping into the role shortly after Gensler’s departure as CFTC chair.

He earned the nickname “Crypto Dad” as he became a top figure in the crypto community by advocating for crypto innovation during his tenure. 

After stepping down from his role, he co-founded the Digital Dollar Project in January 2020, which seeks to promote discussions on the future of “digital monetary innovations.”

Giancarlo has maintained that central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are not the only path forward, noting that “crypto, CBDCs, stablecoins, and more” is the global future.

President-elect Donald Trump, whose return to the Whitehouse in January marks a significant comeback for the Republican party, has vowed to quash any future CBDC policy.

The crypto community is bracing for the possibility of Gensler’s departure, as Trump has also promised to replace the current SEC chair, whose term runs until 2026. 

Giancarlo is not the only name being floated; other pro-crypto candidates include SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda, former Binance.US CEO Brian Brooks, and others.

Gensler, a contentious figure in the crypto space, hinted at his possible departure during a speech at the 56th Annual Institute on Securities Regulation on Thursday. 

At the end of the speech, he stated, “It’s been a great honor to serve with them, doing the people’s work, and ensuring that our capital markets remain the best in the world,” referring to his SEC colleagues. 

The pressure on Gensler is at an all-time high this week as 18 states, along with the DeFi Education Fund, filed a lawsuit accusing the SEC of overreaching its authority on crypto regulations.

Filed Thursday, the suit alleges that under Gensler’s leadership, the SEC deliberately bypassed standard procedures and withheld new crypto rules to pursue a “regulatory land grab.”

Edited by Sebastian Sinclair

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Strike While the Crypto Iron is Hot Under Trump, Says Andreessen Horowitz

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Andreessen Horowitz’s (a16z) crypto arm sees former President Donald Trump’s re-election as a catalyst for a new era in crypto regulation, urging projects to embrace decentralized solutions and build confidently in the U.S. 

The venture capital firm, which has invested heavily in crypto and web3 startups, sees Trump’s pro-crypto stance as a way forward, according to a blog post on Monday.

The firm’s crypto legal and policy experts—Miles Jennings, Michele Korver, and Brian Quintenz—outlined how the new political climate could pave the way for regulatory clarity.

With the election now decided, “we believe this is an incredible opportunity to build on the bipartisan progress from the last Congress,” they wrote.

The experts’ core message to crypto founders is to leverage the new administration’s openness towards digital assets. “Where there is trust, there is regulation,” the experts reminded builders, urging them to eliminate centralized dependencies to stay compliant.

The trio notes now is the time for projects that have held back on using tokens due to regulatory concerns. With Trump’s pro-crypto approach, founders should feel confident in using tokens as “legitimate and lawful tools,” according to experts.

“Today’s all-time high, driven by a Trump election win, signals that we are in the midst of a potential paradigm shift into the next phase of growth for crypto,” OKX chief legal officer Mauricio Beugelmans told Decrypt.

Much of the optimism stems from Trump’s campaign promises to ease restrictions on crypto and replace Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler, whose strict enforcement approach has been a thorn in crypto’s side.

“We hope forward-looking regulation that protects the industry and users and cultivates crypto innovation in America will become a bipartisan topic in the future,” Beugelmans added.

Trump’s re-election has sparked enthusiasm in the markets, with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs well above $80,000.

“The confirmation of Republicans winning the House could provide an additional boost to the risk rally, but we may see some profit-taking in the coming weeks or months as actual policies are tested,” Aurelie Barthere, Nansen’s principal research analyst, told Decrypt.

Edited by Sebastian Sinclair

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