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Is Bitcoin Recent ETF Inflow Surge a Setup for a Fall? What Traders Need to Know

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Amid rising institutional engagement in Bitcoin, a sharp spike in exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows over the past few days has sparked interest from traders and analysts alike.

Earlier today, a noteworthy analysis from the popular trader Skew on social platform X highlighted a potential risk for Bitcoin amidst its current influx of capital.

Skew pointed out the phenomenon he dubs the “headline curse,” noting that while the significant inflow of over $500 million into United States spot Bitcoin ETFs signifies growing institutional confidence, it may also foreshadow a looming price correction.

Record High Bitcoin ETF Inflows Signal Market Shifts

The recent resurgence in popularity for Bitcoin ETFs, particularly spotlighted by the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which alone saw $526 million in inflows on June 22, brings with it a history of similar occurrences that often led to price sell-offs.

Skew emphasized that such high inflow days usually correspond to market supply zones, where sellers historically start moving back into the markets looking for price weakness.

This spike in inflows represents a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency, potentially setting the stage for either a bullish continuation or a bearish retreat, depending on several market factors that Skew outlined.

Skew further proposed in the analysis that sustaining the current bullish momentum hinges on a few key indicators.

These include a consistent passive spot bid, which involves limiting spot buyers capitalizing on price dips, and the ability of spot takers to continue bidding through existing spot supply, which is necessary to breach the five-month supply barrier.

Additionally, the absorption of sellers plays a crucial role; it is a fundamental aspect that needs to be addressed to reach new all-time highs.

Although the influx of funds into Bitcoin is a sign of positivity, Skew points out that it will test the market’s ability at these crucial levels to keep demand strong and absorb selling pressure.

Impending Sell Pressure

Speaking of sell pressure, blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence recently revealed that the US government has transferred $3.96 million from the seized Bitcoin to Coinbase.

US Government moves BTC to Coinbase
US Government moves BTC to Coinbase. | Source: Arkham Intelligence

Adding to this possible sell pressure, Arkham Intelligence, in another report on X, also revealed that the defunct crypto exchange, Mt. Gox, may be moving to continue its Bitcoin sale. Yesterday, the exchange made test transactions depositing $1 to 4 separate Bitstamp deposit addresses.

Regardless of these possible sell pressures, Bitcoin still maintains its price above $65,000, with the asset currently trading at $66,981 at the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView.com
BTC price is moving upwards on the 1-hour chart. Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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You Can Now Invest In Bitcoin And Open-source Companies

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Follow Nikolaus On X Here

Bitcoin and open-source companies are some of the most exciting and innovative companies out there today. There are a handful of companies I personally think are going to exponentially grow as bitcoin increases in price and becomes a more established asset class, and if investing in them was available to non-accredited bitcoiners like me, it would be a no-brainer.

But today, that may have just changed. Timestamp, a new platform that allows accredited and nonaccredited investors to invest in Bitcoin and open-source companies, has officially launched. Timestamp promises users they can invest in Bitcoin companies with “low investment minimums” where users can review offerings, connect directly with the founders of these companies, and explore curated opportunities. Sounds pretty cool!

The idea of making investing in Bitcoin and open-source companies more accessible to plebs really interests me, and I feel that many other Bitcoiners would agree. After working in this industry for a few years, I’ve definitely noticed that finding funding to support open-source companies and projects can be pretty difficult. But a platform that allows a lot more people to join in on investing in and supporting these companies could really be a game changer.

At launch, users can now invest in the first batch of Bitcoin companies on the platform:

CASCDR — a suite of AI services payable in Bitcoin

Jippi — a gamified education app that helps Bitcoin beginners learn and earn

Lightning Bounties — a Github-integrated platform that rewards software developers with Bitcoin for their contributions

Shopstr — a global, decentralized marketplace built on Nostr

Sovereign — a wallet built for the Bitcoin standard

I’ll definitely be paying attention to what other companies are added to this platform in the future, and I think you should too.

Over three years ago, I asked Timestamp’s founder and CEO, Dr. Arman Meguerian, to speak with me on stage at the Bitcoin 2021 Conference in Miami, and he joined me for a great conversation on Bitcoin maximalism with a few other great Bitcoiners. I am really excited and happy to see him launch this company after building it quietly through the bear market these last couple years, and looking forward to seeing all they achieve!

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.



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Trump holds $7 million in crypto: Arkham Intelligence

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Donald Trump, President-elect of the United States, revealed holds $7.2 million in many cryptocurrencies. This is another proof that he is a pro-crypto.

According to data from Arkham Intelligence, on Nov. 25, the 47th President of the United States owned digital assets in cryptocurrencies worth about $7.2 million. He held $26 million in cryptocurrency on Jun. 6, but dropped just a few days after to $17 million.

His most significant hold on crypto is meme coin Trog (TROG), with 210 billion coins equal to $1.86 million. At the time of writing, TROG prices surged 343% from $0.000002008 to $0.000008914 in the past 24 hours.

The most exciting part is that he holds TROG bigger than Ethereum (ETH), with $1.7 million, and the average price of Ethereum is $3,401. WETH (WETH) became the third largest crypto held, with 478 WETH, which is equal to $1.63 million.

Another million holds on crypto is themed-coin of his name, TRUMP with 579k or equals to $1.03 million. He mostly holds meme coins, including GUA, TUA, PUPPIES, and CZAR. Among those on the top list, Bitcoin (BTC) was not on the list as the biggest crypto that he holds.

Trump’s movement on crypto

Although he was ever known as anti-crypto back then in 2021, when he was not re-elected as U.S. President, now he is one of the most significant figures in the crypto industry.

When entering this year’s election, he eventually became pro-crypto as he attended the Bitcoin Conference 2024 in Nashville. He shares the pro-crypto program if re-elected, which includes Bitcoin Strategic Reserve and is supported by numerous Republican senators to propose the idea to Congress.

Now, he has been re-elected to the White House and chosen several names for his cabinet, some of which are identified as pro-crypto, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr and Elon Musk. Trump also chose Scott Bessent as the Secretary of Treasury, who he called as the “most pro-crypto treasury we’ve ever seen,”.



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Ethereum’s ETH Outperforms as Bitcoin (BTC) Price Recoils Off $100K Sell Wall

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After a prolonged downtrend relative to bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum’s ether (ETH) is showing signs of a resurgence.

ETH, the second-largest cryptocurrency on the market, gained over 4% in the past 24 hours, while BTC lost 1.5% during the same time, dipping below $95,000 during the Monday session. ETH even outperformed the broad-market CoinDesk 20 Index, which was up 0.5%.

The outperformance happened as investors started to rotate capital to smaller, riskier cryptocurrencies over the weekend following the stall of bitcoin’s near-vertical surge since Donald Trump’s election victory. The ETH/BTC ratio, which measures ether’s strength vs. bitcoin, plummeted to as low as 0.0318 on Thursday, its weakest reading since March 2021, but the gague has gained 15% since to 0.3660 at press time.

“The market seems to be expecting BTC to trade sideways until December as attention shifts towards ETH in the near term,” digital asset hedge fund QCP said in a Monday note.

On the options markets, ETH risk reversals are heavily skewed in favor of frontend calls, meanwhile BTC calls seem to be more bid only from the end of December 2024 onwards, QCP noted. The positioning implies that traders anticipate ether to perform well in the short-term, while bitcoin could pick up pace next year. Risk reversal is a strategy that involves purchasing simultaneously a call option (bullish bet) and a put option (bearish bet) for a specific risk-reward profile.

ETH poised for a rebound vs. bitcoin

“We’re seeing some rotation from BTC to ETH coming from crypto-native hedge funds and family offices,” Joshua Lim from Arbelos Markets said.” Josh Lim, co-founder of crypto derivatives prime brokerage firm Arbelos Markets, said in a telegram message.

U.S.-listed spot ETH ETFs saw their first net inflows on Friday, led by $99 million allocation into BlackRock’s ETHA product, following six days of continuous outflows, data compiled by Farside Investors shows. Holders of ETHA include “the largest names in finance” including $80 billion hedge fund Millenium, analytics firm Kaiko said in a Monday report.

There could be more gains in store for ether against bitcoin in the coming period. The ETH/BTC ratio hit a key support level on Thursday and rebounded, while last week’s candle suggested a trend reversal, well-followed crypto trader Pentoshi noted.

“Quite possible the low is in here and that at least a short term reversal is coming,” Pentoshi said in an X post.

Bitcoin Stalls at $100K

Now extended far above its daily moving averages, bitcoin is likely trade sideways for a while as investors digest the steep rally since Donald Trump’s election victory, said Paul Howard, senior director at crypto trading firm Wincent.

BTC and daily moving average bands (Wincent/TradingView)

BTC and daily moving average bands (Wincent/TradingView)

“There is a significant sell wall at the psychological $100K level,” Howard told CoinDesk. “I would expect we oscillate around these levels until the new year. Staying market neutral and buying downside protection here is always a sensible risk reward,” he added.





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