As October approaches, investors are looking ahead to what the month will bring this time around for Bitcoin and the entire crypto industry. Historically, October (often referred to as “Uptober”) has been a month of significant upward momentum for Bitcoin since the crypto’s creation.

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With the previous year’s October seeing impressive gains and kickstarting a strong bull run, many investors are keenly analyzing market trends to predict where Bitcoin might be headed this time around.

Historical Context Of Uptober And What It Means For Bitcoin

Bitcoin might have a smaller history when compared to traditional asset classes, but it has had a strong history of notable patterns and repetitions. One of these is the concept of a bullish October among other months of the year.

Over the past several years, October has consistently delivered positive returns for BTC. This pattern has fostered a strong belief among investors that the coming October may hold favorable conditions for price growth, especially as market sentiment shifts towards optimism after the recent Fed interest rate cut.

According to data from CoinGlass, Bitcoin has had green monthly closes in October for the past five years. Furthermore, out of the eleven years since Bitcoin’s inception, it has recorded positive monthly closes in October on nine occasions. As expected, this consistent performance has solidified October’s reputation as a month of promise for the crypto.

For instance, Bitcoin surged by 28.52% in October 2023. This significant uptick not only marked a successful month but also paved the way for a sustained multi-month rally that ultimately saw Bitcoin reaching an all-time high of $73,780 in March 2024. Looking ahead to October 2024, if Bitcoin were to replicate a similar 28% increase, we could witness it surpassing its previous all-time high, potentially peaking above $81,000. 

Current Market Sentiment

Bitcoin is currently navigating a wave of bullish sentiment, although its price growth is hampered by resistance around $63,000. To reach this price point, Bitcoin increased by about 21% last week from a low of $52,827 on September 6. 

With a week remaining in September, Bitcoin’s stabilization around $63,000 indicates a possible support base for an upcoming rally. Bitcoin is also largely in a phase of accumulation, which may see smart large investors loading up throughout next week before the foreseen rally in October.

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With the clock ticking down to October, all eyes are on Bitcoin. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $63,010. This price point could soon become a thing of the past with the projections of a bull run in October. However, caution is advised, as the price performance in the last week of September could make or break a bullish sentiment leading into October.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

SHIB, the second-largest meme cryptocurrency by market cap, experienced a 14% surge over the past five days, rising from $0.000013 to $0.00001478. This bullish rally was likely driven by the broader market recovery following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s 0.5% rate cut. The Shiba Inu price shows signs of a potential extended recovery, supported by this double-bottom reversal pattern.

Shiba Inu Price Targets 38% Surge as Bullish Reversal Takes Shape

The cryptocurrency market took a bullish turnaround in September following the Bitcoin price reversal from $52,500 to $63,456— a 20% increase. The renewal recovery sentiment shifted the prevailing correction in Shiba Inu price into a sideways trend above $0.0000123. 

In the last 11 weeks, the SHIB price showcased three failed attempts to breach the bottom support line, indicating the active accumulation zone for buyers. The latest reversal uplifted the altcoin 19.82% to trade at $0.0000147 while the market cap surged to $8.7 billion. 

An analysis of the daily chart shows the formation of a double-bottom reversing pattern, a chart setup often spotted at major market bottoms.

If the pattern holds true, the dog-themed memecoin is poised for a 9.3% surge before the critical breakout from the $0.000016 neckline. The potential breakout will intensify the bullish momentum and drive another 25% surge to target $0.00002.

According to the Santiment data, the supply of SHIB on exchanges steadily declined to reach 75.3 Trillion coins. This downward trend suggests a withdrawal of tokens from exchanges, which can indicate investors’ accumulation or a decrease in selling pressure.

On the contrary, the 30-day MVRV (market value-to-realized value) ratio has spiked to 7.66%, indicating that short-term buyers are in profit. Historically, the MVRV ratio value of 8-10% has coincided with Shiba Inu price prediction tops as these speculative traders often exit the market early for profit booking. 

Therefore, if the overhead supply persists, the Shiba Inu price could revert to $0.000012 and prolong the consolidation trend.

For a detailed analysis, check out the top meme coins article.

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.