Recent Ethereum price action saw ETH reaching another low of $2,150 on September 6, raising concerns of a more severe drop towards the $2,000 price level. Although these concerns were eased with a subsequent bounce to $2,460 on September 13, Ethereum remains largely in a downtrend, with a triple-bottom price formation now shaping up.

Interestingly, this triple bottom formation is not new for Ethereum. As technical analysis points out, the current price action seems to repeat a similar playout in mid-2021.  

Ethereum Fractal Suggests Rally In Q4

According to a technical analysis by crypto analyst CryptoBullet on social media platform X, Ethereum is shaping up to form a triple bottom price formation on the 1D candlestick time frame. While the third bottom has yet to be fully completed, the analyst draws attention to a similar pattern that unfolded between June and August 2021.

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During those three months, Ethereum’s price fluctuated up and down to create three distinct lows just above the $1,675 mark. After the third low was established, Ethereum experienced a significant bullish rally that propelled it to break through and establish its current all-time high. This upward movement became even more pronounced after a fractal pattern emerged in August 2021, signaling a strong momentum shift.

Recent market dynamics have prompted Ethereum to create two bottoms of around $2,150 in August and September. Interestingly, a recent rejection at the $2,450 resistance has seen Ethereum pushing on a decline. This has prompted analyst CryptoBullet to highlight the possibility of a third low in October, thereby completing the triple bottom formation.

Price formations in cryptocurrency markets are known to repeat over time, often following patterns that can help traders anticipate future movements. While no two market conditions are exactly the same, studying past price movements provides valuable insights into what may happen in the future. A similar playout of the 2021 price action puts on a similar surge for Ethereum in Q4 2024. Notably, the analyst envisioned a rally towards the $3,700 price level. 

What’s Next For ETH?

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,320 and continues to exhibit a weak short-term outlook. If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,340 resistance, it could start another decline towards $2,150. 

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This weak performance and outlook are even more pronounced compared with Bitcoin. As such, Ethereum/Bitcoin is now at its lowest level since April 2021, a staggering 41-month low. Most of this lackluster action has also been exacerbated by selloffs from a few large holders. For instance, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently came under scrutiny for selling $2.2 million worth of Ethereum. 

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Amid strong criticism for the Ethereum blockchain and its underperformance this year, VanEck head of digital assets – Matthew Sigel – has come out defending the network while citing its strong economic model. The ETH price has also been subject to criticism failing to show enough traction even after the launch of the spot Ether ETFs in July 2024.

VanEck’s Matthew Sigel Addresses Ethereum Criticism

Expressing his frustration over the recent ETH bashing, VanEck Head of Digital Assets – Matthew Sigel – is “exhausting and intellectually dishonest”. While comparing with the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio in traditional finance, Sigel emphasized the importance of “moneyness” for Layer 1 blockchains like Ethereum and Solana.

He said that users should always judge a blockchain by its usage, utility, and trust within its ecosystem as a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account. Sigel added that Ethereum’s core utility stems from its role in supporting validators by paying transaction fees, thus driving broader use in DeFi and other services.

The VanEck chief also argued that a token’s value comes from the demand for goods and services traded for it, with Ethereum’s economic activity contributing to its long-term value. Besides, Sigel also acknowledged some of the challenges facing the blockchain.

He said that the surge in Layer-2 solutions for Ethereum is driving capturing transaction fees, potentially reducing the revenue that the blockchain collects. However, its focus on data availability could become more lucrative as the ETH ecosystem evolves. Besides, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently shared that he’s not fond of holding L2 tokens.

Sigel added that Solana’s low has attracted several Defi players to the platform. However, he added that Solana’s fee should increase over time in order to justify its valuation.

The constant trolling of #ETH feels exhausting and intellectually dishonest.

Every L1 needs moneyness to thrive, and moneyness is a multi-faceted concept. In traditional finance, a company’s stock is valued based on its price-to-earnings (PE) ratio, reflecting how much investors…

— matthew sigel, recovering CFA (@matthew_sigel) September 6, 2024

ETH Price Faces Bearish Sentiment

Poor demand and continued outflows from spot Ethereum ETF have led to a lack of catalyst to trigger the ETH price rally. On the other hand, other macro factors and hackers selling $42 million of ETH have contributed to the ETH price slump.

As of press time, the Ethereum price is trading 2.6% down at $2,284 with a market cap of $274 billion. This comes amid the broader crypto market crash following the Nvidia stock rout on Friday.

The spot Ethereum ETF market is also seeing waning demand with over $500 million in total outflows since launch. On Friday, VanEck even decided to shut down its Ethereum Futures ETF amid waning market demand.

Interestingly, analysts continue to remain bullish on ETH believing that it’s the final calm before the storm.

I don’t care if it consolidates for another month. I’m sure #Ethereum is getting ready for 5 figures pic.twitter.com/tQBpq9Kb4M

— Yoddha (@CryptoYoddha) September 4, 2024

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Bhushan Akolkar

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast and holds a good flair in understanding financial markets. His interest in economics and finance draw his attention towards the new emerging Blockchain Technology and Cryptocurrency markets. He is continuously in a learning process and keeps himself motivated by sharing his acquired knowledge. In free time he reads thriller fictions novels and sometimes explore his culinary skills.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.