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Bitcoin UTXO Surpasses COVID 2020 Levels To New ATH

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Bitcoin’s consolidation below $68,000 extended throughout this week, with bulls holding steady above the $66,000 support level. Although the cryptocurrency hasn’t seen a significant push to the upside, its ability to avoid a deeper correction means that Bitcoin remains on track to end October on a bullish note.

In support of this outlook, a crypto analyst has highlighted an emerging trend in Bitcoin’s UTXO metric, which suggests a looming breakout in the crypto’s price.

UTXO In Loss Reaches Highest Point Ever

The number of Bitcoin UTXO in losses recently reached a new peak on September 11, 2024, surpassing levels last seen during the COVID-19 crash in 2020 and the September 2023 market bottom. 

This metric, known as Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO), refers to the amount of Bitcoin that remains unspent in a Bitcoin wallet after a transaction. When UTXO is measured in loss, it reflects the number of Bitcoin holdings that would currently sell at a loss compared to the last transaction price from the Bitcoin wallet.

According to Glassnode data, the number of UTXO in losses spiked massively in September to surpass previous numbers, indicating that a significant portion of active Bitcoin addresses are underwater. However, while this may appear to signal bearish sentiment at first glance, history has shown this isn’t the case.

As pointed out by crypto analyst CryptoCon, major spikes in UTXO loss don’t come right before terrible price action, but they mostly come at the end of it. Keeping this trend in mind, the new peak in September most likely was an inflection point for Bitcoin’s price action for the rest of the year.

What Does This Mean For Bitcoin Price?

Past data reveals a consistent pattern: when UTXO in loss reaches extreme highs, Bitcoin’s price is often near a reversal. For instance, during the COVID-19 crash in March 2020, UTXO in loss spiked significantly, followed by a strong rally that led Bitcoin to new all-time highs in the following months. 

Bitcoin is currently trading at $66,720. Chart: TradingView

The last time the UTXO in loss spiked massively was in September 2023, serving as the forerunner for the latest bull market cycle which kicked off in October 2023. This run culminated in a new all-time high for Bitcoin in March 2024, effectively showcasing spikes in the UTXO in loss as a signal of positive market momentum.

If history were to repeat itself, the September spike in the UTXO loss numbers could also signal a market bottom, which in turn opens up the stage for a rally in the rest of the year.

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s price action has been notably positive since this new peak in UTXO in loss. At the time, Bitcoin was trading around $57,000. Since then, it has experienced a considerable rally, inching closer to the $70,000 price level.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $66,720.

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView



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Bitcoin

From Smuggling Gold Out of Africa to Bridging Bitcoin and Cardano

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A longtime regular on the crypto scene, Sovryn and BitcoinOS founder Edan Yago learned the importance of financial sovereignty at an early age.



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Lisa Neigut’s Base58 Gets First-Ever Bitcoin Grant From Donor-Advised Fund

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Offchain Labs, the initial developer of Arbitrum, the biggest Ethereum layer-2 network, announced “Fast Withdrawals” – described as “a new feature allowing select Orbit chains and RaaS providers to achieve withdrawal finality in under 15 minutes, compared to the usual wait time of up to seven days.” According to the team: “Implementing Fast Withdrawals cuts withdrawal times by over 90%, making the process extremely similar to withdrawing funds from a bank account. Although it is not identical, it represents a substantial improvement over the traditional blockchain standard, bringing it much closer to the experience of conventional TradFi funds transfer.” According to a press release, “Orbit chains that plan future support for the new feature include Apechain, Cheese, Nova, Sanko, Xai and others. RaaS providers include Offchain Labs, Alchemy, Altlayer, Ankr, Caldera, Conduit, and Gelato.” Here’s how it works, according to the press release:



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Emory University Holds $15.1M in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust

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Emory University, a private research institution in Atlanta, has reported $15.1 million worth of holdings in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust.

This unusual move for a higher education institution was revealed in an Oct. 25 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

According to the SEC filing, Emory University holds nearly 2.7 million shares of the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust.

The tentative value of the holdings came around at approximately $15.1 million. This investment represents a major commitment to cryptocurrency exposure from an academic institution. This move also sets it apart from its peers in higher education.

The Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust, approved in July, functions as an offshoot of the larger Grayscale Bitcoin Trust. The mini trust is designed to provide passive exposure to Bitcoin’s price movements at a lower share price.

In addition to its Bitcoin (BTC) trust holdings, Emory reported ownership of 4,312 shares in Coinbase, valued at $768,269. The cryptocurrency exchange’s stock, COIN, was valued at $205.05 at press time.  

Emory University stands out

Emory’s investment choices mark a distinctive approach among educational institutions. Previously, pension funds in Wisconsin and Jersey City have reported holdings in crypto-based exchange-traded products.

However, Emory stands out as one of the few institutions of higher education to report owning such assets.

This move by a prestigious university that was founded in 1836 could signal growing institutional acceptance of cryptocurrency-related investments within the academic sector.  

The revelation by the university comes at a time when Bitcoin is struggling to sustain its upward momentum. Every time Bitcoin exhibits a bullish sign, various factors affect the overall market.

Bitcoin was down by over 2% at press time. The global crypto market cap is also down by almost 2% and stands at $2.27 trillion.

Colleges and crypto funds

Harvard University, Yale University, and Stanford University are among the high-profile institutions that have reportedly invested in cryptocurrency funds or Bitcoin trusts.

MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) has also been actively involved in the cryptocurrency space, not only through its investments but also by contributing research and fostering blockchain innovation.

And University of Michigan invested in Andreessen Horowitz’s crypto fund in 2018. Andreessen Horowitz has substantial investments in cryptocurrency, including Bitcoin, so it’s likely that Bitcoin exposure was part of that portfolio.



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