Ethereum has finally surged after breaking through a critical resistance level that had kept the price subdued since early August. This move has shifted market sentiment, as many investors and analysts previously doubted ETH’s potential in the current cycle, expecting it to lag behind. However, Ethereum’s recent strength is starting to reshape these perspectives.

Prominent analyst and investor Ali Martinez recently shared insights indicating that while Ethereum’s momentum is building, the much-anticipated “Altseason” hasn’t arrived just yet. 

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According to Martinez, this stage of the cycle typically sees Bitcoin outperforming Ethereum and other altcoins—a common pattern as BTC often leads market rallies. This dynamic could provide a strategic opportunity for investors looking to enter ETH and other altcoins before the broader market euphoria begins.

As Ethereum gains traction, market participants are keeping an eye on further confirmations of its breakout, with many speculating that once Bitcoin’s lead cools, capital may flow more aggressively into altcoins. 

Ethereum Waking Up

Ethereum is making a remarkable comeback, surging over 22% in just two days of strong upward momentum. While this performance is impressive, key data highlights that Bitcoin is still leading the market, slightly overshadowing Ethereum’s gains. For savvy investors, this could present a prime opportunity to start accumulating Ethereum and select altcoins before they potentially rally in the next phase of the cycle.

Ali Martinez, a prominent analyst, recently shared a Glassnode chart revealing insights on the “Bitcoin Altseason Indicator.” This tool compares net capital flows between Bitcoin and Ethereum, showing that while Ethereum is on the rise, Bitcoin’s net capital change is currently outpacing it. 

This trend confirms that Altseason—where altcoins outperform Bitcoin—hasn’t begun yet. Martinez points out that such dynamics are typical for this stage, with Bitcoin usually leading the initial rally and Ethereum following shortly after.

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Historically, Altseason often arrives once Bitcoin’s price momentum stabilizes, as capital flows from Bitcoin into high-potential altcoins. Many seasoned investors recognize this part of the cycle as an ideal time to accumulate ETH and strong altcoins at attractive prices before the broader market shifts its focus.

In the coming weeks, the relationship between BTC and ETH performance will be closely watched, potentially setting up a shift in market sentiment and capital distribution.

ETH Technical View

Ethereum recently surged past a critical resistance at $2,820, breaking above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) and touching the 200-day moving average (MA) at $2,955. This marks a significant bullish move, as ETH had been trading below these levels since early August, and reclaiming these indicators is seen as a positive signal for further gains.

For the bullish momentum to continue, ETH must break above and sustain itself above the daily MA at $2,955, solidifying this breakout as a foundation for the next phase of the uptrend. However, some analysts suggest that a period of consolidation just below the 200 MA could be beneficial, allowing ETH to gather strength for a more sustained rally. This pause could temper the rising euphoria and avoid overextension in the short term.

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As the market sentiment turns increasingly optimistic, many investors are eyeing this level closely. Holding above these critical indicators would give bulls more control, potentially setting Ethereum up for a more robust recovery as it targets new highs.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

During Wednesday’s trading session, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a surge in buying pressure as Donald Trump secured his victory as the 47th U.S. President. The pioneer cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, surged 8.8% to a new high of $75,400, boosting recovery in the altcoin market. However, the Ethereum price could struggle to hit new ATH as crypto whale continues to offload ETH.

By press time, the ETH price trades at $2,647 with an intraday gain of 9.89%. According to Coingecko, Ether’s marketcap holds at $319.2 Billion, and 24-hour trading volume is at $38.169 Billion.

Ethereum Price ATH Delayed? Whale Sales Overshadow Election Momentum

On November 6th, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rally as Donald Trump secured the necessary 270 electoral votes to become the 47th President of the United States. Amid this rally, a crypto whale who received 150,000 ETH through the ICO recently transferred a substantial 25,000 ETH (worth approximately $65.63 Million) to Kraken at an average price of $2,625.

According to Lookonchain, this whale has sold a total of 90,000 ETH of the 150,000 coins at an average value of $2,527 (worth around $227.45M). 

Breakdown of the Whale’s ETH Sales: 

• July 2019: Sold 5,000 ETH at $218 ($1.09M).
• June 2024: Sold 10,000 ETH at $3,539 ($35.39M).
• September–October 2024: Sold 50,000 ETH at $2,516 ($125.34M).
• November 2024: Sold 25,000 ETH at $2,625 ($65.63M).

Historically, whale selling has coincided with major market tops and spurred a bearish sentiment in the market. Amid the supply pressure, the Ethereum price could witness a stalled recovery momentum and struggle to hit a new All-time-high.

在今天的大幅上涨后，通过 ICO 获得 15 万枚 ETH 的鲸鱼又准备出售一部分 ETH：过去 40 分钟里他将 2.5 万枚 ETH ($65.63M) 转进了 Kraken。

到现在他通过 ICO 获得的 15 万枚 ETH 已经以 $2,527 的均价出售了 9 万枚 ($227.45M)：
一、2019 年 7 月以 $218 的价格出售 5,000 ETH ($1.09M)；… https://t.co/fsr487zjLd pic.twitter.com/K9qVxaEOso

— 余烬 (@EmberCN) November 6, 2024

ETH Chart Analysis Shows Porlong Consolidation Within Triangle

Over the past three months, the Ethereum price prediction has traded sideways, resonating within a symmetrical triangle pattern. The price action strictly resonated within two converging trendlines, indicating a lack of dominance from buyers or sellers.

With a massive green candle today, the ETH price is at $2,661, still consolidating within the triangle and 3% away from a major breakout. If the sellers continue to defend this resistance, the Ether price will revert again and prolong its sideways trend.

Therefore, a potential breakout from overhead resistance is necessary for buyers to regain control over the asset. If the ETH price surpasses the dynamic with the daily candle closing, the bullish momentum will accelerate to drive a surge above $3,500.

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil is a dedicated full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets. Armed with a strong grasp of technical analysis, he keeps a vigilant eye on the daily price movements of top assets and indices. Drawn by his fascination with financial instruments, Sahil enthusiastically embraced the emerging realm of cryptocurrency, where he continues to explore opportunities driven by his passion for trading

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.