Donald Trump’s upcoming “Liberation Day” tariff announcement is being framed by some experts as a reset of global trade and could have negative implications for crypto.

While much of the attention is focused on the political fallout and trade disruptions, the broader consequences for digital assets, and the global frameworks that support them, deserve a closer look.

Heidi Crebo-Rediker, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, recently described on Bloomberg TV U.S. President Donald Trump’s plans as a “tearing up” of existing free trade agreements with America’s closest allies. This includes the so-called “Dirty 15”, a group of major trading partners that together make up 80% of U.S. trade.

Trump’s proposed system, built on unilateral tariffs and non-tariff barriers, represents a complete shift away from the cooperative global order that has defined the last several decades of international trade.

Why does this matter for crypto?

Crypto is inherently cross-border. Its infrastructure, users, capital flows, and regulatory frameworks depend on global alignment and relatively open markets. Any shift toward economic fragmentation risks disrupting that progress.

Crebo-Rediker notes that countries like Canada are already preparing to diversify away from the U.S., bracing for a reconfiguration of trade and investment relationships. In this new era, markets could become more closed, regulation more inconsistent, and capital controls more common.

She may agree (I don’t know), but these are all hostile conditions for crypto adoption. She also warns of a broader retreat from the multilateral frameworks that underpin both global finance and regulatory cooperation.

If America turns inward while allies look elsewhere, especially towards China, which is positioning itself as a defender of the global system – it could weaken the West’s influence over digital asset standards.

Crypto advocates have cheered Trump’s recent embrace of stablecoins and digital finance, but they should be cautious. A fragmented world, with each country pulling in a different direction on trade and tech, is not a world where crypto can thrive.

Forget about Michael Saylor’s vision of Bitcoin surpassing a $200 trillion market cap and we can only hope it can hold on to a $1 trillion valuation.

If global coordination erodes, so too might the prospects for crypto’s next wave of adoption. If so, it was a fun run. If not, I’ll be glad to admit being wrong.

A whale who previously won big on the Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin booked a loss on the controversial asset over the weekend, according to the crypto tracker Lookonchain.

Lookonchain notes on the social media platform X that the whale spent $5 million worth of Circle’s stablecoin, USDC, to buy TRUMP right after President Donald Trump posted “I LOVE $TRUMP” on his social media platform Truth Social.

The whale then sold the TRUMP stash an hour later, booking a $207,000 loss.

However, the loss pales in comparison to gains the whale made earlier this year when it spent 1.09 million USDC to buy 5.97 million TRUMP and booked a $108 million profit, according to Lookonchain.

The president launched the Official Trump memecoin in mid-January, days before he took office. The asset has generated controversy in and out of crypto circles, raising questions of corruption in an already heavily questioned administration.

Even Ethereum (ETH) founder Vitalik Buterin said in January that political coins represented “vehicles for unlimited political bribery.”

In a February letter to the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Office of Government Ethics, officials at the nonprofit consumer advocacy organization Public Citizen argued TRUMP could be a violation of federal law regulating gifts to government officials.

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Dogecoin rallied nearly 10% this week, resilient in the face of the U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff war and macroeconomic developments. Most altcoins have suffered the negative impact of Trump’s announcements, DOGE continues to gain, back above $0.2058 for the first time in nearly two weeks. 

Dogecoin rallies in double-digits, what to expect from DOGE price?

Dogecoin (DOGE) hit a near two-week peak at $0.20585 on Wednesday, March 26. In the past seven days, DOGE rallied nearly 10%, even as altcoins struggled with recovery in the ongoing macroeconomic developments in the U.S. 

The largest meme coin in the crypto market could continue its climb, extending gains by nearly 11%, and testing resistance at the lower boundary of the imbalance zone between $0.24040 and $0.21465. 

The upper boundary of the zone at $0.24040 is the next key resistance for DOGE, nearly 24% above the current price. 

Two key momentum indicators, the RSI and MACD support a bullish thesis for Dogecoin. RSI is 52, above the neutral level. MACD flashes green histogram bars above the neutral line, meaning there is an underlying positive momentum in Dogecoin price trend. 

Dogecoin on-chain analysis 

On-chain analysis of the largest meme coin shows that the number of holders of DOGE is on the rise. If Dogecoin’s number of holders keep climbing or steady in the coming week, the meme coin could remain relevant among traders. 

The network realized profit/loss metric shows that DOGE holders have realized profits on a small scale. Typically, large scale profit-taking increases selling pressure on the meme coin and could negatively impact price. 

The metric supports a bullish thesis for DOGE in the coming week. Dogecoin’s active address count has been steady since mid-March, another sign of the meme coin’s resilience. 

DOGE derivatives analysis and price forecast 

The analysis of Dogecoin derivatives positions across exchanges shows that open interest is recovering from its March 12 low. Open Interest is $1.98 billion, as Dogecoin trades at $0.19. Coinglass data shows a steady climb in OI in the chart below. 

The total liquidations data shows $4.29 million in long positions were liquidated on March 27. Sidelined buyers need to watch liquidations data and prices closely before adding to their derivatives position. 

The long/short ratio on top exchanges, Binance and OKX exceeds 1, meaning derivatives traders are betting on an increase in DOGE price. 

When technical analysis and derivatives data is combined, it is likely Dogecoin price could test resistance at $0.21465 next week, if spot prices follow the cue of derivatives traders.

What to expect from DOGE 

Dogecoin wallets holding between 1 million and 10 million DOGE tokens added to their portfolio consistently between March 10 and 27, while the other two categories, holding between 10 million and 100 million DOGE and 100 million and 1 billion DOGE tokens held nearly steady in the same timeframe. 

The data from Santiment shows that DOGE’s traders holding between 1 million and 10 million tokens are rapidly accumulating, even as the token’s price rises. This supports demand for DOGE and a bullish thesis for the meme coin. 

Dogecoin ETF and DOGE catalysts 

DOGE holders are closely watching developments in Bitwise’s Dogecoin ETF filing with the SEC. The ETF filing is an effort to legitimize the meme coin as an investment category for institutional investors, as DOGE price holds steady among altcoins rapidly eroding in value. 

Bitcoin flashcrashes dragged Dogecoin down with it, to a small extent, however the meme token recovered each time and consistent gains could signal an end to DOGE’s multi-month downward trend. 

Other key catalysts for Dogecoin are positive updates in crypto regulation, passage of the stablecoin bill in the Congress, and demand for DOGE among whales and large wallet investors.