Bitcoin

VanEck Doubles Down on Big Bitcoin Price Target, Says Key Indicators Continue To ‘Signal Green’

Published

5 hours ago

November 25, 2024

Asset management firm and exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuer VanEck is standing firm on its bullish price prediction for Bitcoin (BTC).

In a new report, VanEck says a number of key indicators the firm tracks continue to suggest that BTC is not yet in the late stages of a bull run.

“Now in uncharted territory with no technical price resistance, we believe the next phase of the bull market is just beginning. This pattern mirrors what happened four years ago, when Bitcoin’s price doubled between the 2020 election and year-end, followed by an additional ~137% gain in 2021.

With a transformative shift in government support for Bitcoin underway, investor interest is rising rapidly; we are receiving inbound calls at an accelerating pace as many investors find themselves under-allocated to the asset class. While we remain vigilant for signs of overheating, we reiterate our cycle price target of $180,000/ BTC as a number of key indicators we track continue to signal green for this rally.”

VanEck also looks at perpetual futures trading data, or “perps” which are derivative contracts that allow traders to easily leverage trade cryptocurrencies. The perp market is balanced by funding rates that force one side of the market to pay the other to keep positions open.

The firm says that BTC becomes overheated when the 30 Displaced Moving Average (DMA) perp funding rates exceed 10% for one to three months.

Source: VanEck

VanEck also expects the new US presidential administration slated to be led by Donald Trump to be more accommodative to the crypto industry, helping boost further rallies as 2025 comes into view.

“In our view, this election marks a bullish turning point, reversing years of offshoring jobs and capital caused by previous hawkish leadership. By fostering entrepreneurial dynamism, the US is poised to become a global leader in crypto innovation and employment, transforming crypto into a critical industry for domestic growth and a key export to emerging markets.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $97,098.

Don’t Miss a Beat – Subscribe to get email alerts delivered directly to your inbox

Check Price Action

Follow us on X, Facebook and Telegram

Surf The Daily Hodl Mix

&nbsp

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

Generated Image: DALLE3

Source link

Bitcoin

MicroStrategy Adds 55,500 More BTC To Its Portfolio For $5.4 Billion

Published

1 hour ago

November 25, 2024

admin

Business intelligence firm MicroStrategy has significantly increased its Bitcoin (BTC) purchases this month in response to the bullish sentiment following President-elect Donald Trump’s victory on November 5. The company’s recent acquisitions have pushed its total Bitcoin holdings to approximately $38 billion.

Convertible Notes Fuel Massive Bitcoin Purchase

On November 25, co-founder Michael Saylor announced via social media that MicroStrategy had acquired 55,500 BTC between November 18 and November 24 for $5.4 billion.

This purchase was funded by proceeds from a $3 billion convertible note issuance and sales of common shares, as detailed in a filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Since beginning its Bitcoin acquisition strategy in 2020, Saylor has shifted from using corporate cash to a more complex funding model that involves selling convertible debt and shares.

The latest convertible note was issued at a zero percent interest rate, reflecting lenders’ confidence that MicroStrategy’s stock will appreciate beyond the conversion price in the future.

Jeffrey Park, a portfolio manager at Bitwise Asset Management, noted that Saylor has effectively leveraged financial arbitrage within the corporate treasury structure, allowing MicroStrategy to borrow funds at virtually no cost.

Saylor also revealed that MicroStrategy’s treasury operations have yielded a substantial 59.3% in Bitcoin returns year-to-date, translating to a net gain of approximately 112,125 BTC for shareholders, or about 341 BTC per day.

At a projected price of $100,000 per BTC, Saylor stated that this could mean an impressive $11.2 billion for the year, equating to roughly $34.1 million daily.

Analyst Warns Of Risks In Leverage Strategy

Since its foray into Bitcoin, MicroStrategy has acquired a total of 386,700 tokens, with an average purchase price significantly lower than its current market value.

The latest acquisitions occurred while Bitcoin prices were nearing all-time highs, with the company purchasing the new tokens at approximately $97,862 each, slightly above their current trading price.

However, this leveraged strategy has raised concerns among some analysts, particularly after MicroStrategy’s shares (MSTR) fell by 16% last Thursday.

Critics warn that if Bitcoin’s price declines sharply, the company’s stock could suffer similarly, recalling the downturn in 2022 when the cryptocurrency market experienced significant losses.

TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza remarked on the risks associated with leverage, stating, “When you apply leverage to anything, you amplify the returns both in the up direction and in the down direction.” He emphasized that MicroStrategy is a pioneer in applying this leverage strategy specifically to Bitcoin.

At the time of writing, the market’s leading crypto is trading at $95,350, registering a price decrease of 1.7% in the 24-hour time frame.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Source link

Battery Finance

Newmarket Capital Launches Battery Finance, Bitcoin-Collateralized Loan Strategy

Published

2 hours ago

November 25, 2024

admin

Newmarket Capital recently closed the first investment deal for its new Battery Finance loan strategy, which enables borrowers to incorporate bitcoin into long-term financing structures as collateral.

On November 7, 2024, Newmarket Capital, an institutional capital manager and Registered Investment Adviser completed a refinancing for the Bank Street Court apartment in Old City, Philadelphia, PA. The loan was collateralized by both the building and approximately 20 bitcoin.

Newmarket Capital CEO Andrew Hohns is excited about not only setting his company’s new strategy in motion but the symbolism in the deal.

“It’s a building that is located less than half a block away from the first bank of the United States,” Hohns told Bitcoin Magazine. “Philadelphia has had a lot of firsts and innovations over the years, and we’re proud to contribute another one to the list.”

How The Battery Finance Strategy Works

Battery Finance enables bitcoin to be used as 10% to 30% of the collateral for loans alongside traditional assets. To bring this new strategy to life, Newmarket Capital partnered with Ten 31 to establish Battery Finance, a majority-owned subsidiary of Newmarket Capital that utilizes bitcoin in financing structures.

Unlike other lending companies that let clients borrow against bitcoin with a risk of liquidation in the event that bitcoin’s price drops below a certain threshold, Newmarket Capital removes the risk and offers loan structures without a mark-to-market trigger.

“As lenders, we are constructive on the long-term value of bitcoin and comfortable recognizing bitcoin as collateral without mark-to-market risk,” said Hohns.

“We achieve this by incorporating bitcoin as a component of a broader collateral package alongside traditionally financeable assets. In this way, we have improved our downside through the introduction of bitcoin, an uncorrelated element — an asset that has had such a strong history of appreciation over time — in the collateral package.”

Deals that employ this strategy can be structured differently. In some cases, a borrower can use bitcoin they’re already holding as collateral for a loan, while, in other cases, Newmarket Capital and the borrower purchase bitcoin as part of the loan’s structure. The latter is how the loan for the Bank Street Court building was structured.

“It’s a $16.5 million building, and we offered the building owner a $12.5 million loan,” explained Hohns.

“The use of proceeds was to pay off the existing financing, which was $9 million, to provide them with approximately two million dollars of CapEx for certain improvements to the property they wanted to make,” he added.

“With the remaining $1.5 million dollars, we purchased just shy of twenty bitcoin as part of our combined collateral package.”

(At the time of writing, that bitcoin had already appreciated 30% in value since it was purchased for the loan.)

Unlike traditional loans which often lock borrowers in with prepayment penalties or a make-

whole, the Bank Street Court financing can be paid off at any time with no penalty. To allow for this outcome, the borrower and the lender align to share appreciation on the upside from the bitcoin over the life of the loan.

The longer the loan is outstanding, the greater the share of bitcoin appreciation that vests for the borrower, incentivizing borrowers to take a long term view on the bitcoin.

Although the loan can be repaid at any time and the building released, the earliest that the bitcoin can be wound down is four years, in line with bitcoin’s four year rhythm. The loan carries a single digit interest rate and has a maturity of 10 years.

Bringing Forward Bitcoin’s Value

Hohns, a Bitcoiner himself, understands that other Bitcoiners have a low time preference, that they prioritize future economic well-being over more immediate gratification. However, he acknowledges that there are limits to this approach, which is why Newmarket Capital created the Battery Finance strategy.

“The lowest time preference is not feasible for humans, because we have a finite life,” he said.

“There’s a point where we want to accomplish things with our lives. We want to grow our business or start a new business or just do the things that we all have passion for, like opening up a MakerSpace or a brewery or a bookstore — whatever the case might be. If you’re just HODLing the Bitcoin, you’re deferring those dreams,” he added.

“By offering this financing tool, we can essentially serve as a mechanism to transform those time preferences, to bring forward the appreciation of the bitcoin by offering a significant amount of financing to accomplish whatever the real world goals borrowers have.”

Target Borrowers

Battery Finance is currently focused on working with borrowers who are interested in acquiring or refinancing commercial properties.

“For the time being, we’re inviting interest around loans that are, generally speaking, $10 million to $30 million dollars, which include 10% to 30% percent bitcoin with 70% to 90% percent traditionally-financeable income-producing assets,” explained Hohns.

“This is a tool for both asset owners that want to redenominate some of the equity in their

existing portfolio into bitcoin and its also a tool for Bitcoiners who want to obtain stable long-term financing supported in part by their bitcoin to acquire assets in the real world. This way, they can generate income and accomplish their goals while remaining invested in bitcoin.”

In time, Battery Finance plans to service a broader range of customers.

“We see broad applicability for this lending structure, including, over time, to people that are at different phases of their Bitcoin savings journeys,” said Hohns. “I hope that these kinds of products will develop into solutions that enable people to do things like finance a house or automobile with their bitcoin.”

Source link

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Rally Benefits From US Buyers

Published

1 day ago

November 24, 2024

admin

Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin has surged past the $99,800 mark, setting another all-time high as it inches closer to the psychological $100,000 milestone. Despite briefly testing the level, BTC has yet to break through, leaving investors and analysts eagerly anticipating the next move. With demand remaining robust, the stage appears set for Bitcoin to push past this key barrier in the coming days.

Recent data from CryptoQuant highlights a significant factor driving this rally: the Coinbase Premium Gap, which currently sits at $224. This metric, representing the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other global exchanges, signals strong buying activity from US Coinbase investors.

The relentless upward momentum has further solidified Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto market, with many viewing the $100,000 level as a critical supply zone. While the price has yet to break through, the ongoing rally reflects a growing belief that Bitcoin’s parabolic bull phase is far from over. As the market approaches this pivotal moment, all eyes remain on BTC’s ability to sustain its momentum and claim new highs, setting the tone for the weeks ahead.

Bitcoin Price Action Remains Strong

Bitcoin has been in an “only up” phase since November 5, showing no signs of weakness as it consistently climbs to new heights. Even after failing to break above the $100,000 mark yesterday, price action remains incredibly strong. Bulls are firmly in control, and if Bitcoin holds above critical demand levels, the long-anticipated $100,000 milestone could be breached within hours.

CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn revealed that robust demand from US investors is a key driving force behind this rally. According to his data, the Coinbase Premium Gap—a metric that tracks the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other global exchanges—stands at $224.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap at $224 | Source: Maartunn on X

This positive premium underscores US-based buying activity as a significant factor in the current bullish momentum. A high premium often suggests that investors on Coinbase are willing to pay a higher price than others, a strong indicator of heightened demand.

As the market watches closely, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain its upward trajectory hinges on staying above vital support levels. The psychological resistance at $100,000 remains formidable, but the unyielding appetite from US investors points to continued strength in the days ahead. With such solid fundamentals, many analysts believe Bitcoin is poised for another explosive rally once the $100,000 barrier is decisively cleared.

BTC Rally Is Only Starting

Bitcoin is trading at $98,800 after a failed breakout above the highly anticipated $100,000 mark. Despite this temporary setback, price action remains firmly bullish as BTC continues to hold above key demand levels, showing resilience and strength in the current market. The failure to retrace to lower prices indicates that bullish momentum is still intact, keeping investors optimistic about a potential breakthrough.

BTC reaches the $99,800 mark | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

If BTC maintains its position above the critical $95,000 support level, the likelihood of a surge past the $100,000 psychological barrier increases significantly. Holding above this level would signal strong buyer interest and the potential for further upside, paving the way for Bitcoin to resume its upward trajectory in the near term.

However, if Bitcoin fails to hold above $95,000, a retrace to lower demand zones would confirm a short-term correction. Such a pullback could provide the necessary fuel for the next rally, as it would allow the market to consolidate before making another attempt at breaking the $100,000 mark.

For now, all eyes remain on Bitcoin’s ability to defend its key support levels as the market anticipates the next major move in this historic rally.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Source link