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Ethereum’s ETH Outperforms as Bitcoin (BTC) Price Recoils Off $100K Sell Wall

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After a prolonged downtrend relative to bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum’s ether (ETH) is showing signs of a resurgence.

ETH, the second-largest cryptocurrency on the market, gained over 4% in the past 24 hours, while BTC lost 1.5% during the same time, dipping below $95,000 during the Monday session. ETH even outperformed the broad-market CoinDesk 20 Index, which was up 0.5%.

The outperformance happened as investors started to rotate capital to smaller, riskier cryptocurrencies over the weekend following the stall of bitcoin’s near-vertical surge since Donald Trump’s election victory. The ETH/BTC ratio, which measures ether’s strength vs. bitcoin, plummeted to as low as 0.0318 on Thursday, its weakest reading since March 2021, but the gague has gained 15% since to 0.3660 at press time.

“The market seems to be expecting BTC to trade sideways until December as attention shifts towards ETH in the near term,” digital asset hedge fund QCP said in a Monday note.

On the options markets, ETH risk reversals are heavily skewed in favor of frontend calls, meanwhile BTC calls seem to be more bid only from the end of December 2024 onwards, QCP noted. The positioning implies that traders anticipate ether to perform well in the short-term, while bitcoin could pick up pace next year. Risk reversal is a strategy that involves purchasing simultaneously a call option (bullish bet) and a put option (bearish bet) for a specific risk-reward profile.

ETH poised for a rebound vs. bitcoin

“We’re seeing some rotation from BTC to ETH coming from crypto-native hedge funds and family offices,” Joshua Lim from Arbelos Markets said.” Josh Lim, co-founder of crypto derivatives prime brokerage firm Arbelos Markets, said in a telegram message.

U.S.-listed spot ETH ETFs saw their first net inflows on Friday, led by $99 million allocation into BlackRock’s ETHA product, following six days of continuous outflows, data compiled by Farside Investors shows. Holders of ETHA include “the largest names in finance” including $80 billion hedge fund Millenium, analytics firm Kaiko said in a Monday report.

There could be more gains in store for ether against bitcoin in the coming period. The ETH/BTC ratio hit a key support level on Thursday and rebounded, while last week’s candle suggested a trend reversal, well-followed crypto trader Pentoshi noted.

“Quite possible the low is in here and that at least a short term reversal is coming,” Pentoshi said in an X post.

Bitcoin Stalls at $100K

Now extended far above its daily moving averages, bitcoin is likely trade sideways for a while as investors digest the steep rally since Donald Trump’s election victory, said Paul Howard, senior director at crypto trading firm Wincent.

BTC and daily moving average bands (Wincent/TradingView)

BTC and daily moving average bands (Wincent/TradingView)

“There is a significant sell wall at the psychological $100K level,” Howard told CoinDesk. “I would expect we oscillate around these levels until the new year. Staying market neutral and buying downside protection here is always a sensible risk reward,” he added.





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Here’s Why Peter Schiff Predicts Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash to $10K

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Peter Schiff, a BTC critic, has recently predicted that Bitcoin price could plummet to as low as $10,000. Schiff has expressed concerns over Bitcoin’s long-term viability, particularly in comparison to gold. His argument revolves around Bitcoin’s current performance, which he believes is being driven by short-term hype rather than solid fundamentals.

Schiff’s prediction is particularly alarming for those who view Bitcoin as a store of value. In the current trends, Peter Schiff notes that millions of young people are invested in Bitcoin while gold, a standard hedge, is pushing higher.

This view stems from his assertion that when gold prices rise to new record levels then the value of Bitcoin may plummet.

“By the time they get to their target of $5K for gold, they will drag Bitcoin down to $10K, meaning a drop of 95% from the highest it was valued at in 2021,” Schiff reasoned.

Bitcoin Price Recent Performance Against Gold

Another issue that Schiff dislikes about Bitcoin also revolves around its categorization as a “risk asset.” He says that BTC price movements are synchronized with the rest of the market, especially when investors are more willing to take risks. While gold provides investors with a safe-haven, the Bitcoin price operation is defined as having a volatility closer to that of the traditional markets among investors. Therefore, as argued by Peter Schiff, BTC price may decline as investors turn to the safe-havens, such as gold, in turbulent times.

Market Analyst Weigh In On Bitcoin Trend

Several market analysts are echoing Schiff’s concerns, suggesting that Bitcoin price could face challenges in the near term. Peter Brandt, a veteran trader, has pointed out that Bitcoin might be on a path to $65,635, citing a “bear wedge” pattern that has emerged in the cryptocurrency’s price charts.

Meanwhile, crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe shared his own cautious outlook on Bitcoin’s short-term prospects. Van de Poppe noted that while Bitcoin price has been holding above the $80,000 mark, its price action is starting to show signs of weakness. He added, “It starts to look slightly less good,” and suggested that if Bitcoin falls below $84,000, a deeper correction could be imminent.

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Similarly, the crypto trader TheKingfisher expressed doubts about a sustained bullish recovery, indicating that Bitcoin’s current price movement aligns with a typical market cooldown. He suggested that Bitcoin could be approaching a “seasonal reset” as part of the broader market trend.

Alternative Views on Bitcoin’s Future Trend

Not everyone shares Peter Schiff’s pessimism about Bitcoin price. Charlie Morris, founder of ByteTree, highlighted that despite recent challenges, Bitcoin may have already seen its worst. He explained that while gold ETFs are experiencing slower inflows, Bitcoin could be positioned for a potential recovery.

This view contrasts sharply with Peter Schiff’s, emphasizing that the cryptocurrency may not be as doomed as some critics suggest.

Additionally, Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has weighed in on the broader market of precious metals and cryptocurrencies. While Kiyosaki acknowledged Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation, he predicted that silver would outperform both Bitcoin and gold in the near term

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Kelvin Munene Murithi

Kelvin is a distinguished writer with expertise in crypto and finance, holding a Bachelor’s degree in Actuarial Science. Known for his incisive analysis and insightful content, he possesses a strong command of English and excels in conducting thorough research and delivering timely cryptocurrency market updates.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Chainlink Monthly Close To Determine LINK’s Fate, $19 Next?

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Amid today’s market correction, Chainlink (LINK) has lost its recent gains, falling back to a crucial support level. An analyst suggests a monthly close above its current range could position the cryptocurrency for a 35% surge.

Chainlink has retraced 9.1% in the past 24 hours to retest the key $14 support zone again. The cryptocurrency surged 15.7% from last Friday’s lows to hit an 18-day high of $16 on Wednesday, momentarily recovering 35% from this month’s low.

However, the recent market correction halted the momentum of most cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling back to the $83,700 mark and Ethereum (ETH) dipping to the $1,860 support zone.

Today, LINK dropped from $15 to $14.07, losing all its Wednesday gains. Previously, analyst Ali Martinez noted that the cryptocurrency has been in an ascending parallel channel since July 2023.

Chainlink has hovered between the pattern’s upper and lower boundary for the last year and a half, surging to the channel’s upper trendline every time it retested the lower zone before dropping back.

Amid its recent price performance, the cryptocurrency is retesting the channel’s lower boundary, suggesting a bounce to the upper range could come if it holds its current price levels.

Meanwhile, Rekt Capital highlighted that the token is testing its multi-month symmetrical triangle pattern, which could determine the cryptocurrency’s next move.

As the analyst explained, Chainlink consolidated inside a “Macro Triangular market structure” for most of 2024 before breaking out of the pattern during the November market rally.

Chainlink
Chainlink’s price falls back into its Macro Triangle. Source: Rekt Capital

During the Q4 2024 breakout, the cryptocurrency hit a two-year high of $30.9 but failed to hold this level in the following weeks. As a result, it has been in a downtrend for the past three months, with LINK’s price falling back into the Macro Triangle.

“The main goal for LINK here is to retest the top of the pattern to secure a successful post-breakout retest,” Rekt Capital detailed, adding, “It’s possible this is a volatile post-breakout retest.”

Rekt Capital pointed out that, historically, Chainlink has had downside deviations into this price range: “Back in mid-2021, LINK produced a downside deviation into this price area in the form of multiple Monthly downside wicks.”

Nonetheless, the cryptocurrency is downside deviating “but in the form of actual candle-bodies closes rather than downside wicks” this time.

The analyst also highlighted that, like in 2021, LINK is trading within a historical demand area, at around $13-5 and $15.5, testing this zone as support. Based on this, the cryptocurrency must successfully hold this area to “position itself for upside going forward.”

Moreover, the retest is key for reclaiming the top of its triangular market structure. Breaking and recovering that level would “exact a successful post-breakout retest” and enable the price to target the $19 resistance in the future.

The analyst concluded that if LINK closes the month above the triangle top, it “would position price for a successful retest, despite the downside deviation.”

As of this writing, Chainlink trades at $14.09, a 6.9% drop in the monthly timeframe.

chainlink, link, linkusdt
Chainlink’s performance in the two-week chart. Source: LINKUSDT on TradingView

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com



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Proposed South Carolina Bill Lets State Treasurer Invest 10% Of State Funds In Bitcoin

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Yesterday, Rep. Jordan Pace reintroduced Bill H. 4256, The “Strategic Digital Assets Reserve Act Of South Carolina”, into South Carolina’s House of Representatives.

Highlights from the bill include the fact that it enables the State Treasurer to invest up to 10% of the funds under the state’s management into digital assets, including bitcoin, and that the state’s Strategic Digital Assets Reserve can include up to one million bitcoin.

The bill also states that the reason for establishing such a reserve is because “inflation has eroded the purchasing power of assets held in state funds” and that “bitcoin, a decentralized digital asset, and other digital assets offer unique properties that can act as a hedge against inflation and economic volatility.”

The bill does not stipulate whether or not state officials should hold the private keys to the bitcoin and other digital assets that it accumulates for the reserve, though it enables the State Treasurer to develop policies and protocols to protect the assets held in the reserve, including the use of cold storage or the contracting of a third party to maintain custody of the assets. The State Treasurer can also utilize a third party to assist in the creation, maintenance, and administration of the reserve’s security.

As per the bill, the State Treasurer would be responsible for preparing a biennial report that includes the total amount of digital assets held in the reserve, the U.S. dollar value of those assets, and transactions and expenditures related to the reserve since the previous report. Also, the State Treasurer would be required to publish proof of reserves, which includes the public addresses of the digital assets held in the reserve on an official state website, enabling citizens to independently audit and verify the reserve’s holdings.

Finally, the bill stipulates that the Strategic Digital Asset Reserve undergo audits that include an examination of the quality of the security of custody solutions; an assessment of compliance with local, state and federal laws; and an evaluation of internal controls to mitigate against cyberattacks and mismanagement.

According to the bill, the independent audits should be conducted annually and submitted to the relevant oversight committee. Any recommendations resulting from the independent audits must be addressed within 90 days of the issuance of the report, and a follow-up reporting detailing the corrective actions taken must also be provided to the oversight committee.



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