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Bitcoin Correction to $76,000 Likely a Downside Deviation, According to Crypto Analyst – Here’s Why

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An analyst who accurately called Bitcoin’s correction in early 2024 believes BTC remains in a bull market after bouncing from a 2025 low of $76,000.

Pseudonymous analyst Rekt Capital tells his 542,00 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin’s current bull market cycle has yet to reach a peak.

“BTC bull market progress: 82.5%. (Progress will speed up on parabolic advances and slow down on deeper retraces).”

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Source: Rekt Capital/X

The analyst also tells his 107,000 YouTube subscribers that Bitcoin’s latest correction to $76,000 is not the sign of a beginning bear market based on historical precedence.

“Many people have been talking about this being a bear market, but it does look like it is a downside deviation period very similar to what we’ve seen back in the past. Obviously, these downside deviation periods are changing across time, but it’s really important to look at the charts in a level-headed manner and try and look at it in an unbiased way and not scream bear market whenever we see a pullback that is actually very similar to the one we saw here [in 2024].

This was a 32% pullback [in 2024]. This is a 30% pullback [when Bitcoin corrected to the $76,000 range this month], so very similar downside deviation in that regard, but really important to keep level-headed and look at the data, look at the chart, and zoom out when in doubt.”

Source: Rekt Capital/YouTube

In technical analysis, a downside deviation is a setup where an asset breaks its immediate support to print a false breakdown before igniting a recovery and rallying to new highs.

Bitcoin is trading for $88,028 at time of writing, up 3.4% in the last 24 hours.

 

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Why Is the Crypto Market Down Today? Bitcoin Drops to $82K as Traders Flee Risk Assets Amid Macro Worries

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Cryptocurrency prices have experienced a sharp decline over the last few hours, with bitcoin (BTC) now being down around 3% over the last 24 hours, while major altcoins including XRP, BNB, and SOL are down between 4% and 5% over the same period.

The broader cryptocurrency market, represented by the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), lost around 3.3% of its value over the period. The sharp drop brings BTC’s performance down 1.7% for the week, while CD20 is down nearly 5%.

Over the last 24 hours, over $300 million worth of long positions were liquidated on centralized cryptocurrency exchanges, while $38.8 million worth of shorts were liquidated on these platforms, according to CoinGlass data.

The drop appears to be part of a wider derisking move among traders, as investors are anticipating the impact of President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs that are set to come into effect on April 2. The move heightened after core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data came in hotter than expected on Friday.

Just this week, consumer confidence data dipped further than expected, while the index for future expectations came in at a 12-year low, and well below levels associated with an incoming recession.

This confluence of factors has seen investors reduce their exposure to risk assets and triggered a flight to safety. CoinDesk Data’s latest stablecoin report shows that gold-backed cryptocurrencies have benefitted from the risk-off move, as their market capitalization climbed above $1.4 billion in March.

Gold-backed cryptocurrencies are, in fact, countering the market’s bearish trend. While the CD20 is down over 3% in the last 24-hour period, tokens including PAXG and XAUT are up 0.7% to over $3,100. These tokens are up more than 18% year-to-date, while BTC is down 12.5% and the CD20 index 28% so far this year.





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BTCFi: From passive asset to financial powerhouse?

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Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.

Bitcoin (BTC) has always been the face of crypto, the first thing that comes to mind when you think of this market. But for years, its role has been largely static—held as a store of value, yet rarely used for anything else. Then BTCFi entered the scene: unlike traditional DeFi, which has been dominated by Ethereum (ETH) and other smart contract platforms, BTCFi is built around Bitcoin as the core asset.

In the last quarter of 2024, BTCFi’s total value saw a massive surge—from $800 million all the way to $6.5 billion. The momentum is impressive, to say the least. More institutional players are taking notice, and analysts predict that by 2030, roughly 2.3% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply (about $47 billion) could be actively used in decentralized finance. 

So clearly, BTCFi is not just a passing trend. But why is it gaining so much traction? Can it really be called the future of Bitcoin’s utility as a financial asset?

Let’s try to figure it out.

What is BTCFi, and why is it growing now?

BTCFi represents the intersection of Bitcoin and decentralized finance, with the first crypto playing the role of the core asset in this case. Typically, DeFi platforms have been built on blockchains like Ethereum, while Bitcoin holders had to wrap their BTC into ERC-20 tokens (like wBTC) to participate in this field.

This kind of tokenization started picking up the pace around 2020, allowing BTC holders to access DeFi services that are typically not available on the Bitcoin blockchain. These “wrapped” tokens are built in a way that makes them compatible with other blockchain networks. And so, they effectively extended Bitcoin’s functionality.

However, advancements in Bitcoin L2 solutions and LRTs, or layered rollup technologies, are now changing the rules. It is becoming unnecessary for Bitcoin to use “second class citizen” ERC-20 tokens anymore.

BTC LRTs, for example, operate on Ethereum and other chains as well, but use Bitcoin as the primary collateral in transactions. This means unlocking the use of Bitcoin as a yield-generating asset in other networks beyond its native chain.

The emerging Bitcoin L2s, meanwhile, are tackling this blockchain’s long-standing scalability issues, allowing for faster and more cost-efficient transactions. These innovations are going to fundamentally redefine Bitcoin, turning it from a passive store of value to an actively utilized financial asset.

Why is BTCFi the gateway for Bitcoin whales in 2025?

Large Bitcoin holders—miners, in particular—have often used CeFi loans backed by their BTCs to fund their operations since they didn’t want to outright sell those assets. This practice is still going on today, but BTCFi promises to make some changes. And that’s where everything will start from, really: by BTCFi enabling new opportunities for Bitcoin holders to put their assets to work.

Soon enough, Bitcoin whales will start looking at BTCFi as a powerful gateway that can be used to enter the DeFi space. And the way I see it, there are two key factors in 2025 that will influence that perception.

The first is the rise of Bitcoin ETFs. BTC ETFs currently account for almost 6% of all Bitcoin supply, having crossed $100 billion in holdings at the beginning of 2025. With them gaining mainstream traction, Bitcoin is increasingly perceived as the safest and most stable cryptocurrency asset.

This makes it a prime choice for DeFi, attracting large-scale holders who want to use their BTC without selling. Earlier in February this year, Goldman Sachs announced that it had invested $1.63 billion in Bitcoin ETFs. That’s easy proof right there.

The second major factor is the appearance of BTC L2 technologies, which we’ve already covered earlier. Until recently, the lack of scalability and transaction efficiency held Bitcoin back from DeFi adoption. Now, we are going to see a surge of L2 solutions that will enhance the network’s performance. And here’s the important part: they will do so while preserving Bitcoin’s core principles of decentralization and simplicity (and, hence, its robustness).

What DeFi platforms need to do for proper BTCFi integration

There are several challenges that will need to be overcome before BTCFi can achieve truly seamless integration. The biggest technical issue will be ensuring that Bitcoin-based L2 solutions become genuinely trustless. At the present time, they are not quite there, often relying on intermediaries and centralized elements, which goes against Bitcoin’s core philosophy.

The good news is that there’s a lot of R&D going on to make it happen. If successful, it could make the vast amounts of BTCs that are currently just lying there “collecting dust” be useful in DeFi.

Another big challenge is going to stem from people’s trust. Among Bitcoin holders, there are many who do not quite trust Ethereum and the existing Bitcoin tokenization methods. The key to winning them over will lie in creating robust and cost-effective solutions on the native Bitcoin network. Having a fully trustless and inexpensive execution layer on the BTC blockchain could really become the dealbreaker for these people.

The future of Bitcoin: More than just ‘digital gold’

For years, Bitcoin has been carrying the moniker of “digital gold”—a safe-haven asset meant for holding rather than using. These days, this is becoming increasingly untrue. As more institutional players enter the crypto space, the potential for BTCFi to become Bitcoin’s next-level evolution is very real.

The demand is on the rise, and the infrastructure is already being built. For Bitcoin whales looking to maximize their assets without selling, BTCFi could become the perfect answer.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Michael Egorov

Michael Egorov

Michael Egorov is a physicist, entrepreneur, and crypto maximalist who stood at the origins of DeFi creation. He is a founder of Curve Finance, a decentralized exchange designed for efficient and low-slippage trading of stablecoins. Since the inception of Curve Finance in 2020, Michael has developed all his solutions and products independently. His extensive scientific experience in physics, software engineering, and cryptography aids him in product creation. Today, Curve Finance is one of the top three DeFi exchanges regarding the total volume of funds locked in smart contracts.



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Bitcoin Miner MARA Starts Massive $2B At-the-Market Stock Sale Plan to Buy More BTC

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Bitcoin mining company MARA Holdings (MARA) is launching a fresh $2 billion stock offering to buy more bitcoin, continuing its plan of buying BTC in the open market through capital raise while sticking to its “Hodl” strategy.

According to a Form 8-K and a new prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), MARA entered into an at-the-market (ATM) equity program with a group of investment banks including Barclays, BMO Capital Markets, BTIG, Cantor Fitzgerald, and others. The proceeds of the offering, which will see brokers selling shares of the miner from time to time, will be used mainly for the acquisition of bitcoin in the open market.

“We currently intend to use the net proceeds from this offering for general corporate purposes, including the acquisition of bitcoin and for working capital,” MARA said in its prospectus.

This new fresh stock sales plan follows a previous ATM offering that targeted up to $1.5 billion for the miner.

MARA has adopted Michael Saylor’s strategy of raising funds through equity and convertible bond offerings and buying bitcoin in the open market. The miner now holds 46,376 BTC in its treasury, making it the second-largest bitcoin stash among publicly traded companies, behind Strategy’s 506,137 BTC.

The plan to buy bitcoin in the open market was adopted by the miner last year, even though a miner can theoretically mine bitcoin at a discount to the spot price. The industry became challenging after last year’s halving cut mining rewards by half, squeezing profit margins on the back of rising costs. This made buying bitcoin in the open market, alongside mining, a relatively better strategy for the miners.
Read more: Bitcoin Mining Is So Rough a Miner Adopted Michael Saylor’s Successful BTC Strategy





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