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After 'Civil War' and Anti-Immigrant Tweets, Ryan Selkis Told to Cool It by His Crypto Startup's Leadership

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Crypto lending

Trump bet on World LibertyFi is full of red flags: report

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Donald Trump and his sons are teasing the upcoming launch of a new crypto project that promises to leave “slow and outdated banks behind.”

Trump to launch World Liberty Financial 

The project, which is expected to launch Monday, Sep. 16, will be another victory for Polymarket participants, who have predicted that Trump will launch a coin before the November election. 

In a post on X, Trump said he is “embracing the future with crypto” and will speak during a “Twitter Spaces” event at 8 p.m. EST to commemorate the official launch of World LibertyFi.

Some crypto analysts are hyped. At least one observer expects the World LibertyFi token to jump “10x” over the next two weeks (see below). A Bloomberg report, however, warns that World LibertyFi has some major red flags.

It’s For Trump, Insiders

First, Chase Herro, an entrepreneur who has been involved in other crypto projects in the past, is in charge of it.

Herro’s last project was Dough Financial, a lending platform similar to AAVE (AAVE), JustLend, and Spark. According to DeFi Llama, Dough attracted a peak of $3.2 million in assets before an exploit siphoned over $2 million. It now has just $10,863 in total value locked and appears to be inactive.

The second red flag is that 70% of all World Liberty Financial’s tokens will be reserved to insiders, including Trump. While it is common for most tokens to go to insiders in the crypto industry, 70% is a big number. 

Crypto projects with big insider ownership is a big risk because their prices are vulnerable when they decide to sell their stakes.

Additionally, the network could have regulatory hurdles with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which considers these tokens as securities. It argues that the token buyers should have more information about the project and the people behind it. 

There is also the risk about competition in the lending industry, which has become highly saturated in the past few years. In addition to AAVE and JustLend, some of the most notable names in the industry are Morpho, LayerBank, and Fluid. Most of these ones have struggled to gain market share.

Meanwhile, most newly launched crypto projects are not doing well. Recently launched tokens like Notcoin (NOT), Pixelverse, and Wormhole (W) have dropped by over 60% from their all-time highs.

Trump mixes politics and business

Critics also question the logic of Trump’s spending precious campaign time promoting a money-making venture with just 50 days left until Election Day.

Crypto is just the latest product the former, twice-impeached president is selling. The other items include:

  • Signed sneakers, with one pair reportedly selling for $9,000.
  • Trump-branded bibles, essentially a reproduction of the King James Bible, retails for $59.99 plus tax and shipping. It’s believed to have generated $300,000 in total.
  • He also reported making more than $12 million off of his series non-fungible tokens, or NFTs, featuring photoshopped images of the former president standing in front of various backdrops and garbed in costumes (i.e., sheriff’s hat and superhero cape).
  • A photo book titled “Our Journey Together” sells for $100 on his website.

Data by Arkham shows that his crypto portfolio is worth over $5.7 million.

Whether Trump is promoting the event to fund his campaign or pay mounting legal debts is not immediately clear. In August, Trump’s campaign raised $130 million whereas Vice President Kamala Harris raised $361 million.

It’s worth noting that Trump received a fine of $464 million earlier this year in a civil case.

As for his company, Trump Media & Technology, the stock has dropped by almost 80% from its highest point this year and is hovering at its lowest point since the SPAC merger. Forbes now estimates his net worth to be $3.9 billion, down from over $7 billion earlier this year.



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Bitcoin

Trump Election Victory Could Send Bitcoin to $125,000, Says Standard Chartered Analyst

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According to Geoff Kendrick, Head of Crypto Research at Standard Chartered bank, a Donald Trump victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election could drive Bitcoin to $125,000. However, Kendrick notes that new all-time highs (ATHs) for Bitcoin are likely no matter who wins the election, with Bitcoin still expected to hit $75,000 if Vice President Kamala Harris secures the presidency.

In the new report, Kendrick explained that while the outcome of the election will impact the Bitcoin industry, the risks of a Harris presidency may be overstated. “BTC will end 2024 at fresh all-time highs under either election outcome – [circa] $125,000 level under Trump or c.$75,000 level under Harris,” Kendrick wrote. While a Harris win could initially result in a price decline, he emphasized that “dips would be bought as the market recognizes that progress on the regulatory front will still be forthcoming.”

Despite concerns within the industry that Harris may adopt a more hostile stance toward Bitcoin, Kendrick believes that her administration would be “much less negative” for digital assets than a second Biden administration. Furthermore, Standard Chartered maintains its bullish outlook, forecasting that Bitcoin will hit $200,000 by the end of 2025, regardless of who wins this year’s election.

The 2024 election has drawn attention to the differing approaches to Bitcoin regulation by the two candidates. Trump has become an ally to the Bitcoin industry, speaking at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville this summer, where he expressed support for Bitcoin. The Republican National Committee has also included Bitcoin in its platform, pledging to defend the right to mine Bitcoin and protect self-custody.

In contrast, Vice President Kamala Harris has remained silent on the issue, opting not to attend the Bitcoin conference. The Democratic Party’s platform makes no mention of Bitcoin or cryptocurrency, which has led to concerns within the industry about the potential regulatory environment under a Harris administration. Although Harris has not publicly shown hostility to crypto, some fear a continuation of the stricter regulatory policies seen during President Joe Biden’s term, notably shaped by figures like Senator Elizabeth Warren and SEC Chair Gary Gensler.





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DeFi

Congress battles over DeFi, while Trump’s silence speaks volumes

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As Democrats and Republicans argue over DeFi, what message does Trump’s silence send to the crypto community? Is it a sign of disinterest or strategic neutrality?

DeFi gets the spotlight

On Sep. 10, the first-ever Congressional hearing on decentralized finance took place, marking an important moment in the evolution of this technology.

Titled “Decoding DeFi: Breaking Down the Future of Decentralized Finance,” the hearing was led by Congressman French Hill and lasted nearly two-and-a-half hours. 

U.S. lawmakers gathered to discuss both the potential benefits and risks that DeFi could introduce to the financial system.

The hearing exposed a clear divide among lawmakers. Republicans, led by Hill, were optimistic about DeFi’s ability to remove intermediaries and transform financial markets. 

As Hill stated, “by substituting intermediaries for autonomous, self-executing code, decentralized finance can shift the way financial markets and transactions are currently structured and governed.”

Meanwhile, Democratic lawmakers raised concerns, focusing on DeFi’s potential misuse, particularly its role in enabling criminal activity. While Republicans called for lighter regulations, Democrats advocated for stricter oversight, citing the risks of illicit use.

What does this hearing mean for the future of DeFi and the broader crypto market, especially with the U.S. presidential elections approaching?

A clash of perspectives on DeFi

The hearing itself turned into a battlefield of opinions, with sharp contrasts in how lawmakers viewed DeFi. The subcommittee chair, Hill, kicked off the discussion by focusing on the opportunities DeFi and tokenization could offer to finance.

However, not everyone saw it that way. Congressman Brad Sherman, a Democrat from California, took a more critical approach. He expressed concerns that DeFi might be nothing more than a tool for tax evasion, especially for the ultra-wealthy.

What we have here is an effort to liberate billionaires from income taxation… Every time a billionaire successfully cheats on his taxes, a member of the Freedom Caucus earns his wings.

In response to Sherman’s concerns, Peter Van Valkenburgh, director of research at Coin Center, provided a counter-argument. He acknowledged that tax evasion is a crime but pointed out that DeFi’s transparent, decentralized ledger makes it difficult for bad actors to hide their activities.

Tax evasion is a crime. It should be aggressively policed. I do not, however, think that tax evasion and its existence warrants a 100% surveilled and controlled financial system.

Van Valkenburgh also pointed out the confusion surrounding tax guidance from the IRS. He argued that many crypto users want to comply with tax laws but lack clear instructions on how to do so.

A difficult area in the cryptocurrency space has been getting clear tax guidance from the IRS on how Americans can pay their taxes when they earn capital gains, or perhaps their wages, on these networks

He added that criminals are more likely to use traditional financial systems to hide illicit funds rather than transparent blockchain networks.

On the other side, Mark Hays, Senior policy analyst at Americans for Financial Reform, painted DeFi in a less favorable light. He described the space as volatile and rife with scams, where investors often face devastating losses.

Hays stressed that DeFi should not get a free pass and that existing securities laws should apply to decentralized systems to protect investors.

Meanwhile, Amanda Tuminelli, the chief legal officer at DeFi Education Fund, took a different approach. She highlighted DeFi’s potential to democratize finance. According to Tuminelli, traditional financial systems rely on intermediaries, often acting as gatekeepers.

“Big banks can and do deny access to the system for discriminatory reasons or no reasons,” she stated, contrasting this with DeFi’s open-access nature. She suggested that anyone with an internet connection can use DeFi, calling it “the epitome of financial inclusion.”

Tuminelli argued that treating DeFi as traditional finance is not the right approach, as the underlying structures are fundamentally different. She suggested that regulations should take into account the self-custodial nature and transaction anonymity of decentralized systems.

Crypto left out of the presidential debate spotlight

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump faced off on Sep. 10 in the second presidential debate of the 2024 election. Despite Trump’s well-known pro-crypto stance, the debate avoided any mention of crypto entirely.

Instead, the focus was on traditional economic issues, with no reference to crypto, blockchain, or broader financial technology topics.

Harris’ strong performance during the debate appeared to unsettle Trump, particularly as he struggled to defend his position on contentious issues like abortion.

All of this seemed to affect the crypto market, as Bitcoin (BTC) dropped from around $58,000 to $56,000 after the debate. As of Sep. 11, it has slightly recovered, hovering around $56,800.

Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest crypto by market cap, also experienced a minor dip of about 0.5%, trading at around $2,340 during the same period.

In a surprise for Trump, who has long positioned himself as a champion of deregulated financial markets, his odds of winning, according to online betting platform Polymarket, fell from 52% before the debate to 50% as of this writing.

Meanwhile, a CNN flash poll reflected Harris’ dominance, with 63% of viewers stating she outperformed Trump. However, most respondents noted that the debate wouldn’t influence their vote in November.

As the campaign continues and the demand for a third debate grows, it remains to be seen whether crypto will finally take center stage.

What to expect next?

Throughout the Biden administration, Democrats have consistently been skeptical of crypto, highlighting the risks and pushing for stronger regulations. Amid this, Vice President Kamala Harris has remained silent on the issue, making her stance unclear.

Meanwhile, Trump, who once strongly opposed crypto, has shifted his tone in an effort to attract pro-crypto voters. In recent months, Trump has shown more openness toward blockchain and crypto on several instances. 

However, like Harris, he has remained silent when it matters most, such as during the Trump vs. Musk Twitter space conversation in August and again during the second presidential debate, where crypto was notably absent.

The future of crypto and DeFi in the U.S. remains uncertain. With the upcoming election, how the next administration handles this growing sector could have a lasting impact on both innovation and regulation in the financial space.



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