Except for the brief rally in early 2024, Cardano has been on a downtrend since its all-time high (ATH) of $3.1 in August 2021. ADA currently trades at $0.347, a level that was last seen two years ago. However, market analysts are suggesting that Cardano price could be forming a long-term bottom, hinting at a potential reversal and the start of a bull rally. However, investors should remain cautious as Bitcoin faces a tough resistance level of around $67,000 and could disrupt altcoin moves.

Why is Cardano Price Down Today?

ADA price today is down 0.2% in the last 24 hours and trades at $0.3476. This bearish outlook for Cardano is not localized and can be seen across the board. This can be attributed to capital rotation into Bitcoin as it approaches key levels and hints at a breakout form its seven-month consolidation. As a result, top altcoins tend to slide lower as investors allocate capital into BTC, a less risky bet than alternative cryptocurrencies.

Regardless, let’s take a look at Cardano price form a long-term perspective and see if it is bottoming.

Analyst Says Cardano Price Could be “Bottoming”?

Analyst Sam Mti noted that the ADA price could be bottoming out on the weekly after hitting a two-year low. However, the early Bitcoin trader said he was not interested in investing in the asset as there was no “buy signal.”

Considering that ADA is down 90% from its ATH, the chances that a bottom could be forming is higher. However, a breakout rally might occur soon. 

ADA Price Analysis: What’s Next For Cardano?

Cardano price action seems to be consolidating after hitting the bottom, which is a classic sign of accumulation. In comparison, Chainlink (right) underwent an accumulation for about 1 year before finally breaking out to the upside.

Cardano underwent significant changes in 2024, including the Chang hard fork, which converted ADA into a governance token, and the successful demonstration of Hydra’s speed on the DOOM game at the Rare Evo 2024 blockchain conference.

Nevertheless, despite these huge milestones for the network, ADA price performance has been underwhelming. 

Cardano price is in a Wyckoff accumulation phase, which typically precedes a bullish move.  The price has been moving horizontally, oscillating between a demand zone around $0.30 and a supply zone near $0.40.

This kind of price action indicates accumulation, where smart money is quietly buying up tokens before a potential bullish breakout.

Accumulation phases can take time to complete as the asset consolidates within the range before building momentum for a breakout.

In the short term, the price is likely to continue oscillating between these two levels. If the accumulation pattern continues, we can expect a breakout above the $0.42 level, which could lead to a bullish rally targeting levels as high as $0.50 or beyond.

The relative strength index (RSI) is currently around 46, which is neutral. This indicates that the price has room to move either upward or downward in the short term. It’s neither overbought nor oversold, allowing for further consolidation or the beginning of an upward move.

If the Cardano price breaks below $0.31, it could trigger a larger bearish move, with potential targets at $0.27, $0.24, $0.22, and possibly lower. This would invalidate the current neutral-to-bullish thesis and confirm the completion of the accumulation phase.

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Evans Karanja

Evans Karanja is a crypto analyst and journalist with a deep focus on blockchain technology, cryptocurrency, and the video gaming industry. His extensive experience includes collaborating with various startups to deliver insightful and high-quality analyses that resonate with their target audiences. As an avid crypto trader and investor, Evans is passionate about the transformative potential of blockchain across diverse sectors. Outside of his professional pursuits, he enjoys playing video games and exploring scenic waterfalls.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.