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Bitcoin 200-Day Average Signals Waning Bullish Momentum, Here’s What It Means For BTC Price

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4 months ago

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A key long-term price indicator for Bitcoin, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) appears to be losing its bullish momentum as the US economy added fewer jobs in August 2024.

Bitcoin Must Overcome The 200-Day SMA To Reverse Trend

The 200-day SMA is considered one of the more reliable long-term indicators to gauge an asset’s upcoming price action. Bitcoin’s 200-day SMA shows a weakening bullish momentum, giving short-term traders little joy.

Notably, this is the first time since October 2023 that the 200-day SMA looks poised to enter bearish territory. Since late August, the daily increase in average price increases for BTC has not crossed $50, while it used to consistently record moves of more than $200 per day during the first half of 2024.

At press time, the 200-day SMA stood at $63,840, about 13.96% higher than the current BTC price of $56,840.

It’s worth highlighting that short-term moving average indicators such as the 50-day SMA and the 100-day SMA are already past their peak and have been trending downward. A bearish crossover was seen recently when the 100-day SMA fell below the 200-day SMA.

According to cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez, the Stochastic relative-strength index (RSI) has signaled a trend reversal from bullish to bearish on the Bitcoin 2-month chart. If going by historical data, such a move has typically led to a significant correction of up to 75.50%.

In addition, Google Trends shows that searches for the word “Bitcoin” have been at their lowest since October 2023, when BTC was hovering around $30,000. 

Adding to the overall bearish sentiment surrounding the leading digital asset, former CEO of BitMEX cryptocurrency exchange Arthur Hayes posted on X that he’s currently short Bitcoin and could see the crypto-asset crash to sub $50k level over the weekend. 

In contrast, other market experts opine that Bitcoin will likely bottom at $55,000 before the influx of US liquidity helps re-ignite the severely lacking buying pressure in the crypto markets.

Bitcoin’s Fundamentals Remain Intact

Although several crypto analysts seem to lean bearish on Bitcoin’s short-term price movements, the long-term bull case for the leading digital asset remains unchanged. 

Crypto analyst Crypto Jelle posits that Bitcoin’s tepid price action during the summer might reach its conclusion by early October before it could potentially resume another rally to the upside.

Institutional interest in Bitcoin also continues to rise, as Swiss banking giant ZKB recently rolled out Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading and custody services for its customers. At press time, BTC trades at $56,018.

Bitcoin price action on the daily chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com



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ENA Price Surges Despite Arthur Hayes’ $8 Million Sale

Published

2 days ago

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December 21, 2024

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Ethena (ENA) didn’t let the significant sell-off by Arthur Hayes deter its uptrend. Hayes, after publicly supporting Ethena Labs, unstaked 9 million ENA and sent 7 million ENA ($8.44 million) to Binance today.

He previously withdrew 16.79 million ENA from Binance in late November at $0.666 for an estimated $8.71 million profit (+78%). Hayes currently holds 9.96 million ENA valued at $11.7 million, with 7.94 million tokens staked.

Ethena (ENA) Continues to Outperform the Market Despite Arthur Hayes Sale

Ethena (ENA) continued its upward momentum despite significant selling activity by prominent crypto investor Arthur Hayes.

According to SpotOnChain, Hayes unstaked 9 million ENA tokens and deposited 7 million ENA (worth $8.44 million) to Binance earlier today, even after publicly expressing support for Ethena Labs. This follows his earlier withdrawal of 16.79 million ENA from Binance between November 26 and 28 at an average price of $0.666, totaling $11.19 million.

Currently, Arthur Hayes holds 9.96 million ENA, valued at $11.7 million, with 7.94 million tokens staked. His strategic trades have earned him an estimated profit of $8.71 million, representing a 78% return. Despite these developments, ENA’s price has shown resilience, continuing to rise in the face of selling pressure.

Ethena has been doing great in the last 24 hours, up 8.47%, while major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to struggle after a sharp market downturn earlier this week.

Even though it had a strong rebound today, ENA previously experienced a massive 34.62% fall from $1.30 on December 16 to $0.85 by December 20. The token has recovered excellently and is now trading at $1.08. Having a market capitalization of about $3.17 billion, ENA is now the 43rd largest cryptocurrency, showing strength in a highly volatile market.

Ethena ($ENA) Poised for 85% Surge, Says Analyst

It seems Arthur Hayes didn’t listen recent prediction by crypto analyst and YouTuber Chill Trader. He shared a chart for ENA/USDT that indicated Ethena could surge by 85.34%. He highlighted a bullish Cup-and-Handle pattern, with key support at $0.94, which is currently being tested. If this level holds, the analyst predicts a price target of $2.15, supported by strong momentum from the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.63, well below current levels.

https://twitter.com/Chill_trader99/status/187000682226792866

For instance, a drop below $0.94 might push it further down to the lower support line of $0.86. Chill Trader added that volume is essential, while strong buying volume is required for a bounce off of support, and high selling volume would show a breakdown.

In addition to the bullish technical signals, recent strategic partnerships add to the case for a potential surge in Ethena’s price. The project has partnered with Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial (WLFI) and investment giant BlackRock, signaling growing institutional interest.

Ethena’s partnership with WLFI brings the sUSDe stablecoin as collateral to its Aave-backed DeFi platform and is, therefore, getting a lot of attention in the circles of decentralized finance. On the other hand, BlackRock focuses on strategies in risk management for tough markets with returns from treasury investments.

On December 16, they introduced USDtb, a new stablecoin backed by BlackRock’s BUIDL Fund, which was developed in collaboration with tokenization platform Securitize.

The growing buzz surrounding Ethena’s partnerships and the potential influence of a Trump-backed administration has sparked increased interest in ENA, suggesting a promising outlook for the cryptocurrency in the near future.

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Teuta Franjkovic

Teuta is a seasoned writer and editor with over 15 years of expertise in macroeconomics, technology, and the crypto and blockchain sectors.

She began her career in 2005 as a lifestyle writer for *Cosmopolitan* before transitioning to business and economic reporting for renowned outlets like *Forbes* and *Bloomberg*.

Inspired by thought leaders like Don and Alex Tapscott and Laura Shin, Teuta embraced blockchain’s potential, viewing cryptocurrency as one of humanity’s most transformative innovations.

Since 2014, she has specialized in fintech, focusing on crypto, blockchain, NFTs, and Web3. Known for her strong collaboration and communication skills, Teuta also holds dual MAs in Political Science and Law.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Ethena Price Shoots 20% Amid Heavy ENA Accumulation by Arthur Hayes

Published

4 weeks ago

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November 28, 2024

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Bitmex co-founder Arthur Hayes is on an ENA accumulation spree driving more than 22% Ethena price gains in the last 24 hours. This comes as Hayes is reportedly moving all of his Aethir (ATH) holdings to Ethena (ENA) as part of portfolio reshuffling, after making heavy losses in ATH.

Ethena Price Skyrockets on Arthur Hayes Buying Spree

As of press time, ENA price is trading 22.50% up at $0.7502 with its market cap soaring all the way to $2.13 billion. In the last two days, Hayes made notable withdrawals of ENA from crypto exchange Binance, showing his intensified interest in the synthetic dollar protocol.

According to blockchain tracking platform Spot On Chain, Hayes recently withdrew an additional 10.36 million ENA tokens, valued at $7.49 million. This brings his two-day accumulation to a staggering 16.79 million.

The average purchase price of ENA by the BitMEX co-founder currently stands at $0.66. Thus, Ethena price appreciation thereafter has resulted in an unrealized profit of $1.14 million, or over 14% appreciation already.

Source: SpotonChain

On November 26, Arthur Hayes liquidated all of his Aethir (ATH) holdings after months of holding and making an estimated loss of $815,000. However, quickly spotting a good opportunity in ENA, Hayes has already recovered these losses in two days with some additional unbooked profit.

The BitMEX co-founder has been shilling Solana-based meme coins off lately with his latest bet being FlowerAI (FLOWER). He also made strong profits from his early bet on Goatseus Maximus in October last month.

ENA Bullish Momentum and Other Milestones

As per the Coinglass data, the ENA open interest has shot up by 23% to $374 million while the total ENA liquidations have shot up to $1.29 million, of which $335,000 are in long liquidations and $956,000 are in short liquidations. Moreover, the total value locked (TVL) on the Ethena blockchain has also surged to $4.09 billion.

Source: Coinglass

The Ethena blockchain is gaining strong traction through its synthetic dollar USDe. It is backed by collateral in the form of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Additionally, the USDe differs from traditional stablecoins by offering a native yield. Recently, the popular derivatives platform Deribit integrated USDe in the form of crypto margin collateral.

Moreover, Ethena Labs celebrated an important milestone of reaching a 4 billion supply for USDe while generating an annual percentage yield (APY) of a staggering 25% for its users. Back in September, the platform also unveiled its UStb stablecoin collateralized by financial giant BlackRock and Securitize.

All eyes are on the ENA bulls as they need to hold Ethena price above the strong support of $0.75. If they manage to pull this off, ENA could be heading for another 33% gains to $1. Some investors are also speculating that ENA will hit its all-time high of $1.5.

Source: TradingView

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Bhushan Akolkar

Bhushan is a FinTech enthusiast with a keen understanding of financial markets. His interest in economics and finance has led him to focus on emerging Blockchain technology and cryptocurrency markets. He is committed to continuous learning and stays motivated by sharing the knowledge he acquires. In his free time, Bhushan enjoys reading thriller fiction novels and occasionally explores his culinary skills.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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Arthur Hayes, Murad’s Prediction For Meme Coins, AI & DeFi Coins For 2025

Published

1 month ago

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November 9, 2024

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In a recent podcast, crypto experts Murad Mahmudov and Arthur Hayes shared their insights on the evolving roles of meme coins, DeFi, and AI tokens. The experts highlight significant shifts and predict how these assets may function by 2025. Besides, they also discussed the ways in which the crypto space is evolving, with meme coins and DeFi tokens acting as distinct financial instruments with varying purposes and trajectories in the market.

Murad & Arthur Hayes On DeFi And Meme Coin

Murad Mahmudov, known for his analysis of crypto market cycles, expressed skepticism about the idea of a “DeFi Renaissance” spurred by potential future US policies under the Trump Presidency. In a recent podcast, Mahmudov argued that most DeFi protocols prioritize their own growth over distributing revenues to stakeholders. Arthur Hayes also echoed a similar sentiment, predicting a minor impact of Trump’s win on the crypto space in the longer run.

He stated, “A lot of people have been arguing that Trump Victory is going to kind of bring about DeFi Renaissance or whatever, but I remain skeptical.” He sees DeFi tokens as often being speculative, deriving a large portion of their value from community-driven narratives rather than intrinsic financial performance.

Talking about meme coins, Mahmudov sees the niche to be gradually becoming a sort of “purification mechanism” in the crypto space. He suggested that as the market matures, meme coins and DeFi tokens will diverge into two distinct categories: cash-flow coins, which are serious, revenue-oriented, and likely to appeal to institutional investors, and meme coins, which retain speculative and community-driven appeal.

“In the future, meme coins will continue to absorb community and speculative premiums,” he said. Besides, he added that this separation will help legitimize cash-flow coins in the eyes of more traditional financial analysts. Meanwhile, Murad has shortlisted top meme coins like DOGE, FLOKI, and SHIB to benefit the most in the coming days.

However, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has a different and more opportunistic perspective on meme coins. Rather than holding long-term, he views these assets as trading instruments with quick in-and-out opportunities. “Meme coins are fun to trade because you don’t need to understand cash flows or tech,” Hayes commented. For him, the appeal lies in viral appeal. This speculative approach, according to Hayes, allows him to capitalize on the short-term hype while minimizing long-term risk exposure.

AI Coins In Focus

The conversation also covered the rise of AI meme coins, such as GOAT, which Arthur Hayes views as noteworthy due to their pioneering status. While Murad sees AI-based meme coins as potentially fleeting, since rapid AI advancements could quickly make certain tokens obsolete, Hayes believes owning the original and widely recognized AI token could be valuable.

Hayes explained he would invest in the token as the market is talking about it. Besides, the GOAT crypto has also gained notable attention lately, as evidenced by the robust surge in its price. However, both experts raised caution for the long-term viability of tech-driven crypto tokens amid AI advancements.

Mahmudov argued that AI will accelerate code commoditization, making it harder for purely technological tokens to retain value. Instead, he believes that tokens grounded in “human faith, community, and belief” will endure, highlighting his preference for BTC and established meme coins over tech-reliant assets.

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Rupam Roy

Rupam is a seasoned professional with three years of experience in the financial market, where he has developed a reputation as a meticulous research analyst and insightful journalist. He thrives on exploring the dynamic nuances of the financial landscape. Currently serving as a sub-editor at Coingape, Rupam’s expertise extends beyond conventional boundaries. His role involves breaking stories, analyzing AI-related developments, providing real-time updates on the crypto market, and presenting insightful economic news.
Rupam’s career is characterized by a deep passion for unraveling the complexities of finance and delivering impactful stories that resonate with a diverse audience.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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