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Bitcoin (BTC) Will Thrive Regardless of US Election Outcome, Says VanEck’s Matthew Sigel

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An analyst from one of the biggest asset managers in crypto says any result of the November election will end up being bullish for Bitcoin (BTC).

In a new report for VanEck, Matthew Sigel, the firm’s head of digital asset research, says that the US federal election will likely have a significant impact on the crypto space, but will be bullish for Bitcoin regardless of which party wins.

Sigel says that both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are bullish for Bitcoin, with only nuanced implications for digital assets.

Sigel adds both candidates will likely maintain fiscal spending – or increase it – which could lead to further quantitative easing (QE), which has historically been bullish for the asset class.

Should Kamala Harris win the November election, Sigel sees Bitcoin outperforming the broader crypto market.

“Suppose Kamala Harris were to retain Gary Gensler as SEC Chair or align closely with the Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democratic Party when it comes to finance policy, which looks increasingly likely. In that case, the digital assets industry generally is expected to confront a tightening regulatory environment that would dampen institutional adoption of digital assets in the U.S., further restricting domestic entrepreneurial activity.

On Bitcoin alone, however, we would argue that a Kamala Harris presidency might be even better for Bitcoin than a second term for Trump because it would, in our view, accelerate many of the structural issues that drive Bitcoin adoption in the first place…

Should that happen, Bitcoin’s unique regulatory clarity will likely make it even more competitive than other digital assets.”

Conversely, Sigel says the firm believes that another four years of Donald Trump is “generally bullish for the entire crypto ecosystem” as the administration is likely to be more business-friendly, particularly to crypto, perhaps.

“Regardless of the election outcome, the trend of growing fiscal deficits and rising national debt will likely continue. This suggests a weakening of the U.S. dollar, a macroeconomic environment in which Bitcoin has historically thrived.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $63,769, up 1.12% in the past day.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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The Case For A Future Valuation Of $1 Million

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Since November 5, the day President-elect Donald Trump secured another term in office, Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable uptrend, reaching a new all-time high of $93,300. 

Since then, BTC has been trading within a narrow range between $89,000 and $92,000, positioning for a potential move toward the $100,000 milestone. This raises an intriguing question whether a price of $1 million per coin is feasible over the next decade.

A Long-Term Vision For Investors

Market expert VirtualBacon has conducted an in-depth analysis of these possibilities, delving into the numbers, trends, and catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to experience a surge of nearly 1,000% from its current price levels. 

Within the current market cycle, the expert forecasts that Bitcoin could hit $200,000 in the next one to two years. However, he notes that while this milestone is significant, altcoins may offer higher returns at a greater risk, often crashing by 80% to 90% in bear markets.

In contrast to altcoins, which face increasing regulatory scrutiny, Bitcoin stands out as a safer long-term investment. VirtualBacon argues that Bitcoin’s potential is not just confined to the next few years but spans a decade or more. 

To understand why Bitcoin’s price could reach $1 million, VirtualBacon asserts that investors need to consider its fundamental utility as a store of value. Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins, its global accessibility, and its resistance to censorship and manipulation make it a compelling alternative to traditional financial assets. 

The expert suggests that if Bitcoin is to become recognized as the digital gold of the 21st century, reaching a market capitalization that rivals gold’s estimated $13 trillion is not merely a theoretical possibility but “a logical outcome.”

Key drivers for this potential growth include increasing participation from asset managers, corporate treasuries, central banks, and wealthy individuals. Recent data indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have seen record inflows, with $1 billion invested last week, reflecting growing institutional confidence. 

Additionally, discussions among corporations, such as Microsoft considering Bitcoin reserves, further enhance its strategic value. Wealthy individuals are also beginning to adopt Bitcoin as a standard portfolio allocation, with even a modest 1% investment becoming commonplace among billionaires.

What Does Bitcoin Need To Reach $1 Million?

For Bitcoin to reach the $1 million mark, two critical factors must be analyzed: global wealth growth and portfolio allocation. VirtualBacon notes that in 2022, total global wealth was estimated at $454 trillion, and projections suggest this could grow to $750 trillion by 2034. 

Currently, gold holds approximately 3.9% of global wealth, while Bitcoin is at a mere 0.35%. If Bitcoin’s allocation in global portfolios rose to just 3%, still significantly below gold’s share, its market cap could soar to $20 trillion, pushing the price to $1 million per coin.

Historically, gold’s market cap saw significant growth following the launch of exchange-traded funds in 2004, with its portfolio allocation increasing from 1.67% to 4.74% over the next decade. 

If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, its allocation could rise from 0.35% to 1.05% or more, translating to a market cap of approximately $7.92 trillion, equating to about $395,000 per Bitcoin. Therefore, reaching $1 million doesn’t require Bitcoin to surpass gold; it must capture about 57% of gold’s projected market cap by 2034.

With gold representing 4.7% of global portfolios compared to Bitcoin’s 0.35%, a modest increase in Bitcoin’s share of global wealth to 3%—just 60% of gold’s allocation—could “easily” result in a $20 trillion market cap and a $1 million price point.

Bitcoin
The daily chart shows BTC’s price approaching its record high achieved last week. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $92,240, up 7% every week. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 



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Analyst Says Dogecoin Has Way More Room To Grow, Sees Potential Rally to New All-Time High for DOGE

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A closely followed crypto strategist believes that top memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) may be gearing up for an explosive surge.

Analyst Ali Martinez tells his 80,000 followers on the social media platform X that DOGE has more upside potential based on the level of public interest relative to its current price level.

He uses Google search trends to gauge the level of interest for the top memecoin by market cap.

“I read people saying Dogecoin will not go higher because of ‘market cap,’ ‘sell the news,’ ‘better memes.’ Well, when you look at the interest in DOGE over time, it isn’t even at peak popularity yet. Long story short, DOGE has way more room to grow.”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

He also says that DOGE may be forming a bull flag pattern on the hourly timeframe and may soon surge past its all-time high of about $0.74. In technical analysis, a bull flag is viewed as a continuation pattern, indicating that an asset is consolidating and gearing up for a fresh rally.

“Dogecoin appears to form a bull flag! I’m looking out for an hourly close above $0.40 which could trigger a breakout to $0.85!”

Image
Source: Ali Martinez/X

DOGE is trading for $0.3742 at time of writing, up 3.6% in the last 24 hours but down about 49% from its all-time high of $0.731.

Lastly, the analyst says that Bitcoin (BTC) may override a bearish signal from the TD Sequential indicator and hit six figures.

Traders use the TD Sequential indicator to predict potential trend reversals for tokens based on the closing prices of their previous nine or 13 bars or candles.

“Finally, I believe a sustained daily close above $91,900 will invalidate this bearish Bitcoin outlook and trigger a breakout to $100,680!”

Bitcoin is trading for $90,885 at time of writing, up 1.6% in the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Crypto product record major inflow up to $2.2 billion

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CoinShares, a digital asset manager, reported that last week crypto products saw a major inflow from institutional investors of up to $2.2 billion.

The latest U.S. Election, on Nov. 5, still stimulated the weekly cryptocurrency inflow up to $2.2 billion. The number increased 15% from the previous week by about $1.98 billion.

According to CoinShares’s release, on Nov. 18, digital asset inflows recorded $33.5 billion year-to-date and hit a new peak of under-asset management (AUM) up to $138 billion.

Bitcoin (BTC) saw the largest inflow based on assets last week of around $1.48 billion or equal to 67%. Followed by Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) with inflows $646 million and $23.9 million respectively.

The Beam Chain network upgrade proposal by Justin Drake has increased Ethereum’s inflow from $157 million. Only multi-asset and Binance Coin (BNB) record a week’s outflow.

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) recorded the highest surge in crypto product from last week’s inflow up to 63% or up to $2.1 billion. While the rest of the funding recorded an outflow ranging from $8 million to $153 million, including Grayscale and Fidelity.

Crypto product driving factor: U.S. Election

James Butterfill, CoinShares head of research, says a combination of looser monetary policy and a Republican winning a majority of the Congress and Presidency appears to be a driving factor of these inflows.

Donald Trump winning the White House’s second term still brings a positive rally for the cryptocurrency industry, as well as the crypto product. Buterfill has mentioned that Trump’s presidency would bring crypto-friendly regulations and fiscal policy.

Earlier, Trump picked several names for secretary on his cabinet who identified as pro-crypto personalities including Elon Musk, Tom Emmer, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Bitcoin Act, who were proposed by Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis, and the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve also boosts the crypto investor’s confidence. He also mentioned this favorable outlook may bring the best potential of Bitcoin in the future.

“The next four years may witness an unprecedented level of institutional support, increased government interest, and broader public adoption, setting the stage for Bitcoin to further solidify its place in the global financial landscape,” Buterfill mentioned in the other report.



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