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Bitcoin doesn’t need a dollar crash to hit $200k: Hougan

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Bitcoin doesn’t require a U.S. dollar crash to become a six-figure asset class, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan opined on X.

Bitcoin (BTC) has often been hailed as a hedge against the dollar’s declining purchasing power and as a potential beneficiary of a massive fiat implosion.

Some proponents have suggested that Bitcoin needs a dollar collapse to reach $200,000 per BTC and beyond. However, Hougan argued that this assumption is incorrect for two main reasons: growing demand for store-of-value assets and persistent government spending.

According to the Bitwise executive, these factors reinforce investor conviction when they invest in Bitcoin. Hougan further argued that store-of-value markets have gained momentum due to “governments abusing their currencies.”

For instance, U.S. spending has accelerated in recent years, and the country’s debt has surpassed $35 trillion. Analysts estimate the national debt grows by about $1 trillion every 100 days at its current pace.

Additionally, Unlimited Funds CIO Bob Elliott cited data indicating that “developed world sovereign debt,” such as U.S. Treasuries, may no longer effectively serve as bailout mechanisms, potentially supporting a pro-Bitcoin outlook.

Hougan expects this pattern to continue, leading to more mature BTC markets, increased adoption, and higher prices for the leading cryptocurrency.

So, no, the dollar doesn’t need to collapse for bitcoin to hit $200k. All you need is Bitcoin to continue on its current path of maturing as an institutional asset. But it’s increasingly looking like both parts of the argument will come true. That’s why Bitcoin is surging toward all-time highs.

Matt Hougan, Bitwise CIO

Hougan’s remarks came on Oct. 29, as BTC rallied closer to its all-time high set in March. BTC rose 5% in the last 24 hours, reaching $72,756. While technical indicators pointed to a potential Bitcoin breakout, historical patterns warn of volatility as U.S. citizens prepare to vote in the upcoming presidential election.

Bitcoin doesn't need a dollar crash to hit $200k: Hougan - 1
24-hour BTC price chart – Oct. 29 | Source: crypto.news





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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Bears Fear A Short Squeeze Above $71,000 As Open Interest Rises To $22.6B

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin is on the verge of a historic move as it pushes toward its all-time highs, surging above the $71,000 mark just yesterday. This breakout has ignited optimism among analysts, who expect further upside in the coming weeks as the US election draws near—a period historically marked by heightened volatility and market shifts.

Critical data from CryptoQuant indicates that Open Interest has reached $22.6 billion, with half of these positions held by bears. If Bitcoin continues to climb, this setup creates a high risk of short liquidations, potentially accelerating buying pressure as prices push above $71,000.

As momentum builds, the next few days will determine whether BTC can sustain its uptrend or if a consolidation phase below the all-time high will continue. Investors are closely watching these price levels, as a confirmed breakout could signal new highs for Bitcoin. At the same time, a stall might suggest a need for additional consolidation before a larger move.

Bitcoin Bears In Serious Trouble

Bitcoin bears are now at high risk of forced liquidations as a significant level of short position liquidity hovers above the $71,000 threshold. According to top analyst and macro investor Axel Adler, this scenario could ignite a powerful rally if short positions start liquidating en masse. Creating momentum that propels BTC beyond its all-time highs. Adler shared a CryptoQuant chart on X, noting that Bitcoin Open Interest has surged to $22.6 billion, with half of these positions held by bears.

Open Interest has risen to $22.6B, with half of these positions held by bears
Open Interest has risen to $22.6B, with half of these positions held by bears | Source: Axel Adler on X

In his analysis, Adler emphasizes that the current market structure is poised for a major squeeze. “There’s no need to hesitate in liquidating short positions to drive the price up,” Adler states, suggesting that a cascade of liquidations above $71,000 could act as a launchpad for Bitcoin, taking it into uncharted price discovery levels. This process, known as a “short squeeze,” occurs when overleveraged short holders are forced to close their positions, resulting in large buy orders that send prices even higher.

If this scenario unfolds, Bitcoin wouldn’t be the only one benefiting. As BTC leads the market, a rally past previous highs could signal a fresh cycle for the entire crypto space. Altcoins typically follow Bitcoin’s lead, and the spillover effect could fuel a comprehensive bull run, with new highs across multiple assets. 

Investors are watching closely, as such a move could renew interest and investment in the crypto market, drawing in retail and institutional capital. With BTC on the edge of price discovery, the next few days may prove pivotal in shaping the market’s direction.

BTC Testing Cruial Supply 

Bitcoin is testing a supply zone at $71,200, brushing up against the last resistance level before reaching its all-time high. Bulls appear firmly in control, with price action signaling a likely breakout above this level in the coming days. Breaking and holding above the $70,000 mark remains critical. This psychologically significant level reinforces bullish sentiment, encouraging more buyers to enter the market.

BTC testing crucial supply aroun $71K
BTC testing crucial supply around $71K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

However, a temporary retracement to gather liquidity at lower demand levels would benefit Bitcoin’s uptrend. A dip toward the $69,000 level, or even down to $66,500, would still align with a bullish outlook. It could attract further interest and create a healthier base for the next rally. These areas would allow Bitcoin to gather liquidity before making a stronger push toward new highs.

Traders are watching, knowing that a sustained move above $71,200 could pave the way for price discovery beyond all-time highs. A successful breakout could trigger renewed momentum across the market, sparking a broader bull run as Bitcoin leads the charge.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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Bitcoin miners brace for earnings, analyst sees buying opportunity

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H.C. Wainwright & Co. has released its latest update on Bitcoin mining, showing a mixed third quarter for miners affected by broader market uncertainties and the upcoming April 2024 Bitcoin halving.

Per the analyst note shared with crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) prices remained volatile throughout Q3 2024, influenced by concerns about the U.S. economy, international tensions, and the upcoming presidential election

After dipping as low as $49,100 in August, BTC prices bounced back following the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates in September. 

This rate cut marked the first reduction in four years and sparked a rally, pushing BTC to around $63,250 by the end of the quarter.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs

A significant demand driver was U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw net inflows of $4.3 billion during Q3, up from $2.4 billion in Q2, according to the analysts.

A third of these inflows occurred in just eight days following the Fed’s rate cut. Analysts expect the upcoming election on November 5 to have a major impact on BTC prices. 

They predict a Trump victory could push BTC to new highs, while a win by Vice President Harris might lead to a short-term price correction.

Bitcoin miner operations

Public Bitcoin miners expanded operations significantly in Q3, adding 35 exahashes per second to the global network hash rate—a measure of computing power used for mining—resulting in a 4.5% increase from the previous quarter.

Despite this expansion, miners faced challenges due to the April 2024 Bitcoin halving. This event occurs every four years and cuts the reward miners receive by half, making it harder to profit from mining.

For those unfamiliar, Bitcoin halving refers to reducing the number of new Bitcoins miners earn for adding new blocks to the blockchain. This is part of Bitcoin’s design to control inflation and ensure there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoins in circulation. 

As a result, miners must become more efficient or rely on higher Bitcoin prices to remain profitable.

Despite these hurdles, miner revenues fell 29% in Q3 to $2.6 billion, with the average price miners earned per terahash dropping significantly. However, analysts see opportunities ahead. 

The combined market capitalization of public BTC miners declined by 7%, signaling a potential buying opportunity for investors, especially as the sector has already rebounded by 12% in the current quarter, per analysts. 

With earnings season for miners kicking off this week, all eyes will be on how companies perform, particularly as BTC surges over $73,000 this week.



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Peter Brandt Comments On BTC’s Underperformance

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Veteran trader Peter Brandt has reignited the Bitcoin vs Gold debate, highlighting how the flagship crypto has performed against gold. Renowned economist Peter Schiff has also fuelled this debate by arguing that gold deserves more attention than BTC.

Bitcoin Vs. Gold: How BTC Is Performing

Peter Brandt claimed in an X post that Bitcoin has made “no progress” in 42 months in its Gold pair. He remarked that the flagship crypto remains below the March 2024 high and the double highs in 2021.

ImageImage

Indeed, the Bitcoin price remains below its current all-time high (ATH) of $73,000, which it reached earlier this year in March. Meanwhile, gold continues to reach new highs, rising to a new ATH of $2771. BTC and gold have always been compared, as experts view both assets as a store of value.

Some experts have also argued that the flagship crypto has an edge against gold, although it is commonly called ‘digital gold.’  Peter Brandt also highlighted the significance of these assets while noting that they are in the “heavyweight division” in the battle against fiat depreciation.

Given BTC’s underperformance against gold, the latter seems to live up to the hype more as a store of value. There is also the argument that crypto’s correlation with the stock market shows that investors view it more as a risk asset than a hedge against inflation.

Peter Schiff Also Fuels The Debate

Gold proponent and renowned economist Peter Schiff has also sparked the Bitcoin vs. gold debate. Following the BTC price rally above $71,000 for the first time in four months, Schiff mentioned that gold is trading at another record high, just shy of its ATH. However, Schiff remarked that no one will notice because the flagship crypto is trading back above $71,000.

The economist believes that gold should receive more attention than it currently does, especially as it reaches new highs while BTC attempts to break its current ATH of $73,000. However, despite Schiff’s reservations, it is worth mentioning that the flagship crypto is a victim of its success.

Bitcoin hit a new ATH earlier in the year, just before the halving event in April, which was unusual considering it had never reached a new ATH until after the halving. As such, that development weighed on the flagship crypto since analysts like Rekt Capital claimed that it had to consolidate for this long so it could synchronize with past halving cycles.

For context, despite consolidating for this long, BTC is up over 62% year-to-date (YTD) while gold is up just over 33% since this year began.

Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that Peter Schiff has also extended the BTC vs gold debate to their related stocks. The economist compared MicroStrategy to gold stocks. He noted that MSTR stock is worth more than the stocks of all gold mining companies except Newmont.

However, Schiff questioned MicroStrategy’s value and suggested it could suffer a price crash soon enough. MSTR is one of the best-performing assets this year, outperforming even BTC and gold.

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Boluwatife Adeyemi

Boluwatife Adeyemi is a well-experienced crypto news writer and editor who has covered topics that cut across DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts, and blockchain interoperability, among others. Boluwatife has a knack for simplifying the most technical concepts and making it easy for crypto newbies to understand. Away from writing, He is an avid basketball lover and a part-time degen.

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.





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