Markets
Bitcoin Price Poised for a Weak September, Analysts Say
Published
4 months agoon
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adminBitcoin may be heading for a challenging September, according to a new report, which points to seasonal trends, exhaustion signals, and macroeconomic factors as indicators of potential weakness for the world’s largest cryptocurrency in the coming month.
“We are entering a seasonally weak period in September for risk assets broadly. A correction usually impacts the most volatile assets the hardest, albeit temporarily,” technical analysis firm Fairlead Strategies said in its weekly report.
The analysis identifies several technical indicators suggesting Bitcoin (BTC) might face downward pressure. One key factor is the appearance of short-term exhaustion signals.
“There are now minor signs of upside exhaustion per the DeMARK Indicators, and once the daily stochastics turn below 80%, it would increase risk that support (~$56,500) is retested,” the report notes.
The DeMARK Indicator is a proprietary tool used to identify potential market reversals, while stochastics measure momentum by comparing closing prices to price ranges over time. Adding to the bearish outlook, Fairlead expects anemic mid-term momentum for Bitcoin.
“Intermediate-term momentum is weak, and a monthly counter-trend signal from the DeMARK Indicators supports another two months of corrective price action,” the report explains.
This suggests the potential for continued downward or sideways movement in Bitcoin’s price beyond just September. The firm also points to broader market conditions that could impact Bitcoin’s performance. Notably, the report mentions potential strength in the U.S. dollar as a headwind.
“The Dollar Index, which tends to hold a slight negative correlation with Bitcoin, looks primed for a near-term rebound,” the analysis states. Typically, a stronger dollar correlates with weaker Bitcoin prices.
Despite these short-term concerns, Fairlead Strategies maintains a long-term bullish stance on Bitcoin. The report identifies key price levels to watch, including “trendline resistance near $70,000.” As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $62,145, down just over 2% in the last day.
The report also looks at how other popular cryptocurrencies are performing compared to Bitcoin.
A 12 week-chart called the Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) shows improvement for Avalanche (AVAX), Chainlink (LINK), and Solana (SOL). This means that over the past few months, these three cryptocurrencies have been gaining strength and might perform better than Bitcoin in the near future.
However, not all cryptocurrencies are showing positive signs, with the report noting that Ethereum (ETH) and Uniswap (UNI) “remain least favorably positioned, pointing down and to the left.”
Edited by Andrew Hayward
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DeFi
Solana beats Ethereum in a key metric 3 months in a row
Published
9 hours agoon
December 23, 2024By
adminSolana’s continued doing well in December, as meme coins helped it gain market share against Ethereum and other blockchains.
According to DeFi Llama, Solana’s (SOL) protocols in the decentralized exchange industry were the most active in December.
Its volume rose to over $97 billion, much higher than the $22.6 billion it handled in the same period last year.
Notably, it was the third consecutive month that Solana outperformed Ethereum (ETH), which has dominated the industry for years. Ethereum’s protocols had a volume of over $74 billion, while Base and Arbitrum handled $42 billion and $37 billion.
Solana also performed great in November, where its DEX networks had a volume of $129 billion, higher than Ethereum’s $70.6 billion. A month earlier, Solana handled volume of $52 billion, while Ethereum processed $41 billion.
Most of Solana’s DEX volume was because of Raydium (RAY), a network that handled coins worth $65 billion in the last 30 days. Orca handled $24 billion, while Lifinity, Pump, and Phoenix had volumes worth over $5.93 billion.
Solana’s DEX volume has jumped because of the meme coin industry, which has continued doing well this year. Solana has attracted thousands of meme coins this year, helped by the creation of Pump, the biggest token generator. All Solana meme coins have a market cap of over $14.1 billion, led by Bonk, Dogwifhat, Popcat, and Peanut the Squirrel.
This growth has been highly profitable for Solana and its native apps. All Solana native dApps generated a record $365 million in revenue in November, a record high. Similarly, according to TokenTerminal, Solana’s blockchain generated a record $725 million in fees in 2024, making it the third-most profitable chain after Ethereum and Tron.
Developers and users love Solana because of its substantially lower fees and higher throughput.
Base, the layer-2 network launched by Coinbase, has also been a big breakout star in 2024 as its total fees rose to over $82 million. It has become the biggest layer 2 network in the blockchain industry, with its DEX networks handling over $181 billion in assets, while its total value locked soared to $2 billion.
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Crypto exchange
Perp-Focused HyperLiquid Experiences Record $60M in USDC Net Outflows
Published
13 hours agoon
December 23, 2024By
adminHyperLiquid, a layer-1 blockchain and decentralized exchange for perpetual futures (perps), has experienced a notable outflow of the USDC stablecoin amid speculation North Korean hackers are interacting with the platform, according to a post on X by pseudonymous observer Tay, known for tracking threats posed by to crypto protocols by the country.
A record $60 million of USDC fled the exchange by 10:00 UTC Monday, according to Hashed Official’s Dune-based tracker. USDC, the world’s second-largest dollar-pegged stablecoin, is used as collateral on HyperLiquid. The deposit bridge still holds $2.2 billion in USDC.
Addresses associated with hackers from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) have accrued losses exceeding $700,000 while trading on HyperLiquid, Tay said. The transactions indicate the hackers are potentially familiarizing themselves with the platform’s inner workings to launch a malicious attack.
“DPRK doesn’t trade. DPRK tests,” Tay said.
CoinDesk contacted HyperLiquid on X for comments on the USDC outflows and potential threat from North Korea.
Tay said they reached out to the platform two weeks ago, offering help in countering a potential threat.
“I really want to emphasize that these are the most sophisticated and rapidly evolving of all of the DPRK threat groups. They are very creative and persistent. They also get their hands on 0days (such as the one Chrome patched today,” Tay’s message to the platform said.
HyperLiquid is the leading on-chain perpetuals exchange, commanding over 50% of the total on-chain perpetuals trading volume, which tallied $8.6 billion in the past 24 hours.
The platform debuted its token HYPE on Nov. 29. Since then, it has
surged over 600% to $28.6, briefly topping $10 billion in market capitalization. As of writing, HYPE was the 22nd largest digital asset in the world, according to Coingecko.
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DeFi
DeFi Protocol Usual’s Surge Catapults Hashnote’s Tokenized Treasury Over BlackRock’s BUIDL
Published
1 day agoon
December 22, 2024By
adminThere’s been a change of guard at the rankings of the $3.4 billion tokenized Treasuries market.
Asset manager Hashnote’s USYC token zoomed over $1.2 billion in market capitalization, growing five-fold in size over the past three months, rwa.xyz data shows. It has toppled the $450 million BUIDL, issued by asset management behemoth BlackRock and tokenization firm Securitize, which was the largest product by size since April.
USYC is the token representation of the Hashnote International Short Duration Yield Fund, which, according to the company’s website, invests in reverse repo agreements on U.S. government-backed securities and Treasury bills held in custody at the Bank of New York Mellon.
Hashnote’s quick growth underscores the importance of interconnecting tokenized products with decentralized finance (DeFi) applications and presenting their tokens available as building blocks for other products — or composability, in crypto lingo — to scale and reach broader adoption. It also showcases crypto investors’ appetite for yield-generating stablecoins, which are increasingly backed by tokenized products.
USYC, for example, has greatly benefited from the rapid ascent of the budding decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Usual and its real-world asset-backed, yield-generating stablecoin, USD0.
Usual is pursuing the market share of centralized stablecoins like Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC by redistributing a portion of revenues from its stablecoin’s backing assets to holders. USD0 is primarily backed by USYC currently, but the protocol aims to add more RWAs to reserves in the future. It has recently announced the addition of Ethena’s USDtb stablecoin, which is built on top of BUIDL.
“The bull market triggered a massive inflow into stablecoins, yet the core issue with the largest stablecoins remains: they lack rewards for end users and do not give access to the yield they generate,” said David Shuttleworth, partner at Anagram. “Moreover, users do not get access to the protocol’s equity by holding USDT or USDC.”
“Usual’s appeal is that it redistributes the yield along with ownership in the protocol back to users,” he added.
The protocol, and hence its USD0 stablecoin, has raked in $1.3 billion over the past few months as crypto investors chased on-chain yield opportunities. Another significant catalyst of growth was the protocol’s governance token (USUAL) airdrop and exchange listing on Wednesday. USUAL started trading on Binance on Wednesday, and vastly outperformed the shaky broader crypto market, appreciating some 50% since then, per CoinGecko data.
BlackRock’s BUIDL also enjoyed rapid growth earlier this year, driven by DeFi platform Ondo Finance making the token the key reserve asset of its own yield-earning product, the Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries (OUSG) token.
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