Markets
Bitcoin Reserve in 100 Days of Trump’s Presidency? Market Is Still Skeptical
Published
1 month agoon
By
adminA weekend Truth Social post from President Donald Trump set in motion the first steps in creating a strategic U.S. bitcoin (BTC) reserve, but Polymarket traders are skeptical that it will happen within the first 100 days.
As of press time, Polymarket bettors are giving a 23% chance that a strategic BTC reserve will be created within the first 100 days of the Trump presidency – or by April 30th, 2025.
Rules of the contract say that the U.S. government will need to specifically hold bitcoin – and not from confiscation – by 11:59 PM ET on April 29 for this to resolve to yes. Announcements of the creation of a reserve do not count.
Chances of a reserve coming true spiked from 11% to 23% in the moments after Trump’s announcement. Another contract that asks if a reserve will be created by the end of 2025 currently has a 65% chance of resolving to yes.
Initially, Trump’s social media post announcing the creation of the reserve only named XRP and SOL as components of the reserve—which caused their value to spike—before clarifying that BTC and ETH would also be included in the reserve.
One of the most profitable traders of the 100-day crypto reserve contract is Theo5, which appears to be affiliated with a French trader who created a series of accounts, including Theo4, to directionally bet on Trump’s victory in the November 2024 election.
Theo5 currently has posted a $40,000 profit on his no position.
Meanwhile, a trader known as Polywog lost $73,000 on their yes position and also lost over $560,000 by incorrectly betting on the outcome of the 2025 election.
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Gold
Gold ETF Inflows Hit Three-Year High as PAXG, XAUT Outperform Wider Crypto Market
Published
4 hours agoon
April 13, 2025By
admin
As traditional gold markets heat up, crypto investors are following suit—flocking to tokenized versions of the precious metal that offer both price exposure and digital flexibility.
Gold-backed cryptocurrencies like Paxos Gold (PAXG) and Tether Gold (XAUT) have risen 24.15% and 23.7% respectively year-to-date to new all-time highs above $3,300, roughly matching the performance of spot gold. Their prices have since receded slightly to $3,265 and $3,244, respectively.
While gold-backed cryptocurrencies surged so far this year, the wider cryptocurrency market has been in a downtrend. Bitcoin (BTC) has lost more than 11% of its value so far this year, while the wider crypto market has fallen by a little over 30%, based on the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index.
The tokens, which are backed by physical gold and track its price, experienced a surge in value as investors sought refuge from the uncertainty induced by the escalating U.S.-China trade war.
The move echoes a broader return to gold as a safe-haven asset. Inflows into gold ETFs hit 226.5 tonnes in the first quarter of 2025, the highest level since early 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. Nearly 60% of that demand came from North America.

Similarly, gold-backed cryptocurrencies saw net token minting of over $42.7 million in the first quarter of the year, according to data from RWA.xyz, helping along with gold’s price appreciation raise their total market capitalization near $1.4 billion.
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Markets
Popcat price surges as exchange reserves fall, profit leaders hold
Published
15 hours agoon
April 13, 2025By
admin
Popcat, a top Solana meme coin, has staged a strong comeback as investors bought the dip and exchange reserves dropped.
Popcat (POPCAT) rose for four consecutive days, reaching a high of $0.25, its highest level since March 25. It has jumped by almos 100% from its lowest level this month.
The jump happened as crypto investors bought the dip in some specific Solana (SOL) meme coins like Fartcoin (FARTCOIN), Goatseus Maximus, Fartboy, and Vine.
Nansen data shows that more investors are moving their Popcat tokens from exchanges to self-custody. Exchange balances have dropped by almost 10% in the last seven days to 239.5 million, down from 262 million the same day last week. Most of these outflows were from Bybit, Raydium, and Coinbase.
The weekly supply of Popcat tokens on exchanges dropped by 2.3% to 24%. Falling exchange reserves is a bullish sign, signaling that more investors are taking a long-term view of the coin and are not dumping their tokens.
More data shows that the most profitable Popcat traders in the last seven days are not selling. The top trader has made a profit of $173,000 and still holds 97% of his position. The chart below shows that many of these traders still hold their tokens.

Popcat price analysis

The daily chart shows that the Popcat price has bounced back in the past few days. This rebound happened after the token formed a falling wedge pattern, which is shown in blue. This pattern is made up of two descending and converging trendlines.
The Popcat token has moved slightly above the 50-day moving average, while the Relative Strength Index and other oscillators have pointed upward.
Therefore, the coin will likely keep rising as bulls target the 23.6% retracement level at $0.5982, up 142% from the current level.
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Bessent
Why The Bond Market Matters More Than Ever For U.S. Foreign Policy
Published
21 hours agoon
April 13, 2025By
admin
Scott Bessent’s Bond Strategy: The U.S. Ten-Year, Foreign Policy & the New Monetary Order
Experts from the Bitcoin Policy Institute unpack why the 10-year Treasury yield is central to Donald Trump’s policy ambitions and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s economic strategy.
Featuring Bitcoin Policy Institute Executive Director Matthew Pines, Head of Policy Zack Shapiro and Growth Associate Zack Cohen.
They explore how bond market dynamics affect U.S. interest payments, trade policy, and the feasibility of industrial onshoring. As America confronts growing debt burdens and fiscal constraints, understanding the yield curve becomes critical for navigating the future of U.S. monetary policy and Bitcoin’s role within it.
From Episode #1 of The Bitcoin Policy Hour: “Wargaming the Mar-a-Lago Accord: Tariffs, Bitcoin and Stablecoins“.
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