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Bitcoin To See ‘One Last Shakeout’ Soon

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin (BTC) has recorded a remarkable surge in the past 14 days, nearing the $70,000 mark earlier this week. However, some market watchers shared their worries about the recent retraces, suggesting the cryptocurrency could face another correction ahead of the US Presidential election.

Bitcoin To Face Another Shakeout Soon

This ‘Uptober,’ Bitcoin has recorded a 12% surge from its opening price, jumping from the $60,000 support level and reclaiming key resistance zones. In the last two weeks, BTC recovered 14% from the early October shakeouts, nearing a retest of the long-awaited $70,000 mark.

The cryptocurrency faced major resistance after surging above the $69,000 zone, a level not seen since late July. After the unsuccessful retest, Bitcoin’s price faced a 5.3% pullback toward the $65,000-$66,000 range, failing to reclaim the $67,000 mark until Thursday.

Based on BTC’s recent performance, some analysts consider that the flagship crypto is poised to face another correction in the coming weeks. Crypto analyst Altcoin Sherpa revealed he is unsure about where Bitcoin’s “extremely chippy conditions” are headed in the short term.

Sherpa shared that the cryptocurrency could see one last shakeout “sometime in November.” He suggested  BTC could face another pullback toward the $62,000-$64,000 price range around the time of the US Presidential elections, scheduled for November 5.

However, the analyst believes that Bitcoin will continue its bullish rally after the shakeout. Another market watcher also forecasted another correction for BTC’s near future.

Analyst Crypto King stated that BTC is set to close above $70,000 this week before facing rejection from the key level. Following the rejection, Bitcoin would retrace 8% toward $64,000-$65,000, which could propel altcoins to “start moving 5-6x from the current position,” according to the analyst.

Is BTC Set For A Green Weekly Close?

Despite the rainy forecast, other investors remain bullish on the flagship crypto. Crypto analyst Moustache set the $67,000-$68,000 range as “insanely important support levels.” To the analyst, if BTC’s price holds its support there, it will hit $70,000 soon.

After Bitcoin jumped above the $68,000 resistance on Friday morning, Crypto Yapper noted that BTC broke out of a weekly bull flag and was “ready for an exponential move.” The analyst also asserted that the next horizontal level to break before the $70,000 test is $69,000.

Nonetheless, he stated that Bitcoin should make a higher high to remain bullish. Similarly, Rekt Capital pointed out that BTC’s old downtrend line is supporting, which serves as post-breakout confirmation.

Per the post, the cryptocurrency would record a bullish weekly close above the $66,300 mark. The analyst also highlighted that if BTC closes above the $67,900 zone, It will register a “very bullish weekly close” ahead of October’s last week.

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $67,737, a mild 0.3% increase in the daily timeframe.

Bitcoin, BTC, BTCUSDT
Bitcoin (BTC) performance in the weekly chart. Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com



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Illegal Bitcoin mining costs Malaysian electricity company over $100m

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Malaysia’s national electricity provider, Tenaga Nasional Berhad, has reported losses exceeding 440 million ringgit (about $101 million) due to electricity theft linked to illegal Bitcoin mining activities. 

Local reporting from The Star indicates that since 2020, this theft has significantly impacted TNB’s finances, resulting in a loss of 103 million ringgit in 2023 alone, according to Suhai Rizain, the director of Malaysia’s Criminal Investigation Department.

The losses from crypto mining have increased sharply over the years. In 2020, TNB recorded losses of 5.9 million ringgit. This figure escalated to 140.4 million ringgit in 2021, followed by 124.9 million ringgit in 2022, and 67.1 million ringgit last year. 

Bitcoin mining in Malaysia

Earlier this year in July, the TNB reported similar figuresn noting losses exceeding $755 million due to illicit Bitcoin mining activities from 2018 to 2023.

The deputy minister of energy transition and water transformation, Akmal Nasir, acknowledged that while crypto mining accounted for a small portion of total energy consumption, it had a significant financial impact on the country.

Additionally, authorities seized nearly $500,000 worth of electrical items linked to illegal mining operations and launched a crackdown on tax evasion involving digital assets.

The Criminal Investigation Department plans to investigate the factors contributing to these substantial losses, particularly the trends observed in 2022 and 2023.

Illegal Bitcoin (BTC) mining involves using unauthorized electricity to power computers that solve complex mathematical problems, enabling users to earn Bitcoin. This practice can lead to significant electricity consumption, which results in theft when miners do not pay for the power they use.



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If Microsoft Invests in Bitcoin It Will Be Likely Via Spot ETFs

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At the tail end of yesterday, MacroScope, a financial analyst focusing on Bitcoin, revealed a new SEC filing stating that Microsoft is voting this December on whether it should invest in bitcoin.

At first I thought there is no way this happens right now, and figured it will just be a short lived hype, especially after noticing a detail in the filing stating that Microsoft’s board recommends its shareholders to vote AGAINST the proposal of “Assessment of Investment in Bitcoin”.

But then Macroscope came with another update that revealed something promising. Microsoft is urging its shareholders to vote against the proposal because their management “already carefully considers this topic.”

If Microsoft were to follow in the footsteps of MicroStrategy (a wild thing to even type out and say to myself) it would mark an historic milestone for Bitcoin: Microsoft is the third largest company in the world by market capitalization at $3.208 trillion.

Will this actually happen? It’s anyone’s guess at the moment. But Michael Saylor has himself reached out to Microsoft’s Chairman and CEO Satya Nadella to discuss the possibility. If there’s one man who can speak Nadella’s language and get the job done, it’s Saylor. And there are plenty of reasons why Microsoft should invest in bitcoin… like having $75 billion in cash on hand that is just melting away like an ice cube.

Having said that, just because Saylor understands the importance of holding actual BTC on their balance sheet, he also knows that other large corporations interested in investing in Bitcoin might prefer a different method of exposure (like purchasing shares of spot Bitcoin ETFs). So if Microsoft were to invest into Bitcoin, I think they will likely just buy shares of BlackRock and others Bitcoin ETFs. (I would love to be wrong though, and have them actually buy the BTC and hold it themselves on their balance sheet.)

In any case, one thing for certain after reading all this: Bitcoin is now too large to ignore, even for the biggest companies in the world.

This article is a Take. Opinions expressed are entirely the author’s and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.



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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Has Less Than 10% Chance of Reaching $100K by Year-End, Options Market Data Shows

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Options-implied probabilities are calculated by using the Block-Scholes model or other pricing models that take into account factors like current spot market price, strike price, time to expiration, volatility, and the risk-free rate. Options-based probabilities are positively correlated with implied volatility: The greater the volatility, the higher the odds of bitcoin hitting certain levels.



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