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Bitcoin’s Momentum at Risk? NVT Golden Cross Sends Warning Signals

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Bitcoin price action despite being wobbly in the past days, is still being discussed by analysts. Earlier today, a CryptoQuant analyst turned the spotlight to the Bitcoin’s NVT Golden Cross, a metric that has been known to signal potential local tops and bottoms in Bitcoin’s price.

According to the analyst, Burak Kesmeci, this metric is now showing a reason for concern as it is currently struggling to surpass its previous peaks.

How Is The NVT Golden Cross Signalling a Warning For Bitcoin?

To answer this question, it is worth first understanding what the NVT Goden Cross means. Notably, the NVT (Network Value to Transactions) Golden Cross is a major metric used to determine the health of Bitcoin’s market.

It is calculated by dividing the network value (market cap) by the daily transaction volume, and then applying a moving average to this ratio.

Traditionally, when the NVT Golden Cross rises above 2.2 points, it signals a local top, while dropping below -1.7 points indicates a local bottom.

According to the report shared by the CryptoQuant analyst, the NVT Golden Cross has been showing a concerning trend over the past few months.

The metric has consistently failed to surpass its previous peaks, which has historically been a bearish sign. Since March 2024, the peaks of the NVT Golden Cross have been steadily declining.

Kesmeci disclosed that on March 31, the metric plunged to 3.17, on April 29, it decreased to 3.08, on May 27: 2.67, on July 29: 2.03 and on August 26: 1.46. According to Kesmeci, this declining trend suggests that the current uptrend in Bitcoin’s price may be losing steam.

The analyst noted:

It seems that for the momentum to be regained, the NVT Golden Cross needs to surpass the previous peak and bring the bulls behind it.

Outlook On BTC Future

Despite the cautionary signals from the NVT Golden Cross, not all analysts are sounding the alarm. Prominent crypto analyst Ash Crypto recently shared a more optimistic outlook on X, suggesting that the current price dips should be viewed within the context of a broader bullish pattern.

Ash Crypto emphasized that the Bitcoin bull-flag pattern remains intact and that investors should focus on long-term charts rather than short-term volatility. Ash Crypto further supported his bullish stance by pointing to global liquidity metrics.

He noted that global liquidity (M2) has reached an all-time high of $95 trillion, a factor that historically correlates with significant upward movements in Bitcoin’s price.

According to his analysis, this could propel Bitcoin to reach the $100,000 mark sooner than many expect, with potential for even higher gains, possibly reaching $125,000.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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Bitcoin on the Cusp of Breakout Into Parabolic Phase, Says Crypto Analyst – Here’s the Timeline

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A cryptocurrency analyst and trader is saying Bitcoin (BTC) is on the verge of entering a bullish phase over the coming weeks and months.

The analyst pseudonymously known as Rekt Capital tells his 88,100 YouTube subscribers that Bitcoin is “on the cusp of a breakout into the parabolic phase” after spending the past few months in a re-accumulation phase.

According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s parabolic phase lasts a predictable amount of time in every cycle.

“So if we just see that 160 days after the halving is how long this re-accumulation phase lasts and we tend to see a bull market peak 550 days after the halving, then this parabolic phase should last 390 days or so, 400 days or so.

So it is roughly a year of parabolic upside that we see going into the bull market peak. And if that continues, indeed mid-September 2025, mid-October 2025 is when we would see a bull market peak occur for Bitcoin.”

Source: Rekt Capital/X

Bitcoin is trading at $59,958 at time of writing, about 19% below the all-time high of approximately $73,800.

The pseudonymous analyst says that based on historical precedent, Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high over the coming days.

“…but we will reverse towards the upside at some point. And that point is coming quite soon because 160 days after halving is when we see a breakout to new highs.”

The Bitcoin halving occurred around 151 days ago on April 20th.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Hut 8 deepens Bitmain partnership with launch of new ASIC miner in 2025

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Bitcoin miner Hut 8 is expanding its partnership with Bitmain to introduce a new ASIC miner with direct liquid-to-chip cooling, set to deploy in Q2 2025.

Miami-headquartered crypto mining firm Hut 8 has expanded its partnership with Bitmain, announcing the upcoming launch of the U3S21EXPH, a next-generation ASIC miner capable of reaching up to 860 TH/s.

In a Sept. 19 press release, the company the miner, which is scheduled for deployment in Q2 2025, is the first mass-commercialized ASIC model to feature direct liquid-to-chip cooling in a U-form factor.

“We believe this model represents a more thoughtful approach to capturing the lucrative economics offered by next-generation machines, reducing upfront capital requirements while we continue to pursue growth initiatives in AI infrastructure.”

Asher Genoot, Hut8 chief executive officer

Under the hosting agreement, Hut 8 has the option to purchase all or a portion of the hosted miners in up to three tranches at a fixed price within six months of deployment. If Hut 8 exercises the option in full, the company’s self-mining hashrate is expected to increase from 5.6 EH/s to 20.6 EH/s, the press release reads.

The agreement is designed to minimize upfront capital expenditures and provide flexibility for future purchases, allowing Hut 8 to assess market conditions “before committing additional capital,” per the document.

The news comes after Hut 8 secured a $150 million investment in June from Coatue Management to accelerate its artificial intelligence infrastructure development. At the time, Hut 8 said the investment was made as “many traditional data center operators are failing to meet the surging demand for AI compute capacity due to power shortages.”



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Louisiana State Government Now Accepts Bitcoin Lightning As Payment

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Louisiana State Treasurer, John Fleming, M.D. has announced that the state government will now accept Bitcoin, Bitcoin Lightning Network, and USD Coin, as a valid form of payment for state services. The first cryptocurrency payment was made to the Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries today.

Dr. Fleming, described this initiative as a crucial step in modernizing government operations, stating, “In today’s digital age, government systems must evolve and embrace new technologies. By introducing cryptocurrency as a payment option, we’re not just innovating; we’re providing our citizens with flexibility and freedom in interacting with state services.”

The Bitcoin payments will be converted into U.S. dollars by Bead Pay, a provider specializing in cryptocurrency conversion for government transactions. “The State of Louisiana will not handle cryptocurrency,” clarified the announcement. This system aims to ensure that the state is protected from the volatility commonly associated with digital currencies. The conversion process mirrors that of credit or debit card payments, minimizing risks while offering secure, efficient transactions.

Louisiana’s shift to accepting Bitcoin is a part of a broader effort to integrate new technologies into public services. “I have been proud to author several bills related to digital assets and to Chair the State Treasurer’s task force in 2022,” said Louisiana State Representative Mark Wright. “I’m excited to see Louisiana further expanding its payment options under Treasurer Fleming. I look forward to working with him and others so that Louisiana will continue to be a leader in accepting digital payments.”

Louisiana expects the new payment options to reduce fraud and enhance overall transaction security. Residents can now use their private Bitcoin wallets to pay for services, while the state continues to receive payments in U.S. dollars.

The Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries was the first state agency to adopt the new payment system, with more departments expected to follow. “Offering our sportsmen more ways to interact with our department allows for us to enhance our customer service,” stated Secretary Madison Sheahan of the Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries. “This is another step towards our goal of creating a modern and professional organization that better serves the sportsmen of the state.”





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