Circle

Circle’s IPO Filing Tests Crypto Market Confidence After Trump’s Tariff Shock

Published

6 days ago

April 4, 2025

After U.S. President Donald Trump’s reelection in November, optimism surged among crypto companies eyeing the public markets. Trump floated big promises: clearer rules for the industry and ambitions to make America the crypto capital of the world.

For a moment, it looked like the floodgates might open. IPO pipelines buzzed with activity. Founders dreamed of ringing the opening bell. But beneath the surface, storm clouds were gathering. A bull market is the lifeblood of successful listings, and few foresaw just how rocky the road ahead would become.

Circle didn’t wait for perfect conditions. After years of false starts and regulatory hangups, the stablecoin issuer finally filed its S-1 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Tuesday, taking a long-delayed step toward becoming a publicly traded company.

The filing landed with a mix of energy and doubt. Some in the industry saw it as a bullish signal—another crypto heavyweight inching closer to the public markets. Others questioned the timing. Markets remain shaky, and Circle’s path to a successful debut is far from guaranteed.

“I believe Circle will be able to price their IPO and raise capital, however it isn’t going to be easy,” said David Pakman, managing partner and head of venture investments at CoinFund. “Generally, companies going public would like to debut during strong equity markets.”

Equities have been in a free fall since Trump announced so-called reciprocal tariffs on about 90 U.S. trade partners, including China and the European Union, deepening fears of a global recession. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have dipped 11% and 17% year-to-date, respectively, marking one of the worst quarters in recent years.

As a result, cloud computing firm CloudWeave, which went public last month, saw a disappointing debut, even though the stock rebounded on the second day of trading as investor demand for artificial intelligence companies appears to be stronger than short-term anxiety in markets. Payments app Klarna said it paused its IPO plan earlier today.

But Circle doesn’t just face broader market jitters as a potential threat to its IPO. Analysts have pointed out the company’s financials, which could make it difficult to attract investors.

“While I personally have tremendous respect and appreciation for Circle and their leadership, their financials show the challenges they have faced with growth and the high cost of their distribution partnerships,” Pakman, who noted that he still believes long-term value of the company, said.

Circle’s IPO filing revealed shrinking gross margins and high spending, which comes at a time when clearer stablecoin regulation could bring increased competition to the market.

“Circle is currently being priced like a traditional crypto business — cyclical, interest rate-dependent, and not diversified enough. If Circle can evolve to look more like a payments network with high margins and strong moats, its valuation might reflect that,” Lorenzo Valente, a crypto analyst at ARK Invest, wrote in a post on X.

Many aspects about the company’s structure seem to be in question, including how its revenue-sharing agreement will evolve, as well as the growth of Base, the blockchain created by Coinbase that uses Circle’s USDC, according to Valente.

“One precaution Circle has taken is a lower valuation. But, still hurdles remain as the rollout and implementation of digital rails in the banking system will take time,” said Mark Connors, chief investment strategist at Risk Dimensions, a New York-based Bitcoin investment advisory.

Circle’s rumored valuation of $4 billion to $6 billion, roughly 13 to 20 times its adjusted EBITDA, is in line with Coinbase and Block, and “not necessarily cheap, especially considering its recent drop in profitability,” Valente said.

“We do like the prospect for the growth in US-backed stablecoins based on the growing commercial use, shift in U.S. the regulatory and legislative (GENIUS Act) winds and the U.S. Treasury’s incentive to find new buyers of its growing stack of U.S. T-Bills,” according to Connors.

Over $6 trillion of Treasury bills will be rolled over this year, with additional issuance likely to fund the still-growing U.S. deficit.

Despite market uncertainty about the remaining year, several other crypto natives are looking to fulfill their IPO dreams, including Kraken, Gemini, Blockchain.com, Bullish (the parent company of CoinDesk) and BitGo. Even more crypto firms are rumored to be in talks to go public as well.

However, others will likely put their IPO plans on hold as they wait for regulatory clarity and better market conditions. Analysts at crypto M&A advisory firm Architect Partners expect the majority of IPOs to be filed in the second half of 2025 after written regulations and policies are clearly completed.

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Circle

Circle’s USDC Hits Record Market Cap Over $56B as Stablecoin Demand Soars

Published

2 months ago

February 12, 2025

admin

Circle’s USDC, the second-largest stablecoin on the market, rose to a record market capitalization over $56 billion this week as stablecoin growth showed signs of reaccelerating.

USDC added $10.2 billion to its market cap over the past month, driven primarily by rising Solana-based DeFi trading volumes, Artemis data shows. That’s more than double the $4.6 billion growth of Tether’s USDT, the largest stablecoin in the market and Circle’s biggest competitor, during the same period. USDT still dominates the stablecoin space with a $142 billion market cap.

With the latest growth spurt, USDC surpassed its 2022 peak and fully recovered from the 2023 U.S. regional-banking crisis, which dealt a serious blow to the cryptocurrency. At the time, Circle held a part of stablecoin reserves in bank deposits at Silicon Valley Bank, which suffered a bank run and led to USDC temporarily losing its peg to the U.S. dollar. Many token holders fled to USDT, helping Tether to surpass its 2022 peak market capitalization as early as May 2023.

Stablecoins are a special type of cryptocurrencies with prices anchored to an external asset, predominantly to the U.S. dollar. USDT and USDC are widely used for trading on crypto exchanges and serve as a key source of liquidity. Thus, their expanding supply is a key indicator of investor demand and overall health of crypto markets.

After a period of tepid action in December and early January, USDT and USDC growth accelerated in the past weeks, data shows. Previous growth spurts, such as between late October and early December and October 2023 to April 2024, coincided with steep rallies in bitcoin (BTC) and altcoin prices.

Combined market cap of USDT and USDC vs. BTC price (TradingView)

Accelerating stablecoin growth, while it’s only one of the factors influencing crypto markets, offers a positive signal for the overall market health amid macro headwinds and consolidating prices.

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Altcoins

USDC Becomes First Stablecoin To Gain Compliance With New Canadian Crypto Asset Requirements

Published

4 months ago

December 6, 2024

admin

Circle announced this week that USDC became the first stablecoin to gain compliance with new Canadian digital asset regulations.

Canada’s new regulations call for delisting noncompliant stablecoins after December 31st.

Circle’s compliance means USDC, which aims to maintain a 1:1 peg with the US dollar, can trade on crypto exchanges in the Canadian market, according to a new press release.

Dante Disparte, chief strategy officer and head of global policy at Circle, says the new development underscores the stablecoin issuer’s regulatory efforts.

“The Canadian Securities Administrators’ proactive approach in providing a digital asset regulatory framework reinforces the integrity of digital asset markets, while ensuring continued reliance on USDC across Canada’s burgeoning ecosystem.”

The announcement comes as Circle launched a new wave of layoffs, Bloomberg reports. A company spokesperson tells the news outlet the downsizing was routine and represented less than 6% of the firm’s workforce.

“Circle regularly reviews our investments and expenses. This includes investing in teams and operational infrastructure that need to grow, while marginally reducing spend and some roles in other areas of the business.”

This summer, USDC and Circle’s euro-pegged stablecoin EURC also achieved compliance with the European Union’s Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) regulations.

MiCA is upcoming EU legislation that will provide rules covering the supervision, consumer protection and environmental safeguards of crypto assets.

The law includes measures that aim to reduce financial crimes including market manipulation, money laundering and terrorist financing, and it places stablecoin issuers under the European Banking Authority while requiring them to hold sufficient liquid reserves.

It’s also scheduled to take effect in December 2024.

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Circle

Circle doubling down on Hong Kong presence

Published

5 months ago

November 4, 2024

admin

Circle plans to bolster its presence in Southeast Asia, with Hong Kong’s stablecoin roadmap incentivizing the firm’s proposed business expansion.

Circle, the world’s second-largest stablecoin issuer USDC (USDC), intends to hire more employees in Hong Kong and establish additional business relationships in the region, according to local media reports on Nov. 4.

Circle’s operator reportedly views Hong Kong as a key market for stablecoins. This news aligns with previous coverage from crypto.news, which quoted Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire’s remarks on Hong Kong’s upcoming stablecoin strategy.

In late October, Allaire stated that USDC and other stablecoins play a vital role in Hong Kong’s trading practices. These comments followed a July consultation paper from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) concerning a stablecoin framework.

The HKMA aims to implement clear regulations and standards for stablecoins by 2025, integrating these fiat-pegged cryptocurrencies into the region’s financial system.

Local companies have already embraced stablecoins ahead of formal regulatory guidelines. First Digital Trust activated its FDUSD token on Solana last month, adding to existing support on BNB Chain and Ethereum.

Hong Kong has emerged as one of Asia’s leading crypto-friendly jurisdictions despite close ties to China, an anti-Bitcoin (BTC) nation. Some experts suggest that Hong Kong acts as an extension of China’s financial ecosystem, providing a space for crypto and other innovations.

In Circle-related updates, the USDC issuer published a whitepaper for its Confidential ERC-20 standard. The company stated that the new token design aims to preserve user privacy while enhancing regulatory compliance at the smart contract level.

Circle also relocated its global headquarters to New York, with plans to launch an initial public offering and list its shares on Wall Street.

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