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Crazy and not that crazy reasons for the Telegram’s founder arrest

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Telegram founder predicted to face up to 20 years in prison. What’s going on?

Pavel Durov, the founder of the Telegram messenger, was detained at Paris-Le Bourget Airport upon exiting a private jet. The entrepreneur, a French citizen, may face charges for multiple crimes carried out through Telegram.

Among the possible ones are terrorism, drug trafficking, fraud, and pedophile content. However, some sources put forward other reasons for the arrest of the founder of the messenger.

Why is Durov arrested?

American journalist Tucker Carlson believes that Durov’s arrest is a warning for those who refuse to “censor the truth at the behest of governments and intel agencies.”

LCI TV channel journalist Cyril Amursky noted that Durov faces up to 20 years in prison in France for a criminal case. In addition, Durov cannot ask for asylum in France since he is a citizen of this republic and is wanted only there. The journalist suggested that the businessman could have made an unplanned stop in France due to a lack of fuel.

At the same time, the State Duma explained the businessman’s arrest by his unwillingness to cooperate with the U.S. authorities:

Durov has been in the status of a person who poses a threat to U.S. national security since he dared to challenge the dollar’s dominance and managed to interest large American investors in the “new generation cryptocurrency.

State Duma deputy Anton Gorelkin

Journalists from the Sabah publication believe that the purpose of the detention of the messenger founder is to hide what is happening in Gaza. The publication claims that France will be followed by other countries that want to close anti-Zionist news channels that Telegram does not censor.

Commenting on Durov’s arrest, Steffen Kotre, a member of the German parliament, emphasized that this is a fight against the opposition. He noted that the German media often call Telegram a platform for right-wing extremists and conspiracy theorists.

Crypto community reactions

The Toncoin (TON) cryptocurrency fell by almost 20% amid the arrest of the Telegram founder, falling from $6.83 to $5.37. Later, the coin recovered a little and was trading at $5.63 at the time of writing.

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Source: TradingView

Many crypto industry participants supported Durov, and some even bought TON. Thus, the founder of DWF Labs, Andrey Grachev, bought TON tokens for $500,000 and said he would sell them when Durov was released. Following Grachev, the Memeland project also bought TON tokens for $1 million in support of Durov and promised not to sell them until his release.

Things Foundation launched a fan token supporting Durov — Resistance Capybara (CPBR). Its capitalization soared to several million dollars in the first minutes. The token grew by 300%

Billionaire Elon Musk called the Telegram founder’s detention a convincing advertisement for the First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which guarantees freedom of speech. He also published a fragment of Durov’s interview, where the entrepreneur discussed freedom of speech. Musk accompanied the video with the hashtag #FreePavel.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino believes Durov’s arrest is deeply concerning. Dark times will come if we lose the battle for free speech and communication.

Nothing to hide

The Telegram team claims that detained founder Pavel Durov has “nothing to hide.”

Telegram said that its moderation meets industry standards and is constantly being improved, adding that the platform complies with EU laws, including the Digital Services Act.

They also admitted that Durov’s arrest represents the most radical national measures against the head of a social network and threatens to fuel the global debate on whether platforms should prioritize online security or freedom of speech.

Community reacts to Durov’s arrest with memes

Despite its disappointment in Durov’s arrest, the community also responded with humor. Many memes about the Telegram founder’s arrest appeared on X:

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Crazy and not that crazy reasons for the Telegram's founder arrest - 3
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Meanwhile, merch in support of Durov began to appear in the Russian marketplace.

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Source: Wildberries marketplace

What awaits Durov?

There are many messengers in the world where the same violations occur as Telegram, but neither the owner of WhatsApp, Signal, Threema, or Discord has been arrested.

At the same time, Durov may be accused of involvement in terrorism, fraud, and money laundering due to his refusal to cooperate with the security forces; the hearing scheduled for Aug. 25 has been postponed. The judges of the Paris court need another 48 hours to formulate the charges.





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Donald Trump

Michael Saylor is willing to advise Trump on the crypto policy

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MicroStrategy Inc. co-founder and executive Chairman Michael Saylor says he is willing to advise Trump on cryptocurrency policy when the crypto advisory council is set.

During the Dec. 18 episode of the Open Interest show on Bloomberg Television, Saylor voiced his willingness to provide his advice on the digital assets policy to President-elect Donald Trump, either publicly or confidently, if he is asked to do so. 

Before expressing his willingness to advise Trump on the crypto policy, Saylor admitted that he had already met “with a lot of people” in the incoming administration but declined to specify the personalities nor mentioned if he already met Trump. 

Is Saylor fit for a position?

Since the 2020s, Michael Saylor has been one of the key Bitcoin advocates and investors. Saylor is one who puts money where his mouth is, as he personally spent around one billion dollars on BTC. In 2020, Saylor took to X (Twitter at the time) to announce that he personally owns 17,732 bitcoins and that he acquired these coins before MicroStrategy (MSTR) made the first massive purchase of bitcoins. YahooFinance! reports that currently MicroStrategy owns around 440,000 BTC, which is close to a 2% share of the entire BTC supply. MicroStrategy made headlines on the eve of the latest BTC price peak when the company was included in the Nasdaq 100 index. 

Michael Saylor names Bitcoin an apex property of the human race and has an insatiable thirst for bitcoins. He compares Bitcoin to the territories like Manhattan or Alaska that were bought by the early colonist administration, specifying that Bitcoin is rather a kind of cyberspace. That’s why MicroStrategy aims to own bitcoins in bulk. According to Saylor, buying as much of this “space” as possible is crucial for the United States. This vision speaks to the statement posted by Donald Trump on the Truth Social platform. “We want all the remaining Bitcoin to be MADE IN THE USA!” the post reads.

Saylor singled out Trump as the most crypto-friendly Republican politician. It seems that Saylor shares the President-elect’s views on Bitcoin. Although not an outright GOP supporter, in September, Saylor made claims that he sees Republicans as a more progressive party when it comes to cryptocurrency regulation. He names regulation pressure decrease, treating crypto as a tool to boost the U.S. economy, and encouraging individuals to pursue their economic aims using digital finance as progressive characteristics of the Republican approach to the crypto industry. 

What Do We Know About the Crypto Advisory Council?

Trump proposed the creation of a crypto advisory council during his now famous speech at the Nashville cryptocurrency conference in July 2024. As of December, not much information about the preparations of this council has been made public. 

The participating companies’ lineup is not clear yet. However, it has been reported that such brands as Coinbase, Ripple Labs, Paradigm, and Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) are seeking interactions with the incoming administration. Allegedly, an a16z rep was involved in advising the Trump team during the presidential campaign. On December 6, Trump introduced entrepreneur and venture capitalist David O. Sacks as the “White House A.I. and Crypto Czar” via the Truth Social post.

It’s worth saying that, to say the least, before 2024, Trump wasn’t an avid crypto enthusiast. In the past, the President-elect made a series of anti-crypto remarks, calling Bitcoin “not money” and saying that the value of cryptocurrencies is based on thin air. 

However, the 2024 Presidential campaign saw a drastic change in Trump’s stance on crypto. He started to take donations in digital currencies, visited a major crypto conference in Nashville where he promised to make America “a crypto capital of the world,” and made several important proposals concerning the cryptocurrency policy.

On top of tax cuts for the U.S. cryptocurrency companies, the removal of Gary Gensler from the SEC, and the creation of the strategic Bitcoin reserve, Trump announced the creation of the advisory body with the leading position granted to the richest man on Earth and his passionate supporter Elon Musk. This unofficial agency is called The Department of Government Efficiency, or simply DOGE, a reference to a legendary memecoin, a notorious soft place of a Tesla CEO. Who knows just what else to expect from Donald Trump when he goes crypto?



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Crypto scam

Meme Coins Die — Bloggers’ Advertising is Ineffective

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The vast majority of meme coins promoted by influencers in X end up “dead” — their value drops by 90% or more within three months.

The attention surrounding meme coins has led many famous X personalities to promote these tokens as a quick way to make money. However, the research by CoinWire shows the unpleasant reality: most meme coins have no value, and many investors face heavy losses.

“Our research reveals a sobering truth: most of these meme coins are, in fact, dead, and the majority of investors end up with significant losses.”

CoinWire report

To understand the meme coin situation, the experts analyzed data from over 1,500 tokens endorsed by 377 influential X users. They selected 377 of them with at least 10,000 followers who frequently promote meme coins. They then compiled a list of 1,567 meme coins that were promoted over the past three months.

Using Dune Analytics, experts collected information on the price when they were first promoted, the current price, and the price after one week, one month, and three months. A meme coin is considered dead if its current value has fallen by 90% or more compared to the initial promotion. 

“76% of Twitter influencers have promoted meme coins that are now dead. Two out of three meme coins they promote are worthless. This means that many influencer-driven promotions essentially set up investors for failure.”

CoinWire report

The real effectiveness of meme coin promotion

The actual situation with meme coins differs significantly from influencers’ positive picture.

Stats show that these projects rarely meet their expectations: after a week, 80% of meme coins promoted by influencers lose 70% of their value.

After a month, about 90% of these tokens lost about 80% in value, and after three months, 86% of them fell in price by 10 times. As analysts note, this trend indicates significant instability and volatility of meme coins backed by influential individuals. In addition, most investors end up facing serious losses, often just a few weeks after investing.

Influencers get rich, meme coins die: Most bloggers' advertising is ineffective - 1
Performance of influencer memecoin promotions | Source: CoinWire

Achieving high returns is almost impossible

One main factor that makes meme coins attractive is their potential to generate significant returns.

However, in reality, this almost never happens. Only 1% of influencers successfully promoted meme coins. Furthermore, only 3% of meme coins promoted by influencers ever achieved such a significant increase.

Interestingly, the more followers an influencer has, the worse the performance of the meme coins they promote. Influencers with over 200,000 followers tend to perform the worst, with their meme coin promotions losing 39% of their investment within a week and 89% of their investment within three months.

Influencers get rich, meme coins die: Most bloggers' advertising is ineffective - 2
Influenser’s followers and promotion correlation | Source: CoinWire

In contrast to more prominent influencers, those with fewer than 50,000 followers perform better, with 25% of their revenue positive within a week and a 141% increase within three months. This may indicate that smaller influencers are more sincere in their promotional approaches, while larger ones often prioritize financial gain over the quality of the projects they support.

As for influencer earnings from meme coin promotions, analysts used TweetHunter’s X earnings calculator to estimate the potential profit from a sponsored tweet.

While investors often lose money, influencers benefit from promoting meme coins. They earn an average of $399 for each promotional tweet that attracts about 15,000 views. In this way, influencers promote even the most dubious tokens in the hopes of making a high profit.

Influencer promotion is mostly harmful

The data highlights a disturbing reality: meme coin promotion by influencers is mostly doing more harm than good for ordinary investors. 76% of influencers promote tokens without activity, and the probability of getting the desired 10x return is extremely low.

“Investors need to be cautious, questioning the true value behind these promotions and avoiding decisions driven by social media hype alone.”

CoinWire report

A CoinWire study shows that X meme coin hype is good for influencers but almost always disastrous for investors. Most of these tokens quickly lose their value. The chances of serious profits for investors who believe the buzz are minimal.



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Bitcoin

Senator Lummis wants to replenish Bitcoin reserves with gold

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Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis says converting gold reserves into Bitcoin could strengthen the U.S. government’s finances.

In an interview with CNBC, Lummis suggested that the Federal Reserve sell some of its gold reserves, which were valued at 1970s prices, and use the proceeds to buy Bitcoin (BTC).

See the clip below.

Lummis, known for her bullish support of cryptocurrency, believes that creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve could strengthen the dollar’s position as the world’s reserve currency and reduce the country’s debt burden.

She also suggested that Bitcoin, which is edging toward $100,000, could provide high returns.

Bitcoin can be considered a “gold standard digital asset” and creating a strategic reserve would be an essential step in its implementation, Lummis explained.

“We have reserves at our 12 Federal Reserve banks, including gold certificates that could be converted to current fair market value. They’re held at their 1970s value on the books. And then sell them into bitcoin, that way we wouldn’t have to use any new dollars in order to establish this reserve.”

Senator Cynthia Lummis

With the Trump administration’s growing interest in cryptocurrencies, Lummis said that legislation for digital assets could begin to be developed in the coming years.

How the Bitcoin reserve works

The creation of the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund is a comprehensive initiative meant to strengthen financial stability and protect the nation’s assets.

The Bitcoin Strategic Reserve will also act as a secure financial mechanism that allows the government and other agencies to use Bitcoin as a long-term asset.

The reserve will include a decentralized storage network. By creating a decentralized network of secure Bitcoin storage facilities, the U.S. can protect assets from centralized risks and vulnerabilities. Storage facilities will be distributed across different regions, reducing dependence on one location.

Bitcoin purchase program

The government will implement a Bitcoin purchase program, and it is planning to purchase 200,000 BTC per year for five years. The overall goal is to increase Bitcoin’s strategic reserve to 1 million BTC. Purchases will be made regularly to avoid sharp price fluctuations and ensure consistency.

All purchased Bitcoin will be held in the reserve for at least 20 years.

In addition, all Bitcoins currently stored in other government agencies will be transferred to the strategic reserve, which will allow for centralization and efficient asset management. States can voluntarily participate in this reserve by opening segregated accounts to deposit or withdraw their Bitcoin assets as needed.

The initiative will be supported because government agencies cannot confiscate or seize the rights to legally owned Bitcoin assets. This will provide confidence and incentives for Americans to store their Bitcoins independently.

Bitcoin reserves will not solve the U.S. national debt problem

Avik Roy, president of the non-profit think tank Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity (FREOPP), doubts that creating a strategic reserve in Bitcoin will help the U.S. overcome the debt crisis.

Speaking at the North American Blockchain Summit 2024 in Dallas, Avik Roy said that Lummis’s plan will not help cover the national debt, which has already grown to $35 trillion.

“The Bitcoin reserve is good but does not solve the problem. You still have to actually do the budgetary reforms to get us out of this $2 trillion a year of federal deficits.”

Avik Roy, FREOPP president

According to Roy, even with a Bitcoin reserve, the U.S. would still have to implement budgetary reforms to get the country out of its $2 trillion federal deficit annually.

The political scientist noted that the BTC reserve could ease tensions in the bond market by making it feel like the U.S. is not going broke. Roy is also concerned that the U.S. could abandon its BTC reserves in the future, similar to what happened with gold in the 1970s.

The argument against Lummis

Bitcoin as a reserve asset points to several other challenges, with the biggest being volatility. Bitcoin’s price fluctuations make it a risky reserve asset compared to stable options like gold.

After all, Bitcoin has experienced several notable crashes throughout its history.

  • In June 2011, when the Mt. Gox exchange was hacked. Bitcoin’s price dropped from $32 to $0.01 in a single day, a nearly 99.9% collapse.
  • December 2017 to February 2018: After hitting a peak of nearly $20,000, Bitcoin lost over 56% of its value within months.
  • March 2020: During the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, Bitcoin’s price fell nearly 46% in less than a month, dropping from $10,300 to about $5,600.
  • May 2021: Bitcoin dropped over 40% in two weeks, from $58,000 to $34,700.
  • November 2022: Following the collapse of the FTX exchange, Bitcoin experienced a 14% dip in a short period

Bitcoin is also typically associated with illicit activities and discreet purchases, which raises concerns about integrating it into national financial systems​. Critics say it could also enable countries like Russia to bypass international sanctions, undermine global financial stability and create geopolitical tensions.

Trump’s crypto advisory board to create promised reserve

A number of cryptocurrency companies, including Ripple, Kraken, and Circle, are seeking a seat on President Donald Trump‘s promised crypto advisory board, as Reuters reports. They are eager to participate in his plans to overhaul U.S. policy.

During his campaign at a Bitcoin conference in Nashville in July, Trump promised to create a new council as part of a pro-crypto administration. Trump’s team is discussing how to organize and staff the council and which companies should be included.

Potential members include venture capital firm Paradigm and the crypto arm of venture giant Andreessen Horowitz, known as a16z.

“It’s being fleshed out, but I anticipate the leading executives from America’s bitcoin and crypto firms to be represented.”

David Bailey, CEO of Bitcoin Magazine

According to sources, the team is expected to advise on digital asset policy, work with Congress on cryptocurrency legislation, create the Bitcoin reserve promised by Trump, and collaborate with agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and the Treasury Department. One source said law enforcement officials and former lawmakers may also be on the board.





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