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CryptoQuant CEO Reveals Where We Are This Cycle

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The Bitcoin mid-September rally has slowed down leading up to the end of the month. Although it ended September at a green monthly candle close, the cryptocurrency has fallen below the psychological $65,000 price mark again, with the fear and greed index returning from greed to neutral sentiment. This seems to have caused some second-guessing among Bitcoin investors. However, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju is not entertaining any such thought.

According to Ki Young Ju, Bitcoin is still in the middle of a bull cycle. This is positive news for Bitcoin investors, as the crypto industry is now transitioning into a historically bullish fourth quarter of the year. 

Bitcoin Bull Market Not Over

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju is part of fervent Bitcoin investors who remain unfazed by the recent price fluctuations. However, his stance isn’t just based on speculations but is backed by technical price data and analysis. Ki Young Ju draws his bullish outlook on the Bitcoin growth rate difference, which presents an interesting outlook on the cryptocurrency. Essentially, the Bitcoin growth rate difference compares the market cap of Bitcoin to its realized cap in order to gauge its bullish or bearish strength.

The market cap of a cryptocurrency is the total value of all coins in circulation, calculated by multiplying the current price by the total supply. In contrast, the realized cap takes into account the actual value paid for each BTC in circulation based on the price at which each coin last moved. A higher market cap growth rate suggests the spot price of the average coin has increased compared to the last it was moved.

According to a Bitcoin technical chart he shared on social media platform X, Ki Young Ju noted that Bitcoin’s market cap is still growing faster than its realized cap, which continues to point to a bull cycle. Notably, the analyst has mentioned in an earlier analysis of the growth rate difference that this trend, which started in late 2023, typically lasts for an average of two years. 

Bitcoin bull market
Source: CryptoQuant

What Does This Mean For BTC?

Going by past bull cycle trends, which Ki Young Ju noted typically lasts for about two years, Bitcoin is expected to continue in a bull cycle for at least more than a year going forward. Furthermore, current fundamentals point to steady growth for Bitcoin as inflows continue to pour in from institutional investors.

Speaking of institutional investors, Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which ended last week with the largest inflow ($494.27 million) since July 22, have begun the new week on a positive note. Particularly, they registered $61.3 million in net inflows yesterday, which is a sign of good things to come. Institutional involvement, especially through vehicles like Spot Bitcoin ETFs, is a crucial factor in BTC’s sustained price growth.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $64,080.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price fails to clear $64,000 resistance | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Analyst Sets $320,000 Target As Wave 5 Begins

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The Bitcoin price has finally broken out of resistance and is on a journey to the $320,000 threshold, according to a crypto analyst. Notably, the Bitcoin price has now returned into a full bullish sentiment, with the crypto fear and greed index now pointing to extreme greed.

In a recent technical analysis, crypto analyst Gert van Lagen identified a bullish pattern in Bitcoin’s price chart, specifically pointing to a confirmed breakout of the classic ‘cup-and-handle’ pattern formation that has essentially kicked off a bullish Wave 5 run.

Bitcoin Price Sets Sights On $320,000 As Wave 5 Begins

Bitcoin’s price action has been nothing short of impressive in the past few days. Notably, the Bitcoin price has created multiple all-time highs in quick succession, as many investors start to pour in. This sustained demand has created successive bullish candles on both the daily and weekly charts, illustrating a continued strong upward momentum.

Interestingly, these bullish candle formations have validated what crypto analyst Gert van Lagen called the start of a sub-wave 5 formation. This wave, which is known to be bullish, is expected to be the final sub-wave formation in a larger Elliot wave uptrend that has been in play since January 2023. 

Supporting the possibility of the wave 5 formation, technical analysis of the Bitcoin price formation shows that the recent price rally has seen Bitcoin breaking out of a cup-and-handle formation. This pattern, which is known to be bullish, has been in formation since 2022. The ‘cup’ portion of this pattern began forming in early 2022 and eventually ended with Bitcoin’s peak above $73,700 in March 2024. The subsequent consolidation phase, which lasted until October, represents the ‘handle’ segment of the pattern.

In addition to this, Bitcoin has managed to break free from what van Lagen described as a ‘base 4 step-wise formation,’ effectively shaking off a bear trap. With this breakout now confirmed, van Lagen’s analysis points to a projected target range between $220,000 and $320,000. This range marks what he considers a ‘major sell line,’ which is a zone where profit-taking might intensify as Bitcoin reaches these upper limits.

Bitcoin price
Source: X

Current State Of BTC

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $89,500 with a market cap of $1.77 trillion and an all-time high of $89,864, having increased by about 10.5% in the past 24 hours. However, given this trend, this all-time high might not last long. The bullish sentiment and inflow surrounding Bitcoin has been so massive that investors don’t know when to take profit at the moment. The RSI is above 70 on every single timeframe from the daily to the yearly. This shows how strong the buying momentum is at the moment.

Nevertheless, the momentum is expected to continue, with the next target at $90,000 and another at $100,000. A move to Gert van Lagen’s target of $220,000 to $320,000 will represent a 145% and 255% increase, respectively, from the current price.

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price struggling to hold $88,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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‘Bird Beak Sign’ Appears On Bitcoin Price Heikin Ashi Chart, Analyst Explain What This Means

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The Bitcoin price may be on the verge of hitting new all-time highs as a crypto analyst has unveiled the emergence of a new technical indicator called the “Bird Beak Sign.” Spotted on the Bitcoin Heikin Ashi chart, the analyst suggests that this technical pattern indicates a potential price rally is imminent. 

‘Bird Beak’ Pattern Signals Path To $100,000

Optimism in the crypto community is soaring as a popular crypto analyst, ‘Trader Tardigrade’ has shared a bullish prediction for Bitcoin’s price outlook. In an X (formerly Twitter) post, the analyst uncovered a distinct technical pattern known as the “Bird Beak sign” in the Bitcoin Heikin AshiBitcoin Heikin Ashi chart, which is a type of candlestick chart used to spot market trend direction and predict future prices. 

Bitcoin price 1
Source: X

The Bird Beak Sign is a distinct chart pattern that resembles a beak and is created when the Heikin Ashi candlesticks cluster together in a tight consolidated range. Typically when a cryptocurrency consolidates, it means that its price is stabilizing before a potential rally upwards. In the case of Bitcoin, the recent Bird Beak pattern suggests consolidation is preceding an upward momentum

The analyst notes that in the past when Bitcoin showed the Bird Beak sign on the daily Heikin Ashi chart, it was followed by a strong uptrend. This upward movement was represented by multiple green candles, which showed upward movement. 

Sharing a price chart, Trader Tardigrade disclosed that on 2nd January 2023, a Bird Beak sign had appeared in the Bitcoin chart, triggering a price surge to $23,250 at the time. This same chart pattern was also observed on the 7th and 25th of February, 2024, with Bitcoin skyrocketing to $52,000 and reaching between $71,000 to $72,000, respectively.  

Trader Tardigrade has revealed that the present Bird Beak sign seen in Bitcoin’s Heikin Ashi chart formed on 27 October 2024. Based on these past signs, analysts have predicted that the new Bird Beak pattern could lead to another sharp increase for Bitcoin, potentially pushing its price to $114,000 this month. 

Analyst Expects Bitcoin Price To Hit $71,000 First

In a more recent X post, Trader Tardigrade revealed that Bitcoin was breaking out of a Symmetrical Triangle at the tip of its 8-hour Heikin Ashi chart.  Based on this new symmetrical triangle pattern, the analyst forecasts that a successful breakout could lead to a rally towards the $71,000 price target for Bitcoin. 

Bitcoin price 2
Source: X

This bullish sentiment is shared by another popular analyst known as the ‘Titan of Crypto,’ who also projects Bitcoin’s next target at $71,000. This analyst has predicted that Bitcoin will reach this new target before the month closes, highlighting that the cryptocurrency’s monthly candle is looking significantly strong.

It’s important to note that as of writing, the price of Bitcoin is trading at $67,856, marking a 1.3% increase in the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC price breaks $68,000 again | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin Price Retests Bullish Channel At $65,000, Analyst Reveals What’s Next

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Crypto analyst MMBT Trader has revealed that the Bitcoin price is retesting a bullish channel at the $65,000 price level. He further mentioned what market participants should expect if the flagship crypto holds above or breaks below this bullish channel. 

Bitcoin Price Retesting $65,000 And What Could Come Next

MMBT Trader mentioned in a TradingView post that the $65,000 support zone is now the major daily support, and market participants can expect a valid retest of the channel breakout. The analyst claimed that if the Bitcoin price holds this support, investors can expect a “heavy pump”, which could lead to a new all-time high (ATH)

However, if the Bitcoin price fails to hold the $65,000 bullish channel, such a breakout to the downside would lead to a free fall to the $60,000 support level. MMBT Trader even suggested the possibility of BTC retesting $50,000 if it fails to hold above $65,000. Meanwhile, a breakdown means that the flagship crypto could range for a while before it makes another attempt to break its ATH at $73,000. 

Analyst Justin Bennett also recently highlighted the $65,800 range as the first test for the Bitcoin price. He had also indicated that BTC could drop to around $63,000 if it fails to hold above this level. However, a successful hold above this price range would invalidate his trade setup. 

The Bitcoin price has so far held well above $65,000 since it again reclaimed $67,000 after the price crash two days ago. However, Bennett indicated that BTC isn’t yet in the clear despite the bounce on October 23. He claimed there is no confirmed bottom as long as the flagship crypto is below $68,200. 

Bitcoin 1
Source: X

BTC Needs A Weekly Close Above This Level

In an X post, crypto analyst Rekt Capital mentioned that a weekly close above $66,200 would be confirmed as a successful retest. He noted that the flagship crypto was showing promising signs so far, having already produced a wick below the $66,200 price level and returned above it. 

Bitcoin 2
Source: X

His accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price drop below $66,200 before the weekly close could lead to further breakdown below the $60,000 support level

Meanwhile, bear analyst CrediBULL Crypto predicted that the Bitcoin price could retest the $68,000 range to “bait in some final longs” before it suffers a “rug pull” to the $60,000 support level. The analyst is one of those who believe that it is still too soon to call for a new ATH for BTC based on his belief that the flagship crypto still needs to retest the lower range. 

Bitcoin 3
Source: X

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $67,000, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com
BTC bulls reclaim $67,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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