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Dogecoin ETF moves closer as Bitwise files S-1 with the SEC

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Bitwise has submitted its official S-1 filing for a spot Dogecoin ETF, making its plans public with the SEC.

Bitwise has officially filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to launch a Dogecoin (DOGE) exchange-traded fund (ETF). The company submitted an S-1 registration on Jan. 28, which formalizes its intention to offer a spot Dogecoin ETF.

Earlier, on Jan. 22, Bitwise had filed a registration in Delaware, signaling its plans to introduce the product. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted on X that while the filing had been anticipated, this step makes the proposal official with the SEC.

Bitwise is not the only asset manager who filed for a DOGE ETF. Earlier, on Jan. 21, Rex Shares and Osprey Funds, a firm that focuses on ETFs and ETNs, filed Form N1-A for DOGE and many other cryptos, including Official Trump (TRUMP), Solana (SOL), Bitcoin (BTC) and Ripple (XRP). 

ETFs offer investors a range of benefits, including diversification, cost efficiency, liquidity, and transparency, making them a convenient way to manage investments. A Dogecoin ETF would provide investors with exposure to DOGE’s price movements in a regulated environment, without the need for crypto wallets or exchanges.

As per CoinDesk, Bitwise’s ETF was filed under the “33 Act” and Rex and Osprey under the “40 Act”, says Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas.

The 40 Act’s primary distinguishing feature is that it imposes tighter SEC oversight and better governance and limits on riskier manoeuvres like leverage and short-selling, offering investors stronger protections. In contrast, the 33 Act is commonly utilized for speciality ETFs like commodity-based ETFs with less stringent regulatory requirements.

However, while a DOGE ETF would ease access for investors to gain exposure to DOGE without having to deal with crypto exchanges, it also raises eyebrows because meme coins often face criticism for their volatility.

On Jan. 16, Max Buwick of Burwick Law pointed out that meme coins are the “ultimate evolution of multi-level marketing scams”. Burwick believes meme coins prey on human desperation and is not backed by strong fundamentals. However, as CryptoQuant CEO puts it, Trump has convened a new era of meme coins, like it or not!





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Bitcoin

A Big Idea Whose Time Has Finally Come

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They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.



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Bitcoin

Why Bitcoin Wins No Matter The Outcome Of Trump’s Trade War

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

In an escalation of global economic friction, President Trump’s imposed tariffs have roiled financial markets this week, cutting across both equities, Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Yet a new memo from Bitwise Asset Management suggests that these headwinds might ultimately propel Bitcoin to new heights—regardless of whether Trump’s strategy succeeds or fails.

At the beginning of the week, the crypto market witnessed a severe sell-off. Bitcoin declined by about 5%, while Ethereum and XRP suffered even sharper losses—17% and 18%, respectively. The immediate catalyst was Trump’s imposition of a 25% tariff on most imports from Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. In retaliation, those trading partners announced countermeasures of their own.

The US dollar reacted by jumping more than 1% against major currencies. That, combined with lingering weekend illiquidity in crypto markets, triggered a wave of forced liquidations as leveraged traders sold into the downdraft. According to Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan, as much as $10 billion in leveraged positions was wiped out in what he described as “the largest liquidation event in crypto’s history.”

Despite the dramatic price action, Bitwise’s Head of Alpha Strategies, Jeffrey Park, remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s trajectory. He points to two guiding ideas that shape his bullish thesis: the ‘Triffin Dilemma’ and President Trump’s broader aim to restructure America’s trade dynamics.

The Triffin Dilemma highlights the conflict between a currency serving as a global reserve—generating consistent demand and overvaluation—and the need to run persistent trade deficits to supply enough currency abroad. While this status allows the US to borrow cheaply, it also puts sustained pressure on domestic manufacturing and exports.

“Trump wants to get rid of the negatives, but keep the positives,” Park explains, suggesting that tariffs may be a negotiating tool to compel other nations to the table—reminiscent of the 1985 Plaza Accord, which devalued the dollar in coordination with other major economies.

The Two Scenarios: Bitcoin Wins, Fiat Loses

Park argues that Bitcoin stands to benefit under two distinct outcomes of Trump’s current trade policy:

Scenario 1: Trump Succeeds in Weakening the Dollar (While Keeping Rates Low)

If Trump can maneuver a multilateral agreement—akin to a ‘Plaza Accord 2.0’—to reduce the dollar’s overvaluation without boosting long-term interest rates, risk appetite among US investors could surge. In this environment, a non-sovereign asset like Bitcoin, free from capital controls and dilution, would likely attract additional inflows. Meanwhile, other nations grappling with the fallout of a weaker dollar might deploy fiscal and monetary stimulus to support their economies, potentially driving even more capital toward alternative assets like Bitcoin.

“If Trump can bully his way into the position, there’s no asset better positioned than bitcoin. Lower rates will spark the risk appetite of US investors, sending prices high. Abroad, countries will face weakened economies, and will turn to classic economic stimulus to compensate, leading again to higher bitcoin prices,” Park argues.

Scenario 2: A Prolonged Trade War And Massive Money Printing

If Trump fails to secure a broad-based deal and the trade war grinds on, global economic weakness would almost certainly invite extensive monetary stimulus from central banks. Historically, such large-scale liquidity injections have been bullish for Bitcoin, as investors seek deflationary and decentralized assets insulated from central bank policies

“And what if he fails? What if, instead, we get a sustained tariff war? Our high-conviction view is the resulting economic weakness will lead to money printing on a scale larger than we’ve ever seen. And historically, such stimulus has been extraordinarily good for bitcoin,” Park says..

At press time, BTC traded at $98,557.

bitcoin price
BTC price, 1-week chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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Bitwise Predicts ‘Violent’ Surge Amid Trump’s Tariffs

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

The Bitcoin price sank by more than 13.5% over the weekend, dropping as low as $91,201 on Binance. The sell-off followed US President Donald Trump’s announcement of new trade tariffs. The administration levied a 25% tariff on most imports from Canada and Mexico, added a 10% tax on Chinese goods, and imposed a 10% tariff on Canadian energy resources.

While market observers typically view such aggressive moves as a negative for risk assets, one prominent voice at Bitwise Invest sees a wildly different scenario, predicting that these tariffs could fuel a “violent” long-term rally in Bitcoin.

Why Tariffs May Supercharge Bitcoin

Jeff Park, Head of Alpha Strategies at Bitwise Invest, argues that these tariffs cannot be understood simply as a response to trade imbalances but should be viewed against the broader backdrop of the so-called Triffin dilemma. In Park’s words, “The US wants to keep its ability to borrow cheaply, but rid its structural overvaluation and constant trade deficits—enter tariffs.”

He suggests that, by using tariffs as a bargaining chip, the White House is looking to create a new multi-lateral agreement—akin to a “Plaza Accord 2.0”—aimed at weakening the US dollar. This would potentially oblige foreign governments to reduce their US dollar reserves or to hold longer-duration Treasuries, thereby keeping yields low without officially enacting yield curve control.

Park also ties this strategy to the president’s personal incentives. He believes Trump’s “#1 goal” is to drive down the 10-year Treasury yield, in part because cheaper long-term financing would benefit real estate markets. According to Park, such a push for lower yields dovetails with a deliberate move to weaken the dollar—two conditions that, in his view, create a perfect environment for Bitcoin to flourish.

“The asset to own therefore is Bitcoin. In a world of weaker dollar and weaker US rates, something broken pundits will tell you is impossible (because they can’t model statecraft), risk assets in the US will fly through the roof beyond your wildest imagination, for it is likely a giant tax cut will have to accompany the higher costs borne by the loss of comparative advantage,” Park writes.

His thesis is that the “online and onchain” nature of today’s economy will funnel frustrated citizens across the globe toward alternative stores of value—namely Bitcoin. He believes both sides of any prolonged tariff war will discover that BTC offers a refuge from the fallout, leading to what he describes as a much higher price trajectory.

“So while both sides of the trade imbalance equation will want Bitcoin for two different reasons, the end result is the same: higher, violently faster—for we are at war. TLDR: You simply have not yet grasped how amazing a sustained tariff war is going to be for Bitcoin in the long run,” Park claims.

Tariffs As A Risk Asset Drag

Not all analysts share Park’s optimism. Alex Krüger, an economist and trader from Argentina, disagrees with the notion that tariffs of this magnitude inherently favor Bitcoin. He warned that “Bitcoin is mainly a risk asset.”

He added: Tariffs this aggressive are very negative for risk assets. And the economy will take a hit. The tariffs announced are considerably worse than what was expected by the market, as gradual tariffs or delayed implementation were seen as alternatives. So the S&P futures will open deeply in the red tonight and flush.”

In Krüger’s view, Bitcoin remains a high-beta asset often correlated with equity markets. When a major macro shock—like a sudden hike in tariffs—hits, investors typically rotate into safe havens rather than riskier holdings such as stocks or cryptocurrencies. He pointed out that the sell-off in crypto over the weekend might be explained by the market reacting to an “unexpectedly harsh” tariff announcement.

“The hope for crypto is that it has already dropped a lot in anticipation,” Krüger observed, hinting that digital assets may find a local bottom if the initial shock has been fully absorbed. However, he emphasized the persistent uncertainty ahead, including the possibility of retaliation by targeted nations. A swift resolution to the trade dispute could trigger a bounce, whereas an escalation could deepen market jitters.

Krüger also cautioned that the Federal Reserve might turn hawkish if tariffs stoke inflation—an outcome that rarely bodes well for high-growth or risk-prone assets. Still, he hasn’t ruled out fresh all-time highs in equities later this year:

“I still don’t think the cycle top is in, and expect equity indices to print ATHs later in the year. But the probability of being wrong has increased. Particularly on the latter. As I said a week ago, I’ve taken my long-term hat off. This is a traders’ market.”

At press time, BTC traded at $94,000.

Bitcoin price
Bitcoin price crashes to $91,000, 4-hour chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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